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ARMY

Army 21 at Wake Forest 13

WAKE
2016 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2016 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadARMY aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scoreARMY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of GameFG+1WAKE 69.0%Mike Weaver 37 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 10 · Q3 12:02
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:02 · Mike Weaver 37 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 91Pregame prior+10.3Home team on offense+3.6Garbage-time factor+0.6Score differential+0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:43: John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 3 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +7.0 pts (now 71%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 11:45: Ahmad Bradshaw run for 11 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK) — ARMY win probability +29.1 pts (now 67%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 9:25: Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Army 42 — ARMY win probability +9.2 pts (now 68%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:03: Timeout WAKE FOREST, clock 03:03 — ARMY win probability +17.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:54: Darnell Woolfolk run for 6 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK) — ARMY win probability +6.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 9ARMY made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 9:16ARMY 4th & 4 at WAKE 12, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.7%−<0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    28.9%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:16WAKE 4th & 11 at WAKE 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:15ARMY 4th & 9 at ARMY 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:45WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00ARMY 4th & 6 at ARMY 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:20WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 49, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:50ARMY 4th & 5 at WAKE 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    38.9%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    36.2%−2.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:43ARMY 4th & 12 at WAKE 32, tied
    Close callWent for it · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.8%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    34.5%
    51% to make
    Punt
    33.6%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:08WAKE 4th & 9 at ARMY 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:02WAKE 4th & 12 at ARMY 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%−2.3
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.9%
    77% to make
    Punt
    55.5%−8.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:02ARMY 4th & 5 at WAKE 44, down 3
    Close callPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    31.3%−2.0
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:36WAKE 4th & 3 at ARMY 28, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.5%−1.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    62.9%−7.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:58WAKE 4th & 9 at WAKE 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−3.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:45WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    39.5%−4.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:25WAKE 4th & 10 at ARMY 16, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.2%−0.8
    81% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−1.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WAKE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ARMY made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 7:54ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:43WAKE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:45ARMY Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.0%−0.4
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:54ARMY Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAKEDrive 1INT
8 plays · 29 yds · 1:0573% → 73%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
72.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Cade Carney for 9 yds to the WFrst 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+6
72.6%
John Wolford run for 6 yds to the WFrst 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
72.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 6 yds to the WFrst 37Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+8
72.5%
Cade Carney run for 8 yds to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
72.5%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+31
72.5%
John Wolford pass intercepted Rhyan England return for 31 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2MISSED FG
7 plays · 22 yds · 3:3828% → 29%
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
72.0%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 4 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+4
71.9%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 4 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+8
72.0%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 8 yds to the WFrst 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
71.9%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 5 yds to the WFrst 13Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 5
OPP 13
0
71.9%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for no gain to the WFrst 13Similar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+1
72.0%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 1 yd to the WFrst 12Similar
Q1 9:16
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+29
71.1%
Blake Wilson 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
71.5%
Matt Colburn run for 3 yds to the WFrst 23Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+1
71.5%
Matt Colburn run for 1 yd to the WFrst 24Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
71.3%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:16
4TH & 6
OWN 24
-5
71.1%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 19Similar
Q1 9:16
4TH & 11
OWN 19
+5
71.1%
Dom Maggio punt for 29 yds , Malik McGue returns for 5 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4TD
1 play · 43 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
67.9%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Edgar Poe for 43 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 5INT
3 plays · 48 yds · 0:0069% → 70%
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+48
68.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 48 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
69.5%
John Wolford pass intercepted Elijah Riley return for no gain to the Army 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 1:5732% → 33%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
68.1%
Chris Carter run for 3 yds to the Army 25Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+5
67.9%
Jordan Asberry run for 5 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+7
67.9%
Chris Carter run for 7 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
66.8%
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-2
66.5%
Chris Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 38Similar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
66.9%
Chris Carter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:15
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
67.5%
J.D. Mote punt for 39 yds, downed at the WFrst 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0066% → 67%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
66.2%
John Wolford run for 9 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+1
66.9%
John Wolford run for 1 yd to the WFrst 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
66.4%
Matt Colburn run for 2 yds to the WFrst 35Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+7
66.4%
John Wolford pass complete to Alex Bachman for 7 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 1
OWN 42
0
67.1%
Cade Carney run for no gain to the WFrst 42Similar
Q1 3:45
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
66.5%
Dom Maggio punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4736% → 35%
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
64.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Jeff Ejekam for 6 yds to the Army 26Similar
Q1 0:47
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-1
63.7%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-1
63.9%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 24Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
64.6%
J.D. Mote punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jessie Bates at the WFrst 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
64.1%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cade CarneySimilar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
63.6%
Chuck Wade run for 4 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+5
63.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 5 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q2 14:20
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+58
63.9%
Dom Maggio punt for 42 yds , Malik McGue returns for 58 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10DOWNS
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0040% → 38%
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
60.5%
Andy Davidson run for 5 yds to the WFrst 28 Andy Davidson fumbled, forced by Cameron Glenn,Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+1
60.3%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 1 yd to the WFrst 27Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 4
OPP 27
-1
60.7%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 28Similar
Q2 12:50
4TH & 5
OPP 28
-3
61.8%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 3:0661% → 71%
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
61.1%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 7 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+15
62.4%
Matt Colburn run for 15 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
62.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 8 yds to the Army 39Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+6
63.0%
John Wolford run for 6 yds to the Army 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
63.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Alex BachmanSimilar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+4
63.7%
Matt Colburn run for 4 yds to the Army 29Similar
Q2 10:49
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+13
62.9%
Matt Colburn run for 13 yds to the Army 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+13
63.8%
John Wolford run for 13 yds to the Army 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
70.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 3 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12DOWNS
10 plays · 24 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
64.8%
ARMY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Army 30Similar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+2
65.4%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+3
65.6%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 3 yds to the Army 35Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+35
66.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Edgar Poe for 35 yds to the WFrst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
62.4%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for no gain to the WFrst 30Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+3
62.5%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 7
OPP 27
-15
63.5%
Bradshaw, Ahmad sideline pass incomplete to Poe, Christian, PENALTY ARMY personal foul (Walker, Kell) 15 yards to the WF42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 22
OPP 42
+10
65.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Edgar Poe for 10 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q2 7:43
4TH & 12
OPP 32
-9
65.9%
Ahmad Bradshaw sacked by Jaboree Williams for a loss of 9 yards to the WFrst 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 2:4069% → 67%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
68.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Alex Bachman for 5 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+6
69.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt Colburn for 6 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
69.7%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 47Similar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+5
68.2%
Matt Colburn run for 5 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
69.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Scotty Washington for 5 yds to the Army 43Similar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+1
69.4%
John Wolford run for 1 yd to the Army 42Similar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 4
OPP 42
-5
68.7%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Army 47Similar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
67.4%
Dom Maggio punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Army 11 , Malik McGue returns for no gain to the Army 11 Malik McGue fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
64.7%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 2 yds to the Army 13Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+3
64.9%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 3 yds to the Army 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15FUMBLE
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:0037% → 38%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
62.7%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 5 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
61.9%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 5 yds to the Army 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
62.0%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for no gain to the Army 35 Ahmad Bradshaw fumbled, forced by Thomas Brown, recovered by WFrst Duke EjioforSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 16FG
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:5170% → 69%
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
69.7%
Cade Carney run for 2 yds to the Army 33Similar
Q3 13:53
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+2
69.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 2 yds to the Army 31Similar
Q3 13:53
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+14
68.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for 14 yds to the Army 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-2
69.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Tabari Hines for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 19Similar
Q3 13:53
2ND & 12
OPP 19
0
69.6%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
Q3 13:53
3RD & 12
OPP 19
0
68.1%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Tabari HinesSimilar
Q3 12:02
4TH & 12
OPP 19
+37
69.0%
Mike Weaver 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 0:0031% → 33%
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
68.6%
Christian Drake run for 2 yds to the Army 27Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
68.4%
John Trainor run for 4 yds to the Army 31Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
68.7%
John Trainor run for 10 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
66.4%
Kell Walker run for 10 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
65.4%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+3
65.4%
Kell Walker run for 3 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
65.8%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to Edgar Poe, broken up by Essang BasseySimilar
Q3 12:02
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
67.3%
J.D. Mote punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 18MISSED FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 2:4670% → 71%
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
69.8%
Wolford, J sideline pass complete to Bachman, A for 9 yards to the WF29 (Hyatt, Marcus), PENALTY WF holding (Colburn, M) 10 yards to the WF10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+27
69.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 27 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
70.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Alex Bachman for 7 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+7
72.4%
John Wolford run for 7 yds to the Army 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
72.9%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Alex BachmanSimilar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+14
72.4%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt Colburn for 14 yds to the Army 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
73.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Scotty WashingtonSimilar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+8
73.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Chuck Wade for 8 yds to the Army 27Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 2
OPP 27
-1
72.6%
John Wolford run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 28Similar
Q3 5:36
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+46
70.7%
Mike Weaver 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 19INT
10 plays · 54 yds · 0:0033% → 36%
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
67.4%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Defensive offside (Elontae Bateman) to the Army 33Similar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 5
OWN 33
+2
65.7%
Andy Davidson run for 2 yds to the Army 35Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+6
65.7%
Jordan Asberry run for 6 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
65.2%
Andy Davidson run for 10 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
63.9%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 2 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+9
63.9%
Andy Davidson run for 9 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
63.9%
Kell Walker run for 14 yds to the WFrst 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
62.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 2 yds to the WFrst 22Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+4
62.2%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the WFrst 18Similar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+25
63.7%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass intercepted Jessie Bates return for 25 yds to the WFrst 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0069% → 66%
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
69.1%
John Wolford run for 4 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-3
69.3%
Matt Colburn run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 26Similar
Q3 1:58
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
67.3%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Alex BachmanSimilar
Q3 1:58
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
66.4%
Dom Maggio punt for 62 yds, downed at the Army 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 21TD
9 plays · 88 yds · 4:0031% → 67%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+17
69.0%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Jordan Asberry for 17 yds to the Army 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
68.2%
Andy Davidson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+6
68.9%
Christian Drake run for 6 yds to the Army 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+6
68.7%
Andy Davidson run for 6 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+34
66.3%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Edgar Poe for 34 yds to the WFrst 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
61.8%
Andy Davidson run for 9 yds to the WFrst 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+6
61.8%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 6 yds to the WFrst 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
61.8%
Darnell Woolfolk run for no gain to the WFrst 11Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
32.7%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 11 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 22INT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:0043% → 41%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
43.2%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Alex Bachman, broken up by Xavier MossSimilar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
43.0%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Tabari HinesSimilar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+9
40.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Alex Bachman for 9 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q4 11:45
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+3
40.9%
Cade Carney run for 3 yds to the WFrst 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
44.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Cade Carney for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 30Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 12
OWN 30
0
43.0%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Alex BachmanSimilar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 12
OWN 30
0
41.2%
John Wolford pass intercepted Jaylon McClinton return for no gain to the Army 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 23TD
13 plays · 60 yds · 6:3168% → 95%
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
32.0%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Army 42Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+5
32.0%
Kell Walker run for 5 yds to the Army 47Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+4
32.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 4 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
31.1%
Andy Davidson run for 4 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+5
31.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 5 yds to the WFrst 40Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+2
30.9%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 2 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
31.1%
Kell Walker run for 4 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+9
29.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 9 yds to the WFrst 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
29.2%
Kell Walker run for 9 yds to the WFrst 16Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+7
29.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 7 yds to the WFrst 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
29.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 3 yds to the WFrst 6Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
5.2%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 6 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 24FG
12 plays · 49 yds · 1:297% → 9%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
6.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Alex Bachman for 10 yds to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
7.1%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (Ryan Anderson) to the WFrst 40Similar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+13
6.4%
John Wolford pass complete to Alex Bachman for 13 yds to the Army 47Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+11
8.1%
John Wolford pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 11 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
7.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez LewisSimilar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
7.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cortez Lewis, broken up by Elijah RileySimilar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+20
7.3%
John Wolford run for 20 yds to the Army 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
9.7%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Alex Bachman, broken up by Marcus HyattSimilar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
9.7%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Alex BachmanSimilar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 10
OPP 16
0
8.3%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Alex BachmanSimilar
Q4 1:25
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+34
9.4%
Mike Weaver 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 25END OF GAME
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:1397% → 97%
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
3.4%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 9 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+2
3.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 2 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
3.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 38Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 11
OPP 38
-1
3.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:45
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 11 yds for a TD, (Blake Wilson KICK)
-29.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:03
Timeout WAKE FOREST, clock 03:03
-17.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 9:25
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Army 42
-9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com