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STAN

Stanford 17 at Notre Dame 10

ND
2016 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2016 · Notre Dame Stadium
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Win probability · ND
modelND aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playND scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDSAFETYTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:00 · Jake Bailey punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 142Home team on offense−27.0Pregame prior+0.9Garbage-time factor−11.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.4Score differential−3.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−6.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:57: DeShone Kizer run for 8 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +4.3 pts (now 69%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:16: DeShone Kizer pass intercepted for a TD Quenton Meeks return for 50 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK) — STAN win probability +8.9 pts (now 33%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:38: Bryce Love 7 Yd Run (Bryce Love Run for Two-Point Conversion) — STAN win probability +32.7 pts (now 79%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 10:38: Jake Bailey kickoff for 65 yds , C.J. Sanders return for 11 yds to the NDame 11 — ND win probability +7.9 pts (now 28%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:41: Timeout NOTRE DAME, clock 00:41 — STAN win probability +15.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ND made the numbers' call on 8 of 9STAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 8:43STAN 4th & 6 at ND 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    39.4%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:43ND 4th & 10 at ND 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00STAN 4th & 25 at STAN 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−1.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:36ND 4th & 1 at STAN 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    64.1%−1.8
    25% to make
    Punt
    64.8%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:49ND 4th & 12 at STAN 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−1.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    63.2%−4.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:49STAN 4th & 9 at STAN 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:13ND 4th & 9 at STAN 37, up 10
    Close callPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    72.2%−0.2
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.5%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:16ND 4th & 7 at STAN 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    64.2%−0.9
    38% to make
    Punt
    64.3%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:26ND 4th & 18 at ND 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−4.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:55STAN 4th & 6 at ND 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:38ND 4th & 6 at ND 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:00STAN 4th & 7 at ND 47, up 7
    Close callPunted · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.9%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:41ND 4th & 1 at STAN 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    11.5%−8.9
    81% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−11.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:41ND 4th & 10 at STAN 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.3%
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    11.4%−2.9
    84% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−5.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 1 of 1STAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 1:57ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 13:16STAN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:38STAN Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    65.7%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    65.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1MISSED FG
14 plays · 47 yds · 6:1737% → 38%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
63.3%
Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+17
63.3%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 17 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
63.3%
STANFORD Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 40Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 40
0
63.3%
Ryan Burns pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 40
+1
63.3%
Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the Stanf 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 41
+16
63.3%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Michael Rector for 16 yds to the NDame 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
63.3%
Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the NDame 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+6
63.3%
Ryan Burns run for 6 yds to the NDame 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+2
63.3%
Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds to the NDame 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
63.3%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Taijuan Thomas for 5 yds to the NDame 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 27
-1
63.3%
Ryan Burns run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 28
0
63.3%
Ryan Burns pass incomplete to Trenton IrwinSimilar
Q1 8:43
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+45
62.5%
Conrad Ukropina 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0063% → 62%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
62.9%
Josh Adams run for no gain to the NDame 28Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
62.8%
DeShone Kizer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
62.5%
DeShone Kizer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:43
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
62.4%
Tyler Newsome punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Stanf 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3FUMBLE
7 plays · 39 yds · 0:0037% → 38%
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
62.9%
Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+10
62.6%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 10 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
62.4%
Bryce Love run for 6 yds to the NDame 46Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+8
62.3%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Michael Rector for 8 yds to the NDame 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
62.3%
Bryce Love run for 6 yds to the NDame 32Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+3
62.1%
Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the NDame 26 Cameron Scarlett fumbled, forced by Jonathan Bonner, recovered by NDame Julian LoveSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 4TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 2:2763% → 69%
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+32
63.1%
DeShone Kizer run for 32 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
64.1%
Tarean Folston run for 5 yds to the Stanf 37Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+7
64.2%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Tarean Folston for 7 yds to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
64.5%
Tarean Folston run for 16 yds to the Stanf 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
64.5%
Tarean Folston run for 6 yds to the Stanf 8Similar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+8
68.7%
DeShone Kizer run for 8 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 1:5733% → 31%
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
67.2%
Ryan Burns run for 12 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+16
66.9%
Bryce Love run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
50
-2
66.0%
Ryan Burns sacked by Greer Martini for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+2
67.1%
Ryan Burns run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
50
-10
67.3%
STANFORD Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Stanf 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 40
0
68.0%
Ryan Burns pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 40
-5
68.5%
STANFORD Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 35Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 25
OWN 35
+5
68.6%
Jake Bailey punt for 47 yds , C.J. Sanders returns for 5 yds to the NDame 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 6FG
16 plays · 65 yds · 6:4769% → 73%
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
68.6%
Josh Adams run for 6 yds to the NDame 29Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 4
OWN 29
-1
68.8%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Chris Finke for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 28Similar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+18
68.2%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 18 yds to the NDame 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
69.7%
Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the NDame 49Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+6
69.7%
Dexter Williams run for 6 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 1
OPP 45
0
69.5%
DeShone Kizer run for no gain to the Stanf 45Similar
Q2 13:36
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+3
68.8%
Tarean Folston run for 3 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
69.8%
DeShone Kizer sacked by Solomon Thomas for a loss of 5 yards to the Stanf 47Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 15
OPP 47
-5
69.2%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NDame 48Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 20
OWN 48
+16
68.9%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Nic Weishar for 16 yds to the Stanf 36Similar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 4
OPP 36
-5
69.5%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 41Similar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+33
69.3%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 33 yds to the Stanf 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-4
70.0%
DeShone Kizer run for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 12Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
70.0%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Nic Weishar, broken up by Ben EdwardsSimilar
Q2 13:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
69.4%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. Brown, broken up by Dallas LloydSimilar
Q2 6:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
72.8%
Justin Yoon 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.1%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Trenton IrwinSimilar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
73.2%
Bryce Love run for 10 yds to the Stanf 35 STANFORD Penalty, Offensive holding (Michael Rector) to the Stanf 25Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
73.2%
Keller Chryst run for no gain to the Stanf 25Similar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
73.7%
Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the Stanf 26Similar
Q2 6:49
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
74.1%
Jake Bailey punt for 50 yds, fair catch by C.J. Sanders at the NDame 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 39 yds · 2:2074% → 74%
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-11
74.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 11 yards to the NDame 13Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 21
OWN 13
+49
73.9%
DeShone Kizer run for 49 yds to the Stanf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
75.6%
DeShone Kizer sacked by Casey Toohill for a loss of 5 yards to the Stanf 43Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 15
OPP 43
+6
75.0%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 6 yds to the Stanf 37Similar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 9
OPP 37
0
74.9%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Torii Hunter Jr.Similar
Q2 2:13
4TH & 9
OPP 37
0
74.2%
DeShone Kizer punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9INT
7 plays · 42 yds · 0:0025% → 27%
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
75.2%
Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the Stanf 24Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
74.9%
Ryan Burns pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:07
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+17
75.9%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Dalton Schultz for 17 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
74.1%
Ryan Burns pass incomplete to Dalton Schultz, broken up by James OnwualuSimilar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+21
74.4%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Greg Taboada for 21 yds to the NDame 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
73.1%
Ryan Burns pass incomplete to Michael RectorSimilar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
73.2%
Ryan Burns pass intercepted Cole Luke return for no gain to the NDame 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
75.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11INT TD
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:4476% → 67%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
76.0%
Josh Adams run for 1 yd to the NDame 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
75.8%
Josh Adams run for 7 yds to the NDame 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
75.7%
Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the NDame 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+50
66.8%
DeShone Kizer pass intercepted for a TD Quenton Meeks return for 50 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 12INT
12 plays · 37 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
65.9%
Dexter Williams run for 4 yds to the NDame 29Similar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
66.1%
Tarean Folston run for 2 yds to the NDame 31Similar
Q3 13:16
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-10
65.2%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Offensive holding (Hunter Bivin) to the NDame 21Similar
Q3 13:16
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+20
64.2%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 20 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
67.7%
Tarean Folston run for 5 yds to the NDame 46Similar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+4
68.2%
DeShone Kizer run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:16
3RD & 1
50
+9
67.8%
Tarean Folston run for 9 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
68.7%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Chase Claypool, broken up by Alameen MurphySimilar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+3
68.5%
Tarean Folston run for 3 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q3 13:16
3RD & 7
OPP 38
0
68.1%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Miles BoykinSimilar
Q3 13:16
4TH & 7
OPP 38
+38
66.1%
DeShone Kizer pass intercepted Dallas Lloyd return for 38 yds to the NDame 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13FUMBLE
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:0039% → 41%
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
60.7%
Bryce Love run for 6 yds to the NDame 41Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+15
60.3%
Burns,R pass incomplete to Irwin,T, PENALTY ND pass interference (LOVE) 15 yards to the ND26, 1ST DOWN STAN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-7
59.1%
Ryan Burns sacked by Jonathan Jones for a loss of 7 yards to the NDame 34 Ryan Burns fumbled, recovered by NDame Jamir Jones , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0067% → 64%
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-10
66.7%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Offensive holding (Quenton Nelson) to the NDame 24Similar
Q3 7:26
1ST & 20
OWN 24
+2
66.0%
Malik Zaire run for 2 yds to the NDame 26Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 18
OWN 26
0
65.8%
Malik Zaire pass incomplete to Kevin StephersonSimilar
Q3 7:26
3RD & 18
OWN 26
0
64.5%
Malik Zaire pass incomplete to Torii Hunter Jr.Similar
Q3 7:26
4TH & 18
OWN 26
0
63.8%
Tyler Newsome punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Stanf 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
63.6%
STANFORD Penalty, Offensive holding (Johnny Caspers) to the Stanf 25Similar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+12
64.8%
Ryan Burns run for 12 yds to the Stanf 37Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+3
63.3%
Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the Stanf 40Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+7
62.6%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 7 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
60.8%
Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the NDame 49Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+2
60.4%
Ryan Burns run for 2 yds to the NDame 47Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 4
OPP 47
-2
60.9%
Ryan Burns sacked by Greer Martini for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 49Similar
Q3 5:55
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
63.7%
Jake Bailey punt for 44 yds, downed at the NDame 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 16SF
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-5
63.3%
Team run for a loss of 5 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17TD
16 plays · 67 yds · 5:3938% → 79%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
61.9%
Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the Stanf 35Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+10
62.0%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Michael Rector for 10 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
59.5%
Bryce Love run for 17 yds to the NDame 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
58.0%
Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the NDame 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+5
56.0%
Bryce Love run for 5 yds to the NDame 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+2
57.7%
Cameron Scarlett run for 2 yds to the NDame 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
56.0%
Michael Rector run for 7 yds to the NDame 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 20
0
56.0%
Ryan Burns pass incomplete to Trenton IrwinSimilar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+9
55.9%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Bryce Love for 9 yds to the NDame 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
54.2%
Ryan Burns run for 4 yds to the NDame 7Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
21.5%
Bryce Love 7 Yd Run (Bryce Love Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
Q4 10:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
21.3%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jonathan Jones) to the NDame 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0031% → 29%
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-5
31.4%
Malik Zaire sacked by Solomon Thomas and Harrison Phillips for a loss of 5 yards to the NDame 6Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 15
OWN 6
+3
31.0%
Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the NDame 9Similar
Q4 10:38
3RD & 12
OWN 9
+6
29.8%
Malik Zaire run for 6 yds to the NDame 15Similar
Q4 10:38
4TH & 6
OWN 15
-7
29.0%
Tyler Newsome punt for 58 yds , Jay Tyler returns for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 4:2477% → 85%
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
23.2%
Bryce Love run for 2 yds to the Stanf 22Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+17
23.4%
Bryce Love run for 17 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
20.4%
Bryce Love run for 5 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+4
20.1%
Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the Stanf 48Similar
Q4 8:24
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+2
20.0%
Ryan Burns run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
50
+5
19.0%
Bryce Love run for 5 yds to the NDame 45Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 5
OPP 45
-2
18.8%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 47Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
12.8%
Ryan Burns pass incomplete to Michael Rector, broken up by Nicco FertittaSimilar
Q4 4:00
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
14.7%
Jake Bailey punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 20DOWNS
16 plays · 61 yds · 3:0322% → 11%
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
21.9%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. BrownSimilar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
21.3%
DeShone Kizer run for 10 yds to the NDame 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
22.7%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Miles BoykinSimilar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
22.3%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 11 yds to the NDame 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
25.3%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 16 yds to the Stanf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
27.8%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Chris Finke, broken up by Zach HoffpauirSimilar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+13
27.0%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Chase Claypool for 13 yds to the Stanf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
30.6%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Josh Adams for no gain to the Stanf 25Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
29.8%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Josh Adams for 3 yds to the Stanf 22Similar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+6
28.1%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 6 yds to the Stanf 16Similar
Q4 0:41
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+2
12.6%
Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the Stanf 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
17.2%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 6 yds to the Stanf 8Similar
Q4 0:41
2ND & 4
OPP 8
-6
17.2%
DeShone Kizer sacked by Mike Tyler and Harrison Phillips for a loss of 6 yards to the Stanf 14Similar
Q4 0:41
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
12.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:41
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+3
10.5%
DeShone Kizer run for 3 yds to the Stanf 14 DeShone Kizer fumbled, forced by Solomon Thomas, recovered by NDame Mike McGlincheySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:38
Bryce Love 7 Yd Run (Bryce Love Run for Two-Point Conversion)
-32.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:41
Timeout NOTRE DAME, clock 00:41
-15.4
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-10.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com