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WAG

Wagner 10 at Massachusetts 34

MASS
2016 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2016 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadWAG aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreWAG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:33 · Bryan Rafano punt for 36 yds MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the UMass 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 61Pregame prior+32.9Home team on offense+13.5Score differential+8.8Garbage-time factor+2.0Blowout margin+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:54: Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 28 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK) — WAG win probability +0.2 pts (now 7%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:47: Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 6 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK) — MASS win probability +1.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:37: Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 55 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK) — MASS win probability +2.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:12: Logan Laurent 22 yd FG GOOD — MASS win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:29: Alex Thomson pass complete to John Williams for 2 yds for a TD, (Jim Cooper KICK) — WAG win probability +0.6 pts (now 1%) (top driver: WAG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 4 of 5WAG made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:54WAG 4th & 19 at MASS 38, down 7
    Close callPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    9.3%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:09MASS 4th & 2 at MASS 32, up 7
    Close callPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:11WAG 4th & 1 at MASS 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    10.2%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    9.7%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:13WAG 4th & 1 at WAG 37, down 14
    Close callPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:33WAG 4th & 10 at WAG 35, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:08MASS 4th & 7 at WAG 15, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    93.3%−2.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:08WAG 4th & 6 at MASS 49, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:20WAG 4th & 11 at WAG 43, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:12MASS 4th & 5 at WAG 5, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    95.3%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:54MASS 4th & 17 at MASS 24, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:07WAG 4th & 5 at MASS 36, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:42WAG 4th & 5 at MASS 10, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:42MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 31, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WAG made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:54MASS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:47MASS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:37MASS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:49MASS Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:29WAG Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:0693% → 93%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
93.3%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UMass 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+6
93.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 6 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+19
93.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 19 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
93.3%
Marquis Young run for 12 yds to the Wagn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
93.3%
Marquis Young run for 7 yds to the Wagn 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+15
93.3%
Ford, A. pass incomplete to Isabella, A., PENALTY WAGNER pass interference (FLAHERTY, Jesse) 15 yards to the WAGNER21, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-10
93.3%
Ford, A. pass incomplete to Williams, J., PENALTY UMASS holding 10 yards to the WAGNER31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 31
+3
93.3%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the Wagn 28Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 17
OPP 28
+28
93.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 28 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
93.0%
Matthias McKinnon run for 4 yds to the Wagn 39Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+47
92.9%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Frank Labady for 47 yds to the UMass 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-15
92.9%
WAGNER Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Frank Labady) to the UMass 29Similar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-8
92.9%
Matthias McKinnon run for 7 yds to the UMass 22 WAGNER Penalty, personal foul (Daniel Clifford) to the UMass 37Similar
Q1 12:54
4TH & 19
OPP 38
0
93.0%
Bryan Rafano punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 9Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 18
OPP 37
+11
93.0%
Alex Thomson pass complete to John Williams for 11 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 7
OPP 26
-12
92.9%
Alex Thomson sacked by Peter Angeh and Sha-Ki Holines for a loss of 12 yards to the UMass 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
92.6%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 9Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+3
92.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 3 yds to the UMass 12Similar
Q1 10:09
3RD & 7
OWN 12
+12
92.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 12 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
92.6%
Sekai Lindsay run for 3 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+6
92.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 6 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q1 10:09
3RD & 1
OWN 33
-1
92.6%
Sekai Lindsay run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 32Similar
Q1 10:09
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
92.6%
Logan Laurent punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Andre Yevchinecz at the Wagn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 4DOWNS
8 plays · 57 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
92.1%
Brandon Peoples run for 13 yds to the Wagn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-15
92.0%
KNIGHT, Denzel rush for 1 yard to the WAGNER41 (TEAM), PENALTY WAGNER illegal block 15 yards to the WAGNER25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:11
1ST & 25
OWN 25
+21
92.1%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Andre Yevchinecz for 21 yds to the Wagn 46Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+29
91.9%
Alex Thomson pass complete to John Williams for 29 yds to the UMass 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
91.7%
Denzel Knight run for 2 yds to the UMass 23Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+3
91.7%
Matthias McKinnon run for 3 yds to the UMass 20Similar
Q1 7:11
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+4
91.9%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Andre Yevchinecz for 4 yds to the UMass 16Similar
Q1 7:11
4TH & 1
OPP 16
0
92.0%
Matthias McKinnon run for no gain to the UMass 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5TD
7 plays · 84 yds · 1:5891% → 93%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
91.4%
WAGNER Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the UMass 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
91.5%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+9
91.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Bernard Davis for 9 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+25
91.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Bernard Davis for 25 yds to the Wagn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
91.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 7 yds to the Wagn 28Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+22
91.8%
Sekai Lindsay run for 22 yds to the Wagn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
93.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 6 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:348% → 7%
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
92.5%
Denzel Knight run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wagn 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 25
+12
92.5%
Denzel Knight run for 12 yds to the Wagn 37Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 1
OWN 37
0
92.5%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Frank LabadySimilar
Q2 14:13
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
92.7%
Bryan Rafano punt for 43 yds, downed at the UMass 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:1893% → 96%
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
93.3%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
93.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 9 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q2 13:55
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+16
93.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 16 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
93.5%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Sekai LindsaySimilar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
93.5%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+55
95.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 55 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 3:044% → 4%
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
95.6%
Matthias McKinnon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wagn 22Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 12
OWN 22
+1
95.7%
Matthias McKinnon run for 1 yd to the Wagn 23Similar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+12
95.7%
Alex Thomson pass complete to John Williams for 12 yds to the Wagn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
95.5%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Matthias McKinnon, broken up by Steve CasaliSimilar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-5
95.6%
Alex Thomson sacked by Steve Casali for a loss of 5 yards to the Wagn 30Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+5
96.1%
Frank Labady run for 5 yds to the Wagn 35Similar
Q2 9:33
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+51
96.1%
Bryan Rafano punt for 36 yds MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the UMass 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9FG
10 plays · 71 yds · 2:4197% → 97%
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
96.7%
Bernard Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+18
96.7%
Andrew Ford pass complete to N/A for 18 yds to the UMass 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+23
96.7%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 23 yds to the Wagn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
96.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Bernard Davis for 12 yds to the Wagn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
96.9%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam BrenemanSimilar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+15
96.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 15 yds to the Wagn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
96.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Travis Reynolds for 3 yds to the Wagn 15Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 7
OPP 15
0
96.9%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
96.8%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Bernard DavisSimilar
Q2 6:08
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+33
96.9%
Logan Laurent 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
96.3%
Alex Thomson pass complete to John Williams for 7 yds to the Wagn 37Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+10
96.1%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Brandon Peoples for 10 yds to the Wagn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
96.2%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to John WilliamsSimilar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
96.2%
Denzel Knight run for 4 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
96.2%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Ryan Owens, broken up by Jackson PorterSimilar
Q2 6:08
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
96.3%
Bryan Rafano punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11INT
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+16
97.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 16 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
97.3%
Andrew Ford pass intercepted Myron Morris return for 4 yds to the Wagn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:004% → 3%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
96.5%
Matthias McKinnon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wagn 43Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 11
OWN 43
0
96.5%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Matthias McKinnonSimilar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 11
OWN 43
0
96.7%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to John Williams, broken up by Lee MosesSimilar
Q2 3:20
4TH & 11
OWN 43
+10
96.7%
Bryan Rafano punt for 36 yds , James Allen returns for 10 yds to the UMass 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13FG
12 plays · 64 yds · 2:0597% → 99%
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
97.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 15 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
97.5%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 6 yds to the Wagn 48Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
97.5%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Sekai Lindsay, broken up by Quintin HamptonSimilar
Q2 2:17
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+31
97.5%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 31 yds to the Wagn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
97.5%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Sadiq PalmerSimilar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+16
97.5%
Sekai Lindsay run for 16 yds to the Wagn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
97.6%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wagn 6Similar
Q2 0:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
97.9%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam BrenemanSimilar
Q2 0:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
97.9%
Sekai Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Wagn 5Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
97.8%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam BrenemanSimilar
Q2 0:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
99.3%
Logan Laurent 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
99.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wagn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 15INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.0%
Alex Thomson pass intercepted Isaiah Rodgers return for no gain to the UMass 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
99.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Travis Reynolds for 3 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
99.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for no gain to the UMass 34Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 7
OWN 34
-5
99.3%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the UMass 29Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 12
OWN 29
-5
99.3%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UMass 24Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 17
OWN 24
0
99.3%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 17
OWN 24
0
99.2%
Logan Laurent punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wagn 28 , Denzel Knight returns for no gain to the Wagn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 17DOWNS
7 plays · 36 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+18
98.5%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Andre Yevchinecz for 18 yds to the Wagn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
98.5%
Matthias McKinnon run for 3 yds to the Wagn 49Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+10
98.4%
Matthias McKinnon run for 10 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
98.4%
Andre Yevchinecz pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+5
98.4%
Matthias McKinnon run for 5 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q3 13:07
3RD & 5
OPP 36
0
98.3%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Frank LabadySimilar
Q3 13:07
4TH & 5
OPP 36
0
98.3%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Brandon PeoplesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 1:35100% → 100%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+34
99.5%
Bilal Ally run for 34 yds to the Wagn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
99.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 12 yds to the Wagn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
99.6%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the Wagn 16Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 8
OPP 16
0
99.6%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam Breneman, broken up by Najee HarrisSimilar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+16
99.7%
Andrew Ford run for 16 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 19FG
15 plays · 67 yds · 6:070% → 0%
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
99.6%
Denzel Knight run for 5 yds to the Wagn 28Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+7
99.6%
Alex Thomson run for 7 yds to the Wagn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.6%
Denzel Knight run for 1 yd to the Wagn 36Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+19
99.6%
Alex Thomson pass complete to John Williams for 19 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.6%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Ryan OwensSimilar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+6
99.6%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Nour Aly for 6 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+10
99.6%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Matthias McKinnon for 10 yds to the UMass 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
99.5%
Craig Merkle run for 5 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 5
OPP 24
0
99.5%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Frank Labady, broken up by Isaiah RodgersSimilar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+9
99.5%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Nour Aly for 9 yds to the UMass 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
99.5%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Ryan Owens for 9 yds to the UMass 6Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 1
OPP 6
-4
99.5%
Matthias McKinnon run for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 10Similar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 5
OPP 10
0
99.5%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to John Williams, broken up by Jackson PorterSimilar
Q3 2:42
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+27
99.7%
Jim Cooper 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
99.8%
Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+1
99.8%
Bilal Ally run for 1 yd to the UMass 35Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 6
OWN 35
-4
99.8%
Andrew Ford sacked by Jordan Baskerville for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 31Similar
Q3 2:42
4TH & 10
OWN 31
-4
99.8%
Logan Laurent punt for 58 yds , Andre Yevchinecz returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Wagn 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 21TD
20 plays · 93 yds · 8:530% → 1%
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
99.9%
Denzel Knight run for 2 yds to the Wagn 9Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 9
-4
99.9%
WAGNER Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the Wagn 5Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 5
+7
99.9%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Nour Aly for 7 yds to the Wagn 12Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 12
+8
99.9%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Ryan Owens for 8 yds to the Wagn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
99.9%
Denzel Knight run for 7 yds to the Wagn 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+10
99.9%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Denzel Knight for 10 yds to the Wagn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.9%
Matthias McKinnon run for 4 yds to the Wagn 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Andre YevchineczSimilar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+21
99.9%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Ryan Owens for 21 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
99.9%
McKINNON,M rush for 3 yards to the UMASS35 (Ali-Musa, A.;Dowe Jr., M.), PENALTY WAGNER holding (RICHARDS, Titus) 10 yards to the UMASS48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 20
OPP 48
+4
99.9%
Matthias McKinnon run for 4 yds to the UMass 44Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 16
OPP 44
-11
99.9%
Alex Thomson sacked by Peter Ngobidi for a loss of 11 yards to the Wagn 45Similar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 27
OWN 45
+15
99.9%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Peter Ngobidi) to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
99.9%
Denzel Knight run for 9 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 1
OPP 31
-10
99.9%
Alex Thomson sacked by Lucas Amato for a loss of 10 yards to the UMass 41Similar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+17
99.9%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Nour Aly for 17 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
99.9%
Denzel Knight run for 4 yds to the UMass 20Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+18
99.9%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Denzel Knight for 18 yds to the UMass 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.3%
Alex Thomson pass complete to John Williams for 2 yds for a TD, (Jim Cooper KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22END OF GAME
11 plays · 37 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.5%
Sekai Lindsay run for 6 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+9
99.5%
Bilal Ally run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
50
+1
99.5%
Malik Lee run for 1 yd to the Wagn 49Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+2
99.5%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the Wagn 47Similar
Q4 6:29
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+9
99.5%
Randall West pass complete to Dan Jonah for 9 yds to the Wagn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
99.5%
Sekai Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Wagn 36Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+9
99.5%
Sekai Lindsay run for 9 yds to the Wagn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
99.5%
Sekai Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Wagn 26Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 9
OPP 26
-1
99.5%
Sekai Lindsay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wagn 27Similar
Q4 6:29
3RD & 10
OPP 27
-1
99.5%
Malik Lee run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wagn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:37
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 55 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)
+2.4
FG · Q2 0:12
Logan Laurent 22 yd FG GOOD
+1.5
TD · Q1 0:47
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 6 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)
+1.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com