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ARMY

Army 6 at Notre Dame 44

ND
2016 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2016 · Alamodome
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Win probability · ND
modelND aheadARMY aheadconfidence bandkey playND scoreARMY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 14:48 · Jermaine Adams punt for 44 yds , Chris Finke returns for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 6Home team on offense+0.0Pregame prior+31.5Score differential+0.0Blowout margin+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:00: DeShone Kizer pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 37 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +1.2 pts (now 83%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:44: Josh Adams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +2.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:14: Kell Walker run for 2 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Howard PAT MISSED) — ARMY win probability +6.2 pts (now 18%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:34: DeShone Kizer pass complete to Durham Smythe for 10 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +8.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:37: DeShone Kizer pass complete to Durham Smythe for 31 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ND made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ARMY made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 14:48ARMY 4th & 11 at ARMY 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:00ARMY 4th & 19 at ARMY 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−0.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:14ARMY 4th & 2 at ND 2, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    11.9%−0.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−3.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:34ARMY 4th & 8 at ARMY 27, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:39ND 4th & 10 at ARMY 10, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−0.6
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    90.0%−3.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:40ARMY 4th & 2 at ARMY 48, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.6%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:12ND 4th & 2 at ARMY 40, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    94.5%−0.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    94.4%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:59ARMY 4th & 14 at ND 16, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.5%
    81% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:37ARMY 4th & 5 at ARMY 19, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00ARMY 4th & 12 at ND 13, down 38
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ARMY made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:48ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:00ND Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:44ND Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:14ARMY Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    17.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:34ND Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:37ND Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:55ND Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARMYDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
81.6%
Cole Macek run for 2 yds to the Army 24Similar
Q1 14:48
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+2
81.6%
Tyler Campbell run for 2 yds to the Army 26Similar
Q1 14:48
3RD & 6
OWN 26
-4
81.6%
Kell Walker run for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 21 Kell Walker fumbled, recovered by Army Kell WalkerSimilar
Q1 14:48
4TH & 11
OWN 21
-6
81.6%
Jermaine Adams punt for 44 yds , Chris Finke returns for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 2:4282% → 83%
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
81.6%
Josh Adams run for 14 yds to the NDame 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
81.6%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NDame 38Similar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+15
81.6%
KIZER deep pass incomplete to SANDERS, PENALTY ARMY pass interference (Gibson, Gibby) 15 yards to the ARMY47, 1ST DOWN ND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
81.7%
Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+5
81.7%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 5 yds to the Army 39Similar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+2
81.7%
Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
82.9%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 37 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · -9 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
82.4%
ARMY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Army 21Similar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+5
82.4%
Chris Carter run for 5 yds to the Army 26Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+2
82.4%
Cole Macek run for 2 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 8
OWN 28
-14
82.5%
Carter, Chris post pass complete to Campbell,Tyler for 44 yards to the ND28, out-of-bounds (LUKE), PENALTY ARMY illegal block (Walker, Kell) 14 yards to the ARMY14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 22
OWN 14
+3
82.5%
Cole Macek run for 3 yds to the Army 17Similar
Q1 10:00
4TH & 19
OWN 17
+22
82.5%
Jermaine Adams punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Army 44 , Chris Finke returns for 22 yds to the Army 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5TD
10 plays · 44 yds · 3:3584% → 87%
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
83.9%
Josh Adams run for 4 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q1 7:19
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+5
83.9%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 5 yds to the Army 35Similar
Q1 7:19
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+3
83.7%
Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the Army 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+18
83.9%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 18 yds to the Army 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
83.9%
DeShone Kizer run for 9 yds to the Army 5Similar
Q1 7:19
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+2
83.9%
Dexter Williams run for 2 yds to the Army 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
83.9%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete, broken up by TEAMSimilar
Q1 3:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
84.7%
KIZER rush right for 3 yards to the ARMY0, clock 03:54, PENALTY ND illegal formation 5 yards to the ARMY8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
84.7%
KIZER deep out pass incomplete to ST. BROWN, PENALTY ARMY pass interference (Riley, Elijah) 6 yards to the ARMY2, 1ST DOWN ND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
87.4%
Josh Adams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6TD
11 plays · 63 yds · 4:3013% → 18%
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
87.2%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 6 yds to the Army 43Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+3
86.9%
Jordan Asberry run for 3 yds to the Army 46Similar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+6
87.0%
Chris Carter run for 6 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
86.9%
Chris Carter run for 6 yds to the NDame 42Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+37
86.7%
Jordan Asberry run for 37 yds to the NDame 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
86.5%
Chris Carter run for 2 yds to the NDame 3Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
86.5%
Chris Carter run for no gain to the NDame 3Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
88.6%
Chris Carter run for 1 yd to the NDame 2Similar
Q2 14:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
81.9%
Kell Walker run for 2 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Howard PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 4:4084% → 93%
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
84.4%
Josh Adams run for 8 yds to the NDame 37Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+10
84.6%
Josh Adams run for 10 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
85.0%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Kevin StephersonSimilar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+27
84.9%
DeShone Kizer run for 27 yds to the Army 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
85.1%
Josh Adams run for 1 yd to the Army 25Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 9
OPP 25
-5
85.1%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Army 30Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 14
OPP 30
0
84.9%
DeShone Kizer run for no gain to the Army 30Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 14
OPP 30
+25
84.6%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 25 yds to the Army 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
85.1%
DeShone Kizer run for a loss of 5 yards to the Army 10Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
93.3%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Durham Smythe for 10 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
91.3%
Tyler Campbell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 24Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
91.4%
Kell Walker run for 3 yds to the Army 27Similar
Q2 9:34
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
91.5%
Chris Carter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:34
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+32
91.5%
Jermaine Adams punt for 47 yds, downed at the NOTREDAME 26 ARMY Penalty, kick catching interference (Richard Hanson) to the NDame 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9FG
10 plays · 49 yds · 4:2293% → 94%
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+23
93.4%
DeShone Kizer run for 23 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
93.4%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Chase Claypool for 9 yds to the Army 27Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+7
93.4%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Corey Holmes for 7 yds to the Army 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
93.4%
Josh Adams run for 8 yds to the Army 12Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+2
93.4%
Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the Army 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
93.3%
Tarean Folston run for 3 yds to the Army 7Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
93.2%
KIZER screen pass complete to STEPHERSON for 2 yards to the ARMY5 (Timpf, Jeremy), PENALTY ND illegal formation 5 yards to the ARMY12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
93.4%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Kevin StephersonSimilar
Q2 8:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+2
93.1%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 2 yds to the Army 10Similar
Q2 3:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
94.1%
Justin Yoon 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10DOWNS
8 plays · 22 yds · 1:5910% → 10%
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
90.1%
Chris Carter pass incomplete to John TrainorSimilar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+14
90.2%
Jordan Asberry run for 14 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
89.4%
Chris Carter run for 4 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+4
89.1%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
89.0%
TEAM run for no gain to the Army 48 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Army Chris CarterSimilar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
90.3%
Chris Carter run for no gain to the Army 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11TD
9 plays · 48 yds · 0:5996% → 99%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
96.4%
DeShone Kizer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
96.4%
DeShone Kizer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+8
96.3%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Tarean Folston for 8 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q2 1:12
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+7
96.1%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 7 yds to the Army 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
96.8%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Josh Adams for 7 yds to the Army 26Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 3
OPP 26
-5
95.9%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Army 31Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
96.7%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to C.J. Sanders, broken up by Max ReganSimilar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+31
98.7%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Durham Smythe for 31 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+12
99.0%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 12 yds to the Army 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
99.1%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the Army 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13MISSED FG
10 plays · 59 yds · 4:012% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.3%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 9 yds to the Army 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+40
98.0%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 40 yds to the NDame 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
97.8%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 1 yd to the NDame 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
97.8%
Chris Carter pass incomplete to Tyler CampbellSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+13
98.0%
Chris Carter run for 13 yds to the NDame 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
97.8%
Cole Macek run for 3 yds to the NDame 9Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 9
-2
97.8%
Chris Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 11Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 11
-5
98.0%
Chris Carter sacked by Greer Martini for a loss of 5 yards to the NDame 16Similar
Q3 10:59
4TH & 14
OPP 16
+33
98.5%
Blake Wilson 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 14INT
17 plays · 76 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.2%
Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the NDame 22Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
99.2%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to C.J. SandersSimilar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+8
99.2%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 8 yds to the NDame 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.2%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Kevin StephersonSimilar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-3
99.2%
Josh Adams run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 27Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 13
OWN 27
+15
99.2%
DeShone Kizer run for 15 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
99.2%
Josh Adams run for 12 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.2%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Corey Holmes, broken up by Jaylon McClintonSimilar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
99.2%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Miles BoykinSimilar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+18
99.2%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Nic Weishar for 18 yds to the Army 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
99.3%
DeShone Kizer run for 3 yds to the Army 25Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+9
99.3%
Tarean Folston run for 9 yds to the Army 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.3%
Tarean Folston run for no gain to the Army 16Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+7
99.3%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Sanders for 7 yds to the Army 9Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+2
99.2%
Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the Army 7Similar
Q3 10:59
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+3
99.2%
ARMY Penalty, offside defense (Andrew King) to the Army 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+14
99.2%
DeShone Kizer pass intercepted Xavier Moss return for 14 yds to the Army 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
99.7%
Chris Carter pass incomplete to Edgar Poe, broken up by Donte VaughnSimilar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+5
99.7%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 5 yds to the Army 19Similar
Q3 3:37
3RD & 5
OWN 19
0
99.7%
Chris Carter pass incomplete to Edgar Poe, broken up by Cole LukeSimilar
Q3 3:37
4TH & 5
OWN 19
0
99.7%
Jermaine Adams punt for 18 yds, downed at the Army 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 16TD
5 plays · 37 yds · 1:39100% → 100%
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
99.7%
Tarean Folston run for 10 yds to the Army 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
99.7%
Tarean Folston run for 10 yds to the Army 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
99.7%
Tarean Folston run for 8 yds to the Army 9Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+5
99.7%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Chris Finke for 5 yds to the Army 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
Tarean Folston run for 4 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17INT
14 plays · 67 yds · 0:550% → 0%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.8%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 5 yds to the Army 25Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 6 yds to the Army 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
99.8%
Malik McGue pass complete to John Trainor for 4 yds to the Army 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+4
99.8%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the Army 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+3
99.8%
Malik McGue run for 3 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
99.8%
Tyler Campbell run for 2 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+9
99.8%
Malik McGue pass complete to Christian Poe for 9 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
99.8%
Cole Macek run for 4 yds to the NDame 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+32
99.8%
Malik McGue run for 32 yds to the NDame 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
99.8%
John Trainor run for 5 yds to the NDame 6Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 6
0
99.8%
Malik McGue run for no gain to the NDame 7 Malik McGue fumbled, recovered by Army Jordan AsberrySimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 7
-6
99.8%
Malik McGue sacked by James Onwualu for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 13Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 12
OPP 13
+2
99.8%
Malik McGue pass intercepted Julian Love return for 2 yds to the NDame 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 18END OF GAME
16 plays · 69 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
99.9%
TEAM run for no gain to the NDame 1 TEAM fumbled,Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 12
OWN 1
+4
99.9%
Malik Zaire run for 4 yds to the NDame 5Similar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 8
OWN 5
+12
99.9%
Malik Zaire run for 12 yds to the NDame 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
99.9%
Tarean Folston run for 9 yds to the NDame 26Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+2
99.9%
Malik Zaire run for 2 yds to the NDame 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
99.9%
Malik Zaire pass complete to Miles Boykin for 6 yds to the NDame 34Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+7
99.9%
Tarean Folston run for 7 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
99.9%
Malik Zaire run for 8 yds to the NDame 49Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+1
99.9%
Tarean Folston run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 1
50
+7
99.9%
Tarean Folston run for 7 yds to the Army 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
99.9%
Malik Zaire run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 45Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 12
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Tarean Folston run for no gain to the Army 45Similar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 12
OPP 45
+16
99.9%
Tarean Folston run for 16 yds to the Army 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
99.9%
Malik Zaire run for 11 yds to the Army 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
99.9%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Army 23Similar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 15
OPP 23
-5
99.9%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Army 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:34
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Durham Smythe for 10 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)
+8.2
TD · Q2 14:14
Kell Walker run for 2 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Howard PAT MISSED)
-6.2
TD · Q1 3:44
Josh Adams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)
+2.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com