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BC

Boston College 26 at Massachusetts 7

MASS
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · Gillette Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreBC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:38 · Jon Hilliman run for 5 yds to the BC 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+51.0+25.50−25.5−51.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 6:16: Timeout BOSTON COLLEGE, clock 06:16 — MASS win probability +6.4 pts (now 30%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:32: Patrick Towles pass complete to Jeff Smith for 46 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll PAT MISSED) — BC win probability +5.9 pts (now 76%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:08: Patrick Towles pass complete to Jeff Smith for 36 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK) — BC win probability +11.8 pts (now 84%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 1:04: Mike Knoll 37 yd FG GOOD — BC win probability +4.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:00: Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the UMass 34 — BC win probability +6.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 11 of 12BC made the numbers' call on 5 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00MASS 4th & 22 at MASS 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:59BC 4th & 7 at BC 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:24MASS 4th & 12 at MASS 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:36BC 4th & 5 at MASS 27, tied
    Close callWent for it · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    82.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    81.6%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:23BC 4th & 12 at BC 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.0%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:28BC 4th & 10 at BC 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:13MASS 4th & 14 at MASS 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%−1.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:16BC 4th & 2 at MASS 43, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    61.7%−2.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.2%−1.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:10MASS 4th & 4 at MASS 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−0.8
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.9%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:01MASS 4th & 17 at MASS 26, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−1.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:47BC 4th & 1 at BC 37, up 6
    Close callPunted · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.7%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 15:00BC 4th & 1 at BC 40, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.0%−1.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:52MASS 4th & 13 at BC 41, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−0.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    23.7%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 11:02BC 4th & 1 at BC 10, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.2%−2.5
    average punt
  16. Q3 8:44MASS 4th & 23 at MASS 46, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%−3.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  17. Q3 3:50BC 4th & 8 at MASS 23, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    69.5%−7.4
    average punt
  18. Q3 1:04BC 4th & 4 at MASS 20, up 9
    Close callKicked a field goal · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.8%−0.4
    75% to make
    Punt
    74.5%−7.7
    average punt
  19. Q4 15:00MASS 4th & 19 at MASS 3, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−3.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%
    average punt
  20. Q4 14:10BC 4th & 6 at MASS 35, up 12
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    88.1%−0.7
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.1%−1.6
    average punt
  21. Q4 12:32MASS 4th & 4 at MASS 26, down 12
    Close callPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.5%−0.2
    average punt
  22. Q4 10:14BC 4th & 5 at BC 37, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.3%
    average punt
  23. Q4 9:24MASS 4th & 20 at MASS 15, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−1.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  24. Q4 4:14MASS 4th & 16 at MASS 31, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1BC made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 2:23MASS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:32BC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    67.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:08BC Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:14BC Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · -12 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
10.0%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UMass 21Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+4
10.0%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 25
-5
10.0%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UMass 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 20
+1
10.0%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 21
-7
10.0%
Ross Comis sacked by Wyatt Ray and Connor Strachan for a loss of 7 yards to the UMass 14Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 22
OWN 14
0
10.0%
Logan Laurent punt for 53 yds , Tyler Rouse returns for no gain to the BC 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
10.8%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the BC 34Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+2
10.8%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Michael Walker for 2 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q1 12:59
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
10.8%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q1 12:59
4TH & 7
OWN 36
+2
10.9%
Mike Knoll punt for 36 yds , James Allen returns for 2 yds to the UMass 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
11.6%
Marquis Young run for 4 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
11.6%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the UMass 34Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+8
11.5%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 8 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
11.7%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 40Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 12
OWN 40
0
11.6%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Andy Isabella, broken up by John JohnsonSimilar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 12
OWN 40
0
11.5%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Marquis YoungSimilar
Q1 11:24
4TH & 12
OWN 40
0
11.5%
Logan Laurent punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the BC 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4DOWNS
10 plays · 54 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
12.3%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the BC 21Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+19
12.3%
Myles Willis run for 19 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
12.2%
Myles Willis run for 5 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 5
OWN 45
-2
12.1%
Myles Willis run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 43Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+9
12.2%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Jeff Smith for 9 yds to the UMass 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+16
12.1%
Patrick Towles run for 16 yds to the UMass 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
12.0%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the UMass 31Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+7
12.0%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Michael Walker for 7 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 2
OPP 24
-3
12.1%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 27Similar
Q1 9:36
4TH & 5
OPP 27
0
12.2%
Patrick Towles run for no gain to the UMass 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5TD
3 plays · 73 yds · 1:2415% → 19%
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
15.3%
Ross Comis pass complete to John Robinson-Woodgett for 13 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
15.6%
Sekai Lindsay run for 2 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+58
19.3%
Ross Comis pass complete to Adam Breneman for 58 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
18.1%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Charlie Callinan, broken up by Khary Bailey-SmithSimilar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-2
18.2%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 38Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 12
OWN 38
0
18.6%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:23
4TH & 12
OWN 38
0
18.9%
Mike Knoll punt for 40 yds, fair catch by James Allen at the UMass 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:1020% → 20%
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
19.9%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Adam Breneman, broken up by John JohnsonSimilar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+3
19.8%
Sekai Lindsay run for 3 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q1 1:10
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+9
19.5%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 9 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
21.1%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 35
0
21.1%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Adam BrenemanSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 35
0
20.7%
Ross Comis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 35
0
20.2%
Logan Laurent punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the BC 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:3779% → 75%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
21.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+8
21.5%
Patrick Towles run for 8 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
21.3%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+2
21.2%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q2 11:28
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
23.5%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Michael WalkerSimilar
Q2 11:28
4TH & 5
OWN 36
-5
24.1%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BC 31Similar
Q2 11:28
4TH & 10
OWN 31
0
24.6%
Mike Knoll punt for 43 yds, downed at the UMass 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0025% → 23%
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
24.5%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
24.5%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 7
OWN 29
-7
24.0%
Ross Comis sacked by Connor Strachan for a loss of 7 yards to the UMass 22Similar
Q2 11:13
4TH & 14
OWN 22
0
23.2%
Logan Laurent punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the BC 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 3:2375% → 70%
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
25.5%
Patrick Towles run for 2 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+17
25.4%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 17 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
24.3%
Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the UMass 47Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+5
24.1%
Michael Walker run for 5 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 1
OPP 42
-1
24.0%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 43Similar
Q2 6:16
4TH & 2
OPP 43
0
30.3%
Mike Knoll punt for 28 yds, fair catch by James Allen at the UMass 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0032% → 30%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
31.5%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the UMass 18Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+3
31.5%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the UMass 21Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 4
OWN 21
0
30.8%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Andy Isabella, broken up by John JohnsonSimilar
Q2 6:10
4TH & 4
OWN 21
+17
29.9%
Logan Laurent punt for 42 yds , Tyler Rouse returns for 17 yds to the UMass 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12TD
1 play · 46 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
24.0%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Jeff Smith for 46 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13FUMBLE
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0027% → 28%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
27.3%
Ross Comis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-11
27.1%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 24 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, illegal formation (-12 Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 21
OWN 12
+22
27.0%
Marquis Young run for 7 yds to the UMass 19 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the UMass 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
27.5%
Ross Comis run for 7 yds to the UMass 36 Ross Comis fumbled, forced by Isaac Yiadom, recovered by BC Connor StrachanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14TD
1 play · 36 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
15.7%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Jeff Smith for 36 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 4 yds · 1:0718% → 18%
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
17.9%
Ross Comis pass complete to Adam Breneman for 8 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+3
18.9%
Ross Comis run for 3 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
18.2%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Marquis YoungSimilar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-1
18.1%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 32Similar
Q2 2:09
3RD & 11
OWN 32
+5
18.6%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, offside defense (Wyatt Ray) to the UMass 37Similar
Q2 2:09
3RD & 6
OWN 37
-11
19.3%
Ross Comis sacked by Matt Milano for a loss of 11 yards to the UMass 26Similar
Q2 2:01
4TH & 17
OWN 26
+55
18.3%
Logan Laurent punt for 55 yds , Tyler Rouse returns for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16INT
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:0082% → 83%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
17.6%
Patrick Towles run for 15 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+27
16.9%
Patrick Towles pass intercepted Shane Huber return for 27 yds to the BC 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17FUMBLE
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:3823% → 21%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
22.6%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Roderick Jones Jr. MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+1
22.6%
Sekai Lindsay run for 1 yd to the BC 19Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 9
OPP 19
-9
21.1%
Ross Comis sacked by Connor Strachan for a loss of 9 yards to the BC 28 Ross Comis fumbled, recovered by BC Zach Allen , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
17.9%
Patrick Towles run for 8 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+1
17.1%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Jeff Smith for 1 yd to the BC 37Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 1
OWN 37
0
17.4%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Myles WillisSimilar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
18.0%
Mike Knoll punt for 63 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
19.0%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
17.9%
Tyler Rouse run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+2
18.4%
Patrick Towles run for 2 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+8
18.6%
Patrick Towles run for 8 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
17.9%
Mike Knoll punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 35 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+38
20.6%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for 38 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
23.2%
Ross Comis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+3
23.1%
Andy Isabella run for 3 yds to the BC 35Similar
Q3 12:52
3RD & 7
OPP 35
-6
22.9%
Ross Comis sacked by Harold Landry for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 41Similar
Q3 12:52
4TH & 13
OPP 41
0
19.8%
Logan Laurent punt for 40 yds, downed at the BC 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
20.3%
Patrick Towles run for 2 yds to the BC 3Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+6
20.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 6 yds to the BC 9Similar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 2
OWN 9
+1
21.1%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the BC 10Similar
Q3 11:02
4TH & 1
OWN 10
+1
21.4%
Mike Knoll punt for 47 yds , James Allen returns for 1 yd to the BC 11 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, personal foul (William Harris) to the BC 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 0:0026% → 21%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-4
25.6%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 45Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 14
OPP 45
0
23.9%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q3 8:44
3RD & 14
OPP 45
-10
22.9%
Comis, R. rush for 17 yards to the BC28, out-of-bounds, PENALTY UMASS holding (Thomas, R.) 10 yards to the UMASS45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:44
3RD & 24
OWN 45
+1
21.9%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 46Similar
Q3 8:44
4TH & 23
OWN 46
+7
21.1%
Logan Laurent punt for 39 yds , Tyler Rouse returns for 7 yds to the BC 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 24FG
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:5779% → 82%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+17
20.7%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 17 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+17
18.8%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Michael Walker for 17 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+19
18.2%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 19 yds to the UMass 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
17.8%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the UMass 23Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
17.8%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Tommy Sweeney, broken up by Tedrick LowerySimilar
Q3 4:01
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
19.0%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:50
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+40
17.6%
Mike Knoll 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 25INT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
18.4%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Bernard DavisSimilar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-4
18.4%
Ross Comis pass complete to Marquis Young for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 17Similar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 14
OWN 17
0
17.4%
Ross Comis pass intercepted William Harris return for no gain to the UMass 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 26FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5685% → 89%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
15.0%
Jon Hilliman run for 5 yds to the UMass 21Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+3
15.0%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the UMass 18Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 2
OPP 18
-2
15.7%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 20Similar
Q3 1:04
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+37
10.8%
Mike Knoll 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:0413% → 12%
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
13.2%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 13Similar
Q3 1:04
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+2
13.0%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the UMass 15Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 15
-8
12.1%
Ross Comis sacked by Harold Landry and Wyatt Ray for a loss of 8 yards to the UMass 3 Ross Comis fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 3
0
12.1%
Logan Laurent punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the UMass 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0091% → 89%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
9.4%
Patrick Towles run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 41Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+6
9.4%
Davon Jones run for 6 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
9.4%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Charlie Callinan, broken up by Lee MosesSimilar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 6
OPP 35
0
10.6%
Mike Knoll punt for 35 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
12.0%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Shakur NesmithSimilar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
11.9%
Sekai Lindsay run for no gain to the UMass 20Similar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+6
11.3%
Ross Comis pass complete to Sekai Lindsay for 6 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q4 12:32
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
11.4%
Logan Laurent punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the BC 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 30PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:4392% → 94%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
8.0%
Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the BC 33Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
8.1%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Tommy SweeneySimilar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+4
6.4%
Patrick Towles run for 4 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q4 10:14
4TH & 5
OWN 37
+11
6.2%
Mike Knoll punt for 49 yds , James Allen returns for 11 yds to the UMass 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 31PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
11.3%
Ross Comis sacked by Zach Allen for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 20Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+3
10.9%
Marquis Young run for 3 yds to the UMass 23Similar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-5
10.6%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the UMass 18Similar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 17
OWN 18
-3
10.6%
Ross Comis pass complete to John Robinson-Woodgett for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 15Similar
Q4 9:24
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+33
10.6%
Logan Laurent punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 35 , Tyler Rouse returns for 33 yds to the UMass 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 32TD
5 plays · 35 yds · 2:4696% → 99%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
4.3%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the UMass 34Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+6
4.3%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Jeff Smith for 6 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+14
4.4%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 14 yds to the UMass 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
4.3%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 15Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+15
0.7%
Jon Hilliman run for 15 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 33PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
2.1%
Ross Comis pass complete to Shakur Nesmith for 9 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
2.0%
Ross Comis pass complete to Adam Breneman for 3 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
2.0%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to James AllenSimilar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
2.0%
Ross Comis pass incomplete to Adam BrenemanSimilar
Q4 4:14
3RD & 10
OWN 37
-6
2.0%
Ross Comis sacked by Zach Allen and Wyatt Ray for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 31Similar
Q4 4:14
4TH & 16
OWN 31
0
2.0%
Logan Laurent punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the BC 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 34END OF GAME
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
0.7%
Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the BC 20Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+5
0.7%
Jon Hilliman run for 5 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q4 2:38
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+5
0.7%
Patrick Towles run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 28 Patrick Towles fumbled, recovered by BC Patrick Towles for a 1ST down , return for 5 yds to the BC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
0.7%
Jon Hilliman run for 5 yds to the BC 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:08
Patrick Towles pass complete to Jeff Smith for 36 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)
-11.8
KEY PLAY · Q2 6:16
Timeout BOSTON COLLEGE, clock 06:16
+6.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 7:00
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the UMass 34
-6.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com