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ARMY

Army 28 at Temple 13

TEM
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2016 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadARMY aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreARMY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:41 · Mitchell Howard 47 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 143Pregame prior+3.5Home team on offense−30.8Score differential−7.8Garbage-time factor−13.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−7.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:00: Ahmad Bradshaw run for 10 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Howard KICK) — ARMY win probability +6.0 pts (now 18%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:18: Andy Davidson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Howard KICK) — ARMY win probability +13.5 pts (now 36%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 1:29: Austin Jones 27 yd FG GOOD — ARMY win probability +4.3 pts (now 32%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  4. TD · Q4 9:38: Tyler Campbell run for 12 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Howard KICK) — ARMY win probability +37.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:56: Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the Temp 35 — ARMY win probability +9.0 pts (now 83%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 6ARMY made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 3:31ARMY 4th & 15 at TEM 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.0%
    80% to make
    Punt
    11.2%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q2 8:52TEM 4th & 6 at ARMY 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    84.3%−0.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.4%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 4:19ARMY 4th & 3 at ARMY 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:51TEM 4th & 11 at ARMY 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.9%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    77.6%−2.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:51ARMY 4th & 8 at midfield, down 3
    Close callPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:05TEM 4th & 8 at TEM 17, up 3
    Numbers favored punt by 1.0 ptsWent for it · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.1%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    78.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 1:29TEM 4th & 10 at ARMY 10, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−2.0
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    45.8%−11.6
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00ARMY 4th & 1 at TEM 25, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    36.3%−4.7
    66% to make
    Punt
    22.4%−18.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:30TEM 4th & 13 at TEM 6, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−3.9
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:56ARMY 4th & 2 at TEM 30, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    78.3%−2.8
    56% to make
    Punt
    75.5%−5.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:41ARMY 4th & 12 at TEM 30, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−1.4
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.2%
    56% to make
    Punt
    85.9%−2.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:21TEM 4th & 10 at TEM 28, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.2%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ARMY made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 14:32TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:00ARMY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:18ARMY Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:38ARMY Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.9%−0.8
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:28ARMY Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1INT
11 plays · 47 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
91.8%
Ryquell Armstead run for 6 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
91.8%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
91.8%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Marshall Ellick for 7 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
91.8%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Marshall Ellick for 7 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+11
91.8%
Ryquell Armstead run for 11 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
91.8%
Ryquell Armstead run for 6 yds to the Army 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+10
91.8%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 10 yds to the Army 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
91.8%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (Adrian Sullivan) to the Army 31Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 31
+3
91.8%
David Hood run for 3 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 28
+26
91.8%
Phillip Walker pass intercepted Marcus Hyatt return for 26 yds to the Army 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2MISSED FG
14 plays · 41 yds · 6:3410% → 12%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
90.3%
Andy Davidson run for 1 yd to the Army 43Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+8
90.3%
Andy Davidson run for 8 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+4
90.3%
Andy Davidson run for 4 yds to the Temp 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
90.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+11
90.3%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass complete to Edgar Poe for 11 yds to the Temp 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
90.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 9 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 1
OPP 25
0
90.2%
Andy Davidson run for no gain to the Temp 25Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+2
90.3%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Temp 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
90.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 4 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+7
90.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 7 yds to the Temp 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
90.2%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Temp 10Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 8
OPP 10
-7
90.2%
Ahmad Bradshaw sacked by Avery Williams and Jacob Martin for a loss of 7 yards to the Temp 17Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 15
OPP 17
0
90.4%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to Edgar PoeSimilar
Q1 3:31
4TH & 15
OPP 17
+34
88.3%
Mitchell Howard 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:5988% → 90%
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
88.3%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Marshall Ellick for 16 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
88.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+6
88.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 6 yds to the Temp 44Similar
Q1 3:31
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+6
88.6%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
50
+32
88.8%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Colin Thompson for 32 yds to the Army 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
89.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 9 yds to the Army 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+3
88.0%
Nick Sharga run for 3 yds to the Army 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
89.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for 6 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:3211% → 18%
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.1%
Ahmad Bradshaw pass incomplete to Edgar PoeSimilar
Q2 14:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
89.1%
Jordan Asberry run for 11 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
88.9%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 7 yds to the Army 43Similar
Q2 14:32
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+7
88.6%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
50
+3
88.4%
Christian Drake run for 3 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q2 14:32
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+6
88.4%
Elijah St. Hilaire run for 6 yds to the Temp 41Similar
Q2 14:32
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+2
88.4%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Temp 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
88.4%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 10 yds to the Temp 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
88.0%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 6 yds to the Temp 23Similar
Q2 14:32
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+14
88.0%
Andy Davidson run for 14 yds to the Temp 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
88.0%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 4 yds to the Temp 5Similar
Q2 14:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
88.0%
ARMY Penalty, false start (Justin Gilbert) to the Temp 10Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
82.0%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 10 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Howard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 38 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
84.7%
David Hood run for 10 yds to the Temp 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
84.8%
David Hood run for 4 yds to the Temp 36Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+20
85.3%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 20 yds to the Army 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-7
85.9%
Phillip Walker sacked by Alex Aukerman for a loss of 7 yards to the Temp 49Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 17
OWN 49
0
85.0%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Keith KirkwoodSimilar
Q2 8:52
3RD & 17
OWN 49
+11
84.5%
Phillip Walker pass complete to David Hood for 11 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q2 8:52
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
85.0%
Alex Starzyk punt for 31 yds, downed at the Army 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0919% → 18%
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
81.4%
Chris Carter pass complete to Jordan Asberry for 4 yds to the Army 13Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+2
81.2%
Chris Carter run for 2 yds to the Army 15Similar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+1
81.5%
Chris Carter run for 1 yd to the Army 16Similar
Q2 4:19
4TH & 3
OWN 16
0
82.1%
Nick Schrage puntSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7FG
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:4685% → 84%
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
84.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 24Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 11
OPP 24
0
84.8%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Marshall EllickSimilar
Q2 3:37
3RD & 11
OPP 24
0
84.0%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Keith KirkwoodSimilar
Q2 2:51
4TH & 11
OPP 24
+41
83.8%
Austin Jones 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
83.5%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 6 yds to the Army 36Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+12
82.8%
Jordan Asberry run for 12 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
82.2%
Darnell Woolfolk run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 46Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 12
OWN 46
-4
82.9%
ARMY Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the Army 42Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 16
OWN 42
0
83.3%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for a loss of 6 yards to the Army 35 Ahmad Bradshaw fumbled, forced by Avery Ellis, recovered by Army Ahmad Bradshaw , return for no gain to the Army 35Similar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 23
OWN 35
+15
84.4%
Jordan Asberry run for 15 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:51
4TH & 8
50
0
83.7%
Nick Schrage punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Sean Chandler at the Temp 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9DOWNS
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:0583% → 81%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
83.2%
David Hood run for 4 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 6
OWN 19
-1
83.2%
Phillip Walker sacked by Kenneth Brinson for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 18Similar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 7
OWN 18
-1
82.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 17Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 8
OWN 17
0
81.0%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Keith KirkwoodSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10TD
15 plays · 77 yds · 6:4218% → 36%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
82.0%
Tyler Campbell run for 10 yds to the Army 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
81.5%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 2 yds to the Army 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+6
81.6%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 6 yds to the Army 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+8
80.5%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 8 yds to the Army 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
80.1%
Carter, Chris pass incomplete to Poe, Edgar (FOSTER,Artrel), PENALTY TEM pass interference (FOSTER,Artrel) 15 yards to the TEM36, 1ST DOWN ARMY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
80.0%
Andy Davidson run for 4 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+11
78.0%
Jordan Asberry run for 11 yds to the Temp 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
78.0%
Andy Davidson run for 7 yds to the Temp 14Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+2
78.0%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 2 yds to the Temp 12Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+1
78.9%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 1 yd to the Temp 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
78.0%
Andy Davidson run for 7 yds to the Temp 4Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+1
78.0%
Andy Davidson run for 1 yd to the Temp 3Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+3
64.4%
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Howard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 11FG
17 plays · 65 yds · 6:4969% → 68%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for no gain to the Temp 25Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
68.9%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 14 yds to the Temp 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
70.3%
Ryquell Armstead run for 16 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
72.7%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (Jake Robinson) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 15
50
-1
70.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 49Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 16
OWN 49
+18
69.8%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 18 yds to the Army 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
74.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for 5 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+4
74.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for 4 yds to the Army 24Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+2
72.8%
Nick Sharga run for 2 yds to the Army 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
74.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the Army 20Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 8
OPP 20
0
74.7%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Nick ShargaSimilar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+10
72.8%
WALKER,Phillip pass incomplete to KIRKWOOD,Keith, PENALTY ARMY holding (Hyatt, Marcus) 10 yards to the ARMY10, 1ST DOWN TEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
74.7%
David Hood run for no gain to the Army 10Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
74.7%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q3 8:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
72.7%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Romond Deloatch, broken up by Brandon JacksonSimilar
Q3 1:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
68.4%
Austin Jones 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12TD
16 plays · 81 yds · 6:4535% → 79%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
65.2%
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the Army 22Similar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+21
65.1%
Christian Drake run for 21 yds to the Army 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
62.2%
Andy Davidson run for 8 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+3
58.0%
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
58.2%
Andy Davidson run for 8 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+4
58.0%
Jordan Asberry run for 4 yds to the Temp 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
56.6%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 5 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+2
56.5%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 2 yds to the Temp 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+2
58.4%
Andy Davidson run for 2 yds to the Temp 25Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+2
60.7%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 2 yds to the Temp 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
56.5%
Andy Davidson run for 2 yds to the Temp 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+5
56.5%
TEMPLE Penalty, encroachment (Jullian Taylor) to the Temp 16Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+1
56.5%
Andy Davidson run for 1 yd to the Temp 15Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+3
58.4%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 3 yds to the Temp 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
20.8%
Tyler Campbell run for 12 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Howard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0029% → 26%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
28.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for 4 yds to the Temp 13Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 6
OWN 13
-7
29.0%
Phillip Walker sacked by Alex Aukerman for a loss of 7 yards to the Temp 6Similar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 13
OWN 6
0
27.3%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Adonis JenningsSimilar
Q4 9:30
4TH & 13
OWN 6
0
26.2%
Alex Starzyk punt for 32 yds, downed at the Temp 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 14MISSED FG
12 plays · 8 yds · 4:1583% → 90%
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
17.1%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+2
16.5%
Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+3
17.2%
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q4 7:56
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+2
20.2%
Andy Davidson run for 2 yds to the Temp 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-6
16.5%
Ahmad Bradshaw run for 4 yds to the Temp 24 ARMY Penalty, Offensive holding (Bryce Holland) to the Temp 34Similar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 16
OPP 34
-5
16.5%
ARMY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Temp 39Similar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 21
OPP 39
+1
17.3%
Tyler Campbell run for 1 yd to the Temp 38Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 20
OPP 38
+4
17.5%
Andy Davidson run for 4 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q4 3:52
3RD & 16
OPP 34
+4
9.3%
Tyler Campbell run for 4 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q4 3:41
4TH & 12
OPP 30
+47
9.7%
Mitchell Howard 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 15INT
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-4
13.3%
Phillip Walker sacked by John Voit for a loss of 4 yards to the Temp 26Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 14
OWN 26
0
12.4%
Phillip Walker pass intercepted Kenneth Brinson return for no gain to the Temp 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 16TD
2 plays · 36 yds · 0:4394% → 98%
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+19
6.0%
Andy Davidson run for 19 yds to the Temp 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
2.0%
Andy Davidson run for 17 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Howard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 17INT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
3.0%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 11 yds to the Temp 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
3.0%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Ventell Bryant, broken up by Xavier MossSimilar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
2.9%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Adonis JenningsSimilar
Q4 2:21
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
2.9%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q4 2:21
4TH & 10
OWN 28
+16
2.9%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Marshall Ellick for 16 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
3.1%
Phillip Walker pass intercepted Mike Reynolds return for 3 yds to the Temp 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 18END OF GAME
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:0099% → 98%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
1.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 46Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 12
OPP 46
-2
1.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 48Similar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 14
OPP 48
-1
1.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:38
Tyler Campbell run for 12 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Howard KICK)
-37.6
TD · Q3 8:18
Andy Davidson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Howard KICK)
-13.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 7:56
Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the Temp 35
-9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com