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FIU

Florida International 13 at Massachusetts 21

MASS
2016 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2016 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:20 · Mike Caggiano 30 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 171Home team on offense+23.2Pregame prior−0.5Garbage-time factor+14.6Score differential+4.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.9Blowout margin−1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:51: Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 31 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK) — MASS win probability +14.3 pts (now 70%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:17: Alex Gardner run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +11.4 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 5:26: Timeout FLORIDA INTL, clock 05:26 — MASS win probability +8.2 pts (now 63%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:28: Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK) — MASS win probability +18.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:03: Timeout FLORIDA INTL, clock 01:03 — MASS win probability +6.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 7 of 8FIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 11
  1. Q1 12:40FIU 4th & 14 at FIU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:02MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:32FIU 4th & 2 at MASS 29, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.8%−0.3
    58% to make
    Punt
    48.8%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:32MASS 4th & 5 at FIU 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    49.9%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    49.7%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:45FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:40MASS 4th & 13 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%−0.8
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:20FIU 4th & 9 at FIU 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:41MASS 4th & 13 at MASS 10, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%−1.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:14FIU 4th & 5 at MASS 37, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    43.6%−0.6
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:26FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 39, down 11
    Close callPunted · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00FIU 4th & 7 at MASS 31, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    27.4%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    26.7%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:17MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 44, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    62.7%−2.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:48FIU 4th & 13 at MASS 18, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−2.6
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.6%
    79% to make
    Punt
    27.0%−8.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:48MASS 4th & 2 at FIU 26, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    59.2%−1.9
    64% to make
    Punt
    49.4%−11.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 42, down 8
    Close callPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.9%−0.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:14MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 35, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%−1.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:44FIU 4th & 6 at MASS 45, down 8
    Close callPunted · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    15.7%−2.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%−0.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:20MASS 4th & 2 at FIU 12, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.7%−0.9
    86% to make
    Punt
    87.9%−5.7
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:03FIU 4th & 1 at MASS 47, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.4%−4.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3FIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 9:51MASS Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:51MASS Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:17FIU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:28MASS Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1INT
10 plays · 43 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.3%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Shakur NesmithSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
41.3%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+9
41.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 9 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
41.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
-10
41.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Bernard Davis for 5 yds to the UMASS 45 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (Adam Breneman) to the UMass 40Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 40
+4
41.3%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the UMass 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 44
+22
41.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 22 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
41.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Bernard Davis for 2 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+46
41.3%
Andrew Ford pass intercepted Deonte Wilson return for 31 yds to the FlaIn 1 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, illegal block (15 Yards) to the FlaIn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
41.9%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
41.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 7 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 3
OWN 44
-11
41.8%
Alex McGough sacked by Da'Sean Downey for a loss of 11 yards to the FlaIn 33 Alex McGough fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Alex Gardner , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 12:40
4TH & 14
OWN 33
+40
42.2%
Stone Wilson punt for 40 yds , James Allen returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
42.6%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 7
OWN 29
-2
42.6%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 27Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 9
OWN 27
0
42.3%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam Breneman, broken up by Niko GonzalezSimilar
Q1 11:02
4TH & 9
OWN 27
0
42.2%
Logan Laurent punt for 40 yds, downed at the FlaIn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4FG
6 plays · 38 yds · 2:5757% → 57%
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
42.8%
Alex McGough run for 15 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
42.4%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the UMass 48 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (Ali Ali-Musa) to the UMass 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
42.3%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 6
OPP 33
-7
42.2%
Alex McGough run for a loss of 7 yards to the UMass 40Similar
Q1 9:29
3RD & 13
OPP 40
+11
42.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 11 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q1 6:32
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+47
42.8%
Austin Taylor 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5DOWNS
9 plays · 44 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.9%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Shakur Nesmith, broken up by Deonte WilsonSimilar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
42.8%
Marquis Young run for 5 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
42.7%
Ford, A. pass incomplete to Young, M., PENALTY FIU roughing passer (SILVA, Fermin) 15 yards to the UMASS45, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
43.7%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 15 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
43.9%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+2
43.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to John Robinson-Woodgett for 2 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+1
43.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Sekai Lindsay for 1 yd to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q1 6:32
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+4
43.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 4 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
43.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 4 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+7
42.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Austin Maloney for 7 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
42.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Austin Maloney for 3 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+5
42.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 2
50
-3
42.6%
Alex McGough run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q1 3:45
4TH & 5
OWN 47
+26
43.4%
Stone Wilson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by James Allen at the UMASS 12 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, kick catching interference (Xavier Hines) to the UMass 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 3:2444% → 42%
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
43.5%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 25Similar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+5
43.3%
Marquis Young run for 5 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+13
43.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 13 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
44.8%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Bernard Davis, broken up by Emmanuel LubinSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+2
44.2%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the UMass 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+8
43.7%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 8 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
45.3%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Shakur NesmithSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-3
45.2%
Andrew Ford sacked by Fermin Silva and Anthony Wint for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 13
50
0
43.0%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:40
4TH & 13
50
+9
42.3%
Logan Laurent punt for 44 yds , Thomas Owens returns for 9 yds to the FlaIn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
43.1%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 15
OWN 10
+6
43.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 6 yds to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 9
OWN 16
0
43.3%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens, broken up by Isaiah RodgersSimilar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 9
OWN 16
0
43.9%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q2 12:20
4TH & 9
OWN 16
0
44.5%
Stone Wilson punt for 32 yds, fair catch by James Allen at the FlaIn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9TD
5 plays · 48 yds · 1:4246% → 52%
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
45.5%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Shakur NesmithSimilar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+8
45.3%
Marquis Young run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+9
45.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Bernard Davis for 9 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
46.2%
Marquis Young run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+26
52.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jalen Williams for 26 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10FUMBLE
8 plays · 54 yds · 0:0052% → 55%
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
48.3%
Alex Gardner run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+5
47.2%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
47.0%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+7
46.8%
Alex Gardner run for 7 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
46.5%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd to the UMass 44Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+27
46.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Austin Maloney for 27 yds to the UMass 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
45.5%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the UMass 13 Alex Gardner fumbled, forced by Sha-Ki Holines, recovered by UMass Steve CasaliSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0052% → 50%
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
51.9%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the UMass 15 Marquis Young fumbled, forced by Davison Colimon, recovered by UMass Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 8
OWN 15
-7
51.8%
Andrew Ford sacked by Newton Salisbury for a loss of 7 yards to the UMass 8Similar
Q2 6:41
3RD & 15
OWN 8
-4
50.3%
Ford, A. pass complete to Palmer, S. for 21 yards to the UMASS29, PENALTY UMASS ineligible downfield on pass 4 yards to the UMASS4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:41
3RD & 19
OWN 4
+6
50.3%
Sekai Lindsay run for 6 yds to the UMass 10Similar
Q2 6:41
4TH & 13
OWN 10
+12
50.1%
Logan Laurent punt for 54 yds , Thomas Owens returns for 12 yds to the FlaIn 22 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the FlaIn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 0:0049% → 50%
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-7
50.8%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 36 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, illegal block (Thomas Owens) to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 17
OWN 26
+6
51.7%
Alex Gardner run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+26
51.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Stantley Thomas for 26 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
48.5%
Alex McGough pass incomplete, broken up by Mario PattonSimilar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
48.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Stantley Thomas, broken up by Isaiah RodgersSimilar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+5
49.5%
McGOUGH, Alex pass incomplete to OWENS, Thomas (Rodgers, I.), PENALTY UMASS offside defense (Holines, S.) 5 yards to the UMASS37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 5
OPP 37
0
48.9%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:14
4TH & 5
OPP 37
0
50.1%
Stone Wilson punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 1:3654% → 70%
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+14
54.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Bernard Davis for 14 yds to the UMass 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
54.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 7 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+16
55.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Shakur Nesmith for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
50
+5
57.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Bernard Davis for 5 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
57.1%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Marquis YoungSimilar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+14
56.1%
Andrew Ford run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
70.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 31 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:2533% → 33%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
66.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Austin Maloney, broken up by Tedrick LowerySimilar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
67.4%
Alex McGough run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 14
OWN 26
+13
68.4%
Alex Gardner run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
67.0%
Stone Wilson punt for 29 yds, fair catch by James Allen at the UMass 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
68.7%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Jalen WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
68.4%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 5:4331% → 47%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
68.6%
Alex Gardner run for 17 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
67.4%
Alex Gardner run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+7
66.7%
Alex Gardner run for 7 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
66.3%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Stantley Thomas, broken up by Isaiah RodgersSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+6
66.5%
Alex Gardner run for 6 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+5
66.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Stantley Thomas for 5 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
65.2%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 31
0
64.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens, broken up by James AllenSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 31
0
66.6%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Stantley Thomas, broken up by Jesse MonteiroSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+12
68.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Stantley Thomas for 12 yds to the UMass 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
64.8%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the UMass 16Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+3
64.8%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the UMass 13Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+5
66.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Stantley Thomas for 5 yds to the UMass 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
64.8%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the UMass 5Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
64.8%
McGOUGH, Alex pass incomplete to OWENS, Thomas, PENALTY UMASS pass interference (Allen, J.) 3 yards to the UMASS2, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
64.8%
Alex McGough run for no gain to the UMass 2Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
53.4%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
61.4%
Marquis Young run for 6 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
63.5%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 3 yds to the UMass 44Similar
Q3 9:17
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
62.6%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 44Similar
Q3 9:17
4TH & 1
OWN 44
-1
61.3%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18FG
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:4444% → 43%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
55.6%
Alex Gardner run for 8 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+5
53.9%
McGOUGH, Alex pass complete to MALONEY, Austin for 3 yards to the UMASS32 (Holines, S.;Moses, L.), PENALTY UMASS offside defense (Downey, D.) 5 yards to the UMASS30, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
54.2%
GARDNER, Alex rush for no gain to the UMASS30 (Calhoun, C.), PENALTY UMASS face mask (Previte, J.) 15 yards to the UMASS15, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
53.9%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 16Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 11
OPP 16
-7
54.4%
Alex McGough sacked by Da'Sean Downey for a loss of 7 yards to the UMass 23Similar
Q3 5:26
3RD & 18
OPP 23
+5
62.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Stantley Thomas for 5 yds to the UMass 18Similar
Q3 4:48
4TH & 13
OPP 18
+35
57.1%
Austin Taylor 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19TD
14 plays · 66 yds · 3:2059% → 82%
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
59.0%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Shakur NesmithSimilar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+10
58.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 10 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
61.6%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy Isabella, broken up by Niko GonzalezSimilar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+22
60.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Dan Jonah for 22 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
64.2%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+6
64.1%
Marquis Young run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q3 4:48
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+2
62.6%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q3 4:48
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+6
60.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 6 yds to the FlaIn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+16
64.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Dan Jonah for 16 yds to the FlaIn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
64.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 3 yds to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
64.3%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q3 1:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:2822% → 21%
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+23
78.0%
Alex Gardner run for 23 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
76.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 4 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+5
75.4%
Alex McGough run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-2
76.7%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
79.1%
Stone Wilson punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
82.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 10 yds to the UMass 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
82.6%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
82.6%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for no gain to the UMass 32Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+5
81.8%
Ford, A. pass incomplete to Jonah, D. (WILSON, Deonte), PENALTY FIU offside defense 5 yards to the UMASS37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 3
OWN 37
-5
82.9%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Raquan Thomas) to the UMass 32Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+3
81.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 3 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q4 14:14
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
81.1%
Logan Laurent punt for 26 yds , Alfonso Randolph returns for no gain to the FlaIn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0021% → 19%
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
79.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 12 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
77.4%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+9
78.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Stantley Thomas for 9 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 1
OPP 40
-5
77.1%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (Alex McGough) to the UMass 45Similar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
78.0%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q4 11:44
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
80.6%
Stone Wilson punt for 21 yds, downed at the UMass 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 23MISSED FG
11 plays · 64 yds · 6:3286% → 94%
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
85.5%
Marquis Young run for 6 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+3
85.9%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q4 9:52
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+15
85.3%
Marquis Young run for 15 yds to the UMass 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
87.2%
John Robinson-Woodgett run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+9
87.4%
John Robinson-Woodgett run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
87.7%
John Robinson-Woodgett run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+12
87.7%
Marquis Young run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
87.7%
John Robinson-Woodgett run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+2
87.7%
John Robinson-Woodgett run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q4 9:52
3RD & 2
OPP 12
0
87.0%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Dan JonahSimilar
Q4 3:20
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+30
93.5%
Mike Caggiano 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24FUMBLE
10 plays · 38 yds · 2:1710% → 7%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
89.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Stantley Thomas for 5 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-5
88.6%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (Kai Absheer) to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+10
90.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 10 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
88.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Stantley Thomas for 6 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+8
87.7%
Alex McGough run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
87.5%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Austin Maloney, broken up by Lee MosesSimilar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
87.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 9 yds to the UMass 47Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 1
OPP 47
0
86.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu Smith, broken up by Khary Bailey-SmithSimilar
Q4 1:03
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+4
92.7%
Alex McGough run for 4 yds to the UMass 42 Alex McGough fumbled, forced by Ali Ali-Musa, recovered by UMass Joe PreviteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:0797% → 97%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
97.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 40Similar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 12
OWN 40
-4
97.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 36Similar
Q4 0:49
3RD & 16
OWN 36
-1
96.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:28
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)
+18.4
TD · Q2 0:51
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 31 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)
+14.3
TD · Q3 9:17
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)
-11.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com