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KSU

Kansas State 23 at Arkansas 45

ARK
2015 · AutoZone Liberty Bowl · Jan 2, 2016 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
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Win probability · ARK
modelARK aheadKSU aheadconfidence bandkey playARK scoreKSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-0.2ARK 83.0%Matthew McCrane 36 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 7 · Q1 3:50
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:50 · Matthew McCrane 36 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 28Pregame prior+31.6Home team on offense−1.1Score differential−0.8Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:05: Alex Collins run for 13 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK) — ARK win probability +3.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:44: Kody Cook pass complete to Winston Dimel for 48 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +10.8 pts (now 25%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 7:54: Brandon Allen pass complete to Jeremy Sprinkle for 6 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK) — ARK win probability +6.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 1:46: Matthew McCrane 32 yd FG GOOD — KSU win probability +2.2 pts (now 14%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:04: Alex Collins run for 14 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK) — ARK win probability +7.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARK made the numbers' call on 1 of 2KSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 3:50KSU 4th & 11 at ARK 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    21.2%−1.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:09KSU 4th & 13 at KSU 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%−0.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:15KSU 4th & 5 at ARK 41, down 11
    Close callPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    17.9%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:11ARK 4th & 9 at KSU 48, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.2%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:07KSU 4th & 10 at KSU 22, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:08ARK 4th & 2 at KSU 9, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.0%−0.6
    89% to make
    Punt
    81.1%−3.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:21KSU 4th & 4 at ARK 4, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.9%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    11.3%−2.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:46KSU 4th & 5 at ARK 15, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−4.0
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:24KSU 4th & 23 at KSU 22, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−1.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARK made the numbers' call on 6 of 6KSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:38KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:15ARK Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:22ARK Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:05ARK Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:44KSU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:54ARK Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:04ARK Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:46ARK Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARKDrive 1INT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1287% → 87%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
87.0%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Hunter Henry for 3 yds to the Ark 22Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+3
86.8%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 3 yds to the Ark 25Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 4
OWN 25
0
86.7%
Brandon Allen pass intercepted Elijah Lee return for no gain to the Ark 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2TD
4 plays · 27 yds · 1:4414% → 15%
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
86.5%
Kody Cook run for 9 yds to the Ark 18Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 1
OPP 18
-6
86.4%
Charles Jones run for a loss of 6 yards to the Ark 24Similar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+14
86.3%
Kody Cook pass complete to Deante Burton for 14 yds to the Ark 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
85.3%
Winston Dimel run for 10 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 3TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 3:1686% → 86%
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
85.5%
ARKANSAS Penalty, False Start (Hunter Henry) to the Ark 23Similar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 15
OWN 23
+3
85.4%
Alex Collins run for 3 yds to the Ark 26Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 12
OWN 26
+20
85.1%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 20 yds to the Ark 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+19
85.0%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Hunter Henry for 19 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
85.0%
Alex Collins run for 4 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+9
84.5%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Jared Cornelius for 9 yds to the KanSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
85.6%
Alex Collins run for 22 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4FG
12 plays · 46 yds · 4:0815% → 17%
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+35
84.8%
Charles Jones run for 35 yds to the Ark 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
84.2%
Charles Jones run for 3 yds to the Ark 27Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+6
83.9%
Kody Cook run for 6 yds to the Ark 21Similar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 1
OPP 21
-5
83.8%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (Matt Kleinsorge) to the Ark 26Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+8
83.6%
Kody Cook pass complete to Deante Burton for 8 yds to the Ark 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
83.2%
Kody Cook run for 3 yds to the Ark 15Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 7
OPP 15
-5
83.1%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (Matt Kleinsorge) to the Ark 20Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 12
OPP 20
0
83.1%
Kody Cook pass incomplete to Kyle KleinSimilar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 12
OPP 20
+1
83.2%
Kody Cook run for 1 yd to the Ark 19Similar
Q1 3:50
4TH & 11
OPP 19
+36
83.0%
Matthew McCrane 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 5TD
4 plays · 24 yds · 1:0784% → 85%
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
83.9%
Kody Walker run for 5 yds to the KanSt 19Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+6
83.7%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 6 yds to the KanSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
85.1%
Jared Cornelius run for 13 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:4716% → 15%
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
84.2%
Justin Silmon run for 2 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
84.1%
Kody Cook pass incomplete to Winston DimelSimilar
Q1 1:26
3RD & 8
OWN 35
-5
84.4%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (Cody Whitehair) to the KanSt 30Similar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 13
OWN 30
0
84.6%
Kody Cook pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q1 1:09
4TH & 13
OWN 30
+6
84.8%
Nick Walsh punt for 40 yds , Jared Cornelius returns for 6 yds to the Ark 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 7TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 2:5284% → 88%
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
84.2%
Alex Collins run for 9 yds to the Ark 45Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+5
84.3%
Alex Collins run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
50
0
84.3%
Brandon Allen pass incomplete to Jeremy Sprinkle, broken up by Nate JacksonSimilar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 10
50
0
84.2%
Brandon Allen pass incomplete to Jared CorneliusSimilar
Q2 14:43
3RD & 10
50
+13
83.7%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Hunter Henry for 13 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
84.3%
Alex Collins run for 4 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+20
84.5%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Jeremy Sprinkle for 20 yds to the KanSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
87.8%
Alex Collins run for 13 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2114% → 13%
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
86.0%
Dalvin Warmack run for no gain to the Ark 46Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
86.1%
Kody Cook pass complete to Zach Reuter for 5 yds to the Ark 41Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 5
OPP 41
0
86.0%
Kody Cook pass incomplete to Kyle KleinSimilar
Q2 11:15
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
86.6%
Nick Walsh punt for 39 yds, downed at the Ark 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 50 yds · 2:5387% → 87%
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+8
87.2%
Kody Walker run for 8 yds to the Ark 10Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 2
OWN 10
0
87.5%
Kody Walker run for no gain to the Ark 10Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+41
87.1%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Jeremy Sprinkle for 41 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
88.2%
Kody Walker run for 1 yd to the KanSt 48Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
88.2%
Brandon Allen pass incomplete to Jeremy SprinkleSimilar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 9
OPP 48
0
87.8%
Brandon Allen pass incomplete to Drew Morgan, broken up by Donnie StarksSimilar
Q2 8:11
4TH & 9
OPP 48
+3
86.9%
Toby Baker punt for 39 yds , Dominique Heath returns for 3 yds to the KanSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:5813% → 12%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
87.2%
Kody Cook pass incomplete to Charles JonesSimilar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+10
87.3%
Kody Cook pass complete to Zach Reuter for 10 yds to the KanSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
87.2%
Kody Cook pass incomplete to Kyle KleinSimilar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
87.2%
Kody Cook pass incomplete to Kyle KleinSimilar
Q2 7:13
3RD & 10
OWN 22
0
87.5%
Kody Cook pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q2 7:07
4TH & 10
OWN 22
0
87.8%
Nick Walsh punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jared Cornelius at the Ark 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 11FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 4:4988% → 89%
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
87.9%
Alex Collins run for no gain to the Ark 36Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+13
87.7%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 13 yds to the Ark 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
88.1%
Alex Collins run for 6 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+14
88.3%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Jeremy Sprinkle for 14 yds to the KanSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+14
88.3%
Jared Cornelius run for 14 yds to the KanSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-4
88.7%
Alex Collins run for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 21Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 14
OPP 21
-3
88.5%
Brandon Allen sacked by Jordan Willis for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 24Similar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 17
OPP 24
+15
88.3%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Dominique Reed for 15 yds to the KanSt 9Similar
Q2 2:08
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+26
89.4%
Cole Hedlund 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 1:3211% → 13%
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
88.7%
Kody Cook pass complete to Deante Burton for 4 yds to the Ark 49Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+7
88.3%
Kody Cook pass complete to Deante Burton for 7 yds to the Ark 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
88.1%
Kody Cook pass complete to Kyle Klein for 13 yds to the Ark 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
87.1%
Kody Cook run for 5 yds to the Ark 24Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+15
87.1%
Cook, Kody pass incomplete to Burton, Deante, PENALTY ARKANSAS pass interference (Collins, Jared) 15 yards to the ARKANSAS9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KANSASST.Similar
Q2 0:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
87.1%
Charles Jones run for 5 yds to the Ark 4Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
88.0%
Kody Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
88.4%
Kody Cook pass incomplete to Zach Reuter, broken up by Henre' ToliverSimilar
Q2 0:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
87.2%
Matthew McCrane 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 13END OF HALF
7 plays · 47 yds · 0:1189% → 90%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+21
88.7%
Alex Collins run for 21 yds to the Ark 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+26
88.8%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Jared Cornelius for 26 yds to the KanSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+46
90.0%
Cole Hedlund 46 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Marquel BryantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 2:0113% → 25%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
87.1%
Kody Cook pass complete to Dominique Heath for 15 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
86.5%
Charles Jones run for 3 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+8
86.2%
Dalvin Warmack run for 8 yds to the Ark 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
75.4%
Kody Cook pass complete to Winston Dimel for 48 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 15TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 4:3579% → 88%
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
78.5%
Alex Collins run for 12 yds to the Ark 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
78.2%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 9 yds to the Ark 39Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+4
79.5%
Alex Collins run for 4 yds to the Ark 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+30
81.2%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 30 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
82.5%
Jeremy Sprinkle run for 4 yds to the KanSt 23Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+14
82.4%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Hunter Henry for 14 yds to the KanSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
82.3%
Kody Walker run for 3 yds to the KanSt 6Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
82.0%
Brandon Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
88.1%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Jeremy Sprinkle for 6 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16FG
13 plays · 47 yds · 5:5314% → 14%
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
85.9%
Kody Cook run for no gain to the KanSt 38Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+11
86.1%
Kody Cook pass complete to Dalvin Warmack for 11 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
85.1%
Kody Cook run for 3 yds to the Ark 48Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+16
84.9%
Kody Cook pass complete to Dalvin Warmack for 16 yds to the Ark 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
86.2%
Kody Cook run for 3 yds to the Ark 29Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 7
OPP 29
-3
86.2%
Kody Cook sacked by Taiwan Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 32Similar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+12
87.9%
Kody Cook pass complete to Zach Reuter for 12 yds to the Ark 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
87.0%
Charles Jones run for no gain to the Ark 20Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+5
87.5%
Kody Cook run for 5 yds to the Ark 15Similar
Q3 1:51
3RD & 5
OPP 15
0
87.9%
Kody Cook pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q3 1:46
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+32
85.7%
Matthew McCrane 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 17TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 4:2688% → 97%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+14
88.4%
Alex Collins run for 14 yds to the Ark 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
89.1%
Alex Collins run for 4 yds to the Ark 40Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
89.6%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 5 yds to the Ark 45Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+1
89.1%
Alex Collins run for 1 yd to the Ark 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
90.2%
Alex Collins run for 3 yds to the Ark 49Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-6
90.3%
Brandon Allen sacked by Jordan Willis for a loss of 6 yards to the Ark 43Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 13
OWN 43
+43
89.2%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Hunter Henry for 43 yds to the KanSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
96.6%
Alex Collins run for 14 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 1:095% → 4%
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
94.9%
Kody Cook run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 33Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
95.3%
Kody Cook pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 12
OWN 33
-11
95.4%
Kody Cook sacked by Brooks Ellis for a loss of 11 yards to the KanSt 22Similar
Q4 10:24
4TH & 23
OWN 22
-6
95.9%
Nick Walsh punt for 52 yds , Jared Cornelius returns for a loss of 6 yards to the Ark 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 19TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 5:2897% → 100%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
96.5%
Kody Walker run for 5 yds to the Ark 25Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
96.6%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 6 yds to the Ark 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
96.7%
Kody Walker run for 6 yds to the Ark 37Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+5
96.9%
Kody Walker run for 5 yds to the Ark 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
97.0%
Kody Walker run for 6 yds to the Ark 48Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+4
97.3%
Alex Collins run for 4 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+36
97.5%
Alex Collins run for 36 yds to the KanSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
97.8%
Alex Collins run for 2 yds to the KanSt 10Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+10
99.7%
Kody Walker run for 10 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
99.4%
Joe Hubener pass intercepted Ryan Pulley return for 8 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 21END OF GAME
6 plays · 6 yds · 4:17100% → 100%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
99.7%
Alex Collins run for 7 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+1
99.7%
Alex Collins run for 1 yd to the KanSt 29Similar
Q4 2:38
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+7
99.7%
Kody Walker run for 7 yds to the KanSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-4
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 26Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 14
OPP 26
-3
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 29Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 17
OPP 29
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:44
Kody Cook pass complete to Winston Dimel for 48 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)
-10.8
TD · Q4 12:04
Alex Collins run for 14 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)
+7.5
TD · Q3 7:54
Brandon Allen pass complete to Jeremy Sprinkle for 6 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)
+6.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com