Try the model
BYU

BYU 32 at West Virginia 35

WVU
2016 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2016 · Northwest Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadBYU aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreBYU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-6.9WVU 84.3%Jamaal Williams run for 3 yds for aTD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )AWAY 25 - HOME 35 · Q4 9:19
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:19 · Jamaal Williams run for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 151Home team on offense+13.1Pregame prior+1.7Garbage-time factor+3.5Score differential+5.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.4Blowout margin+1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:23: Taysom Hill pass intercepted for a TD Rasul Douglas return for 54 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +12.8 pts (now 76%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:44: Jamaal Williams run for 7 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — BYU win probability +14.7 pts (now 43%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:32: Skyler Howard run for 5 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +14.5 pts (now 83%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:27: Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 9 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +11.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:55: Taysom Hill pass complete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau for 18 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK) — BYU win probability +25.9 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5BYU made the numbers' call on 1 of 4
  1. Q1 15:00WVU 4th & 5 at BYU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    60.7%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    60.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:17BYU 4th & 4 at WVU 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.9%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    37.9%−3.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:50BYU 4th & 8 at midfield, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:57WVU 4th & 4 at WVU 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:00BYU 4th & 4 at WVU 7, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.6%−0.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    18.6%−6.5
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:36WVU 4th & 1 at BYU 39, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    60.2%−4.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    60.5%−4.0
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:28BYU 4th & 7 at WVU 43, down 9
    Close callPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    18.2%−2.0
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q4 9:09WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 45, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:34WVU 4th & 4 at WVU 43, up 3
    Close callPunted · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.3%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5BYU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 9:22WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:44BYU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:50WVU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:23WVU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:44BYU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    38.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    38.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:32WVU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:27WVU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:19BYU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    13.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    13.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:55BYU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.6%−1.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1TD
16 plays · 88 yds · 5:3862% → 64%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
61.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for no gain to the WVirg 12Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+2
61.5%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the WVirg 14Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 14
+35
61.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 35 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
61.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 8 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+6
61.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 6 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
61.5%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+1
61.5%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the BYU 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+5
61.5%
Skyler Howard run for 5 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+8
61.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 8 yds to the BYU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+13
61.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Devonte Mathis for 13 yds to the BYU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
61.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Rushel Shell for 5 yds to the BYU 6Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+4
61.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Elijah Wellman for 4 yds to the BYU 2Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+1
61.5%
BYU Penalty, Defensive offside (Francis Bernard) to the BYU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 0
OPP 1
-5
61.5%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the BYU 6Similar
Q1 9:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
64.1%
Rushel Shell run for 6 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2TD
16 plays · 78 yds · 6:3337% → 40%
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
63.4%
Jamaal Williams run for 11 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
63.2%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 2 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+6
63.2%
Jamaal Williams run for 6 yds to the BYU 41Similar
Q1 9:17
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+5
63.0%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 5 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
63.0%
Jamaal Williams run for 7 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+5
62.8%
Jamaal Williams run for 5 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
62.8%
BYU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 47Similar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 15
OPP 47
-5
63.0%
BYU Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the BYU 48Similar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 20
OWN 48
+10
64.4%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Colby Pearson for 10 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+6
63.8%
Jamaal Williams run for 6 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+8
63.8%
Jamaal Williams run for 8 yds to the WVirg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
63.3%
Jamaal Williams run for 3 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
63.3%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Colby PearsonSimilar
Q1 2:44
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+25
59.9%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 25 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3INT
8 plays · 60 yds · 0:0062% → 63%
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
61.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 2 yds to the WVirg 10Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+26
61.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 26 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+21
62.2%
Justin Crawford run for 21 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
63.0%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+7
62.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Justin Crawford for 7 yds to the BYU 36Similar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+4
62.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 4 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+20
63.4%
Skyler Howard pass intercepted Butch Pau'u return for 20 yds to the BYU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4FG
6 plays · 55 yds · 1:3941% → 42%
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+56
59.5%
Jamaal Williams run for 56 yds to the WVirg 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
58.6%
Jamaal Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 4Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
58.4%
Taysom Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 0
OPP 0
0
58.6%
HILL, Taysom pass complete to PEARSON, Colby for 3 yards to the WVU1 (Harper, Jarrod), PENALTY WVU holding off-setting, PENALTY BYU illegal touching off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
59.0%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Colby Pearson, broken up by Antonio CrawfordSimilar
Q2 14:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
58.2%
Rhett Almond 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5TD
13 plays · 86 yds · 4:2759% → 67%
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
59.1%
Skyler Howard run for 6 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+5
59.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 5 yds to the WVirg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
59.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Justin Crawford for 12 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
59.7%
Justin Crawford run for 18 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
61.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 9 yds to the BYU 36Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+5
61.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 5 yds to the BYU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
61.8%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+11
61.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 11 yds to the BYU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
61.8%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the BYU 15Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 7
OPP 15
0
61.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+13
61.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Rushel Shell for 13 yds to the BYU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
66.5%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
63.9%
Jamaal Williams run for 2 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+3
63.8%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 3 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+8
63.4%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 8 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
62.6%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 8
50
-5
62.4%
BYU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BYU 45Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 13
OWN 45
+5
63.8%
Taysom Hill run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 8
50
0
63.0%
Taysom Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:50
4TH & 8
50
0
64.4%
Jonny Linehan punt for 28 yds, downed at the WVirg 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0065% → 64%
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
65.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 7 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 3
OWN 29
-1
66.2%
Skyler Howard sacked by Harvey Langi for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 28Similar
Q2 5:57
3RD & 4
OWN 28
0
64.9%
Justin Crawford run for no gain to the WVirg 28Similar
Q2 5:57
4TH & 4
OWN 28
+16
64.0%
Billy Kinney punt for 46 yds , Garrett Juergens returns for 16 yds to the BYU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8INT TD
4 plays · 10 yds · 1:5536% → 24%
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
64.0%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Jamaal Williams for 6 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+4
63.5%
Jamaal Williams run for 4 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
63.1%
Taysom Hill run for no gain to the WVirg 48Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+54
75.9%
Taysom Hill pass intercepted for a TD Rasul Douglas return for 54 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 9FG
16 plays · 43 yds · 2:1424% → 27%
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
50
+12
75.6%
Jamaal Williams run for 12 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
75.6%
Jamaal Williams run for 6 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+6
74.4%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 6 yds to the WVirg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
73.5%
Taysom Hill run for 4 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 6
OPP 22
0
74.6%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Mitchell Juergens, broken up by Jeremy TylerSimilar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+5
75.6%
Taysom Hill run for 5 yds to the WVirg 13 Taysom Hill fumbled, forced by Maurice Fleming, recovered by BYU Colby Pearson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
74.4%
Jamaal Williams run for 3 yds to the WVirg 10Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 7
OPP 10
-10
75.7%
HILL, Taysom pass incomplete to PEARSON, Colby, QB hurry by Shuler II, Adam, PENALTY BYU holding (EIDE, Andrew) 10 yards to the WVU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 17
OPP 20
+13
77.4%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 13 yds to the WVirg 7Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 4
OPP 7
0
76.5%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+25
73.1%
Rhett Almond 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 4:0828% → 43%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
72.3%
Jamaal Williams run for 4 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+2
71.3%
Jamaal Williams run for 2 yds to the BYU 49Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+6
71.5%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 6 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
71.0%
Taysom Hill run for 12 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-6
69.8%
Taysom Hill sacked by Noble Nwachukwu for a loss of 6 yards to the WVirg 39Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 16
OPP 39
+5
72.3%
Squally Canada run for 5 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+27
72.2%
Taysom Hill run for 27 yds to the WVirg 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
57.5%
Jamaal Williams run for 7 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11DOWNS
13 plays · 55 yds · 0:0063% → 65%
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+10
62.9%
Rushel Shell run for 10 yds to the WVirg 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
63.1%
Rushel Shell run for 4 yds to the WVirg 18Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+5
63.1%
Shell, Rushel rush for 6 yards to the WVU24 (NACUA, Kai;PAU'U, Butch), PENALTY BYU offside (TAUTU, Sae) 5 yards to the WVU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+1
63.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 1 yd to the WVirg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
63.4%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Justin CrawfordSimilar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+17
63.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Justin Crawford for 17 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
65.4%
Skyler Howard run for 6 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+5
66.3%
Kennedy McKoy run for 5 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
66.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Gary Jennings for 9 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 1
OPP 39
0
66.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Devonte Mathis, broken up by Tanner JacobsonSimilar
Q3 10:36
3RD & 1
OPP 39
0
66.3%
Skyler Howard run for no gain to the BYU 39Similar
Q3 10:36
4TH & 1
OPP 39
-2
64.7%
Skyler Howard run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12FUMBLE
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0040% → 41%
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
59.9%
Jamaal Williams run for 5 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+5
59.2%
Jamaal Williams run for 5 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
58.6%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Jamaal Williams for 5 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+2
58.1%
Jamaal Williams run for 2 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q3 6:22
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+1
59.0%
Jamaal Williams run for 1 yd to the WVirg 41 Jamaal Williams fumbled, forced by Adam Shuler Ii, recovered by WVirg Khairi SharifSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13TD
4 plays · 59 yds · 1:3066% → 83%
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+51
65.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 51 yds to the BYU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
68.6%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the BYU 5Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
68.6%
Skyler Howard run for no gain to the BYU 5Similar
Q3 2:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
83.1%
Skyler Howard run for 5 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
79.8%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Colby Pearson for 15 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
78.4%
Taysom Hill run for 3 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
78.5%
Jamaal Williams run for no gain to the WVirg 43Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
78.8%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau, broken up by Maurice FlemingSimilar
Q3 2:28
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
80.7%
Jonny Linehan punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15TD
12 plays · 99 yds · 4:1882% → 95%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
82.2%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Ka'Raun White, broken up by Corbin KaufusiSimilar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+12
82.0%
Justin Crawford run for 12 yds to the WVirg 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
82.5%
Justin Crawford run for no gain to the WVirg 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+3
82.5%
Justin Crawford run for 3 yds to the WVirg 16Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+19
81.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 19 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
83.2%
Justin Crawford run for 10 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
84.5%
Justin Crawford run for 3 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+7
84.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 7 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
84.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 4 yds to the BYU 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
84.7%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+32
83.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 32 yds to the BYU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
95.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 9 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 2:017% → 16%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+19
92.6%
Taysom Hill run for 19 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
92.3%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for no gain to the WVirg 48Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+6
92.3%
Taysom Hill run for 6 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+4
92.4%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 4 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
92.3%
Taysom Hill run for 6 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+15
90.9%
HILL, Taysom pass incomplete to KURTZ, Nick, PENALTY WVU pass interference (Douglas, Rasul) 15 yards to the WVU17, 1ST DOWN BYU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
90.9%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Moroni Laulu-PututauSimilar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+14
91.2%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Colby Pearson for 14 yds to the WVirg 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
84.3%
Jamaal Williams run for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0088% → 86%
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
87.8%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
87.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Justin CrawfordSimilar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+2
86.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Rushel Shell for 2 yds to the WVirg 45 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 9:09
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
86.1%
Billy Kinney punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 2:0111% → 41%
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
89.1%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 10 yds to the BYU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
88.0%
Micah Hannemann run for 4 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
87.6%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Nick KurtzSimilar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+16
88.7%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Colby Pearson for 16 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
86.2%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Aleva HifoSimilar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+12
86.6%
Jamaal Williams run for 12 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+18
86.2%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 18 yds to the WVirg 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
84.8%
Squally Canada run for 1 yd to the WVirg 18Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+18
58.9%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau for 18 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:1575% → 73%
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
74.6%
Skyler Howard run for 4 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+2
76.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Rushel Shell for 2 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q4 4:34
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
75.5%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q4 4:34
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
73.2%
Billy Kinney punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Garrett Juergens at the BYU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
67.5%
Taysom Hill pass intercepted Jeremy Tyler return for no gain to the BYU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21FUMBLE
5 plays · 33 yds · 0:0081% → 82%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
80.7%
Skyler Howard run for 2 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+15
80.4%
Howard, Skyler pass incomplete to White, Ka'Raun, PENALTY BYU pass interference (WILCOX, Chris) 15 yards to the BYU22, 1ST DOWN WVU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
81.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 23Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 11
OPP 23
+19
81.4%
Justin Crawford run for 19 yds to the BYU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
81.5%
Tyler Orlosky run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 6 Tyler Orlosky fumbled, recovered by BYU Francis BernardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 22INT
9 plays · 66 yds · 1:2729% → 32%
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+29
71.3%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 29 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
67.7%
BYU Penalty, false start (Keyan Norman) to the BYU 30Similar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+3
74.3%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau for 3 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+8
74.7%
Taysom Hill run for 8 yds to the BYU 41Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+23
70.0%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 23 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
67.5%
Taysom Hill run for 8 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+2
67.9%
Taysom Hill pass intercepted Maurice Fleming return for 2 yds to the WVirg 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23END OF GAME
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0291% → 90%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
91.2%
Skyler Howard run for 2 yds to the WVirg 4Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 8
OWN 4
-2
90.9%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 2Similar
Q4 0:58
3RD & 10
OWN 2
0
90.4%
Team run for no gain to the WVirg 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:55
Taysom Hill pass complete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau for 18 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)
-25.9
TD · Q3 10:44
Jamaal Williams run for 7 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-14.7
TD · Q3 2:32
Skyler Howard run for 5 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)
+14.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com