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VT

Virginia Tech 34 at Notre Dame 31

ND
2016 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2016 · Notre Dame Stadium
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Win probability · ND
modelND aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playND scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:13 · Mitchell Ludwig punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 182Home team on offense−26.8Pregame prior+0.2Garbage-time factor−9.5Score differential−5.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−8.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:00: DeShone Kizer pass complete to Miles Boykin for 18 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +12.1 pts (now 82%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:39: Steven Peoples run for 2 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +11.7 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 3:49: Josh Adams run for 67 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +16.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:13: Jerod Evans pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 7 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +28.0 pts (now 54%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 4:16: Joey Slye 20 yd FG GOOD — VT win probability +21.1 pts (now 74%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ND made the numbers' call on 8 of 10VT made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 10:54ND 4th & 1 at VT 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    60.8%−0.4
    32% to make
    Punt
    60.9%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:26ND 4th & 8 at VT 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.4%
    90% to make
    Punt
    61.1%−2.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:26VT 4th & 12 at VT 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:28ND 4th & 11 at ND 7, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−1.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:47VT 4th & 18 at VT 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−2.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:25ND 4th & 1 at ND 49, up 10
    Close callPunted · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:39ND 4th & 4 at ND 28, up 3
    Close callPunted · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.1%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:02VT 4th & 11 at ND 32, down 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.4 ptsPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−1.0
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    36.3%
    51% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:44ND 4th & 13 at ND 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%−3.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:49VT 4th & 1 at ND 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    18.1%−2.8
    64% to make
    Punt
    10.4%−10.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:35VT 4th & 2 at ND 4, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.6%−1.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    8.1%−9.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:35ND 4th & 14 at ND 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%−5.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:13ND 4th & 4 at ND 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%−2.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:16VT 4th & 2 at ND 2, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.6%−6.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    18.4%−32.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:16ND 4th & 15 at ND 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−3.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:13VT 4th & 1 at ND 40, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 9.2 ptsPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    79.3%−8.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.2%−9.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:17ND 4th & 5 at ND 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.6%−5.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 4 of 4VT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 11:51ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:53ND Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:28VT Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:00ND Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:18VT Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:39VT Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:49ND Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:13VT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 3:0960% → 62%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
60.4%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NDame 17Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 17
+29
60.4%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 29 yds to the NDame 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
60.4%
DeShone Kizer run for 9 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+22
60.4%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Josh Adams for 22 yds to the VTech 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
60.4%
Josh Adams run for 1 yd to the VTech 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 22
-1
60.4%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Sanders for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+22
60.4%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Sanders for 22 yds to the VTech 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
62.0%
Josh Adams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2FUMBLE
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
61.3%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Sam Rogers for 14 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
61.2%
Jerod Evans run for 4 yds to the NDame 38Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 6
OPP 38
0
61.1%
Jerod Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:51
3RD & 6
OPP 38
-12
61.2%
Jerod Evans sacked by James Onwualu for a loss of 12 yards to the 50 yard line Jerod Evans fumbled, recovered by NDame Jamir Jones , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3FG
14 plays · 42 yds · 6:2862% → 65%
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
50
+4
62.3%
Josh Adams run for 4 yds to the VTech 46Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+4
62.3%
DeShone Kizer run for 4 yds to the VTech 42Similar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+1
62.2%
Josh Adams run for 1 yd to the VTech 41Similar
Q1 10:54
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+3
62.0%
Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
62.4%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive offside (Trevon Hill) to the VTech 33Similar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 5
OPP 33
+3
62.4%
Tarean Folston run for 3 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+6
62.4%
DeShone Kizer run for 6 yds to the VTech 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
62.4%
DeShone Kizer run for 6 yds to the VTech 18Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+5
62.4%
C.J. Sanders run for 5 yds to the VTech 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
62.4%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 11 yds to the VTech 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
62.4%
DeShone Kizer run for 1 yd to the VTech 1Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
62.4%
Josh Adams run for no gain to the VTech 1Similar
Q1 10:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
62.3%
DeShone Kizer run for a loss of 7 yards to the VTech 8 DeShone Kizer fumbled, recovered by NDame DeShone Kizer , return for no gain to the VTech 8Similar
Q1 4:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
65.0%
Justin Yoon 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
63.5%
Travon McMillian run for 2 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 8
OWN 45
-3
63.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 41 TEAM fumbled, recovered by VTech Jerod EvansSimilar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 12
OWN 41
0
64.2%
Jerod Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:26
4TH & 12
OWN 41
+2
64.5%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 40 yds , Chris Finke returns for 2 yds to the NDame 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 2:5966% → 76%
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+21
65.5%
Tarean Folston run for 21 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
66.3%
Tarean Folston run for no gain to the NDame 42Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-5
66.0%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NDame 37Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 15
OWN 37
0
65.5%
DeShone Kizer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 15
OWN 37
+20
65.2%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Chase Claypool for 20 yds to the VTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
66.4%
DeShone Kizer run for 9 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+3
66.5%
Tarean Folston run for 3 yds to the VTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
75.5%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Chris Finke for 31 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6TD
11 plays · 61 yds · 3:2526% → 35%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
73.7%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 6 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+6
73.2%
Steven Peoples run for 6 yds to the NDame 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
73.3%
Steven Peoples run for 3 yds to the NDame 46Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+5
72.9%
Marshawn Williams run for 5 yds to the NDame 41Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+2
72.8%
Jerod Evans run for 2 yds to the NDame 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
72.9%
Marshawn Williams run for 4 yds to the NDame 35Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+8
72.2%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 8 yds to the NDame 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
72.2%
Steven Peoples run for 4 yds to the NDame 23Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+23
64.6%
Jerod Evans run for 23 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
66.3%
Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the NDame 10Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 8
OWN 10
-3
66.5%
DeShone Kizer run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 7Similar
Q2 11:28
3RD & 11
OWN 7
0
65.6%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Kevin StephersonSimilar
Q2 11:28
4TH & 11
OWN 7
+2
65.1%
Tyler Newsome punt for 65 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VTech 30 , C.J. Carroll returns for 2 yds to the VTech 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 0:0032% → 30%
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
67.7%
Jerod Evans run for 5 yds to the VTech 35Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+1
67.3%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Sam Rogers for 1 yd to the VTech 36Similar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 4
OWN 36
-5
67.6%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the VTech 31Similar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 9
OWN 31
-15
68.9%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the VTech 16Similar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 24
OWN 16
+6
69.2%
Sam Rogers run for 6 yds to the VTech 22Similar
Q2 9:47
4TH & 18
OWN 22
0
69.6%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 38 yds, downed at the NDame 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 2:1170% → 82%
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
70.0%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. BrownSimilar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+16
69.4%
Josh Adams run for 16 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-7
70.4%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Sanders for 3 yds to the NDame 41 NOTRE DAME Penalty, Offensive holding (Equanimeous St. Brown) to the NDame 49Similar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 17
OWN 49
+12
69.5%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 12 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+3
70.3%
DeShone Kizer run for 3 yds to the VTech 36Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+18
69.6%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Corey Holmes for 18 yds to the VTech 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
81.7%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Miles Boykin for 18 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:4221% → 32%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
79.0%
Steven Peoples run for 3 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-4
78.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 24 TEAM fumbled, recovered by VTech Jerod EvansSimilar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+11
79.5%
Jerod Evans run for 11 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
78.3%
Jerod Evans pass complete to C.J. Carroll for 11 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
78.0%
Sam Rogers run for 7 yds to the NDame 47Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+5
76.6%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Defensive offside (Jonathan Jones) to the NDame 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
76.8%
Evans, J pass incomplete to Carroll, C.J., PENALTY ND roughing passer (TILLERY) 15 yards to the ND27, 1ST DOWN VT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
75.9%
Evans, J pass complete to Ford, I for 12 yards to the ND15 (VAUGHN), PENALTY VT ineligible downfield on pass (Gallo, E) 5 yards to the ND32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 15
OPP 32
+9
77.2%
Sam Rogers run for 9 yds to the NDame 23Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+5
75.9%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 5 yds to the NDame 18Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+2
76.5%
Steven Peoples run for 2 yds to the NDame 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
75.9%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
68.0%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 16 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 0:5373% → 75%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
72.7%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Josh AdamsSimilar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+12
72.3%
DeShone Kizer run for 12 yds to the NDame 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
74.1%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 7 yds to the NDame 47Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
74.6%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Josh AdamsSimilar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 3
OWN 47
-5
73.6%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NDame 42Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+7
73.2%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 7 yds to the NDame 49Similar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
74.5%
Tyler Newsome punt for 24 yds, downed at the VTech 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
71.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:2127% → 42%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
73.5%
Steven Peoples run for 5 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
72.8%
Steven Peoples run for 2 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+62
73.5%
Jerod Evans pass complete to C.J. Carroll for 62 yds to the NDame 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
69.9%
Steven Peoples run for 4 yds to the NDame 2Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
58.2%
Steven Peoples run for 2 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0064% → 62%
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
64.3%
C.J. Sanders run for 3 yds to the NDame 25Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 7
OWN 25
-5
64.4%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, false start (Mike McGlinchey) to the NDame 20Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+8
63.9%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 8 yds to the NDame 28Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 4
OWN 28
0
63.6%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Kevin StephersonSimilar
Q3 12:39
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
62.3%
Tyler Newsome punt for 41 yds , C.J. Carroll returns for no gain to the VTech 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 37 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
62.5%
Jerod Evans pass complete to C.J. Carroll for 7 yds to the VTech 38Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+4
60.4%
Cam Phillips run for 4 yds to the VTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
60.7%
Isaiah Ford run for 3 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+24
60.1%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 24 yds to the NDame 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-8
58.4%
Jerod Evans run for a loss of 8 yards to the NDame 39 Jerod Evans fumbled, recovered by VTechSimilar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 18
OPP 39
0
61.0%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to C.J. Carroll, broken up by Jonathan JonesSimilar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 18
OPP 39
+7
62.4%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 7 yds to the NDame 32Similar
Q3 11:02
4TH & 11
OPP 32
0
63.3%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 14 yds, downed at the NDame 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0065% → 63%
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
65.2%
DeShone Kizer run for 10 yds to the NDame 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
65.5%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, false start (Mark Harrell) to the NDame 23Similar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 15
OWN 23
-1
65.0%
Josh Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 22Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 16
OWN 22
0
64.7%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Corey HolmesSimilar
Q3 7:44
3RD & 16
OWN 22
+3
63.4%
DeShone Kizer run for 3 yds to the NDame 25Similar
Q3 7:44
4TH & 13
OWN 25
+6
62.8%
Tyler Newsome punt for 42 yds , Cam Phillips returns for 6 yds to the VTech 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
61.3%
Jerod Evans pass intercepted Drue Tranquill return for no gain to the NDame 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 18TD
4 plays · 78 yds · 1:2466% → 82%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
65.5%
DeShone Kizer run for no gain to the NDame 22Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+8
65.3%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Corey Holmes for 8 yds to the NDame 30Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+3
65.0%
Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the NDame 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+67
81.6%
Josh Adams run for 67 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19FG
13 plays · 66 yds · 5:1420% → 23%
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
80.0%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Sam Rogers for 6 yds to the VTech 36Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+12
79.0%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 12 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
78.5%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 17 yds to the NDame 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
76.6%
Steven Peoples run for 1 yd to the NDame 34Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+8
76.6%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 8 yds to the NDame 26Similar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 1
OPP 26
0
77.4%
Marshawn Williams run for no gain to the NDame 26Similar
Q3 3:49
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+4
78.8%
Jerod Evans run for 4 yds to the NDame 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
76.1%
Marshawn Williams run for 10 yds to the NDame 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
79.2%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 8 yds to the NDame 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+1
79.2%
Jerod Evans run for 1 yd to the NDame 3Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 3
-1
80.6%
Jerod Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 4Similar
Q4 13:35
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+23
76.9%
Joey Slye 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0084% → 81%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.7%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. BrownSimilar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
83.5%
Tarean Folston run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 21Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
82.3%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. BrownSimilar
Q4 13:35
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+7
81.4%
Tyler Newsome punt for 35 yds , C.J. Carroll returns for 7 yds to the NDame 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21TD
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:2024% → 54%
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
75.9%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 8 yds to the NDame 41Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+5
75.3%
Jerod Evans run for 5 yds to the NDame 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
75.9%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+9
76.0%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 9 yds to the NDame 27Similar
Q4 12:33
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+2
75.5%
Marshawn Williams run for 2 yds to the NDame 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
73.6%
Marshawn Williams run for 3 yds to the NDame 22Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+15
73.6%
Evans, J pass incomplete to Ford, I, PENALTY ND pass interference (LUKE) 15 yards to the ND7, 1ST DOWN VT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
73.6%
Steven Peoples run for no gain to the NDame 7Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
45.6%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 7 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0058% → 55%
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
57.7%
Josh Adams run for 6 yds to the NDame 31Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
60.1%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Nic WeisharSimilar
Q4 9:13
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
56.8%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Josh AdamsSimilar
Q4 9:13
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
55.4%
Tyler Newsome punt for 22 yds, downed at the VTech 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 23FG
10 plays · 51 yds · 4:1452% → 74%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
48.2%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Sam Rogers for 9 yds to the NDame 44Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+6
47.0%
Jerod Evans run for 6 yds to the NDame 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+20
47.6%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 20 yds to the NDame 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
45.4%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 2 yds to the NDame 16Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+3
45.4%
Jerod Evans run for 3 yds to the NDame 13Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+6
47.5%
Jerod Evans run for 6 yds to the NDame 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
45.4%
Marshawn Williams run for 2 yds to the NDame 5Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
45.4%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Bucky HodgesSimilar
Q4 8:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
47.5%
Jerod Evans run for 3 yds to the NDame 2Similar
Q4 4:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
26.4%
Joey Slye 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0037% → 32%
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-3
37.3%
Josh Adams run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 26Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 13
OWN 26
0
36.1%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. Brown, broken up by Adonis AlexanderSimilar
Q4 4:16
3RD & 13
OWN 26
-2
33.9%
DeShone Kizer sacked by Ken Ekanem for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 24Similar
Q4 4:16
4TH & 15
OWN 24
0
32.3%
Tyler Newsome punt for 37 yds, fair catch by C.J. Carroll at the VTech 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 1:3879% → 89%
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
21.0%
Jerod Evans run for no gain to the VTech 39Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+12
19.6%
Jerod Evans run for 12 yds to the NDame 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
18.0%
Sam Rogers run for 4 yds to the NDame 45Similar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+2
14.8%
Marshawn Williams run for 2 yds to the NDame 43Similar
Q4 2:03
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+3
16.0%
Jerod Evans run for 3 yds to the NDame 40Similar
Q4 1:13
4TH & 1
OPP 40
0
11.3%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 26END OF GAME
11 plays · 57 yds · 0:5020% → 19%
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
19.8%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Durham Smythe, broken up by Tremaine EdmundsSimilar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+11
19.2%
DeShone Kizer run for 11 yds to the NDame 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
19.9%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Kevin StephersonSimilar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+20
19.3%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 20 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
23.1%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the NDame 46Similar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 5
OWN 46
0
25.7%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Josh Adams, broken up by Anthony ShegogSimilar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
24.2%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Kevin StephersonSimilar
Q4 1:07
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
22.2%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Josh AdamsSimilar
Q4 0:17
4TH & 5
OWN 46
+7
15.0%
DeShone Kizer run for 7 yds to the VTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
19.2%
Malik Zaire pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 14 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, illegal touching ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:13
Jerod Evans pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 7 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)
-28
FG · Q4 4:16
Joey Slye 20 yd FG GOOD
-21.1
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-19.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com