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MORG

Morgan State 3 at Army 60

ARMY
2016 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2016 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadMORG aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreMORG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:50 · Chris Clack Jr. punt for 28 yds , Malik McGue returns for no gain to the Army 42 Malik McGue fumbled, recovered by MorgS Ian McBorrough
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 107Pregame prior+34.2Home team on offense+30.5Score differential+24.5Blowout margin+12.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.0Garbage-time factor+7.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:26: Andy Davidson run for 23 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK) — MORG win probability +0.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 9:25: Alex Raya 24 yd FG GOOD — MORG win probability +0.4 pts (now 2%) (top driver: MORG has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:45: Jordan Asberry run for 50 yds for a TD, (A. Bradshaw Run For Two-point Conversion) — ARMY win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:23: Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Edgar Poe for 31 yds for a TD, (A. Davidson Run For Two-point Conversion) — ARMY win probability +1.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:50: Darnell Woolfolk run for 27 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK) — ARMY win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MORG made the numbers' call on 11 of 13
  1. Q1 15:00MORG 4th & 2 at MORG 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:26MORG 4th & 9 at MORG 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:49MORG 4th & 6 at MORG 24, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:43ARMY 4th & 14 at MORG 43, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00MORG 4th & 17 at MORG 45, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:25MORG 4th & 7 at ARMY 7, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:25ARMY 4th & 4 at ARMY 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:38MORG 4th & 7 at ARMY 27, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    2.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:02MORG 4th & 12 at MORG 23, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:50MORG 4th & 2 at MORG 33, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:22MORG 4th & 3 at ARMY 35, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:57ARMY 4th & 25 at MORG 30, up 33
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:45MORG 4th & 7 at MORG 25, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:25MORG 4th & 15 at MORG 25, down 43
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:29ARMY 4th & 16 at ARMY 38, up 43
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:20MORG 4th & 9 at MORG 34, down 43
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:20MORG 4th & 14 at MORG 42, down 50
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 9:26ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:58ARMY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:45ARMY Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:23ARMY Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:50ARMY Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:33ARMY Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:30ARMY Touchdown, up 49 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:43ARMY Touchdown, up 56 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MORGDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.3%
Chris Andrews pass incomplete to Amonta Poteat, broken up by Jaylon McClintonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-5
99.3%
MORGAN ST Penalty, illegal shift (-5 Yards) to the MorgS 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 14
+3
99.3%
Eric Harrell run for 3 yds to the MorgS 17Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 17
+10
99.3%
Chris Andrews run for 10 yds to the MorgS 27Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 27
+1
99.3%
Chris Clack Jr. punt for 34 yds , Malik McGue returns for 1 yd to the Army 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2TD
9 plays · 60 yds · 3:4999% → 99%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
99.2%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 8 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+6
99.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 6 yds to the MorgS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
99.2%
ARMY Penalty, false start (Justin Gilbert) to the Army 49Similar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 15
OWN 49
+2
99.2%
Andy Davidson run for 2 yds to the MorgS 49Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 13
OPP 49
+6
99.2%
Tyler Campbell run for 6 yds to the MorgS 43Similar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+10
99.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Jordan Asberry for 10 yds to the MorgS 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
99.2%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the MorgS 30Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+7
99.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 7 yds to the MorgS 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
99.1%
Andy Davidson run for 23 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.0%
Chris Andrews pass complete to Landen Malbrough for 11 yds to the MorgS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.0%
Eric Harrell run for 1 yd to the MorgS 37Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+5
99.0%
Eric Harrell run for 5 yds to the MorgS 42Similar
Q1 9:26
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
99.0%
Chris Andrews pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:26
4TH & 4
OWN 42
-5
99.0%
MORGAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MorgS 37Similar
Q1 9:26
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
99.0%
Chris Clack Jr. punt for 10 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MorgS 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4TD
3 plays · 47 yds · 0:4099% → 99%
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.0%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+42
99.0%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 42 yds to the MorgS 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.0%
Lamont Brown III run for 2 yds to the MorgS 22Similar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+7
99.0%
DeAndre Harris pass complete to Landen Malbrough for 7 yds to the MorgS 29Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-5
99.0%
DeAndre Harris run for a loss of 5 yards to the MorgS 24Similar
Q1 6:49
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
99.0%
Chris Clack Jr. punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Army 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
99.0%
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the Army 45Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+16
99.0%
Bradshaw, Ahmad rush for 1 yard to the ARMY46 (RAMOS,George), PENALTY MSU face mask (RAMOS,George) 16 yards to the MSU39, 1ST DOWN ARMY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.0%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to Edgar PoeSimilar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-5
99.0%
ARMY Penalty, false start (Jaxson Deaton) to the MorgS 44Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 15
OPP 44
+6
99.0%
Kell Walker run for 6 yds to the MorgS 38Similar
Q1 4:43
3RD & 9
OPP 38
0
99.0%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to Andy DavidsonSimilar
Q1 4:43
4TH & 9
OPP 38
-5
99.0%
ARMY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MorgS 43Similar
Q1 4:43
4TH & 14
OPP 43
0
98.9%
Jermaine Adams punt for 41 yds, downed at the MorgS 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 7PUNT
13 plays · 43 yds · 2:421% → 1%
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
98.8%
Lamont Brown III run for 1 yd to the MorgS 3Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 9
OWN 3
-2
98.8%
Lamont Brown III run for a loss of 2 yards to the MorgS 1Similar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 11
OWN 1
+13
98.8%
Chris Andrews pass complete to Amonta Poteat for 13 yds to the MorgS 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
98.8%
Chris Andrews run for 6 yds to the MorgS 20Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+7
98.8%
Chris Andrews pass complete to Landen Malbrough for 7 yds to the MorgS 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
98.8%
Chris Andrews pass complete to Thomas Martin for 11 yds to the MorgS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-7
98.6%
Chris Andrews sacked by James Nachtigal for a loss of 7 yards to the MorgS 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 31
-1
98.6%
Lamont Brown III run for a loss of 1 yard to the MorgS 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 30
+22
98.6%
Chris Andrews pass complete to Thomas Martin for 22 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
98.5%
Lamont Brown III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 49
0
98.6%
Chris Andrews pass incomplete to Landen MalbroughSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 49
-6
98.6%
Chris Andrews sacked by John Voit for a loss of 6 yards to the MorgS 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 45
0
98.6%
Chris Clack Jr. punt for 33 yds , Malik McGue returns for no gain to the Army 19 Malik McGue fumbled, forced by Rico Kennedy, recovered by MorgS Maurice Lewis Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 8FG
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:182% → 2%
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
98.2%
Eric Harrell run for 6 yds to the Army 13Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 4
OPP 13
0
98.2%
Chris Andrews pass incomplete to Landen MalbroughSimilar
Q2 11:43
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+6
98.3%
Chris Andrews run for 6 yds to the Army 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
98.2%
Chris Andrews run for no gain to the Army 7Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
98.2%
Chris Andrews pass incomplete to Landen MalbroughSimilar
Q2 9:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
98.2%
Chris Andrews pass incomplete to Thomas MartinSimilar
Q2 9:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
97.8%
Alex Raya 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.8%
Andy Davidson run for 5 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
97.9%
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the Army 33Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-2
97.8%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 31Similar
Q2 9:25
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
97.8%
Jermaine Adams punt for 10 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Army 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 10DOWNS
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:003% → 2%
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
97.5%
Chris Andrews run for 11 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
97.4%
Lamont Brown III run for 2 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
97.4%
Chris Andrews pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+1
97.5%
Chris Andrews pass complete to Lamont Brown III for 1 yd to the Army 27Similar
Q2 7:38
4TH & 7
OPP 27
0
97.7%
Chris Andrews pass incomplete to Thomas MartinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 2:4998% → 99%
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
97.5%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 8 yds to the Army 35Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+3
97.6%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
97.6%
Andy Davidson run for 7 yds to the Army 45Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+2
97.6%
Andy Davidson run for 2 yds to the Army 47Similar
Q2 5:34
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+3
97.6%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
50
+50
98.5%
Jordan Asberry run for 50 yds for a TD, (A. Bradshaw Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:362% → 2%
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.3%
Chris Andrews run for 4 yds to the MorgS 29Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-6
98.3%
Chris Andrews sacked by Gibby Gibson and Alex Aukerman for a loss of 6 yards to the MorgS 23Similar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
98.3%
Chris Andrews pass incomplete to Thomas MartinSimilar
Q2 2:02
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
98.3%
Chris Clack Jr. punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MorgS 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13TD
6 plays · 49 yds · 1:2698% → 100%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
98.4%
Andy Davidson run for 2 yds to the MorgS 47Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+16
98.4%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Edgar Poe for 16 yds to the MorgS 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
98.4%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to Jordan AsberrySimilar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-10
98.4%
Bradshaw, Ahmad pass incomplete to Ejekam, Jeff, PENALTY ARMY holding (Holland, Bryce) 10 yards to the MSU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 20
OPP 41
+10
98.4%
Bradshaw, Ahmad pass intercepted by JOHNSON,Darius at the MSU31, JOHNSON,Darius return to the MSU31, PENALTY MSU pass interference (LUSANE,Rashon) 10 yards to the MSU31, 1ST DOWN ARMY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
99.6%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Edgar Poe for 31 yds for a TD, (A. Davidson Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
99.6%
Eric Harrell run for 7 yds to the MorgS 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15TD
13 plays · 86 yds · 5:01100% → 100%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
99.5%
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the Army 17Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+5
99.5%
Andy Davidson run for 5 yds to the Army 22Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+5
99.5%
Andy Davidson run for 5 yds to the Army 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
99.5%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 2 yds to the Army 29Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+5
99.5%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 5 yds to the Army 34Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+19
99.5%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 19 yds to the MorgS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
99.7%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 6 yds to the MorgS 41Similar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+8
99.7%
Jordan Asberry run for 8 yds to the MorgS 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
99.7%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 4 yds to the MorgS 29Similar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+2
99.7%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the MorgS 27Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+27
99.9%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 27 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Lamont Brown III run for 3 yds to the MorgS 28Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
99.9%
Lamont Brown III run for 5 yds to the MorgS 33Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Chris Andrews pass incomplete to Marcolm BanksSimilar
Q3 9:50
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.8%
Chris Clack Jr. punt for 28 yds , Malik McGue returns for no gain to the Army 42 Malik McGue fumbled, recovered by MorgS Ian McBorroughSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 17DOWNS
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Chris Andrews pass incomplete to Willie Gillus III, broken up by Gibby GibsonSimilar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+9
99.9%
Chris Andrews pass complete to Grayling Harrison for 9 yds to the Army 33Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 1
OPP 33
-2
99.8%
Eric Harrell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 35Similar
Q3 8:22
4TH & 3
OPP 35
-14
99.8%
Chris Andrews sacked by Andrew King for a loss of 14 yards to the Army 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 18FG
10 plays · 21 yds · 4:00100% → 100%
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
99.9%
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the MorgS 48Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+4
99.9%
Andy Davidson run for 4 yds to the MorgS 44Similar
Q3 6:57
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+17
99.9%
Kell Walker run for 17 yds to the MorgS 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
99.9%
Malik McGue run for 6 yds to the MorgS 21Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+6
99.9%
Andy Davidson run for 6 yds to the MorgS 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-2
99.9%
Malik McGue run for a loss of 2 yards to the MorgS 17Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 12
OPP 17
-7
99.9%
Malik McGue run for a loss of 7 yards to the MorgS 30 Malik McGue fumbled, forced by Marcolm Banks, recovered by Army Malik McGueSimilar
Q3 6:57
3RD & 25
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Malik McGue pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:57
4TH & 25
OPP 30
+47
99.9%
Blake Wilson 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
99.9%
Lamont Brown III run for 2 yds to the MorgS 24Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 8
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Chris Andrews pass incomplete to Landen Malbrough MORGAN ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+1
99.9%
Chris Andrews run for 1 yd to the MorgS 25Similar
Q3 2:45
4TH & 7
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Chris Clack Jr. punt for 35 yds , Edgar Poe returns for no gain to the Army 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 20TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:38100% → 100%
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+23
99.9%
Joe Walker run for 23 yds to the MorgS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
99.9%
Andy Davidson run for 7 yds to the MorgS 30Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+3
99.9%
Chris Carter run for 3 yds to the MorgS 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
99.9%
Andy Davidson run for 8 yds to the MorgS 19Similar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+19
99.9%
Andy Davidson run for 19 yds for a TD, (Avery Walas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
100.0%
Chris Andrews pass complete to Amonta Poteat for 5 yds to the MorgS 35Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 5
OWN 35
-3
100.0%
Eric Harrell run for a loss of 3 yards to the MorgS 32Similar
Q4 14:25
3RD & 8
OWN 32
-7
100.0%
Chris Andrews sacked by James Nachtigal for a loss of 7 yards to the MorgS 25Similar
Q4 14:25
4TH & 15
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Chris Clack Jr. punt for 31 yds, downed at the Army 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
99.9%
Chris Carter sacked by Brandon Griffin for a loss of 5 yards to the Army 39Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 15
OWN 39
+4
99.9%
Andy Davidson run for 4 yds to the Army 43Similar
Q4 12:29
3RD & 11
OWN 43
-5
99.9%
Chris Carter sacked by Rico Kennedy for a loss of 5 yards to the Army 38Similar
Q4 12:29
4TH & 16
OWN 38
0
99.9%
J.D. Mote punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MorgS 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
100.0%
DeAndre Harris pass complete to Grayling Harrison for 1 yd to the MorgS 34Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 9
OWN 34
0
100.0%
DeAndre Harris pass incomplete to Marcolm BanksSimilar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 9
OWN 34
0
100.0%
DeAndre Harris pass incomplete to Amonta Poteat, broken up by Max ReganSimilar
Q4 10:20
4TH & 9
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Chris Clack Jr. punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Edgar Poe at the Army 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 24TD
2 plays · 68 yds · 0:49100% → 100%
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
99.9%
Joe Walker run for 12 yds to the Army 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
100.0%
Cole Macek run for 56 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Howard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
100.0%
DeAndre Harris pass complete to Landen Malbrough for 9 yds to the MorgS 44Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+2
100.0%
Eric Harrell run for 2 yds to the MorgS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-7
100.0%
DeAndre Harris sacked by Amadeo West for a loss of 7 yards to the MorgS 39Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 17
OWN 39
+3
100.0%
DeAndre Harris run for 3 yds to the MorgS 42Similar
Q4 8:20
3RD & 14
OWN 42
0
100.0%
DeAndre Harris pass incomplete to Grayling HarrisonSimilar
Q4 8:20
4TH & 14
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Chris Clack Jr. punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Edgar Poe at the Army 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 26TD
12 plays · 83 yds · 5:12100% → 100%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
100.0%
PaulAndrew Rhoden run for 3 yds to the Army 20Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+6
100.0%
Cole Macek run for 6 yds to the Army 26Similar
Q4 5:55
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+4
100.0%
Chris Carter run for 4 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
100.0%
Cole Macek run for 5 yds to the Army 35Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+17
100.0%
Chris Carter run for 17 yds to the MorgS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
100.0%
Cole Macek run for 3 yds to the MorgS 45Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+2
100.0%
Elijah St. Hilaire run for 2 yds to the MorgS 43Similar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+13
100.0%
Cole Macek run for 13 yds to the MorgS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
100.0%
Cole Macek run for 6 yds to the MorgS 24Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+5
100.0%
Elijah St. Hilaire run for 5 yds to the MorgS 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
100.0%
Cole Macek run for 19 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Howard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
100.0%
Lamont Brown III run for 3 yds to the MorgS 19Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+6
100.0%
Lamont Brown III run for 6 yds to the MorgS 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:23
Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Edgar Poe for 31 yds for a TD, (A. Davidson Run For Two-point Conversion)
+1.2
TD · Q2 2:45
Jordan Asberry run for 50 yds for a TD, (A. Bradshaw Run For Two-point Conversion)
+0.9
FG · Q2 9:25
Alex Raya 24 yd FG GOOD
-0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com