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ISU

Iowa State 3 at Iowa 42

IOWA
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-0.9IOWA 87.9%Cole Netten 31 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 14 · Q1 0:32
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:32 · Cole Netten 31 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 42Pregame prior+31.2Home team on offense+3.7Score differential+1.3Blowout margin+0.3Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:42: C.J. Beathard pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 26 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK) — IOWA win probability +1.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 0:32: Cole Netten 31 yd FG GOOD — ISU win probability +0.9 pts (now 12%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:15: C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 12 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK) — IOWA win probability +4.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:17: C.J. Beathard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK) — IOWA win probability +3.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:07: Timeout IOWA ST, clock 00:07 — IOWA win probability +3.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ISU made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00IOWA 4th & 7 at ISU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    87.9%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:29ISU 4th & 7 at ISU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:42ISU 4th & 5 at ISU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:32ISU 4th & 14 at IOWA 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    9.3%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00IOWA 4th & 2 at ISU 33, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    86.5%−0.5
    49% to make
    Punt
    86.2%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:15ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 42, down 18
    Close callPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:07ISU 4th & 6 at IOWA 41, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    4.6%
    32% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00ISU 4th & 5 at IOWA 49, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:53IOWA 4th & 18 at IOWA 23, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.9
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:04ISU 4th & 3 at ISU 39, down 25
    Close callPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:34IOWA 4th & 15 at IOWA 20, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:21ISU 4th & 8 at ISU 34, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00ISU 4th & 13 at IOWA 44, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:29IOWA 4th & 11 at IOWA 43, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:08ISU 4th & 7 at IOWA 42, down 39
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:53IOWA 4th & 14 at IOWA 24, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:12ISU 4th & 1 at IOWA 44, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:12ISU 4th & 15 at IOWA 43, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 8:42IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:42IOWA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:15IOWA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:17IOWA Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:18IOWA Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:33IOWA Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
88.5%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 8 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+18
88.5%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 18 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
88.5%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 3 yds to the IowSt 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+5
88.5%
Akrum Wadley run for 5 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 41
0
88.5%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 41
-5
88.5%
IOWA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 46Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
88.5%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
87.8%
Mike Warren run for 3 yds to the IowSt 17Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 7
OWN 17
0
87.8%
Joel Lanning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 7
OWN 17
0
87.8%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Mike WarrenSimilar
Q1 12:29
4TH & 7
OWN 17
+14
87.9%
Colin Downing punt for 39 yds , Desmond King returns for 14 yds to the IowSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3TD
8 plays · 42 yds · 2:5588% → 88%
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
87.8%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 8 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+3
87.8%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
87.8%
Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd to the IowSt 30Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+25
87.8%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 25 yds to the IowSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
87.8%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Riley McCarronSimilar
Q1 11:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
87.8%
IOWA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 10Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
87.8%
C.J. Beathard run for 1 yd to the IowSt 9Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
87.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to George Kittle for 9 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.7%
David Montgomery run for 4 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
87.6%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the IowSt 30Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
87.7%
Joel Lanning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:42
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+5
87.8%
Colin Downing punt for 41 yds , Desmond King returns for 5 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5TD
4 plays · 66 yds · 1:3388% → 90%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
87.6%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 13 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
87.8%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 6 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+21
87.9%
Akrum Wadley run for 6 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST down IOWA ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the IowSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
89.5%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 26 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6FG
13 plays · 63 yds · 5:1011% → 12%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
88.8%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Allen Lazard for 8 yds to the IowSt 31Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+5
88.7%
Mike Warren run for 5 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
88.7%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Allen Lazard for 10 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
88.6%
Kene Nwangwu run for 7 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+5
88.4%
Joel Lanning run for 5 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
88.5%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Carson Epps for 5 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+30
88.4%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Allen Lazard for 30 yds to the Iowa 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
88.3%
Joel Lanning run for 3 yds to the Iowa 4Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-6
88.3%
Joel Lanning sacked by Jaleel Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the Iowa 10Similar
Q1 1:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
-4
88.8%
Joel Lanning sacked by Anthony Nelson for a loss of 4 yards to the Iowa 14Similar
Q1 0:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+31
87.9%
Cole Netten 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7TD
11 plays · 66 yds · 5:1788% → 92%
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+25
87.7%
Matt VandeBerg run for 25 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-3
88.2%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Brian Mills for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 44
+10
88.0%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to George Kittle for 10 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+1
88.1%
Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd to the IowSt 33Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+7
87.8%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 7 yds to the IowSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
88.2%
Akrum Wadley run for 4 yds to the IowSt 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+3
88.2%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the IowSt 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+7
88.1%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 7 yds to the IowSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
88.2%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
92.3%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 12 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
91.5%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Carson Epps for 3 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-10
91.4%
[SG], Lanning, Joel pass incomplete to Montgomery, Da., PENALTY ISU holding 10 yards to the ISU18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
91.6%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Carson Epps, broken up by Nathan BazataSimilar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+15
91.7%
[SG], Lanning, Joel pass incomplete to Lazard, Allen (Mabin, Greg), PENALTY IOWA face mask (Mabin, Greg) 15 yards to the ISU33, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
91.3%
Joel Lanning run for 7 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 3
OWN 40
-1
91.0%
Mike Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 39Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+3
91.3%
Joel Lanning run for 3 yds to the IowSt 42Similar
Q2 10:15
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
91.3%
Colin Downing punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Desmond King at the Iowa 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9TD
13 plays · 86 yds · 5:2592% → 96%
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+31
92.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 31 yds to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
92.4%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 4 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+14
92.3%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 14 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
92.1%
Akrum Wadley run for 5 yds to the IowSt 32Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+6
92.0%
Akrum Wadley run for 6 yds to the IowSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
92.0%
Beathard, C.J. pass incomplete to VandeBerg, Matt, PENALTY ISU illegal use of hands (Northrup, R.) 13 yards to the ISU13, 1ST DOWN IOWA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
92.0%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for no gain to the IowSt 13Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+4
92.0%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 4 yds to the IowSt 9Similar
Q2 3:24
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+5
92.3%
[SG], Beathard, C.J. sacked for loss of 11 yards to the ISU20 (Thomas, Jh.), PENALTY ISU face mask (Thomas, Jh.) 5 yards to the ISU4, 1ST DOWN IOWA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
92.3%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the IowSt 1Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.6%
C.J. Beathard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10DOWNS
10 plays · 28 yds · 2:047% → 5%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+19
92.6%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Trever Ryen for 19 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
92.0%
Mike Warren run for 4 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+8
91.6%
Joel Lanning run for 8 yds to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
91.4%
Joel Lanning run for 8 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 2
OPP 37
0
90.8%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Mike Warren, broken up by Nathan BazataSimilar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+1
91.3%
Joel Lanning run for 1 yd to the Iowa 36Similar
Q2 2:11
4TH & 1
OPP 36
-5
91.4%
IOWA ST Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 41Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 6
OPP 41
-7
95.1%
Joel Lanning sacked by Matt Nelson for a loss of 7 yards to the Iowa 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.7%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Carson EppsSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
96.7%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Mike Warren for no gain to the IowSt 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
96.7%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Allen Lazard for 11 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
96.5%
Mike Warren run for 10 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
96.5%
Joel Lanning run for 5 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
0
96.4%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
96.4%
Joel Lanning pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
96.5%
Colin Downing punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
98.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to George Kittle for 7 yds to the Iowa 27Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+4
98.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jerminic Smith for 4 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
98.1%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
98.1%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jerminic Smith, broken up by Demond TuckerSimilar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 10
OWN 31
-8
98.1%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Jhaustin Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the Iowa 23Similar
Q3 12:53
4TH & 18
OWN 23
0
97.9%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Allen Lazard at the IowSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
97.7%
Mike Warren run for 4 yds to the IowSt 36Similar
Q3 11:04
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
97.7%
Joel Lanning pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:04
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+3
97.7%
Joel Lanning run for 3 yds to the IowSt 39Similar
Q3 11:04
4TH & 3
OWN 39
+1
97.8%
Colin Downing punt for 49 yds , Desmond King returns for 1 yd to the Iowa 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:0099% → 98%
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
98.5%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 2 yds to the Iowa 15Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 8
OWN 15
-1
98.6%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 14Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 9
OWN 14
+11
98.5%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Derrick Mitchell Jr. for 11 yds to the Iowa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.5%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to George KittleSimilar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.6%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
98.5%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jerminic SmithSimilar
Q3 9:34
4TH & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.4%
IOWA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 20Similar
Q3 9:34
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+48
98.4%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Allen Lazard at the IOWA 32 IOWA ST Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
98.2%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
98.2%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q3 7:21
3RD & 8
OWN 34
0
98.2%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Carson Epps, broken up by Manny RugambaSimilar
Q3 7:21
4TH & 8
OWN 34
0
98.3%
Colin Downing punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Desmond King at the Iowa 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 3:1399% → 100%
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
98.9%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 4 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+3
98.9%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Iowa 39Similar
Q3 6:31
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+25
98.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 25 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
99.0%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 15 yds to the IowSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+18
99.0%
Akrum Wadley run for 18 yds to the IowSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.7%
Akrum Wadley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.7%
Trever Ryen run for 8 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
99.6%
Mike Warren run for 3 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.7%
Joel Lanning run for 1 yd to the IowSt 37Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+3
99.7%
Joel Lanning pass intercepted Ben Niemann return for 3 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18TD
2 plays · 43 yds · 0:17100% → 100%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.8%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jerminic Smith, broken up by Brian PeavySimilar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+43
99.8%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 43 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19PUNT
12 plays · 31 yds · 1:330% → 0%
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.8%
IOWA ST Penalty, illegal procedure (Brian Bobek) to the IowSt 20Similar
Q3 1:33
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+3
99.8%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 3 yds to the IowSt 23Similar
Q3 1:33
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+36
99.8%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 36 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
99.8%
Kene Nwangwu run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 43Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 12
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q3 0:04
3RD & 12
OPP 43
-5
99.9%
[SG], Park, Jacob pass complete to Lazard, Allen for 15 yards to the IOWA28 (Taylor, Miles), PENALTY ISU ineligible downfield on pass (Scoggins, P.) 5 yards to the IOWA48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:04
3RD & 17
OPP 48
+9
99.9%
Jacob Park run for 9 yds to the Iowa 39Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 39
-5
99.9%
[SG], Park, Jacob pass complete to Lazard, Allen for 17 yards to the IOWA22, out-of-bounds (Snyder, Brandon), PENALTY ISU ineligible downfield on pass (Jones, D.) 5 yards to the IOWA44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 13
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Colin Downing punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Desmond King at the Iowa 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
99.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 12 yds to the Iowa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
99.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jay Scheel for 12 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
99.9%
Toks Akinribade run for 4 yds to the Iowa 48Similar
Q4 14:29
2ND & 6
OWN 48
-1
99.9%
Toks Akinribade run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 47Similar
Q4 14:29
3RD & 7
OWN 47
-4
99.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Derrick Mitchell Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the Iowa 43Similar
Q4 14:29
4TH & 11
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 48 yds, downed at the IowSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21PUNT
12 plays · 49 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
99.9%
Kene Nwangwu run for 4 yds to the IowSt 13Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+9
99.9%
Jacob Park pass complete to Darius Lee-Campbell for 9 yds to the IowSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
99.9%
Kene Nwangwu run for 1 yd to the IowSt 23Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen Lazard IOWA ST Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+12
99.9%
Jacob Park pass complete to Mitchell Harger for 12 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
99.9%
IOWA ST Penalty, false start (Brian Bobek) to the IowSt 30Similar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+13
99.9%
Jacob Park pass complete to Allen Lazard for 13 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+12
99.9%
Kene Nwangwu run for 12 yds to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.9%
Kene Nwangwu run for 3 yds to the Iowa 42Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 7
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Allen Lazard, broken up by Sam BrincksSimilar
Q4 11:08
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Colin Downing punt for 14 yds, downed at the Iowa 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
99.9%
IOWA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 23Similar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 15
OWN 23
+2
99.9%
Nathan Stanley pass complete to Noah Fant for 2 yds to the Iowa 25Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 13
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Toks Akinribade run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 24Similar
Q4 6:53
3RD & 14
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Nathan Stanley pass incomplete to Derrick Mitchell Jr.Similar
Q4 6:53
4TH & 14
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Colten Rastetter punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Trever Ryen at the IowSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 23PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
100.0%
Jacob Park run for 7 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+6
100.0%
Kene Nwangwu run for 6 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Jacob Park pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+6
100.0%
Deshaunte Jones run for 6 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+3
100.0%
Jacob Park run for 3 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q4 5:12
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+6
100.0%
Jacob Park pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 6 yds to the Iowa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
100.0%
[SG], Park, Jacob pass complete to Harms, Sam for 16 yards to the IOWA22 (Hooker, Amani), PENALTY ISU ineligible downfield on pass (Philbert, J.) 5 yards to the IOWA43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:12
1ST & 15
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Kene NwangwuSimilar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 15
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Darius Lee-Campbell, broken up by Michael OjemudiaSimilar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 15
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Jacob Park pass incomplete to Deshaunte JonesSimilar
Q4 5:12
4TH & 15
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Colin Downing punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Derrick Mitchell Jr. at the Iowa 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
100.0%
Toks Akinribade run for 3 yds to the Iowa 20Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+7
100.0%
Toks Akinribade run for 7 yds to the Iowa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
100.0%
Toks Akinribade run for 2 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+7
100.0%
Toks Akinribade run for 7 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:15
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 12 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)
+4.1
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:07
Timeout IOWA ST, clock 00:07
+3.7
TD · Q2 2:17
C.J. Beathard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)
+3.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com