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BYU

BYU 19 at Utah 20

UTAH
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadBYU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreBYU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+5.8UTAH 92.9%Andy Phillips 29 yd FG GOODAWAY 13 - HOME 20 · Q4 2:47
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:47 · Andy Phillips 29 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+22.0+11.00−11.0−22.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 158Pregame prior+0.5Home team on offense+21.9Garbage-time factor+14.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.9Score differential+3.6Blowout margin−1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:06: Taysom Hill run for 39 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +13.9 pts (now 54%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:17: Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 21 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +15.6 pts (now 67%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 2:47: Andy Phillips 29 yd FG GOOD — UTAH win probability +5.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:18: Taysom Hill 7 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — BYU win probability +24.6 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 0:18: Timeout BYU, clock 00:18 — BYU win probability +4.9 pts (now 46%) (top driver: Inside the two-minute warning).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5BYU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 14:44BYU 4th & 5 at BYU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:15BYU 4th & 6 at UTAH 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.0%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    36.0%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    35.6%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:44BYU 4th & 20 at UTAH 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−0.3
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    34.4%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:04BYU 4th & 9 at UTAH 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    34.3%−1.8
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:58UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 27, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00BYU 4th & 3 at BYU 42, down 1
    Close callPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.9%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:57BYU 4th & 3 at UTAH 46, down 1
    Close callPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    36.6%−1.0
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:54UTAH 4th & 6 at UTAH 18, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:32BYU 4th & 18 at UTAH 47, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%−2.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:53UTAH 4th & 7 at BYU 30, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.4%
    56% to make
    Punt
    63.2%−2.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:10UTAH 4th & 11 at midfield, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:30BYU 4th & 3 at BYU 10, down 4
    Close callPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00BYU 4th & 4 at UTAH 45, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    31.1%−3.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%−1.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:47UTAH 4th & 6 at BYU 12, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.3%
    86% to make
    Punt
    70.3%−14.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2BYU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 14:44UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:06BYU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:17UTAH Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:18BYU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 2.6 ptsWent for two · failed
    Kick
    41.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    38.4%−2.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+41
61.4%
Taysom Hill pass intercepted for a TD Sunia Tauteoli return for 41 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
61.4%
Jamaal Williams run for 3 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q1 14:44
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
61.4%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Colby Pearson for 2 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q1 14:44
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
61.4%
Taysom Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:44
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+1
61.5%
Jonny Linehan punt for 50 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 1 yd to the Utah 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3FUMBLE
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
62.0%
UTAH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 16Similar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 15
OWN 16
+4
62.0%
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 4 yds Raelon Singleton fumbled, forced by Francis Bernard, recovered by BYU Kai NacuaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4FG
9 plays · 3 yds · 3:1738% → 37%
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-4
61.7%
Taysom Hill sacked by Brian Allen for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 33Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 14
OPP 33
0
62.0%
Taysom Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 14
OPP 33
+8
62.2%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 8 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q1 12:15
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+9
62.2%
Mitchell Juergens pass complete to Corbin Kaufusi for 9 yds to the Utah 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-8
61.9%
Taysom Hill sacked by Pita Taumoepenu for a loss of 8 yards to the Utah 28 Taysom Hill fumbled, recovered by BYU Taysom Hill , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 22
OPP 28
+2
62.0%
Jamaal Williams run for 2 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 20
OPP 26
0
62.1%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Mitchell JuergensSimilar
Q1 9:44
4TH & 20
OPP 26
+43
62.6%
Jake Oldroyd 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5FUMBLE
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
62.0%
Joe Williams run for 3 yds to the Utah 17Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+11
62.0%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tyrone Smith for 11 yds to the Utah 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
62.1%
Troy Williams pass complete to Harrison Handley for 8 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+2
62.4%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the Utah 37 Joe Williams fumbled, forced by Harvey Langi, recovered by BYU Dayan LakeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6FG
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:5338% → 38%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-11
62.2%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Ului Lapuaho for 4 yds to the Utah 33 BYU Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the Utah 48Similar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 21
OPP 48
+2
62.5%
Taysom Hill run for 2 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 19
OPP 46
+9
62.5%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Jonah Trinnaman for 9 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+11
62.4%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 11 yds to the Utah 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
61.9%
Brayden El-Bakri run for 1 yd to the Utah 25Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
61.9%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Jonah TrinnamanSimilar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 9
OPP 25
0
62.3%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Mitchell JuergensSimilar
Q1 5:04
4TH & 9
OPP 25
+42
61.7%
Jake Oldroyd 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 0:0062% → 63%
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
62.4%
Kyle Fulks run for 7 yds to the Utah 23Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+14
62.5%
Troy McCormick run for 14 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
62.4%
Troy McCormick run for 6 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 4
OWN 28
0
62.6%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Kyle FulksSimilar
Q1 4:58
3RD & 4
OWN 28
-1
62.2%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 27Similar
Q1 4:58
4TH & 5
OWN 27
0
61.7%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 53 ydsSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-15
62.7%
UTAH Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Utah 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:2438% → 38%
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
62.0%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Jonah Trinnaman BYU Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
62.1%
Jamaal Williams run for 7 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q1 2:24
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+8
62.0%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Colby Pearson for 8 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
61.7%
Algernon Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 32Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+10
62.1%
Taysom Hill run for 10 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
61.0%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Mitchell JuergensSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 42
+9
62.0%
Jonny Linehan punt for 43 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 9 yds to the Utah 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9INT
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
62.7%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tyrone SmithSimilar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+15
62.6%
Troy Williams pass complete to Evan Moeai for 15 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+26
63.3%
Troy Williams pass intercepted Kai Nacua return for 11 yds to the 50 yard line BYU Penalty, illegal block (Francis Bernard) to the BYU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
60.6%
Jamaal Williams run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 7
50
+5
60.5%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 5 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q2 13:57
3RD & 2
OPP 45
-1
60.7%
Taysom Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 46Similar
Q2 13:57
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
61.4%
Jonny Linehan punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11INT
11 plays · 76 yds · 0:0063% → 65%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
62.9%
Troy McCormick run for 4 yds to the Utah 24Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+4
63.1%
Troy McCormick run for 4 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+4
62.5%
Troy McCormick run for 4 yds to the Utah 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
63.2%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Kyle FulksSimilar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+49
63.1%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tyrone Smith for 49 yds to the BYU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
65.3%
Troy Williams pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 1 yd to the BYU 18Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+6
65.3%
Troy Williams run for 6 yds to the BYU 12Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+6
64.6%
Troy Williams run for 6 yds to the BYU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
65.3%
Troy McCormick run for no gain to the BYU 6Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
65.3%
Troy Williams run for 2 yds to the BYU 4Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
64.6%
Troy Williams pass intercepted, touchback. Kai Nacua return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:0637% → 51%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
62.7%
Jamaal Williams run for 2 yds to the BYU 22Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+16
62.8%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau for 16 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
61.5%
Jamaal Williams run for 17 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
60.2%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 6 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+39
46.3%
Taysom Hill run for 39 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-15
49.1%
BYU Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the BYU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13TD
14 plays · 72 yds · 3:4152% → 67%
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+14
51.8%
Troy McCormick run for 14 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
53.3%
Kyle Fulks run for 4 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+12
53.6%
Troy McCormick run for 12 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
54.4%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the BYU 41Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 8
OPP 41
-4
54.3%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the BYU 35 UTAH Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the BYU 45Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+13
53.1%
Troy Williams pass complete to Harrison Handley for 13 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
55.8%
Troy McCormick run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 30 Troy McCormick fumbled, recovered by Utah Troy McCormickSimilar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+3
52.4%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+6
51.8%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the BYU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
67.3%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 21 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · 27 yds · 0:0038% → 39%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
62.4%
Jamaal Williams run for 17 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
60.1%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+10
60.8%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau for 10 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0063% → 61%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
63.4%
Troy McCormick run for 2 yds to the Utah 16Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+2
63.4%
Troy Williams run for 2 yds to the Utah 18Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 6
OWN 18
0
62.2%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tyrone SmithSimilar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 6
OWN 18
+9
61.3%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 65 yds , Garrett Juergens returns for 9 yds to the BYU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
62.5%
Jamaal Williams run for no gain to the BYU 26Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+5
62.8%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 5 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+14
62.7%
Taysom Hill run for 14 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
60.1%
Jamaal Williams run for 1 yd to the BYU 46Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+15
60.2%
HILL, Taysom pass incomplete, PENALTY UTAH personal foul (Mokofisi,Filipo) 15 yards to the UTAH39, 1ST DOWN BYU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-10
59.3%
WILLIAMS, Jamaa rush for 3 yards to the UTAH36 (Barton, Cody;Allen, Brian), PENALTY BYU holding (BALDERREE, Tann) 10 yards to the UTAH49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 20
OPP 49
+2
60.8%
Taysom Hill run for 2 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 18
OPP 47
0
60.9%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Nick Kurtz, broken up by Filipo MokofisiSimilar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 18
OPP 47
0
62.1%
Taysom Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:32
4TH & 18
OPP 47
0
63.5%
Jonny Linehan punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17FG
5 plays · 42 yds · 1:4864% → 69%
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+39
63.7%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 39 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
67.9%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tim PatrickSimilar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
67.8%
Joe Williams run for 3 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+1
66.5%
Troy Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 30 Troy Williams fumbled, recovered by Utah Troy Williams , return for 1 yd to the BYU 30Similar
Q3 7:53
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+47
69.3%
Andy Phillips 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18INT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:0033% → 36%
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
67.0%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Jamaal Williams for 10 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
66.2%
Taysom Hill run for 2 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q3 7:53
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+9
65.9%
Taysom Hill run for 9 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
63.7%
Taysom Hill pass intercepted Sunia Tauteoli return for no gain to the BYU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0072% → 68%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
72.1%
Joe Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 48Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 13
OWN 48
+2
70.1%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 11
50
0
69.5%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Harrison Handley, broken up by Francis BernardSimilar
Q3 6:10
4TH & 11
50
0
67.6%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Garrett Juergens at the BYU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20INT
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:0033% → 34%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+19
67.3%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 19 yds to the BYU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
66.5%
Jamaal Williams run for 2 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+1
66.1%
Taysom Hill pass intercepted Reginald Porter return for 1 yd to the BYU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21INT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0073% → 74%
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
73.1%
Joe Williams run for 5 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 5
OPP 43
-5
73.2%
UTAH Penalty, false start (Garett Bolles) to the BYU 48Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-10
72.7%
Williams, Troy sacked for loss of 2 yards to the 50 yardline (WARNER, Fred), PENALTY UTAH holding (Bolles, Garett) 10 yards to the UTAH42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 20
OWN 42
+15
70.4%
Williams, Troy pass incomplete to Simpkins,Demari (NACUA, Kai), PENALTY BYU targeting (NACUA, Kai) 15 yards to the BYU43, 1ST DOWN UTAH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
73.2%
BYU Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the BYU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
74.1%
Troy Williams pass intercepted Francis Bernard return for no gain to the BYU 28 BYU Penalty, targeting (Austin McChesney) to the BYU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:4132% → 27%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
68.2%
Jamaal Williams run for no gain to the BYU 3Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 3
0
72.2%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Hunter MarshallSimilar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 10
OWN 3
+7
73.4%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 7 yds to the BYU 10 BYU Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 1:30
4TH & 3
OWN 10
0
73.2%
Rhett Almond punt for 39 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for no gain to the BYU 49 Boobie Hobbs fumbled, recovered by BYU Michael DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4433% → 31%
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
67.0%
Jamaal Williams run for 4 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
66.6%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Mitchell JuergensSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+2
67.1%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 2 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
69.1%
Jonny Linehan punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Boobie Hobbs at the Utah 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24FG
23 plays · 78 yds · 11:2173% → 93%
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-3
72.6%
Joe Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 7Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 13
OWN 7
-2
71.9%
Troy Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 5Similar
Q4 14:08
3RD & 15
OWN 5
+15
70.6%
Williams, Troy pass incomplete to Patrick, Tim (WILCOX, Chris), PENALTY BYU pass interference (WILCOX, Chris) 15 yards to the UTAH20, 1ST DOWN UTAH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
72.9%
Williams, Troy pass incomplete to Young, Kenric, PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Young, Kenric) 10 yards to the UTAH10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+17
72.6%
Zack Moss run for 17 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+5
73.6%
Troy Williams pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 5 yds to the Utah 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
73.4%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+5
73.6%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q4 14:08
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+10
74.4%
Zack Moss run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
50
+4
76.0%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the BYU 46Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+7
76.2%
Joe Williams run for 7 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
76.3%
Joe Williams run for 6 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 4
OPP 33
-4
77.7%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 4 yards to the BYU 37Similar
Q4 14:08
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+10
75.5%
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 10 yds to the BYU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
77.7%
Joe Williams run for 5 yds to the BYU 22Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+3
77.7%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the BYU 19Similar
Q4 14:08
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+3
76.1%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the BYU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
77.7%
Troy Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 17Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+6
77.5%
Troy Williams pass complete to Evan Moeai for 6 yds to the BYU 11Similar
Q4 14:08
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+4
76.2%
Troy Williams pass complete to Joe Williams for 4 yds to the BYU 7Similar
Q4 2:52
4TH & 1
OPP 7
-5
87.0%
UTAH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the BYU 12Similar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+29
92.9%
Andy Phillips 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 25TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 2:2911% → 41%
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.8%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Moroni Laulu-PututauSimilar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
89.0%
Taysom Hill run for 11 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
87.1%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Jonah Trinnaman for 18 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
85.2%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Mitchell Juergens, broken up by Cody BartonSimilar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+7
85.3%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 7 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+3
84.3%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 3 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
84.9%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Moroni Laulu-PututauSimilar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+8
85.3%
Taysom Hill run for 8 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+9
86.0%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Cody Stewart for 9 yds to the Utah 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
83.8%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau for 5 yds to the Utah 14Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+12
83.8%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 12 yds to the Utah 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 0
OPP 2
-5
79.7%
BYU Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Utah 7Similar
Q4 1:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
83.8%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Colby PearsonSimilar
Q4 0:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
59.2%
Taysom Hill 7 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
91.2%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:18
Taysom Hill 7 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
-24.6
TD · Q2 0:17
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 21 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
+15.6
TD · Q2 4:06
Taysom Hill run for 39 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
-13.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com