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TULN

Tulane 31 at Massachusetts 24

MASS
2016 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2016 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+4.7MASS 29.9%Logan Laurent 28 yd FG GOODAWAY 24 - HOME 17 · Q4 9:37
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:37 · Logan Laurent 28 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 139Home team on offense−9.7Pregame prior−1.4Garbage-time factor−7.7Score differential−4.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 14:08: Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 36 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK) — TULN win probability +12.1 pts (now 61%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:54: Lazedrick Thompson run for 19 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK) — TULN win probability +12.9 pts (now 75%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 9:37: Logan Laurent 28 yd FG GOOD — MASS win probability +4.7 pts (now 30%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:32: Josh Rounds run for 10 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK) — TULN win probability +13.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:45: Sekai Lindsay run for 2 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK) — MASS win probability +21.7 pts (now 29%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 5 of 7TULN made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00TULN 4th & 12 at TULN 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:06TULN 4th & 1 at MASS 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    50.9%−0.6
    47% to make
    Punt
    50.8%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:37MASS 4th & 9 at TULN 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00TULN 4th & 2 at MASS 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    46.6%−0.5
    62% to make
    Punt
    43.9%−3.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:06TULN 4th & 5 at MASS 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    39.6%−5.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:48TULN 4th & 8 at MASS 34, down 4
    Close callPunted · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    48.0%−0.1
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:23MASS 4th & 3 at MASS 9, up 4
    Close callPunted · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:31TULN 4th & 1 at MASS 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    45.4%−1.6
    45% to make
    Punt
    44.4%−2.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:27MASS 4th & 11 at MASS 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−1.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:08MASS 4th & 21 at MASS 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−4.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:54MASS 4th & 3 at MASS 27, down 10
    Close callPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:26TULN 4th & 1 at MASS 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    72.4%−4.0
    54% to make
    Punt
    70.5%−5.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00TULN 4th & 14 at MASS 28, up 10
    Numbers favored field goal by 8.4 ptsPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%−2.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    75.5%
    60% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.1%−8.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:37MASS 4th & 5 at TULN 10, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−0.9
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−8.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:34TULN 4th & 8 at TULN 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:18MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.8%−2.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:06TULN 4th & 21 at midfield, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.5%−0.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    90.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TULN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:20MASS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:06MASS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:37TULN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:08TULN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:54TULN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:32TULN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−0.8
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:45MASS Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.2%−1.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
40.9%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
-5
40.9%
TULANE Penalty, false start (Darnell Mooney) to the Tulan 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 34
-1
40.9%
Dontrell Hilliard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 33
+2
40.9%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 35
0
40.9%
Zachary Block punt for 24 yds, downed at the UMass 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2TD
4 plays · 59 yds · 1:1242% → 44%
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+23
41.9%
Andy Isabella run for 23 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+19
42.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 19 yds to the Tulan 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
42.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 5 yds to the Tulan 12Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+12
43.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 12 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4TD
1 play · 12 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
45.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 12 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:2955% → 55%
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.9%
Glen Cuiellette pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
44.9%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 17 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
44.7%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 15 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
44.6%
Glen Cuiellette run for 4 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+4
44.5%
Josh Rounds run for 4 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q1 11:06
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+1
44.5%
Josh Rounds run for 1 yd to the UMass 34Similar
Q1 11:06
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+4
44.7%
Josh Rounds run for 4 yds to the UMass 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
44.4%
Glen Cuiellette run for 11 yds to the UMass 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
44.3%
Glen Cuiellette run for 8 yds to the UMass 11Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+11
45.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 11 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
46.9%
Andy Isabella run for 13 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
47.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to John Robinson-Woodgett for 9 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+3
47.6%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
47.6%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy Isabella, broken up by Parry NickersonSimilar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+1
47.5%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 1 yd to the Tulan 47Similar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 9
OPP 47
0
47.2%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Jalen WilliamsSimilar
Q1 6:37
4TH & 9
OPP 47
+57
46.5%
Logan Laurent punt for 47 yds for a touchback TULANE Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7FG
21 plays · 85 yds · 8:3252% → 52%
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
48.0%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 7 yds to the Tulan 17Similar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 3
OWN 17
-2
48.0%
Glen Cuiellette run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 15Similar
Q1 4:38
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+11
48.4%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 11 yds to the Tulan 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
47.9%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 6 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 4
OWN 32
0
47.6%
Glen Cuiellette pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:38
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+8
48.0%
Glen Cuiellette run for 8 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
47.4%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 15 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
46.9%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
46.9%
Josh Rounds run for 7 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q1 4:38
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+3
46.8%
Josh Rounds run for 3 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
46.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 5 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+4
48.1%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 4 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 26
-1
48.9%
Lazedrick Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 27Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+4
49.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the UMass 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
48.1%
TULANE Penalty, false start (Kenneth Santa Marina) to the UMass 28Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 28
+3
48.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 25
+17
48.3%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 17 yds to the UMass 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
48.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the UMass 5Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
48.1%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
48.9%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren Encalade, broken up by James AllenSimilar
Q2 11:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
47.9%
Andrew DiRocco 22 yd FG GOOD MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8INT
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:0049% → 51%
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
49.0%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q2 11:06
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
49.1%
Marquis Young run for 12 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
50.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jalen Williams for 10 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
50.7%
Andrew Ford pass intercepted Jarrod Franklin return for no gain to the Tulan 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 45 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
49.2%
Glen Cuiellette run for 2 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+5
49.4%
Josh Rounds run for 5 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+8
49.3%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 8 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
48.5%
Josh Rounds run for 2 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+15
48.0%
CUIELLETTE, G. pass incomplete to ENCALADE, T., PENALTY UMASS roughing passer (Downey, D.) 15 yards to the UMASS47, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
47.0%
Glen Cuiellette run for 11 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
47.0%
Johnathan Brantley run for 5 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 5
OPP 31
-3
46.0%
Johnathan Brantley run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 34Similar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 8
OPP 34
0
47.2%
Johnathan Brantley pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q2 9:48
4TH & 8
OPP 34
0
48.7%
Glen Cuiellette punt for 32 yds, downed at the UMass 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0052% → 50%
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
52.2%
John Robinson-Woodgett run for 2 yds to the UMass 4Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+5
52.0%
Marquis Young run for 5 yds to the UMass 9Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 3
OWN 9
0
50.9%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 9Similar
Q2 5:23
4TH & 3
OWN 9
+7
50.3%
Logan Laurent punt for 42 yds , Dontrell Hilliard returns for 7 yds to the UMass 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4851% → 47%
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
49.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+3
49.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the UMass 37Similar
Q2 3:19
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+2
49.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q2 1:31
4TH & 1
OPP 35
-1
53.5%
Johnathan Brantley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0057% → 54%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
56.5%
Ford, A. pass incomplete to Williams, J., PENALTY UMASS holding (Robinson, J.) 10 yards to the UMASS26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 20
OWN 26
0
55.6%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Marquis YoungSimilar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 20
OWN 26
+9
55.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 9 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
54.5%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q2 1:27
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
53.9%
Logan Laurent punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dontrell Hilliard at the Tulan 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13END OF HALF
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:5344% → 44%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
56.3%
Josh Rounds run for 7 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+8
54.9%
Josh Rounds run for 8 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
54.8%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
55.2%
Josh Rounds run for 7 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
56.1%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14FUMBLE
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
55.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 4 yds Andy Isabella fumbled,Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
55.6%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Marquis YoungSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
54.4%
Andrew Ford sacked by Tanzel Smart for 0 yards to the UMass 38 Andrew Ford fumbled, recovered by Tulan Jarrod Franklin , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15TD
2 plays · 38 yds · 0:2749% → 61%
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
51.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+36
39.1%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 36 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 6 yds · 0:0043% → 41%
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
42.9%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 20Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-10
42.8%
Young, M. rush for 6 yards to the UMASS26 (FRANKLIN, J.;TEAMER, R.), PENALTY UMASS holding (Wilkinson, E.) 10 yards to the UMASS10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 20
OWN 10
+4
42.6%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the UMass 14Similar
Q3 14:08
3RD & 16
OWN 14
+23
41.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 23 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-7
44.0%
Andrew Ford sacked by Eldrick Washington for a loss of 7 yards to the UMass 30Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 17
OWN 30
+1
42.8%
Sekai Lindsay run for 1 yd to the UMass 31Similar
Q3 14:08
3RD & 16
OWN 31
0
41.4%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam BrenemanSimilar
Q3 14:08
4TH & 16
OWN 31
-5
40.9%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Peter Ngobidi) to the UMass 26Similar
Q3 14:08
4TH & 21
OWN 26
0
40.7%
Logan Laurent punt for 58 yds, downed at the Tulan 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17TD
8 plays · 84 yds · 3:3558% → 75%
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
42.2%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 10 yds to the Tulan 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
42.1%
Glen Cuiellette run for 4 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+2
41.4%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 2 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q3 10:29
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+2
42.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q3 10:29
4TH & 2
OWN 34
+5
43.1%
BLOCK, Zachary punt 61 yards to the UMASS5, downed, PENALTY UMASS roughing the kicker (Ally, B.) 5 yards to the TLN39, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+38
40.1%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 38 yds to the UMass 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
37.9%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 4 yds to the UMass 19Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+19
24.9%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 19 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0027% → 25%
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
26.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 5 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
27.1%
Andrew Ford run for 2 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q3 6:54
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
26.3%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Jalen WilliamsSimilar
Q3 6:54
4TH & 3
OWN 27
+2
25.2%
Logan Laurent punt for 35 yds , Dontrell Hilliard returns for 2 yds to the Tulan 29 TULANE Penalty, illegal block (Jarrod Franklin) to the Tulan 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19PUNT
14 plays · 42 yds · 5:3475% → 76%
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
25.3%
Josh Rounds run for 3 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+5
25.0%
Glen Cuiellette run for 15 yds to the Tulan 48 TULANE Penalty, Offensive holding (Terren Encalade) to the Tulan 38Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+8
24.2%
Josh Rounds run for 8 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
24.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 6
50
+10
23.9%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 10 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
23.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 6 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+3
23.1%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 3 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q3 1:26
3RD & 1
OPP 31
0
21.3%
Glen Cuiellette run for no gain to the UMass 31Similar
Q3 1:26
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+7
23.5%
Josh Rounds run for 7 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
20.1%
Josh Rounds run for 1 yd to the UMass 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 23
0
20.1%
Josh Rounds run for no gain to the UMass 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 23
-5
20.9%
Glen Cuiellette sacked by Ali Ali-Musa for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 28Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 14
OPP 28
0
24.3%
Glen Cuiellette punt for 17 yds , Khary Bailey-Smith returns for no gain to the UMass 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20FG
9 plays · 79 yds · 3:1521% → 30%
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+52
21.2%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 52 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
24.7%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 5 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 5
OPP 32
-4
27.2%
Ross Comis pass complete to Sekai Lindsay for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 36Similar
Q4 12:52
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+11
24.0%
Ross Comis run for 11 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
27.2%
Comis, R. pass incomplete to Lindsay, S., PENALTY TLN holding (MARLEY, Nico) 10 yards to the TLN15, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
27.2%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Jalen WilliamsSimilar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+2
27.2%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the Tulan 13Similar
Q4 12:52
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+3
25.2%
Ross Comis run for 3 yds to the Tulan 10Similar
Q4 9:37
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+28
29.9%
Logan Laurent 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0579% → 96%
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
20.9%
Glen Cuiellette run for 4 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+16
20.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 16 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
18.6%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Colbert Calhoun) to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
17.7%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the UMass 39Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+3
17.7%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q4 9:37
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+8
18.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 8 yds to the UMass 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
17.0%
Lazedrick Thompson run for no gain to the UMass 28Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+18
17.2%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Chris Johnson for 18 yds to the UMass 10 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
3.7%
Josh Rounds run for 10 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22TD
11 plays · 58 yds · 2:476% → 29%
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
6.2%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Jalen Williams, broken up by Donnie Lewis Jr.Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
6.0%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Adam BrenemanSimilar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+10
6.0%
Ross Comis pass complete to Adam Breneman for 10 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
6.5%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Marquis Young, broken up by Peter WoullardSimilar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+9
6.5%
Ross Comis pass complete to Marquis Young for 9 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+14
7.1%
Marquis Young run for 14 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
7.7%
Ross Comis run for 10 yds to the Tulan 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
7.7%
Ross Comis run for 10 yds to the Tulan 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
7.7%
Ross Comis run for 3 yds to the Tulan 2Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
29.4%
Sekai Lindsay run for 2 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:1189% → 88%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
11.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
10.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for no gain to the Tulan 27Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
10.6%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Darnell Mooney, broken up by Ali Ali-MusaSimilar
Q4 2:34
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
11.9%
Zachary Block punt for 39 yds, downed at the UMass 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 24DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
18.5%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 35Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 9
OWN 35
0
18.4%
Ross Comis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+4
17.2%
Ross Comis run for 4 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q4 2:18
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
18.1%
Ross Comis pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 25DOWNS
6 plays · -11 yds · 1:2395% → 95%
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
4.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 41Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 12
OPP 41
-5
4.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 46Similar
Q4 1:28
3RD & 17
OPP 46
-4
5.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:06
4TH & 21
50
0
5.4%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Chris JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:45
Sekai Lindsay run for 2 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)
+21.7
TD · Q4 5:32
Josh Rounds run for 10 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)
-13.4
TD · Q3 6:54
Lazedrick Thompson run for 19 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco KICK)
-12.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com