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LT

Louisiana Tech 56 at Massachusetts 28

MASS
2016 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2016 · Gillette Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:21 · Logan Laurent punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the UMass 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+56.0+28.00−28.0−56.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 67Pregame prior−25.3Home team on offense−6.4Score differential−1.5Garbage-time factor−1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:21: Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 42 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined — LT win probability +6.2 pts (now 83%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:56: Andrew Ford pass complete to Dan Jonah for 18 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK) — MASS win probability +7.7 pts (now 23%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:05: Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 5 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +6.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:01: Andrew Ford pass complete to John Robinson-Woodgett for 14 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK) — MASS win probability +12.9 pts (now 26%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:19: Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 83 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +7.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 7 of 8LT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:45MASS 4th & 11 at MASS 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:39LT 4th & 14 at LT 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:05LT 4th & 7 at LT 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:42MASS 4th & 16 at LT 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%−0.7
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    23.2%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:05MASS 4th & 14 at MASS 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:21MASS 4th & 6 at MASS 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−0.9
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:46MASS 4th & 4 at LT 19, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.3%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    11.5%−3.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:54MASS 4th & 11 at MASS 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00MASS 4th & 15 at MASS 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:36MASS 4th & 14 at LT 46, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4LT made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 13:45LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:12MASS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:21LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:54LT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:56MASS Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:05LT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 12:01MASS Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 11:19LT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:36LT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 6:20LT Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 2:35MASS Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1585% → 85%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
14.7%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 11 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
14.7%
Jarred Craft run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
50
+50
15.0%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 50 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+17
15.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Travis Reynolds for 17 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
15.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for no gain to the UMass 38Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-7
15.1%
Andrew Ford sacked by Jordan Harris for a loss of 7 yards to the UMass 31Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 17
OWN 31
+6
15.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sekai Lindsay for 6 yds to the UMass 37Similar
Q1 13:45
4TH & 11
OWN 37
+15
15.0%
Logan Laurent punt for 52 yds , Trent Taylor returns for 15 yds to the LaTch 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
15.6%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Kam McKnight for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 24Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 12
OWN 24
+1
15.6%
Ryan Higgins run for 1 yd to the LaTch 25Similar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 11
OWN 25
+24
15.7%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 24 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
15.5%
Jarred Craft run for 3 yds to the UMass 48Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 7
OPP 48
-7
15.4%
Ryan Higgins sacked by Sha-Ki Holines and Peter Angeh for a loss of 7 yards to the LaTch 45Similar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 14
OWN 45
0
15.6%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Kam McKnight, broken up by Steve CasaliSimilar
Q1 11:39
4TH & 14
OWN 45
+41
15.7%
Gerald Shouse punt for 44 yds , James Allen returns for 41 yds to the LaTch 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4TD
6 plays · 48 yds · 2:0917% → 20%
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
16.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Bernard Davis for 9 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+6
17.0%
Marquis Young run for 6 yds to the LaTch 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
17.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 9 yds to the LaTch 24Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+8
17.1%
Marquis Young run for 8 yds to the LaTch 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
17.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to John Robinson-Woodgett for 7 yds to the LaTch 9Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+9
19.9%
Marquis Young run for 9 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
19.0%
Jarred Craft run for 5 yds to the LaTch 23 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (O'Shea Dugas) to the LaTch 13Similar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 15
OWN 13
+9
19.0%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Conner Smith for 9 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 6
OWN 22
-1
19.0%
Jarred Craft run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 21Similar
Q1 6:05
3RD & 7
OWN 21
0
19.2%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Trent Taylor, broken up by Jesse MonteiroSimilar
Q1 6:05
4TH & 7
OWN 21
0
19.4%
Gerald Shouse punt for 43 yds, fair catch by James Allen at the UMass 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6MISSED FG
15 plays · 48 yds · 6:3720% → 24%
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
20.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 1 yd to the UMass 37Similar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+3
20.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jalen Williams for 3 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q1 4:19
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+9
20.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 9 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
20.7%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the LaTch 48Similar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+8
20.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 8 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
20.9%
Andrew Ford run for 12 yds to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
21.0%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the LaTch 28Similar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+10
21.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jalen Williams for 10 yds to the LaTch 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+15
21.0%
John Robinson-Woodgett run for 15 yds to the LaTch 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
24.2%
John Robinson-Woodgett run for 1 yd to the LaTch 2Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
24.2%
Ford, A. pass incomplete to Young, M., PENALTY UMASS holding (Driscoll, J.) 10 yards to the LATECH12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+1
24.2%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the LaTch 11Similar
Q2 13:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
-5
24.7%
Andrew Ford sacked by DaMarion King for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 16Similar
Q2 12:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 16
+33
23.6%
Mike Caggiano 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7FUMBLE
10 plays · 65 yds · 0:0077% → 79%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
23.1%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 24 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
22.0%
Jarred Craft run for no gain to the LaTch 44Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+10
22.3%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 10 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
21.6%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Trent Taylor, broken up by Lee MosesSimilar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+11
21.7%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 11 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-8
21.2%
Ryan Higgins sacked by Sha-Ki Holines for a loss of 8 yards to the UMass 43Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 18
OPP 43
+2
22.3%
Ryan Higgins run for 2 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 16
OPP 41
+15
22.8%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the UMass 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 15
OPP 31
+15
21.5%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 15 yds Trent Taylor fumbled, forced by Steve Casali, recovered by UMass Colbert CalhounSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
21.1%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (Joshua Outlaw) to the UMass 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0027% → 25%
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-3
26.5%
Andrew Ford sacked by Jaylon Ferguson for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 12Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 13
OWN 12
+8
26.4%
Marquis Young run for 8 yds to the UMass 20Similar
Q2 9:05
3RD & 5
OWN 20
-10
25.7%
Ford, A. pass complete to Jonah, D. for 11 yards to the UMASS31, out-of-bounds (KITCHEN, E.), PENALTY UMASS holding (Boland, M.) 10 yards to the UMASS10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:05
3RD & 15
OWN 10
+1
25.7%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 11Similar
Q2 9:05
4TH & 14
OWN 11
+4
25.3%
Logan Laurent punt for 47 yds , Trent Taylor returns for 4 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9TD
2 plays · 54 yds · 0:3776% → 83%
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
23.7%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Jarred Craft for 12 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
17.4%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 42 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-1
19.1%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 6Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 11
OWN 6
+5
19.0%
Marquis Young run for 5 yds to the UMass 11Similar
Q2 6:21
3RD & 6
OWN 11
0
18.9%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Jalen WilliamsSimilar
Q2 6:21
4TH & 6
OWN 11
0
18.8%
Logan Laurent punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the UMass 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11TD
7 plays · 48 yds · 2:4082% → 88%
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
17.8%
Jarred Craft run for 7 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+8
17.5%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Jarred Craft for 8 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+20
17.5%
Jarred Craft run for 20 yds to the UMass 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
17.4%
Ryan Higgins run for 4 yds to the UMass 9Similar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+1
17.4%
Jarred Craft run for 1 yd to the UMass 8Similar
Q2 4:34
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+5
17.7%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Jarred Craft for 5 yds to the UMass 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
11.8%
Kam McKnight run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 0:5815% → 23%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+17
14.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Dan Jonah for 17 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+20
14.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 20 yds to the LaTch 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
15.4%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy Isabella, broken up by Xavier WoodsSimilar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+3
15.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 3 yds to the LaTch 18Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+18
23.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Dan Jonah for 18 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 13TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 0:5181% → 89%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+19
18.9%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 19 yds to the LaTch 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
17.5%
Ryan Higgins run for 6 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 4
OPP 49
0
17.1%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+17
17.4%
Jarred Craft run for 17 yds to the UMass 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
16.7%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+27
16.8%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 27 yds to the UMass 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
10.7%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 5 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 22 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+22
13.5%
Sekai Lindsay run for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15MISSED FG
8 plays · 43 yds · 2:1415% → 15%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
14.6%
Sadiq Palmer run for 13 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
15.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 1 yd to the LaTch 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+23
15.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 23 yds to the LaTch 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
15.6%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam BrenemanSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+6
15.5%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 6 yds to the LaTch 19Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
0
15.1%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Travis Reynolds, broken up by Secdrick CooperSimilar
Q3 12:46
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+36
14.5%
Logan Laurent 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16FUMBLE
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
12.9%
Jarred Craft run for 4 yds to the LaTch 24Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-10
12.7%
Ryan Higgins sacked by Colbert Calhoun for a loss of 10 yards to the LaTch 14 Ryan Higgins fumbled, recovered by UMass Peter Angeh , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17TD
1 play · 14 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
25.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to John Robinson-Woodgett for 14 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18TD
3 plays · 76 yds · 0:4279% → 87%
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-7
20.6%
Ryan Higgins run for 3 yds to the LaTch 27 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (Carlos Henderson) to the LaTch 17Similar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 17
OWN 17
+83
12.7%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 83 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19FUMBLE TD
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
7.9%
Andrew Ford sacked by Jaylon Ferguson for a loss of 7 yards Andrew Ford fumbled, recovered by LaTch Russell Farris , return for 0 yards , return for 19 yds, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20INT
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+13
7.8%
Sekai Lindsay run for 13 yds to the UMass 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
7.9%
Sekai Lindsay run for 6 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
8.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 7 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
8.4%
Andrew Ford pass intercepted Xavier Woods return for no gain to the LaTch 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+21
4.9%
Ryan Higgins pass intercepted Bakhari Goodson return for 21 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -16 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-15
7.2%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (Peter Angeh) to the UMass 42Similar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
6.9%
Sekai Lindsay run for 4 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+1
7.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to John Robinson-Woodgett for 1 yd to the UMass 47Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 5
OWN 47
-6
6.9%
Andrew Ford sacked by Brandon Durman and Bobby Holly for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 41Similar
Q3 8:54
4TH & 11
OWN 41
+3
6.4%
Logan Laurent punt for 48 yds , Trent Taylor returns for 3 yds to the LaTch 44 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (7 Yards) to the LaTch 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 23FUMBLE
12 plays · 80 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
4.2%
Jarred Craft run for 3 yds to the LaTch 10Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+6
4.3%
Jarred Craft run for 6 yds to the LaTch 16Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+7
4.3%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 7 yds to the LaTch 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
4.2%
Ryan Higgins run for 4 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+29
4.2%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 29 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
4.0%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 9 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+3
3.8%
Jarred Craft run for 3 yds to the UMass 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
3.9%
Jarred Craft run for 5 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+1
3.8%
Jarred Craft run for 1 yd to the UMass 26Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+8
3.9%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 8 yds to the UMass 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
3.8%
HIGGINS, Ryan pass incomplete to SMITH, Alfred, PENALTY UMASS offside defense (Downey, D.) 5 yards to the UMASS13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 5
OPP 13
-4
3.8%
Rhashid Bonnette run for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 13 Rhashid Bonnette fumbled, recovered by UMass Steve CasaliSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 1:554% → 3%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
3.6%
Bilal Ally run for no gain to the UMass 13Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+16
3.6%
Bilal Ally run for 16 yds to the UMass 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
3.6%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Peter Angeh, broken up by Ronald LewisSimilar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+6
3.6%
John Robinson-Woodgett run for 6 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+17
3.7%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 17 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
3.9%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
3.4%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 46
-7
3.3%
Andrew Ford sacked by Elliot Blankenship for a loss of 7 yards to the UMass 47Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 47
0
3.2%
Logan Laurent punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 25TD
7 plays · 82 yds · 3:2098% → 100%
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+17
2.0%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 17 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+26
2.0%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 26 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
1.8%
Ryan Higgins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+13
1.8%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 13 yds to the UMass 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
1.8%
Jarred Craft run for 5 yds to the UMass 21Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+15
1.8%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 15 yds to the UMass 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
0.4%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 6 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
0.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 6 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+5
0.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 5 yds to the LaTch 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
0.3%
Sekai Lindsay run for 1 yd to the LaTch 41Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 9
OPP 41
-5
0.3%
Andrew Ford sacked by Jordan Bradford and Jaylon Ferguson for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 46Similar
Q4 10:36
3RD & 14
OPP 46
0
0.3%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:36
4TH & 14
OPP 46
+37
0.3%
Logan Laurent punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 18 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (Alfred Smith) to the LaTch 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 27TD
4 plays · 91 yds · 1:48100% → 100%
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
0.3%
Boston Scott run for 5 yds to the LaTch 14Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+8
0.3%
Boston Scott run for 8 yds to the LaTch 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
0.3%
Boston Scott run for 7 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+71
0.2%
Boston Scott run for 71 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 28TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 3:450% → 0%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
0.1%
Bilal Ally run for 7 yds to the UMass 37Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+7
0.1%
Bilal Ally run for 7 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
0.2%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Sadiq PalmerSimilar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+4
0.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 4 yds to the UMass 48Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+23
0.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 23 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
0.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 7 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+5
0.2%
Bilal Ally run for 5 yds to the LaTch 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
0.2%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to John Robinson-WoodgettSimilar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+12
0.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 12 yds to the LaTch 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
0.2%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q4 2:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 5 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 29END OF GAME
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
0.2%
J'mar Smith run for 11 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
0.1%
Boston Scott run for 6 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+1
0.1%
Boston Scott run for 1 yd to the LaTch 46Similar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+7
0.1%
J'mar Smith pass complete to Marlon Watts for 7 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
0.1%
Boston Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 48 Boston Scott fumbled, forced by Basit Dennis,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:01
Andrew Ford pass complete to John Robinson-Woodgett for 14 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)
+12.9
TD · Q3 11:19
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 83 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
-7.9
TD · Q2 0:56
Andrew Ford pass complete to Dan Jonah for 18 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)
+7.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com