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UCLA

UCLA 17 at BYU 14

BYU
2016 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2016 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:49 · Austin Kent punt for 53 yds , Garrett Juergens returns for 9 yds to the BYU 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 57Home team on offense−3.9Pregame prior−9.1Score differential−1.5Garbage-time factor−1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 7:24: Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 33 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +12.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:07: Jamaal Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK) — BYU win probability +7.8 pts (now 26%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 0:37: Taysom Hill pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 23 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK) — BYU win probability +30.0 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:37: Corey Edwards kickoff for 16 yds — UCLA win probability +14.7 pts (now 77%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:37: TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 48 — UCLA win probability +16.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11UCLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00BYU 4th & 8 at UCLA 31, tied
    Close callWent for it · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    40.9%
    54% to make
    Punt
    40.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:00UCLA 4th & 5 at UCLA 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:54BYU 4th & 10 at BYU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:58UCLA 4th & 5 at UCLA 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:08BYU 4th & 6 at BYU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:11BYU 4th & 23 at UCLA 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%−0.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    43.4%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:50BYU 4th & 7 at BYU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:49UCLA 4th & 18 at UCLA 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%−1.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:57UCLA 4th & 5 at BYU 7, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.8%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    58.4%−5.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:57BYU 4th & 6 at BYU 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:25UCLA 4th & 5 at UCLA 27, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.0%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:04BYU 4th & 13 at BYU 47, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−0.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:35UCLA 4th & 8 at UCLA 6, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−2.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%
    average punt
  14. Q2 0:00BYU 4th & 4 at UCLA 38, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.3%−1.3
    38% to make
    Punt
    30.7%−0.9
    average punt
  15. Q3 15:00UCLA 4th & 3 at UCLA 47, up 10
    Close callPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.2%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q3 13:03BYU 4th & 2 at BYU 28, down 10
    Close callPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%−0.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:33UCLA 4th & 3 at BYU 21, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.8%−0.7
    74% to make
    Punt
    69.4%−8.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:33BYU 4th & 3 at BYU 28, down 10
    Close callPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%−0.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 12:32UCLA 4th & 4 at UCLA 43, up 10
    Close callPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%−0.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 11:37BYU 4th & 15 at BYU 47, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−1.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:30UCLA 4th & 3 at UCLA 45, up 10
    Close callPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UCLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 12:50UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 7:24UCLA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:07BYU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:37BYU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1DOWNS
8 plays · 44 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
36.9%
Jamaal Williams run for 3 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
36.9%
Taysom Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+39
36.9%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Jamaal Williams for 39 yds to the UCLA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
36.9%
Taysom Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+2
36.9%
Squally Canada run for 2 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 31
0
36.9%
Taysom Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 31
0
36.9%
Taysom Hill pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
37.6%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+5
37.6%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Austin Roberts for 5 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
37.6%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Kenneth Walker IIISimilar
Q1 13:00
4TH & 5
OWN 36
+1
37.7%
Austin Kent punt for 43 yds , Garrett Juergens returns for 1 yd to the BYU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
38.1%
Jamaal Williams run for 2 yds to the BYU 24Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+6
38.0%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Garrett Juergens for 6 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+5
38.0%
Jamaal Williams run for 5 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
38.1%
Taysom Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
38.1%
Jamaal Williams run for no gain to the BYU 35Similar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
37.9%
Taysom Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:54
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+6
37.8%
Jonny Linehan punt for 55 yds , Ishmael Adams returns for 6 yds to the UCLA 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
38.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Kenneth Walker III for 9 yds to the UCLA 25Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+4
38.7%
Nate Starks run for 4 yds to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
38.9%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+5
39.0%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 5 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
39.0%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Ishmael Adams, broken up by Micah HannemannSimilar
Q1 8:58
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
39.2%
Austin Kent punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Garrett Juergens at the BYU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
39.6%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 6 yds to the BYU 24Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 4
OWN 24
-2
39.7%
Jamaal Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 22Similar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 6
OWN 22
0
39.2%
Taysom Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:08
4TH & 6
OWN 22
+50
39.0%
Jonny Linehan punt for 50 yds , Ishmael Adams returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
39.9%
Brandon Stephens run for no gain to the UCLA 27Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
40.0%
Josh Rosen pass intercepted Fred Warner return for no gain to the UCLA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -13 yds · 0:0042% → 40%
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
41.7%
Taysom Hill run for no gain to the UCLA 33Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-13
41.7%
Taysom Hill sacked by Rick Wade for a loss of 13 yards to the UCLA 46Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 23
OPP 46
0
40.4%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Jamaal WilliamsSimilar
Q1 5:11
4TH & 23
OPP 46
0
39.9%
Jonny Linehan punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 5:4159% → 66%
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
40.7%
Brandon Stephens run for 1 yd to the UCLA 21Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+20
40.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 35 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
39.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Mossi Johnson for 13 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
39.5%
Nate Starks run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 48Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 12
OPP 48
-2
40.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Nate Starks for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:31
3RD & 14
50
+13
40.6%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Mossi Johnson for 13 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q1 3:31
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+5
40.3%
BYU Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the BYU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
39.2%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Ishmael Adams, broken up by Fred WarnerSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+15
39.6%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Nate Starks for 15 yds to the BYU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
39.4%
Nate Starks run for 5 yds to the BYU 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+8
39.4%
Nate Starks run for 8 yds to the BYU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
39.4%
Nate Starks run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 6Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
34.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Cameron Griffin for 6 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0036% → 35%
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
36.2%
Jamaal Williams run for 1 yd to the BYU 26Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
36.2%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 5 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-3
36.0%
Taysom Hill sacked by Kenny Young for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 28Similar
Q2 12:50
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
35.2%
Jonny Linehan punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Ishmael Adams at the UCLA 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0065% → 63%
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
34.6%
Nate Starks run for no gain to the UCLA 38Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-8
34.7%
Josh Rosen sacked by Moses Kaumatule and Harvey Langi for a loss of 8 yards to the UCLA 30Similar
Q2 10:49
3RD & 18
OWN 30
0
36.5%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Darren Andrews, broken up by Francis BernardSimilar
Q2 10:49
4TH & 18
OWN 30
+9
37.0%
Austin Kent punt for 53 yds , Garrett Juergens returns for 9 yds to the BYU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
35.9%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Aleva Hifo for no gain to the BYU 26Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
35.6%
Taysom Hill pass intercepted Adarius Pickett return for no gain to the BYU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12FG
6 plays · 32 yds · 1:5467% → 69%
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
33.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 15 yds to the BYU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
33.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 12 yds to the BYU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
33.3%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 2 yds to the BYU 10Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+3
33.3%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 3 yds to the BYU 7Similar
Q2 8:51
3RD & 5
OPP 7
0
33.7%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Eldridge Massington, broken up by Troy WarnerSimilar
Q2 6:57
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+24
31.4%
JJ Molson 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
31.4%
Jamaal Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 23Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+6
31.3%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau for 6 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q2 6:57
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
31.0%
Taysom Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:57
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
30.2%
Jonny Linehan punt for 48 yds , Ishmael Adams returns for no gain to the UCLA 22 Ishmael Adams fumbled, recovered by UCLA Ishmael AdamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0069% → 67%
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
31.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 5 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 5
OWN 27
0
31.0%
Brandon Stephens run for no gain to the UCLA 27Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
31.7%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Ishmael AdamsSimilar
Q2 5:25
4TH & 5
OWN 27
0
32.6%
Austin Kent punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Garrett Juergens at the BYU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 2:5031% → 29%
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
31.0%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Colby Pearson for 6 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+5
31.5%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau for 5 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
31.7%
Jamaal Williams run for 5 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
32.2%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Nick KurtzSimilar
Q2 2:42
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+5
31.9%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Colby Pearson for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
50
+2
33.1%
Taysom Hill run for 2 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 8
OPP 48
-6
33.2%
Taysom Hill sacked by Takkarist McKinley for a loss of 6 yards to the BYU 46Similar
Q2 2:42
3RD & 14
OWN 46
+1
30.8%
Taysom Hill run for 1 yd to the BYU 47Similar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 13
OWN 47
0
29.2%
Jonny Linehan punt for 49 yds, downed at the UCLA 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:1869% → 69%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
31.4%
Nate Starks run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 3Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 11
OWN 3
+2
30.3%
Nate Starks run for 2 yds to the UCLA 5Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 9
OWN 5
+1
31.0%
Nate Starks run for 1 yd to the UCLA 6Similar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 8
OWN 6
0
30.9%
Austin Kent punt for 38 yds, downed at the UCLA 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 17MISSED FG
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:2430% → 28%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
29.6%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Jamaal WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-4
29.3%
Taysom Hill sacked by Jayon Brown for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 48Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 14
OPP 48
+10
27.6%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 10 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 38
+55
28.1%
Jake Oldroyd 55 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Eli AnkouSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
29.2%
Nate Starks run for 15 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
27.9%
Nate Starks run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+7
28.4%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Alex Van Dyke for 7 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+1
28.2%
Ishmael Adams run for 1 yd to the UCLA 47Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 47
+2
29.2%
Austin Kent punt for 35 yds , Garrett Juergens returns for 2 yds to the BYU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
27.5%
Jamaal Williams run for 5 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
27.9%
Jamaal Williams run for 3 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
27.2%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau, broken up by Tahaan GoodmanSimilar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
26.6%
Jonny Linehan punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 4:1672% → 87%
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
27.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Cameron Griffin for 12 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
26.8%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Fabian MoreauSimilar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
27.1%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 3 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+16
26.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Kenneth Walker III for 16 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
26.2%
Brandon Stephens run for 3 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
26.2%
Brandon Stephens run for no gain to the BYU 42Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+8
26.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 8 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
25.9%
Jalen Starks run for no gain to the BYU 34Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+1
25.9%
Jalen Starks run for 1 yd to the BYU 33Similar
Q3 7:24
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+33
13.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 33 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 21TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:1715% → 26%
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
15.2%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Jonah Trinnaman for 3 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+25
15.3%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 10 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Defensive holding (15 Yards) to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
17.0%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Hunter Marshall for 16 yds to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
17.5%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Jamaal Williams for 6 yds to the UCLA 25Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 4
OPP 25
0
17.7%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Nick Kurtz, broken up by Nate MeadorsSimilar
Q3 7:24
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+11
17.3%
Taysom Hill run for 11 yds to the UCLA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
17.7%
HILL, Taysom pass incomplete to TRINNAMAN, Jona, PENALTY UCLA holding 7 yards to the UCLA7, 1ST DOWN BYU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
17.7%
Jamaal Williams run for 3 yds to the UCLA 4Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
17.7%
HILL, Taysom pass incomplete to LAULU-PUTUTAU,M, PENALTY UCLA holding 2 yards to the UCLA2, 1ST DOWN BYU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
18.3%
Taysom Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
17.7%
Jamaal Williams run for 1 yd to the UCLA 1Similar
Q3 3:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
25.5%
Jamaal Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 22MISSED FG
13 plays · 64 yds · 4:3077% → 78%
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
23.1%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for no gain to the UCLA 15Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
23.4%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Ishmael AdamsSimilar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+29
24.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Nate Iese for 29 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
20.8%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for no gain to the UCLA 44Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+11
21.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 11 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-10
20.5%
Starks, N. rush for no gain to the BYU45 (TAELE, Logan;PAU'U, Butch), PENALTY UCLA holding 10 yards to the UCLA45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 20
OWN 45
0
21.2%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Nate Starks, broken up by Kesni TausingaSimilar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 20
OWN 45
+27
21.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Ishmael Adams for 27 yds to the BYU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
19.8%
Nate Starks run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+5
19.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Ishmael Adams for 5 yds to the BYU 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+3
19.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Nate Starks for 3 yds to the BYU 21Similar
Q4 13:33
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+38
21.9%
JJ Molson 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
20.2%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Jonah TrinnamanSimilar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+7
20.0%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 7 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q4 13:33
3RD & 3
OWN 28
0
19.7%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Moroni Laulu-PututauSimilar
Q4 13:33
4TH & 3
OWN 28
+1
18.5%
Jonny Linehan punt for 36 yds , Ishmael Adams returns for 1 yd to the UCLA 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
18.1%
Nate Starks run for 6 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
17.6%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Austin RobertsSimilar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
17.9%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Austin Roberts, broken up by Fred WarnerSimilar
Q4 12:32
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
19.4%
Austin Kent punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Garrett Juergens at the BYU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 25PUNT
13 plays · 27 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
18.0%
Jamaal Williams run for 3 yds to the BYU 23Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+7
17.9%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau for 7 yds to the BYU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
18.5%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Aleva HifoSimilar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
17.9%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Jamaal WilliamsSimilar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+12
16.9%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau for 12 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
19.8%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau for 9 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 1
OPP 49
0
21.6%
Taysom Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+1
21.0%
Taysom Hill run for 1 yd to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
21.0%
Taysom Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-10
20.6%
HILL, Taysom sacked for 1 yard to the UCLA47 (Brown), fumble by HILL, Taysom recovered by BYU KOROMA, Tejan at 50 yardline, KOROMA, Tejan for no gain to the 50 yardline, PENALTY BYU H 10 yards to the BYU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 20
OWN 42
+5
18.5%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Jonah Trinnaman for 5 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 15
OWN 47
0
17.7%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Mitchell Juergens, broken up by Jaleel WadoodSimilar
Q4 11:37
4TH & 15
OWN 47
0
16.8%
Jonny Linehan punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ishmael Adams at the UCLA 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 26PUNT
11 plays · 37 yds · 5:0486% → 94%
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
13.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 4 yds to the UCLA 12Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+3
14.0%
Nate Starks run for 3 yds to the UCLA 15Similar
Q4 7:34
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+12
15.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 12 yds to the UCLA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
13.4%
Nate Starks run for 2 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+5
13.4%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Nate Iese for 5 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q4 7:34
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+4
13.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 4 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
12.5%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 3 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 7
OWN 41
-1
12.4%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 40Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+5
6.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 5 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q4 2:30
4TH & 3
OWN 45
+4
6.3%
Austin Kent punt for 50 yds , Garrett Juergens returns for 4 yds to the BYU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 27TD
9 plays · 91 yds · 1:396% → 38%
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
5.6%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 8 yds Nick Kurtz fumbled, forced by Fabian Moreau, recovered by BYU Jamaal WilliamsSimilar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+4
6.0%
Taysom Hill run for 4 yds to the BYU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
5.9%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 11 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
6.3%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Jonah Trinnaman for 4 yds to the BYU 36Similar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+12
6.5%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau for 12 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
7.1%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Colby Pearson for 16 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
7.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+13
7.7%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 13 yds to the UCLA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
37.7%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 23 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 28END OF GAME
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0494% → 94%
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
6.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 48Similar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 11
OWN 48
-1
6.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:37
Taysom Hill pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 23 yds for a TD, (Rhett Almond KICK)
+30
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:37
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 48
-16.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:37
Corey Edwards kickoff for 16 yds
-14.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com