Try the model
USU

Utah State 10 at BYU 28

BYU
2016 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2016 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadUSU aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreUSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFUMBLETDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:55 · Aaron Dalton punt for 49 yds , Garrett Juergens returns for 7 yds to the BYU 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 144Pregame prior+9.6Home team on offense+24.3Garbage-time factor+6.1Score differential+9.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. FUMBLE · Q2 2:50: Damion Hobbs run for no gain Damion Hobbs fumbled, forced by Logan Taele, recovered by BYU Michael Shelton , return for 52 yds, (Rhett Almond KICK) — BYU win probability +7.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:42: D. Hobbs run for 2 yds for a TD, (B. Warren KICK) — USU win probability +9.0 pts (now 23%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 75%).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:42: Jake Thompson kickoff for 63 yds , Aleva Hifo return for 3 yds to the BYU 5 — BYU win probability +3.2 pts (now 80%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:19: Mitchell Juergens 10 Yd pass from Taysom Hill (Rhett Almond Kick) — BYU win probability +7.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:55: Tanner Mangum pass complete to Colby Pearson for 5 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK) — BYU win probability +5.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6USU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 9:39USU 4th & 11 at BYU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    14.4%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:33BYU 4th & 11 at BYU 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:58USU 4th & 5 at BYU 28, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.9%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    16.0%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:05USU 4th & 8 at USU 48, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:29USU 4th & 7 at BYU 45, down 4
    Close callPunted · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    17.6%−0.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:51BYU 4th & 3 at USU 43, up 4
    Close callPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    81.2%−0.8
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.5%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:50USU 4th & 1 at midfield, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    20.6%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:50USU 4th & 9 at USU 26, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:52BYU 4th & 27 at USU 46, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%−1.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    77.6%−1.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:27USU 4th & 18 at USU 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−2.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:28BYU 4th & 1 at USU 29, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    88.3%−1.6
    58% to make
    Punt
    85.2%−4.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:55USU 4th & 15 at USU 20, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:47BYU 4th & 10 at USU 11, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.2%
    87% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−1.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:47USU 4th & 5 at USU 25, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:07BYU 4th & 4 at USU 36, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    98.0%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3USU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 12:35BYU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:42USU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:19BYU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:55BYU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1FG
16 plays · 64 yds · 5:2113% → 14%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.5%
Kent Myers run for 5 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
87.5%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
87.5%
Kent Myers pass complete to Zach Van Leeuwen for 7 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
87.5%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Zach Van LeeuwenSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+8
87.5%
LaJuan Hunt run for 8 yds to the UthSt 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+11
87.5%
Kent Myers pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 11 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
87.5%
MYERS, Kent rush for 6 yards to the BYU38 (LAKE, Dayan), PENALTY BYU offside 5 yards to the BYU39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 39
+12
87.5%
Kent Myers pass complete to Ron'Quavion Tarver for 12 yds to the BYU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+17
87.5%
Tonny Lindsey run for 17 yds to the BYU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
87.5%
Tonny Lindsey run for 1 yd to the BYU 9Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
87.5%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BYU 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+5
87.5%
BYU Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the BYU 9Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
87.5%
Kent Myers run for 3 yds to the BYU 6Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
87.5%
Kent Myers sacked by Logan Taele for a loss of 5 yards to the BYU 11Similar
Q1 9:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
85.7%
Brock Warren 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
85.6%
Jamaal Williams run for no gain to the BYU 21Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
85.6%
Taysom Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 10
OWN 21
-1
85.5%
Taysom Hill sacked by Anthony Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 20Similar
Q1 9:33
4TH & 11
OWN 20
0
85.4%
Jonny Linehan punt for 39 yds, downed at the UthSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3MISSED FG
10 plays · 31 yds · 3:0715% → 16%
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
84.8%
Tonny Lindsey run for 4 yds to the UthSt 45Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+1
84.8%
Kent Myers run for 1 yd to the UthSt 46Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+6
84.9%
Kent Myers run for 6 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
84.7%
BYU Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
84.6%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BYU 38Similar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 15
OPP 38
+2
84.8%
Kent Myers run for 2 yds to the BYU 36Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 13
OPP 36
+8
84.8%
Kent Myers pass complete to Kennedy Williams for 8 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 5
OPP 28
0
84.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the BYU 28Similar
Q1 4:58
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+46
83.9%
Dominik Eberle 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4INT
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
83.8%
Taysom Hill run for 8 yds to the BYU 36Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+13
84.2%
Jamaal Williams run for 13 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
84.3%
Jamaal Williams run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 9
50
+5
84.3%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Hunter Marshall for 5 yds to the UthSt 45Similar
Q1 4:58
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+7
84.3%
Taysom Hill pass intercepted Dallin Leavitt return for 7 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
82.6%
Kent Myers pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 7 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 3
OPP 47
-5
82.5%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 48Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
82.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the UthSt 48Similar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
82.7%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:05
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
83.3%
Aaron Dalton punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 90 yds · 3:5282% → 85%
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
82.2%
Jamaal Williams run for 15 yds to the BYU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
82.2%
Jamaal Williams run for 12 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+35
82.5%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 35 yds to the UthSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
83.1%
Jamaal Williams run for 8 yds to the UthSt 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 20
-3
83.1%
Jamaal Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+15
82.6%
HILL, Taysom pass incomplete to LAULU-PUTUTAU,M, PENALTY USU pass interference 15 yards to the USU8, 1ST DOWN BYU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
83.1%
Jamaal Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
83.1%
Taysom Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+9
82.6%
HILL, Taysom pass incomplete to PEARSON, Colby, PENALTY USU pass interference 9 yards to the USU2, 1ST DOWN BYU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
84.6%
Jamaal Williams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
83.3%
Tonny Lindsey run for 16 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
82.6%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
82.7%
Tonny Lindsey run for 2 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+1
82.9%
Kent Myers run for 1 yd to the BYU 45Similar
Q2 12:29
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
83.5%
Aaron Dalton punt for 31 yds, downed at the BYU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 43 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
82.8%
Squally Canada run for 1 yd to the BYU 15Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+5
82.7%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 5 yds to the BYU 20Similar
Q2 10:51
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+6
82.4%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 6 yds to the BYU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
83.0%
Squally Canada run for 4 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+3
82.9%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Tanner Balderree for 3 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q2 10:51
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+5
82.7%
HILL, Taysom rush for no gain to the BYU33 (CARMEN, Brock), PENALTY USU offside 5 yards to the BYU38, 1ST DOWN BYU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
83.3%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Garrett Juergens for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
50
+7
83.8%
Squally Canada run for 7 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 3
OPP 43
0
83.9%
Taysom Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:51
3RD & 3
OPP 43
0
83.8%
Taysom Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:51
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
83.2%
Jonny Linehan punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9FUMBLE TD
6 plays · 39 yds · 2:4818% → 12%
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+28
82.1%
Kent Myers run for 28 yds to the UthSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
81.0%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 36Similar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+4
82.0%
LaJuan Hunt run for 4 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+6
81.4%
Kent Myers pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 6 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+4
80.9%
Kent Myers pass complete to Rayshad Lewis for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:50
4TH & 1
50
+52
87.8%
Damion Hobbs run for no gain Damion Hobbs fumbled, forced by Logan Taele, recovered by BYU Michael Shelton , return for 52 yds, (Rhett Almond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
88.3%
Kent Myers run for 1 yd to the UthSt 26Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
88.3%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the UthSt 26Similar
Q2 2:50
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
88.6%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Braelon RobertsSimilar
Q2 2:50
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+18
88.9%
Aaron Dalton punt for 56 yds , Micah Hannemann returns for 18 yds to the BYU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+37
89.1%
Taysom Hill pass intercepted Jalen Davis return for 37 yds to the BYU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 12TD
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:4214% → 23%
Q2 1:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
86.2%
BYU Penalty, personal foul (3 Yards) to the BYU 3Similar
Q2 1:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
86.2%
Tonny Lindsey run for 1 yd to the BYU 2Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
77.3%
D. Hobbs run for 2 yds for a TD, (B. Warren KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
80.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14PUNT
13 plays · 30 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+23
79.8%
Jamaal Williams run for 23 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-15
81.3%
BYU Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the BYU 32Similar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
80.0%
Jamaal Williams run for 3 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+3
80.1%
Taysom Hill run for 3 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+17
80.2%
Jamaal Williams run for 17 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
81.6%
Squally Canada run for 1 yd to the UthSt 44Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+15
81.5%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau for 15 yds to the UthSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-7
82.0%
Taysom Hill run for a loss of 7 yards to the UthSt 36 Taysom Hill fumbled, recovered by BYU Taysom HillSimilar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 17
OPP 36
-10
80.7%
HILL, Taysom pass complete to JUERGENS, Mitch for no gain to the USU36 (CENTERS, Devin), PENALTY BYU holding 10 yards to the USU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 27
OPP 46
0
80.6%
Taysom Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 27
OPP 46
0
79.6%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Nick KurtzSimilar
Q3 14:52
4TH & 27
OPP 46
0
78.6%
Jonny Linehan punt for 45 yds, downed at the UthSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 43 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
78.5%
Tonny Lindsey run for 3 yds to the UthSt 4Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+14
78.7%
Kent Myers pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 14 yds to the UthSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+16
78.0%
Kent Myers pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 16 yds to the UthSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
77.4%
Kent Myers pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 9 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+9
75.6%
Kent Myers pass complete to Rayshad Lewis for 9 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
75.1%
Kent Myers pass complete to Rayshad Lewis for no gain Rayshad Lewis fumbled, recovered by UthSt Rayshad LewisSimilar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-8
75.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the UthSt 44 TEAM fumbled, recovered by UthSt LaJuan HuntSimilar
Q3 11:27
3RD & 18
OWN 44
0
78.2%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Andrew RodriguezSimilar
Q3 11:27
4TH & 18
OWN 44
+4
79.1%
Aaron Dalton punt for 35 yds , Garrett Juergens returns for 4 yds to the BYU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 5:3480% → 90%
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
79.5%
Taysom Hill run for 3 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q3 7:53
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
79.6%
Jamaal Williams run for 8 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
80.3%
Taysom Hill run for 8 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q3 7:53
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+4
81.3%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 4 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
81.3%
Taysom Hill run for 6 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
Q3 7:53
2ND & 4
OPP 46
0
81.8%
Taysom Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:53
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+7
81.2%
Jamaal Williams run for 7 yds to the UthSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
81.8%
Taysom Hill run for 4 yds to the UthSt 35Similar
Q3 7:53
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+6
82.4%
Taysom Hill run for 6 yds to the UthSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
82.4%
Squally Canada run for 3 yds to the UthSt 26Similar
Q3 7:53
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+3
82.4%
Squally Canada run for 3 yds to the UthSt 23Similar
Q3 7:53
3RD & 4
OPP 23
0
81.5%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Moroni Laulu-PututauSimilar
Q3 7:53
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+15
80.1%
HILL, Taysom pass incomplete to KURTZ, Nick, PENALTY USU pass interference 15 yards to the USU8, 1ST DOWN BYU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-10
82.4%
WILLIAMS, Jamaa rush for 5 yards to the USU3 (FERGUSON, Gaje), PENALTY BYU holding 10 yards to the USU18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 18
+5
82.3%
Jamaal Williams run for 5 yds to the UthSt 13Similar
Q3 7:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+3
82.2%
Taysom Hill run for 3 yds to the UthSt 10Similar
Q3 2:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
89.9%
Mitchell Juergens 10 Yd pass from Taysom Hill (Rhett Almond Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17INT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:3311% → 9%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
89.1%
Tonny Lindsey run for 3 yds to the UthSt 24Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
89.1%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Ian Togiai, broken up by Dayan LakeSimilar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+2
91.1%
Kent Myers pass intercepted Fred Warner return for 2 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:3392% → 98%
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
91.5%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Colby PearsonSimilar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+3
91.4%
Jamaal Williams run for 3 yds to the UthSt 35Similar
Q3 1:28
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+6
91.1%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Colby Pearson for 6 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q3 1:28
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+15
90.8%
Jamaal Williams run for 15 yds to the UthSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
92.2%
Taysom Hill run for 1 yd to the UthSt 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+12
92.2%
Taysom Hill run for 12 yds to the UthSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
92.2%
Tanner Mangum run for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 5 Tanner Mangum fumbled, recovered by BYU Tanner MangumSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
92.2%
BYU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
92.2%
Jamaal Williams run for 5 yds to the UthSt 5Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Colby Pearson for 5 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.6%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Rayshad Lewis, broken up by Logan TaeleSimilar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.6%
Kent Myers run for 2 yds to the UthSt 26 Kent Myers fumbled, forced by Tomasi Laulile, recovered by UthSt Kent MyersSimilar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-6
96.7%
Kent Myers sacked by Tomasi Laulile for a loss of 6 yards to the UthSt 20Similar
Q4 12:55
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+7
96.7%
Aaron Dalton punt for 49 yds , Garrett Juergens returns for 7 yds to the BYU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20MISSED FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 5:3498% → 99%
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
98.0%
Tanner Mangum sacked by Ian Togiai for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 37Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+5
97.9%
Squally Canada run for 5 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+5
98.1%
MANGUM, Tanner pass intercepted by CARMEN, Brock at the BYU47, CARMEN, Brock return to the BYU0, clock 09:42, PENALTY USU pass interference 5 yards to the BYU47, 1ST DOWN BYU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
98.2%
Squally Canada run for 1 yd to the BYU 48Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+13
98.1%
KJ Hall run for 13 yds to the UthSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
98.2%
UTAH ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the UthSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
98.2%
KJ Hall run for 3 yds to the UthSt 21Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+10
98.2%
UTAH ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (10 Yards) to the UthSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
98.2%
KJ Hall run for 6 yds to the UthSt 5Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+1
98.2%
KJ Hall run for 1 yd to the UthSt 4Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 3
OPP 4
-7
98.2%
Tanner Mangum sacked by Travis Seefeldt for a loss of 7 yards to the UthSt 11Similar
Q4 5:47
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+28
98.5%
Rhett Almond 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.2%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Wyatt Houston, broken up by Logan TaeleSimilar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
98.2%
Kent Myers run for 5 yds to the UthSt 25Similar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
98.2%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Rayshad Lewis, broken up by Fred WarnerSimilar
Q4 5:47
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+5
98.2%
Aaron Dalton punt for 48 yds , Micah Hannemann returns for 5 yds to the BYU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 22END OF GAME
8 plays · 38 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
98.6%
Squally Canada run for 13 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
98.7%
Squally Canada run for 2 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+7
98.7%
Harvey Langi run for 7 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
Q4 5:07
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+4
98.7%
Harvey Langi run for 4 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
98.7%
Harvey Langi run for 2 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+4
98.7%
Harvey Langi run for 4 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
Q4 5:07
3RD & 4
OPP 36
0
98.7%
Harvey Langi run for no gain to the UthSt 36Similar
Q4 5:07
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+6
98.5%
Harvey Langi run for 6 yds to the UthSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:42
D. Hobbs run for 2 yds for a TD, (B. Warren KICK)
-9
TD · Q3 2:19
Mitchell Juergens 10 Yd pass from Taysom Hill (Rhett Almond Kick)
+7.6
FUMBLE · Q2 2:50
Damion Hobbs run for no gain Damion Hobbs fumbled, forced by Logan Taele, recovered by BYU Michael Shelton , return for 52 yds, (Rhett Almond KICK)
+7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com