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Notre Dame 27 at Navy 28

NAVY
2016 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2016 · EverBank Stadium
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Win probability · NAVY
modelNAVY aheadND aheadconfidence bandkey playNAVY scoreND score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:51 · Will Worth run for 2 yds to the Navy 47 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseBlowout marginScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+17.0+8.50−8.5−17.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 104Home team on offense−1.7Blowout margin−1.4Score differential−1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Garbage-time factor−1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:43: Will Worth run for 3 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK) — NAVY win probability +5.9 pts (now 59%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:30: DeShone Kizer pass complete to Durham Smythe for 8 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +14.0 pts (now 60%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:08: Calvin Cass Jr. run for 37 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK) — NAVY win probability +14.4 pts (now 66%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:51: DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 13 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +15.0 pts (now 59%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:51: Will Worth run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK) — NAVY win probability +24.7 pts (now 74%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NAVY made the numbers' call on 4 of 5ND made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 15:00ND 4th & 4 at NAVY 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    36.6%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    36.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:47ND 4th & 2 at NAVY 21, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.5%−0.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    36.7%−2.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:25NAVY 4th & 4 at ND 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    59.7%−1.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    60.4%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:20ND 4th & 4 at ND 48, up 3
    Close callPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:19NAVY 4th & 1 at ND 11, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    59.2%−1.3
    87% to make
    Punt
    55.1%−5.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 5:51NAVY 4th & 1 at NAVY 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    50.4%−3.3
    average punt
  7. Q4 7:28ND 4th & 4 at NAVY 14, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%−1.2
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    18.3%−14.4
    average punt
  8. Q4 4:32NAVY 4th & 1 at NAVY 47, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    60.7%−8.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 1:19NAVY 4th & 6 at ND 30, up 1
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.1%−1.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    76.3%
    56% to make
    Punt
    67.4%−8.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NAVY made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ND made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:30ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:30NAVY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:43NAVY Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:30ND Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:08NAVY Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:51ND Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:51NAVY Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1TD
13 plays · 83 yds · 3:3050% → 51%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
49.9%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 11 yds to the NDame 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
49.9%
Josh Adams run for 13 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
49.9%
Josh Adams run for 5 yds to the NDame 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
49.9%
DeShone Kizer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+9
49.9%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 9 yds to the Navy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
49.9%
Dexter Williams run for 6 yds to the Navy 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 39
0
49.9%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Dexter WilliamsSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 39
0
49.9%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to C.J. SandersSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 39
+23
49.9%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 23 yds to the Navy 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-5
49.9%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 21Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 21
-5
49.9%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 26Similar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 20
OPP 26
+26
48.8%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 26 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 2TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 5:0049% → 52%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
49.3%
Will Worth run for 4 yds to the Navy 31Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+6
49.3%
Toneo Gulley run for 6 yds to the Navy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
49.4%
Toneo Gulley run for 11 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
49.6%
Will Worth run for 5 yds to the NDame 47Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+3
49.7%
Shawn White run for 3 yds to the NDame 44Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+4
49.7%
Will Worth run for 4 yds to the NDame 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
49.7%
Toneo Gulley run for 5 yds to the NDame 35Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+19
49.8%
Dishan Romine run for 4 yds to the NDame 31 for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, personal foul (Drue Tranquill) to the NDame 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
52.4%
Darryl Bonner run for 16 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3FG
12 plays · 48 yds · 4:4349% → 50%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
50.9%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 4 yds to the NDame 35Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+3
50.7%
Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the NDame 38Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+6
50.6%
DeShone Kizer run for 6 yds to the NDame 44 for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, Offensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
50.4%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 13 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
50.2%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 8 yds to the Navy 35Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+1
49.9%
Josh Adams run for 1 yd to the Navy 34Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+5
50.2%
Josh Adams run for 5 yds to the Navy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
49.9%
DeShone Kizer run for 2 yds to the Navy 27Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+6
49.9%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 6 yds to the Navy 21Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 2
OPP 21
0
50.2%
DeShone Kizer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:47
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+39
49.6%
Justin Yoon 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 4DOWNS
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:2250% → 51%
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
50.0%
Will Worth run for 5 yds to the Navy 29Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+9
50.3%
Will Worth run for 9 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
50.7%
Will Worth run for 6 yds to the Navy 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+5
51.6%
Will Worth run for 5 yds to the Navy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
51.7%
Will Worth pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-1
51.5%
Will Worth run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 48Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+7
50.1%
Will Worth pass complete to Josh Brown for 7 yds to the NDame 45Similar
Q2 13:25
4TH & 4
OPP 45
+3
50.8%
Will Worth run for 3 yds to the NDame 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
48.3%
DeShone Kizer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+6
48.7%
Tarean Folston run for 6 yds to the NDame 48Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
48.5%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. BrownSimilar
Q2 13:20
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
49.5%
Tyler Newsome punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 6TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 4:3650% → 59%
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+60
50.0%
Will Worth run for 60 yds to the NDame 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
52.9%
Will Worth run for 2 yds to the NDame 18Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+4
52.9%
Calvin Cass Jr. run for 4 yds to the NDame 14Similar
Q2 12:19
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+3
52.0%
Chris High run for 3 yds to the NDame 11Similar
Q2 12:19
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+4
51.2%
Will Worth run for 4 yds to the NDame 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
52.9%
Will Worth run for 1 yd to the NDame 6Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
52.9%
Tre Walker run for 3 yds to the NDame 3Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
58.9%
Will Worth run for 3 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 7:1344% → 60%
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
56.3%
Josh Adams run for 7 yds to the NDame 32Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
55.0%
Josh Adams run for 10 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
54.6%
Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the NDame 45Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+6
54.2%
Tarean Folston run for 6 yds to the Navy 49Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+1
54.0%
Tarean Folston run for 1 yd to the Navy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
53.8%
Dexter Williams run for 1 yd to the Navy 47Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+18
53.8%
DeShone Kizer run for 18 yds to the Navy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
52.8%
Dexter Williams run for no gain to the Navy 29Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-5
53.1%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 34Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 15
OPP 34
+6
54.1%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 6 yds to the Navy 28Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+9
54.1%
DeShone Kizer run for 9 yds to the Navy 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
52.8%
DeShone Kizer run for no gain to the Navy 19Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
53.0%
Tarean Folston run for no gain to the Navy 19Similar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+11
53.9%
DeShone Kizer run for 11 yds to the Navy 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
40.0%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Durham Smythe for 8 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 8END OF HALF
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
46.7%
Will Worth pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
46.4%
Chris High run for 1 yd to the Navy 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 9TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:5248% → 66%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
47.9%
Will Worth run for 12 yds to the Navy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
48.9%
Chris High run for 1 yd to the Navy 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+7
48.9%
Calvin Cass Jr. run for 7 yds to the Navy 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+17
50.1%
Chris High run for 17 yds to the NDame 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
51.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 40 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Navy Will WorthSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 40
+3
51.1%
Will Worth run for 3 yds to the NDame 37Similar
Q3 11:08
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+37
65.5%
Calvin Cass Jr. run for 37 yds for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 10TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:1739% → 59%
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
61.1%
DeShone Kizer run for 4 yds to the NDame 29Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
60.3%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 5 yds to the NDame 34Similar
Q3 11:08
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
59.9%
Josh Adams run for 7 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+26
58.9%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 26 yds to the Navy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
55.9%
C.J. Sanders run for 2 yds to the Navy 31Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+4
55.9%
Josh Adams run for 4 yds to the Navy 27Similar
Q3 11:08
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+10
57.0%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 10 yds to the Navy 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
55.6%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Josh Adams for 1 yd to the Navy 16Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+3
55.6%
DeShone Kizer run for 3 yds to the Navy 13Similar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+13
40.6%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 13 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 11TD
20 plays · 75 yds · 9:0046% → 74%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
46.2%
Darryl Bonner run for 4 yds to the Navy 29Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
46.7%
Chris High run for 2 yds to the Navy 31Similar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
45.5%
Tre Walker run for 5 yds to the Navy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-6
47.5%
Darryl Bonner run for a loss of 6 yards to the Navy 30Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 16
OWN 30
+9
45.9%
Will Worth pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 9 yds to the Navy 39Similar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+1
46.4%
Will Worth run for no gain to the Navy 40 Will Worth fumbled, recovered by Navy Darryl Bonner , return for 1 yd to the Navy 40Similar
Q3 5:51
4TH & 6
OWN 40
+5
45.2%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, (5 Yards) to the Navy 45Similar
Q3 5:51
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+2
47.7%
Will Worth run for 2 yds to the Navy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
50.3%
Will Worth pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 7 yds to the NDame 46Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+4
51.2%
Chris High run for 4 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-4
51.1%
Tre Walker run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 46
+5
47.1%
Will Worth run for 5 yds to the NDame 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+10
48.8%
Will Worth pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 10 yds to the NDame 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
52.7%
Tre Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+4
52.4%
Dishan Romine run for 4 yds to the NDame 28Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+27
46.0%
Will Worth run for 27 yds to the NDame 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
49.1%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, ( Yards) to the NDame 1Similar
Q4 11:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
73.9%
Will Worth run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 12FG
11 plays · 68 yds · 4:2335% → 44%
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
65.3%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 12 yds to the NDame 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
64.2%
DeShone Kizer sacked by Patrick Forrestal for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 29Similar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+13
65.7%
Josh Adams run for 13 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+16
61.8%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 16 yds to the Navy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
59.3%
Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the Navy 40Similar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+20
59.5%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 20 yds to the Navy 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
56.7%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Torii Hunter Jr.Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
57.4%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Kevin StephersonSimilar
Q4 8:19
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+6
60.0%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 6 yds to the Navy 14Similar
Q4 7:28
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+31
55.9%
Justin Yoon 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 13END OF GAME
22 plays · 57 yds · 6:5262% → 84%
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
62.0%
Shawn White run for 1 yd to the Navy 26Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
61.5%
Will Worth pass incomplete to Jamir Tillman, broken up by Donte VaughnSimilar
Q4 7:28
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+12
59.5%
WORTH, Will sideline pass incomplete to BONNER, Darryl (COLEMAN), PENALTY NDAME pass interference (COLEMAN) 12 yards to the NAVY38, 1ST DOWN NAVY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
64.6%
Will Worth run for 2 yds to the Navy 40Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+6
65.2%
Darryl Bonner run for 6 yds to the Navy 46Similar
Q4 7:28
3RD & 2
OWN 46
-5
65.2%
NAVY Penalty, false start (Tyler Carmona) to the Navy 41Similar
Q4 5:22
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+6
62.9%
Jamir Tillman run for 6 yds to the Navy 47Similar
Q4 4:32
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+2
64.1%
Will Worth run for 2 yds to the Navy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
67.5%
Will Worth run for 6 yds to the NDame 45Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+1
71.7%
Will Worth run for 1 yd to the NDame 44Similar
Q4 3:07
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+10
70.5%
Dishan Romine run for 10 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
73.4%
Will Worth run for 1 yd to the NDame 33Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+2
75.2%
Will Worth run for 2 yds to the NDame 31Similar
Q4 2:14
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+1
75.0%
Will Worth run for 1 yd to the NDame 30Similar
Q4 1:19
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+15
76.5%
Will Worth pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 15 yds to the NDame 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-3
83.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:51
Will Worth run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)
+24.7
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+16.5
TD · Q3 5:51
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 13 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)
-15
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com