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CLEM

Clemson 19 at Auburn 13

AUB
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2016 · Jordan-Hare Stadium
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Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadCLEM aheadconfidence bandkey playAUB scoreCLEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:43 · Andy Teasdall punt for 36 yds, downed at the Clem 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 126Home team on offense−15.2Pregame prior−6.5Garbage-time factor−6.3Score differential−7.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:34: Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +6.6 pts (now 68%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 13:46: Daniel Carlson 32 yd FG GOOD — AUB win probability +5.4 pts (now 29%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:59: Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 16 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel PAT MISSED) — CLEM win probability +9.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:22: Kerryon Johnson run for 9 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +27.4 pts (now 34%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:15: Wayne Gallman run for 6 yds to the Clem 31 — CLEM win probability +12.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AUB made the numbers' call on 9 of 12CLEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 11:51CLEM 4th & 5 at AUB 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    66.4%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    66.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:43AUB 4th & 12 at AUB 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:18CLEM 4th & 7 at CLEM 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:29AUB 4th & 10 at AUB 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:49CLEM 4th & 1 at CLEM 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:58AUB 4th & 6 at CLEM 36, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.2%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    40.0%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:34CLEM 4th & 1 at AUB 1, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    54.0%−2.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    47.9%−8.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:44AUB 4th & 30 at AUB 15, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−3.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:25AUB 4th & 9 at AUB 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−1.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:07CLEM 4th & 5 at AUB 13, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%−1.7
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    60.6%−4.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:47AUB 4th & 10 at AUB 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−2.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:36CLEM 4th & 7 at AUB 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    64.1%−7.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:10AUB 4th & 1 at CLEM 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    23.4%−2.3
    64% to make
    Punt
    17.5%−8.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:05AUB 4th & 1 at CLEM 16, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    20.4%−2.6
    81% to make
    Punt
    12.2%−10.8
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:58AUB 4th & 1 at CLEM 4, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.7%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    19.2%−3.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−12.8
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:43CLEM 4th & 3 at CLEM 13, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:46AUB 4th & 6 at CLEM 14, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    12.6%−7.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:15AUB 4th & 4 at CLEM 18, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.1%−0.5
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    11.6%
    79% to make
    Punt
    6.5%−5.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:15AUB 4th & 8 at CLEM 8, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.5%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    10.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−5.0
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:44CLEM 4th & 4 at CLEM 8, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−0.2
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:40CLEM 4th & 4 at AUB 17, up 6
    Close callWent for it · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.2%−0.4
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    89.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    85.1%−4.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AUB made the numbers' call on 0 of 1CLEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 7:34CLEM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 9:59CLEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%−0.5
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 3:22AUB Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1DOWNS
11 plays · 43 yds · 3:0972% → 71%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
27.9%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Clem 20Similar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
27.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the Clem 24Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
28.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 7 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+20
28.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 20 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
28.4%
Wayne Gallman run for 7 yds to the Aub 42Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+5
28.5%
Wayne Gallman run for 5 yds to the Aub 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
28.7%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+5
28.8%
Wayne Gallman run for 5 yds to the Aub 32Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 5
OPP 32
0
29.0%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Wayne GallmanSimilar
Q1 11:51
4TH & 5
OPP 32
0
29.2%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Artavis Scott, broken up by Deshaun DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:0729% → 30%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
29.4%
Stanton Truitt run for 1 yd to the Aub 33Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 9
OWN 33
-5
29.6%
AUBURN Penalty, False Start (Austin Golson) to the Aub 28Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 14
OWN 28
-2
29.7%
Stanton Truitt run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 26Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 16
OWN 26
+4
29.6%
Sean White pass complete to Marcus Davis for 4 yds to the Aub 30Similar
Q1 9:43
4TH & 12
OWN 30
0
30.0%
Kevin Phillips punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ray-Ray McCloud at the Clem 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:2270% → 69%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
30.2%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Clem 34Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+8
30.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Wayne Gallman for 8 yds to the Clem 42Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+3
30.2%
Deshaun Watson run for 3 yds to the Clem 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
30.5%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
30.7%
Adam Choice run for 3 yds to the Clem 48Similar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
30.8%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Jordan LeggettSimilar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
31.3%
Andy Teasdall punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Marcus Davis at the Aub 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:4631% → 32%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
31.3%
Chandler Cox run for 2 yds to the Aub 16Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 8
OWN 16
-3
31.6%
John Franklin III pass complete to Marcus Davis for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 13Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 11
OWN 13
+1
31.5%
Stanton Truitt run for 1 yd to the Aub 14Similar
Q1 5:29
4TH & 10
OWN 14
0
31.6%
Kevin Phillips punt for 68 yds, downed at the Clem 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:3668% → 67%
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
32.1%
Deshaun Watson run for 3 yds to the Clem 21Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+11
32.4%
Wayne Gallman run for 11 yds to the Clem 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
32.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the Clem 36Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+5
32.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 5 yds to the Clem 41Similar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
32.2%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Clem 41Similar
Q1 2:49
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
33.2%
Andy Teasdall punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 6FG
15 plays · 44 yds · 4:3234% → 38%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
33.9%
Jeremy Johnson run for no gain to the Aub 20Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
34.1%
Jeremy Johnson run for 3 yds to the Aub 23Similar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+8
33.5%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Will Hastings for 8 yds to the Aub 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
34.6%
Kerryon Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 30Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 11
OWN 30
-5
34.5%
AUBURN Penalty, Delay of Game (Jeremy Johnson) to the Aub 25Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 16
OWN 25
+6
34.7%
Kerryon Johnson run for 6 yds to the Aub 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+10
34.2%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Will Hastings for 10 yds to the Aub 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
36.2%
Kerryon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Aub 42Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+18
36.0%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Marcus Davis for 18 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
37.2%
Kerryon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Clem 37Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+1
37.6%
Kerryon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Clem 36Similar
Q2 13:05
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
37.6%
Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to Tony StevensSimilar
Q2 12:58
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+53
37.8%
Daniel Carlson 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7TD
15 plays · 84 yds · 5:1162% → 68%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
37.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 11 yds to the Clem 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
38.1%
Deshaun Watson run for 1 yd to the Clem 28Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+26
38.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 26 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
36.7%
Wayne Gallman run for 8 yds to the Aub 38Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+3
36.8%
Deshaun Watson run for 3 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
36.5%
Wayne Gallman run for 8 yds to the Aub 27Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+14
36.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 14 yds to the Aub 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
36.3%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Mike Williams, broken up by Joshua HolseySimilar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-1
36.5%
Wayne Gallman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 14Similar
Q2 9:13
3RD & 11
OPP 14
+7
37.9%
Watson, Deshaun pass incomplete to Leggett, Jordan, PENALTY AUBURN holding (Ford, Johnathan) 7 yards to the AUBURN7, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q2 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
36.8%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the Aub 6Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
37.0%
Deshaun Watson run for 5 yds to the Aub 1Similar
Q2 7:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
38.5%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Aub 1Similar
Q2 7:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
31.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -20 yds · 1:4134% → 32%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
33.6%
Jeremy Johnson run for 2 yds to the Aub 37Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-11
34.2%
Jeremy Johnson sacked by Dexter Lawrence for a loss of 11 yards to the Aub 26Similar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 19
OWN 26
-11
32.4%
Jeremy Johnson sacked by Christian Wilkins for a loss of 11 yards to the Aub 15Similar
Q2 5:44
4TH & 30
OWN 15
0
32.1%
Kevin Phillips punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ray-Ray McCloud at the Clem 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9FUMBLE
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:5369% → 68%
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
31.5%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Ray-Ray McCloudSimilar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
31.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 3 yds to the Aub 48Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+14
31.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 14 yds Mike Williams fumbled, forced by Darrell Williams, recovered by Aub Derrick BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:1034% → 33%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
34.3%
Sean White run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 33Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+7
34.0%
Sean White run for 7 yds to the Aub 40Similar
Q2 3:36
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
35.8%
Sean White pass incomplete to Marcus Davis, broken up by Dexter LawrenceSimilar
Q2 3:33
4TH & 4
OWN 40
-5
33.9%
AUBURN Penalty, False Start (Greg Hall Jr.) to the Aub 35Similar
Q2 3:25
4TH & 9
OWN 35
0
32.9%
Kevin Phillips punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ray-Ray McCloud at the Clem 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11DOWNS
11 plays · 64 yds · 2:5367% → 74%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
33.0%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the Clem 26Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+6
32.4%
Deshaun Watson run for 6 yds to the Clem 32Similar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 1
OWN 32
-5
33.1%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Jordan Leggett) to the Clem 27Similar
Q2 2:07
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+15
34.4%
Watson, Deshaun pass incomplete to Williams, Mike, PENALTY AUBURN pass interference (Hall Jr., Greg) 15 yards to the CLEMSON42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+18
32.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 18 yds to the Aub 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+22
30.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 22 yds to the Aub 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
29.7%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the Aub 15Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 7
OPP 15
0
29.7%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Mike Williams, broken up by Joshua HolseySimilar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+2
30.1%
Deshaun Watson run for 2 yds to the Aub 13Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+30
25.7%
Greg Huegel 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:0828% → 27%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
28.4%
Kerryon Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 3Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 12
OWN 3
-1
28.3%
Chandler Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 2Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 13
OWN 2
+3
27.4%
Kerryon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Aub 5Similar
Q3 12:47
4TH & 10
OWN 5
0
26.5%
Kevin Phillips punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ray-Ray McCloud at the Aub 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 14FG
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:0475% → 76%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
24.9%
Deshaun Watson run for 1 yd to the Aub 44Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+3
24.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 3 yds to the Aub 41Similar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+15
25.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 15 yds to the Aub 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
24.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the Aub 23Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 7
OPP 23
0
24.2%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Mike WilliamsSimilar
Q3 10:41
3RD & 7
OPP 23
0
25.0%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q3 10:36
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+40
24.1%
Greg Huegel 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 15INT
6 plays · 39 yds · 1:3923% → 25%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
23.3%
Kerryon Johnson run for 12 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST down CLEMSON Penalty, Personal Foul (Dorian O'Daniel) to the Clem 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
25.4%
Kerryon Johnson run for 11 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
25.5%
Kerryon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Clem 35Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 9
OPP 35
-1
26.6%
Kerryon Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 36Similar
Q3 8:56
3RD & 10
OPP 36
0
24.6%
Jeremy Johnson pass intercepted Jadar Johnson return for no gain to the Clem 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16INT
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:5576% → 76%
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
24.4%
Adam Choice run for 5 yds to the Clem 13Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 5
OWN 13
-1
24.2%
Adam Choice run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 17FUMBLE
14 plays · 30 yds · 4:4027% → 23%
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
26.6%
Sean White pass complete to Stanton Truitt for 9 yds to the Clem 26Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 1
OPP 26
0
26.6%
Sean White pass incomplete to Stanton TruittSimilar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 1
OPP 26
0
25.3%
Sean White pass incomplete to Kerryon JohnsonSimilar
Q3 7:10
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+1
23.9%
Kerryon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Clem 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
26.6%
AUBURN Penalty, False Start (Austin Golson) to the Clem 30Similar
Q3 6:21
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+4
24.6%
Kerryon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Clem 26Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 11
OPP 26
-6
25.1%
Sean White sacked by Clelin Ferrell for a loss of 6 yards to the Clem 32Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 17
OPP 32
+16
22.2%
Sean White pass complete to Marcus Davis for 16 yds to the Clem 16Similar
Q3 4:05
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+3
23.5%
Chandler Cox run for 3 yds to the Clem 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
26.4%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Ryan Davis for 2 yds to the Clem 11Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+7
26.4%
Stanton Truitt run for 7 yds to the Clem 4Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 1
OPP 4
0
24.7%
Sean White pass incomplete to Chandler CoxSimilar
Q3 2:58
4TH & 1
OPP 4
-1
23.0%
Jeremy Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 5 Jeremy Johnson fumbled, forced by Ben Boulware, recovered by Clem Christian WilkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0378% → 77%
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
22.1%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the Clem 9Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+4
22.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the Clem 13Similar
Q3 2:10
3RD & 3
OWN 13
0
22.2%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Jordan LeggettSimilar
Q3 1:43
4TH & 3
OWN 13
0
22.9%
Andy Teasdall punt for 36 yds, downed at the Clem 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 19FG
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:4924% → 29%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
23.8%
Kerryon Johnson run for 14 yds to the Clem 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
25.4%
Chandler Cox run for 2 yds to the Clem 33Similar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+15
25.6%
Sean White pass complete to Ryan Davis for 15 yds to the Clem 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
25.5%
Kerryon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Clem 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+4
25.5%
Kerryon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Clem 11Similar
Q4 14:35
3RD & 3
OPP 11
-3
23.8%
Sean White pass complete to Kerryon Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 14Similar
Q4 13:46
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+32
29.2%
Daniel Carlson 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:3677% → 93%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
22.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 8 yds to the Clem 33Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
22.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 1 yd to the Clem 34Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
22.4%
Wayne Gallman run for 7 yds to the Clem 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
20.8%
Wayne Gallman run for 5 yds to the Clem 46Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+34
20.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 34 yds to the Aub 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
19.0%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the Aub 18Similar
Q4 11:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
19.0%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Mike WilliamsSimilar
Q4 10:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-9
17.0%
Deshaun Watson run for a loss of 9 yards to the Aub 16Similar
Q4 9:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
+16
7.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 16 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 21INT
13 plays · 69 yds · 3:3213% → 10%
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
13.0%
Sean White pass incomplete to Marcus DavisSimilar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+43
12.5%
Sean White pass complete to Kyle Davis for 43 yds to the Clem 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
16.4%
Johnson, Kerryon rush for 6 yards to the CLEMSON28, PENALTY AUBURN substitution infraction 5 yards to the CLEMSON39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 15
OPP 39
+15
12.4%
White, Sean pass incomplete to Hastings, Will, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Johnson, Jadar) 15 yards to the CLEMSON24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN AUBURN.Similar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
16.1%
Kerryon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Clem 19Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+1
15.1%
Kerryon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Clem 18Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 4
OPP 18
0
13.2%
Kerryon Johnson run for no gain to the Clem 18Similar
Q4 7:15
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+11
11.9%
Sean White pass complete to Will Hastings for 11 yds to the Clem 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
14.2%
Kerryon Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 8Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
14.1%
Sean White pass incomplete to Jason SmithSimilar
Q4 6:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
11.8%
Sean White pass incomplete to Kyle DavisSimilar
Q4 6:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
0
10.2%
Sean White pass intercepted Ben Boulware return for no gain to the Clem 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2194% → 95%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
5.8%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the Clem 5Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+3
5.7%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the Clem 8Similar
Q4 4:54
3RD & 4
OWN 8
0
5.8%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Trevion ThompsonSimilar
Q4 4:44
4TH & 4
OWN 8
+28
5.5%
Andy Teasdall punt for 33 yds, downed at the Clem 41 CLEMSON Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Clem 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 23TD
5 plays · 36 yds · 1:088% → 34%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+18
8.4%
Kerryon Johnson run for 18 yds to the Clem 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
10.9%
Sean White run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 20Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 12
OPP 20
+2
8.2%
Kerryon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Clem 18Similar
Q4 3:27
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+9
7.1%
White, Sean pass incomplete to Slayton, Darius, PENALTY CLEMSON roughing passer (Boulware, Ben) 9 yards to the CLEMSON9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN AUBURN.Similar
Q4 3:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
34.4%
Kerryon Johnson run for 9 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24DOWNS
15 plays · 60 yds · 2:3587% → 95%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
13.5%
Wayne Gallman run for 6 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
12.5%
Deshaun Watson run for 4 yds to the Clem 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
9.2%
Deshaun Watson run for 2 yds to the Clem 37Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
7.8%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Mike Williams, broken up by Carlton DavisSimilar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+20
8.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 20 yds to the Aub 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+20
6.6%
Wayne Gallman run for 20 yds to the Aub 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
4.4%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Aub 23Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
4.6%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Aub 23Similar
Q4 0:47
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+6
4.6%
Wayne Gallman run for 6 yds to the Aub 17Similar
Q4 0:40
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+2
5.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the Aub 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 25END OF GAME
8 plays · 45 yds · 0:3410% → 12%
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
9.8%
Sean White pass complete to Stanton Truitt for 8 yds to the Aub 23Similar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 2
OWN 23
0
9.6%
Sean White pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+16
9.0%
Sean White pass complete to Tony Stevens for 16 yds to the Aub 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
10.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+21
10.4%
Sean White pass complete to Marcus Davis for 21 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
13.2%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:06
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
12.9%
Sean White pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
11.8%
Sean White pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:22
Kerryon Johnson run for 9 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)
+27.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:15
Wayne Gallman run for 6 yds to the Clem 31
-12.1
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-11.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com