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MASS

Massachusetts 9 at BYU 51

BYU
2016 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2016 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 14:54 · Logan Laurent punt for 28 yds, downed at the BYU 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 11Pregame prior+47.2Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Blowout margin+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:27: Andrew Ford pass complete to Bernard Davis for 70 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano PAT MISSED) — MASS win probability +0.9 pts (now 6%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 12:58: Logan Laurent 44 yd FG GOOD — MASS win probability +1.0 pts (now 7%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 11:30: Rhett Almond 33 yd FG GOOD — BYU win probability +1.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:18: Harvey Langi run for 2 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK) — BYU win probability +3.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:20: Andrew Ford pass intercepted for a TD Francis Bernard return for 39 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK) — BYU win probability +1.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7MASS made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 14:54MASS 4th & 6 at BYU 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:58MASS 4th & 16 at BYU 26, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.4%
    64% to make
    Punt
    6.7%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:49BYU 4th & 6 at BYU 38, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:56MASS 4th & 8 at BYU 44, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    8.8%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:10MASS 4th & 17 at BYU 46, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    9.5%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:33BYU 4th & 6 at MASS 46, up 5
    Close callPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    89.5%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.4%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:30BYU 4th & 3 at MASS 16, up 5
    Close callKicked a field goal · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.1%−0.3
    81% to make
    Punt
    84.1%−4.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:23MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 22, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:13BYU 4th & 8 at MASS 17, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    87.4%−3.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:20MASS 4th & 1 at BYU 46, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.6
    23% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:51BYU 4th & 2 at MASS 34, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:43MASS 4th & 6 at MASS 23, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:02BYU 4th & 9 at midfield, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:05BYU 4th & 4 at MASS 4, up 39
    Close callKicked a field goal · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:55MASS 4th & 18 at BYU 22, down 42
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    72% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6MASS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 3:27MASS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    7.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:53BYU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:22BYU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:18BYU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:20BYU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:50BYU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:22BYU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 43 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
97.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jalen Williams for 5 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 5
OWN 24
0
97.2%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam BrenemanSimilar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+11
97.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jalen Williams for 11 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
97.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 7 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+16
97.2%
Marquis Young run for 16 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
97.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 9 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 1
OPP 33
-2
97.2%
John Robinson-Woodgett run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 35Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 3
OPP 35
-10
97.2%
Lindsay, S. rush for no gain to the BYU35 (HANNEMANN, Mica), PENALTY UMASS holding 10 yards to the BYU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 13
OPP 45
+7
97.2%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 7 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q1 14:54
4TH & 6
OPP 38
0
97.2%
Logan Laurent punt for 28 yds, downed at the BYU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2FUMBLE
13 plays · 61 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
96.6%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the BYU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
96.6%
KJ Hall run for 2 yds to the BYU 22Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+12
96.6%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Tanner Balderree for 12 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
96.6%
Harvey Langi run for 4 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+7
96.6%
Taysom Hill run for 7 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
96.6%
Taysom Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
96.6%
Harvey Langi run for 4 yds to the BYU 49Similar
Q1 10:36
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+13
96.6%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Talon Shumway for 13 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
96.6%
Algernon Brown run for 2 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 8
OPP 36
-10
96.6%
LANGI, Harvey rush for 2 yards to the UMASS34 (Monteiro, J.), PENALTY BYU holding 10 yards to the UMASS46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 18
OPP 46
+10
96.6%
Taysom Hill run for 10 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q1 10:36
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+11
96.6%
HILL, Taysom pass incomplete to TRINNAMAN, Jona, PENALTY UMASS pass interference 11 yards to the UMASS25, 1ST DOWN BYU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-9
96.7%
Taysom Hill sacked by Colbert Calhoun for a loss of 9 yards to the UMass 29 Taysom Hill fumbled, recovered by UMass Tyshaun Ingram , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3TD
3 plays · 71 yds · 1:085% → 6%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
95.3%
Marquis Young run for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 25Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+5
95.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 5 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+70
94.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Bernard Davis for 70 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:3495% → 95%
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.5%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Tanner Balderree for 6 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+13
94.6%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau for 13 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
94.7%
Harvey Langi run for 9 yds to the UMass 47Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+6
94.8%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau for 6 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
94.8%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Moroni Laulu-PututauSimilar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+7
94.8%
KJ Hall run for 7 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+5
94.7%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau for 5 yds to the UMass 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
94.0%
KJ Hall run for 11 yds to the UMass 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
94.0%
KJ Hall run for 7 yds to the UMass 11Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+11
94.7%
KJ Hall run for 11 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5FG
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:476% → 7%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
93.9%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+26
93.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 26 yds to the BYU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
93.7%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam Breneman, broken up by Kai NacuaSimilar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-7
93.8%
Andrew Ford sacked by Fred Warner for a loss of 7 yards to the BYU 26 Andrew Ford fumbled, recovered by UMass Andrew Ford , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 16
OPP 26
0
94.1%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Jalen Williams, broken up by Troy WarnerSimilar
Q2 12:58
4TH & 16
OPP 26
+44
93.1%
Logan Laurent 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
93.1%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau for 4 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 6
OWN 38
0
93.4%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Nick KurtzSimilar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
93.1%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Mitchell JuergensSimilar
Q2 12:49
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
92.9%
Jonny Linehan punt for 47 yds , James Allen returns for no gain to the UMass 18 James Allen fumbled, recovered by UMass James AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 38 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+26
92.6%
Andy Isabella run for 26 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
92.2%
Andy Isabella run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 43Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+11
92.3%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 11 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
92.1%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
92.1%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Jalen WilliamsSimilar
Q2 11:56
3RD & 8
OPP 44
0
92.2%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Bernard DavisSimilar
Q2 11:56
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
92.6%
Logan Laurent punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8TD
15 plays · 86 yds · 4:2192% → 93%
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
92.0%
Harvey Langi run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 13Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 11
OWN 13
+6
92.0%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 6 yds to the BYU 19Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+8
91.8%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 8 yds to the BYU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
92.2%
Taysom Hill run for 5 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+24
92.5%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Colby Pearson for 24 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
92.8%
KJ Hall run for 10 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
93.0%
Taysom Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 10
OWN 0
0
92.1%
HILL, Taysom rush for 3 yards to the UMASS31 (Rodgers, I.), PENALTY BYU illegal use of hands off-setting, PENALTY UMASS personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY, BYU ball on UMASS34, 1st and 10.Similar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
93.0%
KJ Hall run for 4 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 6
OPP 30
0
93.1%
Taysom Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+5
92.8%
KJ Hall run for 5 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q2 9:43
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+13
92.6%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, face mask (13 yards) (13 Yards) to the UMass 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
93.1%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Aleva HifoSimilar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+7
93.1%
Taysom Hill run for 7 yds to the UMass 5Similar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+5
93.4%
Harvey Langi run for 5 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 20 yds · 3:037% → 8%
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
92.7%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 4 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+11
92.4%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jalen Williams for 11 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
92.2%
Marquis Young run for 5 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+7
92.1%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jalen Williams for 7 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
92.1%
Marquis Young run for 6 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 4
OPP 33
-4
91.7%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 6 yds to the BYU 27 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the BYU 37Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
92.1%
Andrew Ford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 8
OPP 37
-9
92.2%
Andrew Ford sacked by Logan Taele for a loss of 9 yards to the BYU 46Similar
Q2 2:10
4TH & 17
OPP 46
0
92.3%
Logan Laurent punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10PUNT
12 plays · 42 yds · 1:2992% → 90%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+11
91.8%
Taysom Hill pass complete to KJ Hall for 11 yds to the BYU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
91.9%
HILL, Taysom pass incomplete to KURTZ, Nick, PENALTY BYU holding 10 yards to the BYU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 20
OWN 13
+5
91.8%
KJ Hall run for 5 yds to the BYU 18Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 15
OWN 18
+18
91.8%
Taysom Hill run for 18 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
92.2%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
50
-15
92.6%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 6 yds to the UMASS 44 BYU Penalty, illegal block (-21 Yards) to the BYU 35Similar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 25
OWN 35
+14
91.9%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Colby Pearson for 14 yds to the BYU 49Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 11
OWN 49
-1
91.8%
Taysom Hill pass complete to KJ Hall for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 48Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 12
OWN 48
+6
89.8%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 6 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
89.8%
Jonny Linehan punt for 32 yds, downed at the UMass 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
91.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12FG
13 plays · 53 yds · 3:2291% → 92%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+22
91.2%
KJ Hall run for 22 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
91.9%
KJ Hall run for 4 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+5
91.9%
Taysom Hill run for 5 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+4
91.8%
Taysom Hill run for 4 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
92.1%
KJ Hall run for 3 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 7
OPP 31
0
92.1%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Moroni Laulu-PututauSimilar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+8
91.8%
Harvey Langi run for 8 yds to the UMass 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
92.1%
Harvey Langi run for 1 yd to the UMass 22Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 9
OPP 22
0
92.1%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Mitchell JuergensSimilar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+6
90.9%
Aleva Hifo run for 6 yds to the UMass 16Similar
Q3 11:30
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+33
92.4%
Rhett Almond 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
91.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 6 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 4
OWN 27
-5
91.4%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UMass 22Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
91.9%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Andy IsabellaSimilar
Q3 11:23
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
92.3%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Bernard DavisSimilar
Q3 11:23
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
92.6%
Logan Laurent punt blocked by Morgan Unga blocked by Morgan UngaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14FG
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1893% → 93%
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
93.1%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Moroni Laulu-PututauSimilar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+4
93.1%
Taysom Hill run for 4 yds to the UMass 15Similar
Q3 10:31
3RD & 6
OPP 15
-15
92.7%
HILL, Taysom pass complete to PEARSON, Colby for 14 yards to the UMASS1, PENALTY BYU pass interference 15 yards to the UMASS30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:31
3RD & 21
OPP 30
+13
92.3%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 13 yds to the UMass 17Similar
Q3 9:13
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+34
93.1%
Rhett Almond 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:4894% → 97%
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
93.7%
Taysom Hill run for 6 yds to the UMass 11Similar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 4
OPP 11
-2
93.7%
Harvey Langi run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 13Similar
Q3 9:06
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+11
93.5%
Taysom Hill run for 11 yds to the UMass 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
93.7%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Nick Kurtz, broken up by Jackson PorterSimilar
Q3 7:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.3%
Harvey Langi run for 2 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17INT TD
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:584% → 2%
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
96.5%
Andy Isabella run for 7 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
96.2%
Marquis Young run for 7 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+39
97.9%
Andrew Ford pass intercepted for a TD Francis Bernard return for 39 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jalen Williams for 9 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+11
97.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 11 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
97.9%
Marquis Young run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 5
50
+4
97.8%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 4 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 1
OPP 46
0
97.7%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the BYU 46Similar
Q3 6:20
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
97.9%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Adam BrenemanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 19TD
13 plays · 54 yds · 6:01100% → 100%
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
99.5%
KJ Hall run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 6
50
+5
99.5%
Harvey Langi run for 5 yds to the UMass 45Similar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+3
99.4%
Taysom Hill run for 3 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
99.5%
Harvey Langi run for 3 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
99.5%
KJ Hall run for no gain to the UMass 39Similar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 7
OPP 39
0
99.4%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Mitchell Juergens, broken up by Khary Bailey-SmithSimilar
Q3 3:51
4TH & 7
OPP 39
+5
99.4%
TAUTU, Sae punt 39 yards to the UMASS0, touchback, PENALTY UMASS roughing the kicker 5 yards to the UMASS34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:51
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+5
99.4%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 5 yds to the UMass 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
99.5%
Harvey Langi run for 6 yds to the UMass 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+15
99.5%
Harvey Langi run for 15 yds to the UMass 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
99.5%
Harvey Langi run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 11Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+6
99.6%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 6 yds to the UMass 5Similar
Q4 12:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Taysom Hill run for 5 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
99.9%
Andrew Ford sacked by Trajan Pili for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 18Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+7
99.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Jalen Williams for 7 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q4 12:43
3RD & 4
OWN 25
-2
99.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 23Similar
Q4 12:43
4TH & 6
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Logan Laurent punt for 43 yds , Garrett Juergens returns for no gain to the BYU 23 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the BYU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
99.9%
KJ Hall run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 9
50
0
99.9%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Garrett JuergensSimilar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 9
50
0
99.9%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Talon ShumwaySimilar
Q4 11:02
4TH & 9
50
0
99.9%
Jonny Linehan punt for 41 yds, fair catch by James Allen at the UMass 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22INT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-3
99.9%
Andrew Ford sacked by Grant Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 9 Andrew Ford fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+1
99.9%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 10Similar
Q4 10:02
3RD & 9
OWN 10
+10
99.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to John Robinson-Woodgett for 10 yds to the UMass 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Bernard Davis for 6 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Andrew Ford pass intercepted Isaiah Armstrong return for no gain to the UMass 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 23TD
6 plays · 36 yds · 2:34100% → 100%
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
99.9%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Nate Sampson for 12 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
99.9%
KJ Hall run for 3 yds to the UMass 21Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+15
99.9%
MANGUM, Tanner pass incomplete to SHUMWAY, Rickey (Allen, J.), PENALTY UMASS pass interference 15 yards to the UMASS6, 1ST DOWN BYU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 6
OWN 0
0
99.9%
MANGUM, Tanner pass complete to HALL, KJ for 1 yard to the UMASS5 (Monteiro, J.), PENALTY BYU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY UMASS unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 7 TEAM fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by BYUSimilar
Q4 5:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Garrett Juergens for 7 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 25FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:13100% → 100%
Q4 5:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
99.9%
KJ Hall run for 2 yds to the UMass 6Similar
Q4 5:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.9%
KJ Hall run for no gain to the UMass 6Similar
Q4 5:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
99.9%
Colby Hansen run for 2 yds to the UMass 4Similar
Q4 3:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
100.0%
Rhett Almond 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 26DOWNS
11 plays · 59 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
100.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 13 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
100.0%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Tedrick LowerySimilar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+28
100.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 28 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
99.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Andy Isabella for 4 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+3
99.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 3 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+14
99.9%
BYU Penalty, personal foul (14 Yards) to the BYU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-13
99.9%
Andrew Ford sacked by Moses Kaumatule for a loss of 13 yards to the BYU 27Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 23
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Andrew Ford pass incomplete to Peter AngehSimilar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 23
OPP 27
+5
100.0%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Marquis Young for 5 yds to the BYU 22Similar
Q4 2:55
4TH & 18
OPP 22
+5
99.9%
Andrew Ford pass complete to Adam Breneman for 5 yds to the BYU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:18
Harvey Langi run for 2 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)
+3.6
TD · Q3 6:20
Andrew Ford pass intercepted for a TD Francis Bernard return for 39 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)
+1.7
FG · Q3 11:30
Rhett Almond 33 yd FG GOOD
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com