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MASS

Massachusetts 28 at South Carolina 34

SC
2016 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2016 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:12 · Logan Laurent 32 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 129Pregame prior+17.3Home team on offense+25.2Score differential+17.8Garbage-time factor+5.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.7Time remaining+1.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:45: Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 24 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +5.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:22: Andrew Ford pass complete to Jalen Williams for 74 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK) — MASS win probability +5.4 pts (now 8%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:53: David Williams run for 1 yd for a TD SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the UMass 0, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +4.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:59: Andrew Ford run for 8 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK) — MASS win probability +4.2 pts (now 5%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:32: Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 18 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK) — MASS win probability +12.9 pts (now 17%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 3 of 6MASS made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 7:51SC 4th & 6 at MASS 46, up 14
    Close callPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    91.0%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:02MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.0%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:42SC 4th & 1 at MASS 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    88.0%−0.6
    36% to make
    Punt
    88.0%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:18MASS 4th & 14 at MASS 21, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:22SC 4th & 7 at MASS 41, up 13
    Close callPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    90.9%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 40, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.9%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:23SC 4th & 23 at MASS 49, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%−1.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:56MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 12, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:12MASS 4th & 11 at SC 13, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−2.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:12SC 4th & 9 at SC 44, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00MASS 4th & 6 at MASS 14, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:59SC 4th & 2 at SC 43, up 13
    Close callPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:00MASS 4th & 2 at SC 43, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    5.2%−1.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−1.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:00MASS 4th & 10 at SC 40, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.6%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    5.6%
    34% to make
    Punt
    5.2%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 4 of 5MASS made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 12:19SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:58SC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:53MASS Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:18SC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    91.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:45SC Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:22MASS Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:53SC Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:59MASS Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:32MASS Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.2%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 2:4193% → 93%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
93.2%
David Williams run for 1 yd to the SCaro 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
93.2%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+14
93.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 14 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
93.2%
David Williams run for 4 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+8
93.2%
Deebo Samuel run for 8 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+33
93.2%
David Williams run for 33 yds to the UMass 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
93.2%
David Williams run for 3 yds to the UMass 13Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+12
93.2%
Rico Dowdle run for 12 yds to the UMass 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2FUMBLE
6 plays · 43 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
92.9%
Marquis Young run for 12 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
92.8%
Andy Isabella run for 8 yds to the UMass 45Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 2
OWN 45
0
92.8%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+4
92.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 4 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
92.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 9 yds Adam Breneman fumbled, forced by T.J. Holloman, recovered by SCaro Chris LammonsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 2:1093% → 93%
Q1 11:08
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+3
92.8%
David Williams run for 3 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
92.8%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+47
92.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 47 yds to the UMass 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
92.8%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the UMass 6Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
92.8%
Brandon McIlwain run for 5 yds to the UMass 1Similar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
92.7%
David Williams run for 9 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.1%
David Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4FUMBLE
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
92.9%
Andy Isabella run for 9 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+1
92.8%
Sekai Lindsay run for 1 yd to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
92.8%
Andy Isabella run for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard line Andy Isabella fumbled, forced by Keir Thomas, recovered by SCaro Kelsey Griffin , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
50
-10
93.3%
Jake Bentley rush for 2 yards to the UMASS48 (Bailey-Smith,K.), PENALTY SC holding (Rico Dowdle) 10 yards to the SC40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 20
OWN 40
0
93.2%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 20
OWN 40
+3
93.2%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q1 7:51
3RD & 17
OWN 43
+6
93.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 6 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q1 7:51
4TH & 11
OWN 49
+5
93.1%
Sean Kelly punt 51 yards to the UMASS0, touchback, PENALTY UMASS substitution infraction 5 yards to the UMASS46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:51
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
93.1%
Sean Kelly punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6TD
16 plays · 92 yds · 6:097% → 11%
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
93.0%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 4Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 14
OWN 4
+4
93.0%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the UMass 8Similar
Q1 6:02
3RD & 10
OWN 8
+15
93.0%
Ford, A. pass incomplete to Williams, J., PENALTY SC pass interference (Chris Moody) 15 yards to the UMASS23, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
92.9%
Marquis Young run for 6 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 4
OWN 29
0
92.8%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:02
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+9
92.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 9 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
92.8%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+4
92.7%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q1 6:02
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+1
92.7%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 1 yd to the UMass 47Similar
Q1 6:02
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+9
92.8%
Marquis Young run for 9 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
92.7%
Andrew Ford pass complete to John Robinson-Woodgett for 7 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+7
91.8%
Sekai Lindsay run for 7 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
91.8%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+16
91.8%
Marquis Young run for 16 yds to the SCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
89.5%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 14 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-9
91.1%
David Williams run for 1 yd to the SCaro 47 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SCaro 43Similar
Q2 14:42
1ST & 19
OWN 43
+5
90.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Chavis Dawkins for 5 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 14
OWN 48
0
90.7%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q2 14:42
3RD & 14
OWN 48
+13
90.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Terry Googer for 13 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q2 14:42
4TH & 1
OPP 39
0
90.7%
Brandon McIlwain run for no gain to the UMass 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8INT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:2710% → 10%
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
89.7%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam BrenemanSimilar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+16
89.8%
Marquis Young run for 16 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
89.3%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam Breneman, broken up by Darius EnglishSimilar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
89.4%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the SCaro 45Similar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+7
89.8%
Andrew Ford pass intercepted T.J. Holloman return for 7 yds to the UMass 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9TD
9 plays · 49 yds · 4:0691% → 92%
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
90.7%
Rico Dowdle run for 8 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+9
90.7%
Rico Dowdle run for 9 yds to the UMass 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
90.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 9 yds to the UMass 23Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 1
OPP 23
0
90.8%
Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the UMass 23Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+4
90.5%
Brandon McIlwain run for 4 yds to the UMass 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
90.8%
David Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 20Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+4
90.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 4 yds to the UMass 16Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+16
92.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to K.C. Crosby for 16 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
92.3%
Andy Isabella run for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 20Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
92.5%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 20Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+1
92.6%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 21Similar
Q2 7:18
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+19
92.6%
Logan Laurent punt for 42 yds , Chris Lammons returns for 19 yds to the UMass 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11TD
6 plays · 44 yds · 1:3592% → 97%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
92.2%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Kiel PollardSimilar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+6
92.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 6 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+9
92.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Terry Googer, PENALTY UMASS pass interference (Rodgers, I.) 9 yards to the UMASS29, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
92.2%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo Samuel, broken up by Isaiah RodgersSimilar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+5
92.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 5 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+24
97.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 24 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12TD
2 plays · 74 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+74
92.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jalen Williams for 74 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
91.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 15 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
91.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 4 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+12
91.9%
Rico Dowdle run for 12 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
92.1%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
92.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Terry GoogerSimilar
Q2 3:22
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
91.7%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q2 3:22
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
91.4%
Sean Kelly punt for 22 yds, downed at the UMass 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
92.0%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 20Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+2
92.1%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the UMass 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
91.6%
Marquis Young run for 5 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+4
91.4%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 40
0
91.2%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 40Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 40
-4
91.7%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -13 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-4
93.2%
Rico Dowdle run for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 40Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 14
OPP 40
0
93.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q3 13:23
3RD & 14
OPP 40
-9
92.7%
Jake Bentley sacked by Steve Casali for a loss of 9 yards to the UMass 49Similar
Q3 13:23
4TH & 23
OPP 49
0
92.2%
Sean Kelly punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Rodgers at the UMass 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
92.0%
Marquis Young run for 5 yds to the UMass 12Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+4
91.9%
Bilal Ally run for 4 yds to the UMass 16Similar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 1
OWN 16
-4
92.1%
Ford, A. pass complete to Isabella, A. for 7 yards to the UMASS23 (Antoine Wilder), PENALTY UMASS illegal formation 4 yards to the UMASS12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 5
OWN 12
0
92.2%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy Isabella, broken up by Jamarcus KingSimilar
Q3 11:56
4TH & 5
OWN 12
0
92.3%
Logan Laurent punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18TD
6 plays · 38 yds · 2:0894% → 98%
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
93.5%
David Williams run for 1 yd to the UMass 37Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+19
93.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to David Williams for 4 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, roughing passer (Da'Sean Downey) to the UMass 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
93.5%
A.J. Turner rush for loss of 1 yard to the UMASS19 (Holines, S.;Bailey-Smith,K.), PENALTY UMASS offside defense 5 yards to the UMASS13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 5
OPP 13
+4
93.5%
David Williams run for 4 yds to the UMass 9Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+8
93.5%
Brandon McIlwain run for 8 yds to the UMass 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 1
OWN 0
+1
98.1%
David Williams run for 1 yd for a TD SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the UMass 0, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19MISSED FG
16 plays · 63 yds · 4:342% → 2%
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
97.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 12 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
97.5%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy Isabella, broken up by Rashad FentonSimilar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
97.5%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 9 yds to the UMass 45Similar
Q3 7:46
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+9
97.5%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Bernard Davis for 9 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
97.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to John Robinson-Woodgett for 5 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+10
97.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 10 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
97.1%
Ford, A. pass incomplete to Williams, J., PENALTY SC pass interference off-setting, PENALTY UMASS holding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
97.2%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 6
OPP 27
0
97.1%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy Isabella, broken up by Ulric JonesSimilar
Q3 7:46
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+15
97.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 15 yds to the SCaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
97.1%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Travis ReynoldsSimilar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
97.1%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q3 4:03
3RD & 10
OPP 12
-1
97.8%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 13Similar
Q3 3:12
4TH & 11
OPP 13
+32
98.1%
Logan Laurent 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+23
98.3%
Deebo Samuel run for 23 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
98.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 3 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+1
98.4%
David Williams run for 1 yd to the SCaro 47Similar
Q3 3:12
3RD & 6
OWN 47
-3
98.4%
Jake Bentley sacked by Da'Sean Downey for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 44Similar
Q3 3:12
4TH & 9
OWN 44
-2
98.2%
Sean Kelly punt for 44 yds , James Allen returns for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:502% → 1%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
98.5%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 10Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+4
98.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 4 yds to the UMass 14Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 14
0
98.7%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 14
0
98.7%
Logan Laurent punt for 50 yds , Chris Lammons returns for no gain to the SCaro 30 Chris Lammons fumbled, recovered by UMass Peter NgobidiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
98.4%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+6
98.4%
Andrew Ford pass intercepted Chris Lammons return for 6 yds to the SCaro 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23FUMBLE
4 plays · 24 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
99.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 6 yds to the SCaro 18Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+16
99.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 16 yds to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
99.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the SCaro 35Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+6
99.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 1 yd Deebo Samuel fumbled, forced by Isaiah Rodgers, recovered by UMass Isaiah Rodgers , return for 6 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 24TD
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:041% → 5%
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
98.9%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Jalen WilliamsSimilar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+6
98.9%
Marquis Young run for 6 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+6
98.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 6 yds to the SCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
98.9%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Jalen WilliamsSimilar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+9
98.9%
Marquis Young run for 9 yds to the SCaro 9Similar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+1
98.9%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the SCaro 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
94.8%
Andrew Ford run for 8 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
96.3%
David Williams run for 8 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
96.5%
David Williams run for no gain to the SCaro 43Similar
Q4 9:59
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
96.3%
Brandon McIlwain run for no gain to the SCaro 43Similar
Q4 9:59
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
96.0%
Sean Kelly punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 26TD
16 plays · 74 yds · 3:284% → 17%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
96.2%
Marquis Young run for 12 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
95.8%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Travis ReynoldsSimilar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
95.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 5 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+6
95.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 6 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
95.7%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam BrenemanSimilar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
95.7%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Marquis YoungSimilar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+8
95.8%
Marquis Young run for 8 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q4 8:00
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+3
95.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 3 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
95.7%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Bernard Davis, broken up by Jamarcus KingSimilar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
95.7%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Bernard DavisSimilar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
95.8%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy Isabella, broken up by Jamarcus KingSimilar
Q4 8:00
4TH & 10
OPP 40
+29
95.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Bernard Davis for 17 yds to the SCaro 23 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (Jasper Sasser) to the SCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
95.1%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam Breneman, broken up by T.J. HollomanSimilar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-7
95.1%
Andrew Ford sacked by Bryson Allen-Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the SCaro 18Similar
Q4 4:32
3RD & 17
OPP 18
+18
83.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 18 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 27END OF GAME
12 plays · 68 yds · 0:0091% → 92%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
90.5%
Jake Bentley run for 6 yds to the SCaro 17Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+25
90.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 25 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
91.8%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, PENALTY UMASS pass interference (Monteiro, J.) 15 yards to the UMASS43, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
92.1%
Rico Dowdle rush for no gain to the UMASS43 (Goodson, B.), PENALTY SC illegal formation 5 yards to the UMASS48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 15
OPP 48
-1
91.8%
Jake Bentley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 49Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 16
OPP 49
+14
91.6%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Jacob August, PENALTY UMASS pass interference (Goodson, B.) 14 yards to the UMASS35, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
92.4%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+3
92.3%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+11
91.8%
Rico Dowdle run for 11 yds to the UMass 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
92.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 19Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 11
OPP 19
-2
92.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:32
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 18 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)
-12.9
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+7.7
TD · Q2 3:22
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jalen Williams for 74 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)
-5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com