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Notre Dame 50 at Syracuse 33

SYR
2016 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2016 · MetLife Stadium
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadND aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreND score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameTD+5.1SYR 29.7%Eric Dungey run for 1 yd for a TD,(Cole Murphy KICK)AWAY 23 - HOME 20 · Q2 13:22
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:22 · Eric Dungey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 59Home team on offense−0.2Pregame prior−21.7Score differential−0.4Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:22: Eric Dungey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +5.1 pts (now 30%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 0:30: Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 14 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +8.5 pts (now 31%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:23: DeShone Kizer pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 54 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +11.4 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:26: Dexter Williams run for 59 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +9.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:52: Eric Dungey 5 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — SYR win probability +4.3 pts (now 6%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 9 of 11ND made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 9:07SYR 4th & 3 at SYR 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:37ND 4th & 1 at SYR 1, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    75.2%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    73.7%−2.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:25SYR 4th & 5 at SYR 43, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:30ND 4th & 3 at SYR 49, up 10
    Close callPunted · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.8%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:22SYR 4th & 1 at ND 1, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    22.8%−1.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    20.1%−3.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:03SYR 4th & 5 at SYR 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:12ND 4th & 3 at SYR 43, up 10
    Close callPunted · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    74.4%−0.9
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.8%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:14SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 3, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:03ND 4th & 14 at SYR 14, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    73.1%−2.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:46SYR 4th & 13 at ND 38, down 13
    Close callPunted · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    20.2%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:38ND 4th & 14 at SYR 46, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    80.6%−<0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:04SYR 4th & 10 at SYR 42, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:48SYR 4th & 15 at SYR 31, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−2.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:15SYR 4th & 4 at SYR 43, down 20
    Close callPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:49ND 4th & 3 at ND 27, up 20
    Close callPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:51SYR 4th & 9 at ND 43, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    4.9%−0.7
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:19ND 4th & 5 at ND 12, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%
    average punt
  18. Q3 0:12SYR 4th & 4 at ND 5, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    5.5%−0.3
    92% to make
    Punt
    -0.6%−6.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:14ND 4th & 7 at SYR 23, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    94.6%−2.6
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:11ND 4th & 5 at SYR 22, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.0%
    72% to make
    Punt
    97.0%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 4 of 5ND made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 14:42ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 12:36SYR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    24.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 11:23ND Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 10:17SYR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 10:06ND Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 13:22SYR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 12:11ND Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 0:30SYR Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 11:23ND Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 8:26ND Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 6:52SYR Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1TD
2 plays · 79 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+79
22.3%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 79 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 1:5922% → 24%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
22.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
50
+6
22.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 6 yds to the NDame 44Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
22.5%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+5
22.5%
Dungey, Eric pass deep left sideline incomplete to Etta-Tawo, Amba thrown to the SYRACUSE2, PENALTY NOTREDAME offside (Jones, Jarron) 5 yards to the NOTREDAME39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SYRACUSE.Similar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+18
22.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 18 yds to the NDame 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
22.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 2 yds to the NDame 19Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+13
22.9%
Dontae Strickland run for 13 yds to the NDame 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
22.9%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the NDame 3Similar
Q1 12:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
23.5%
Eric Dungey run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy PAT BLOCKED), (Cole Murphy PAT BLOCKED)Similar
Q1 12:36
2ND & 0
OPP 3
0
23.6%
Cole Luke return for defensive PATSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 0:3777% → 77%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
23.5%
Josh Adams run for 7 yds to the NDame 33Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 3
OWN 33
0
23.5%
Josh Adams run for no gain to the NDame 33Similar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+67
22.8%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 67 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4TD
4 plays · 79 yds · 0:4323% → 24%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
23.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 5 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+2
23.1%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q1 10:17
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+72
24.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 72 yds for a TD NOTRE DAME Penalty, Defensive Offside (Asmar Bilal) declined, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:4723% → 23%
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
23.3%
Eric Dungey run for 8 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 2
OWN 34
-1
23.5%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Devin Butler for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 33Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 3
OWN 33
0
23.4%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:07
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
23.3%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 37 yds, downed at the NDame 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7DOWNS
11 plays · 69 yds · 4:2577% → 76%
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
23.2%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 11 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
22.6%
Josh Adams run for 1 yd to the NDame 42Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+13
23.0%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Nic Weishar for 13 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
22.9%
Josh Adams run for no gain to the Syrac 45Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+11
22.9%
Josh Adams run for 11 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
22.9%
Josh Adams run for 9 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+15
23.0%
Kizer, DeShone pass deep right incomplete to St. Brown, Equanimeous thrown to the SYRACUSE0, PENALTY SYRACUSE pass interference (Hudson, Cordell) 15 yards to the SYRACUSE10, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.Similar
Q1 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
23.0%
DeShone Kizer run for no gain to the Syrac 10Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
23.0%
DeShone Kizer run for 8 yds to the Syrac 2Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
23.3%
Josh Adams run for 1 yd to the Syrac 1Similar
Q1 4:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
23.6%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Dexter Williams for no gain to the Syrac 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 42 yds · 2:0524% → 23%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+10
24.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for 10 yds to the Syrac 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
24.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 9 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+18
24.3%
Dontae Strickland run for 18 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
23.9%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
23.9%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+3
23.6%
Eric Dungey run for 3 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q1 2:25
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
23.0%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5077% → 76%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
23.2%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Kevin StephersonSimilar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+7
23.2%
Dexter Williams run for 7 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 3
OPP 49
0
23.4%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. Brown, broken up by Cordell HudsonSimilar
Q1 1:30
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
23.7%
Tyler Newsome punt for 27 yds, downed at the Syrac 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 2:5823% → 30%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+16
23.2%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd to the Syrac 23 for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Devin Studstill) to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST down. Devin Studstill ejected for targeting.Similar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
23.7%
Moe Neal run for 2 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-5
23.8%
Dungey, Eric rush quarterback scramble for 10 yards to the 50 yardline, PENALTY SYRACUSE illegal shift 5 yards to the SYRACUSE35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:10
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+23
23.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 23 yds to the SYRACUSE 42 for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, Defensive Offside (Isaac Rochell) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
24.4%
Eric Dungey sacked by Nyles Morgan for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 43Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+36
24.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 36 yds to the NDame 7 for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
25.0%
Moe Neal run for 1 yd to the NDame 6Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
25.0%
Eric Dungey run for 5 yds to the NDame 1Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
24.5%
Moe Neal run for no gain to the NDame 1Similar
Q2 13:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
29.7%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 1:0472% → 77%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
28.3%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Torii Hunter Jr.Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+23
28.5%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 23 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+44
27.4%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Josh Adams for 44 yds to the Syrac 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
27.0%
Josh Adams run for 1 yd to the Syrac 3Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
23.3%
DeShone Kizer run for 3 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:4723% → 23%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
23.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 4 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+1
23.5%
Dontae Strickland run for 1 yd to the Syrac 28Similar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 5
OWN 28
0
23.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Dontae Strickland, broken up by Greer MartiniSimilar
Q2 11:03
4TH & 5
OWN 28
0
22.5%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 27 yds · 1:4376% → 76%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+20
24.0%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
50
+2
23.3%
Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+5
23.3%
DeShone Kizer run for 5 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 3
OPP 43
0
23.8%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Miles Boykin NOTRE DAME Penalty, Offensive Holding (Alex Bars) declinedSimilar
Q2 9:12
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
24.4%
Tyler Newsome punt for 42 yds, downed at the Syrac 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4623% → 22%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
22.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 5 yds to the Syrac 6Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 5
OWN 6
0
22.9%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin Philips, broken up by Nyles MorganSimilar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 5
OWN 6
-3
22.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Brisly Estime for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 3Similar
Q2 8:14
4TH & 8
OWN 3
0
21.7%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 48 yds, downed at the NDame 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 15FG
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:5778% → 79%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
22.5%
Dexter Williams run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 9
50
+19
22.1%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Sanders for 19 yds to the Syrac 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+24
21.9%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 24 yds to the Syrac 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
21.8%
DeShone Kizer run for 1 yd to the Syrac 6Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-8
21.8%
DeShone Kizer sacked by De'Jon Wilson and Josh Black for a loss of 8 yards to the Syrac 14Similar
Q2 5:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
0
22.5%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Durham SmytheSimilar
Q2 5:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+31
21.0%
Justin Yoon 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 2:0621% → 19%
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
21.0%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+15
20.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Devin Butler for 15 yds to the NDame 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
21.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 14 yds to the NDame 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
22.6%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-4
22.6%
Dontae Strickland run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 39Similar
Q2 3:15
3RD & 14
OPP 39
+1
20.5%
Eric Dungey run for 1 yd to the NDame 38Similar
Q2 2:46
4TH & 13
OPP 38
0
19.4%
Eric Dungey punt for 33 yds, downed at the NDame 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 17PUNT
12 plays · 49 yds · 1:5281% → 82%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+9
19.2%
Josh Adams run for 9 yds to the NDame 14Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 1
OWN 14
+8
18.9%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Josh Adams for 8 yds to the NDame 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+16
17.9%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 16 yds to the NDame 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
17.1%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Miles Boykin, broken up by Corey WinfieldSimilar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-5
17.2%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Hunter Bivin) to the NDame 33Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+25
18.0%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Miles Boykin for 25 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
16.6%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Dexter Williams for 7 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 3
OPP 35
0
16.9%
DeShone Kizer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 3
OPP 35
-11
17.2%
DeShone Kizer sacked by Zaire Franklin for a loss of 11 yards to the Syrac 46Similar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 14
OPP 46
+74
18.1%
Tyler Newsome punt for 34 yds , Brisly Estime returns for 74 yds to the NDame 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18TD
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:0522% → 31%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
22.2%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
30.7%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 14 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 19INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
24.5%
DeShone Kizer pass intercepted Zaire Franklin return for 13 yds to the NDame 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20DOWNS
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:1231% → 31%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
30.7%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin PhilipsSimilar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+11
30.6%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 11 yds to the NDame 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
30.7%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+40
30.6%
Cole Murphy 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 1:4129% → 28%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
28.7%
Dontae Strickland run for 3 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
28.9%
Dontae Strickland run for 4 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+10
28.5%
Eric Dungey run for 10 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
30.8%
Dontae Strickland run for no gain to the Syrac 42Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
29.8%
Dungey, Eric pass right crossing incomplete to Philips, Ervin thrown to the NOTREDAME33, PENALTY NOTREDAME offside (Mokwuah, Pete) 5 yards to the SYRACUSE47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:29
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
31.5%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete, broken up by Nyles MorganSimilar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 5
OWN 47
-5
30.7%
Eric Dungey run for a loss of 5 yards to the Syrac 42 Eric Dungey fumbled, forced by James Onwualu, recovered by Syrac Aaron Roberts SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Aaron Roberts) declinedSimilar
Q3 13:04
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
27.6%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 22TD
5 plays · 86 yds · 1:2273% → 84%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
26.9%
Josh Adams run for 4 yds to the NDame 18Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+14
26.9%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Durham Smythe for 14 yds to the NDame 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
26.2%
Josh Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 31Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+15
27.1%
Kizer, DeShone pass left slant incomplete to St. Brown, Equanimeous thrown to the NOTREDAME49, PENALTY SYRACUSE pass interference (Hudson, Cordell) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.Similar
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
15.7%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 54 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 1:1219% → 18%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
19.1%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 15 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
19.6%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the Syrac 31Similar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 15
OWN 31
0
19.1%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Devin ButlerSimilar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 15
OWN 31
0
19.1%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 15
OWN 31
0
18.3%
Eric Dungey run for no gain to the Syrac 31Similar
Q3 9:48
4TH & 15
OWN 31
0
18.2%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 39 yds , Chris Finke returns for no gain to the NDame 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 24TD
3 plays · 70 yds · 1:0484% → 94%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
16.1%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Miles Boykin for 11 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
14.8%
DeShone Kizer run for no gain to the NDame 41Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+59
5.8%
Dexter Williams run for 59 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:459% → 9%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
8.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 12 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
9.1%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Amba Etta-Tawo, broken up by Donte VaughnSimilar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
8.8%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 6 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
9.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Jordan FredericksSimilar
Q3 7:15
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
8.9%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5693% → 94%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
6.6%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Sanders for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 17Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 13
OWN 17
0
6.6%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. BrownSimilar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+10
6.4%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Sanders for 10 yds to the NDame 27Similar
Q3 5:49
4TH & 3
OWN 27
+38
5.8%
Tyler Newsome punt for 55 yds , Brisly Estime returns for 38 yds to the NDame 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:398% → 5%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
7.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 7 yds to the NDame 37Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 3
OPP 37
-5
8.2%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the NDame 42Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 8
OPP 42
-1
7.7%
Dontae Strickland run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 43Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 9
OPP 43
0
7.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for no gain to the NDame 43Similar
Q3 3:51
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
5.2%
Sterling Hofrichter punt for 36 yds, downed at the NDame 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1196% → 96%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
3.9%
Dexter Williams run for 1 yd to the NDame 8Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+4
3.8%
Dexter Williams run for 4 yds to the NDame 12Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 5
OWN 12
0
3.5%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Josh AdamsSimilar
Q3 2:19
4TH & 5
OWN 12
+16
3.6%
Tyler Newsome punt for 38 yds , Brisly Estime returns for 16 yds to the NDame 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 29DOWNS
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:585% → 6%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
5.4%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 10 yds to the NDame 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
5.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 7 yds to the NDame 17Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+6
5.1%
Eric Dungey run for 6 yds to the NDame 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
5.0%
Dontae Strickland run for 2 yds to the NDame 9Similar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+4
4.9%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 4 yds to the NDame 5Similar
Q3 0:17
3RD & 4
OPP 5
0
5.9%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Cameron MacPhersonSimilar
Q3 0:12
4TH & 4
OPP 5
0
5.8%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Ervin Philips, broken up by Greer MartiniSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 30FG
11 plays · 72 yds · 3:4697% → 98%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+28
3.3%
Josh Adams run for 28 yds to the NDame 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
2.9%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Torii Hunter Jr.Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+9
2.9%
Josh Adams run for 9 yds to the NDame 42Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+5
2.7%
Josh Adams run for 5 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
2.6%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Sanders for 13 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
2.5%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Corey Holmes for 8 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+6
2.4%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 6 yds to the Syrac 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
2.3%
Dexter Williams run for 1 yd to the Syrac 25Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+2
2.1%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Corey Holmes for 2 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
Q4 11:19
3RD & 7
OPP 23
0
2.1%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to C.J. SandersSimilar
Q4 11:14
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+39
1.7%
Justin Yoon 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 31TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 4:082% → 6%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.0%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Brisly EstimeSimilar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
2.0%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Sean Riley for 13 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
2.0%
Eric Dungey run for 4 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
2.1%
Eric Dungey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
2.1%
Eric Dungey pass incomplete to Dontae StricklandSimilar
Q4 10:10
4TH & 6
OWN 42
+10
2.0%
Hofrichter, Sterling pass left crossing incomplete to Anthony, Eric thrown to the SYRACUSE42, PENALTY NOTREDAME holding (Fertitta, Nicco) 10 yards to the NOTREDAME48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SYRACUSE.Similar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
2.1%
Eric Dungey run for 5 yds to the NDame 43Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+10
2.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 10 yds to the NDame 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
2.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 5 yds to the NDame 28Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+10
2.3%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for 10 yds to the NDame 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
2.2%
Eric Dungey pass complete to Dontae Strickland for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 19Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+3
1.9%
Eric Dungey run for 3 yds to the NDame 16Similar
Q4 7:40
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+11
1.8%
Ervin Philips run for 11 yds to the NDame 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
1.5%
Eric Dungey run for no gain to the NDame 5Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
5.8%
Eric Dungey 5 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 32MISSED FG
10 plays · 26 yds · 5:2096% → 98%
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
3.6%
DeShone Kizer run for 3 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+5
3.4%
Dexter Williams run for 5 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q4 5:14
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+2
3.1%
Dexter Williams run for 2 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
2.7%
Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+8
2.6%
Josh Adams run for 8 yds to the Syrac 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
2.3%
Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+3
2.2%
Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 5
OPP 22
0
1.8%
Josh Adams run for no gain to the Syrac 22Similar
Q4 1:11
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+39
1.9%
Justin Yoon 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 33END OF GAME
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:542% → 2%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
2.1%
Jordan Fredericks run for 9 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q4 0:27
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+6
2.1%
Jordan Fredericks run for 6 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
2.2%
Jordan Fredericks run for 3 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q4 0:02
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+2
2.2%
Jordan Fredericks run for 2 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:23
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 54 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)
-11.4
TD · Q3 8:26
Dexter Williams run for 59 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)
-9
TD · Q2 0:30
Eric Dungey pass complete to Ervin Philips for 14 yds for a TD, (Cole Murphy KICK)
+8.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com