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STAN

Stanford 45 at Iowa 16

IOWA
2015 · Rose Bowl Game · Jan 1, 2016 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:01 · Remound Wright run for 2 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 58Home team on offense−21.8Score differential−9.3Pregame prior−16.2Garbage-time factor−5.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:13: Kevin Hogan run for 8 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK) — STAN win probability +1.4 pts (now 74%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:07: Quenton Meeks 66 Yd Interception Return (Conrad Ukropina KICK) — STAN win probability +4.8 pts (now 79%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:22: Kevin Hogan pass complete to Michael Rector for 31 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK) — STAN win probability +4.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 11:09: Conrad Ukropina 31 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +1.0 pts (now 3%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:46: C.J. Beathard pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 31 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK) — IOWA win probability +1.0 pts (now 1%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 7 of 11STAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 12:45IOWA 4th & 2 at IOWA 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:56IOWA 4th & 16 at IOWA 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−1.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:27STAN 4th & 9 at STAN 44, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:12IOWA 4th & 12 at IOWA 18, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:47IOWA 4th & 13 at STAN 47, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:01STAN 4th & 1 at IOWA 33, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    87.0%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    87.0%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:37IOWA 4th & 3 at STAN 46, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    6.4%−0.6
    23% to make
    Punt
    6.7%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:01IOWA 4th & 12 at STAN 31, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.0%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    5.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    4.8%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:28STAN 4th & 5 at IOWA 43, up 35
    Close callPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    95.6%−<0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:36IOWA 4th & 16 at IOWA 20, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:09STAN 4th & 6 at IOWA 14, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.6%
    84% to make
    Punt
    96.2%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:34IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 29, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:28STAN 4th & 1 at STAN 44, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    97.7%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:40IOWA 4th & 8 at STAN 23, down 38
    Close callWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:36IOWA 4th & 17 at STAN 21, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:40IOWA 4th & 15 at IOWA 39, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 1 of 2STAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 14:49STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:13STAN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:07STAN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:22STAN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:12IOWA Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:46IOWA Touchdown, down 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.8%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:54STAN Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
26.7%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 75 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:0427% → 27%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
26.7%
IOWA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 23Similar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 15
OWN 23
+3
26.8%
Jordan Canzeri run for 3 yds to the Iowa 26Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 12
OWN 26
+5
26.9%
STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Iowa 31Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+5
27.0%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Derrick Mitchell Jr. for 5 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
Q1 12:52
3RD & 2
OWN 36
0
27.1%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Tevaun SmithSimilar
Q1 12:45
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
27.0%
Dillon Kidd punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Christian McCaffrey at the Stanf 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 3:2373% → 74%
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
27.1%
Christian McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+22
27.1%
Christian McCaffrey run for 22 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+19
27.0%
Christian McCaffrey run for 19 yds to the Iowa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
26.9%
Barry Sanders run for 1 yd to the Iowa 27Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 9
OPP 27
0
27.0%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Trenton IrwinSimilar
Q1 10:23
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+12
27.1%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 12 yds to the Iowa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
27.1%
Christian McCaffrey run for 7 yds to the Iowa 8Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+8
25.7%
Kevin Hogan run for 8 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 4INT TD
11 plays · 38 yds · 4:5426% → 21%
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
26.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 6 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 4
OWN 32
0
26.0%
Jordan Canzeri run for no gain to the Iowa 32Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+7
25.8%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jacob Hillyer for 7 yds to the Iowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
26.2%
IOWA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jordan Walsh) to the Iowa 29Similar
Q1 6:51
1ST & 20
OWN 29
+7
25.7%
C.J. Beathard run for 7 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 13
OWN 36
+7
25.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Henry Krieger Coble for 7 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+14
26.0%
C.J. Beathard run for 14 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
26.2%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 4 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+3
26.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 3 yds to the Stanf 36Similar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+66
21.4%
Quenton Meeks 66 Yd Interception Return (Conrad Ukropina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:5921% → 19%
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
20.5%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 4 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+3
20.3%
Jordan Canzeri run for 3 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
Q1 2:19
3RD & 3
OWN 36
-13
19.8%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Brennan Scarlett and Mike Tyler for a loss of 13 yards to the Iowa 23Similar
Q1 1:56
4TH & 16
OWN 23
0
19.2%
Dillon Kidd punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Stanf 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1582% → 82%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
17.9%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Bryce Love for 2 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 8
OWN 45
-1
17.5%
Christian McCaffrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 44Similar
Q1 0:34
3RD & 9
OWN 44
0
17.4%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Devon CajusteSimilar
Q1 0:27
4TH & 9
OWN 44
0
17.7%
Alex Robinson punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:0418% → 16%
Q1 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
18.3%
Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd to the Iowa 21Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-1
18.1%
Akrum Wadley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+5
18.0%
STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Offside (Aziz Shittu) to the Iowa 25Similar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-7
17.9%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Kevin Palma for a loss of 7 yards to the Iowa 18Similar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 12
OWN 18
+63
16.2%
Dillon Kidd punt for 45 yds , Christian McCaffrey returns for 63 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:1916% → 16%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
16.4%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 14 yds to the Iowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
16.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to LeShun Daniels Jr. for 9 yds to the Iowa 48Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+8
16.8%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 8 yds to the Stanf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-3
17.0%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 47Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 13
OPP 47
0
16.6%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jordan CanzeriSimilar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 13
OPP 47
0
16.2%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:47
4TH & 13
OPP 47
0
16.1%
Dillon Kidd punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Christian McCaffrey at the Stanf 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 3:1484% → 90%
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
15.6%
Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Stanf 19Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+8
15.7%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Devon Cajuste for 8 yds to the Stanf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+16
14.9%
Christian McCaffrey run for 26 yds to the IOWA 47 for a 1ST down STANFORD Penalty, Offensive Holding (Devon Cajuste) to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
15.1%
IOWA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Desmond King) to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
14.7%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Barry SandersSimilar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+9
14.5%
Remound Wright run for 9 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q2 9:34
3RD & 1
OPP 33
0
13.3%
Remound Wright run for no gain to the Iowa 33Similar
Q2 9:01
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+2
14.5%
Remound Wright run for 2 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
10.4%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Michael Rector for 31 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 10DOWNS
17 plays · 40 yds · 6:149% → 6%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
9.4%
Jordan Canzeri run for 2 yds to the Iowa 25Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+3
7.5%
C.J. Beathard run for 3 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+19
7.0%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 19 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
7.7%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 1 yd to the Iowa 48Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+7
7.2%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 7 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
Q2 5:12
3RD & 2
OPP 45
-1
7.3%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 46Similar
Q2 4:37
4TH & 3
OPP 46
+3
7.2%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jordan Canzeri for 3 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
7.2%
Akrum Wadley run for 6 yds to the Stanf 37Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+8
6.8%
Akrum Wadley run for 8 yds to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
6.9%
IOWA Penalty, False Start (Sean Welsh) to the Stanf 34Similar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 15
OPP 34
+2
6.4%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the Stanf 32Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 13
OPP 32
0
6.1%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:07
3RD & 13
OPP 32
+6
5.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 6 yds to the Stanf 26Similar
Q2 2:07
4TH & 7
OPP 26
-5
6.0%
IOWA Penalty, False Start (Jordan Walsh) to the Stanf 31Similar
Q2 2:01
4TH & 12
OPP 31
-6
5.9%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Blake Martinez and Peter Kalambayi for a loss of 6 yards to the Stanf 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:2195% → 96%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
4.7%
Kevin Hogan run for 4 yds to the Stanf 41Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+11
4.5%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 11 yds to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
4.2%
Christian McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 5
OPP 43
0
3.5%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Michael RectorSimilar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
3.6%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Isaiah Brandt-SimsSimilar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
3.9%
Alex Robinson punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Desmond King at the Iowa 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:03
2ND & 10
OWN 12
-3
3.1%
C.J. Beathard run for 2 yds to the Iowa 14 IOWA Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (C.J. Beathard) to the Iowa 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:154% → 3%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
4.4%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q3 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+3
3.0%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Henry Krieger Coble for 3 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q3 14:09
3RD & 7
OWN 29
-9
2.9%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Aziz Shittu for a loss of 9 yards to the Iowa 20Similar
Q3 13:36
4TH & 16
OWN 20
0
2.8%
Dillon Kidd punt for 45 yds, downed at the Stanf 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 14FG
7 plays · 51 yds · 1:5997% → 97%
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
3.1%
Christian McCaffrey run for 6 yds to the Stanf 41Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+11
2.9%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 11 yds to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+30
2.5%
Christian McCaffrey run for 30 yds to the Iowa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
2.4%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Devon CajusteSimilar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+4
2.4%
Remound Wright run for 4 yds to the Iowa 14Similar
Q3 11:13
3RD & 6
OPP 14
0
2.2%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Francis OwusuSimilar
Q3 11:09
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+31
3.2%
Conrad Ukropina 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:082% → 2%
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
2.0%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
1.8%
Jordan Canzeri run for no gain to the Iowa 29Similar
Q3 9:42
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
1.7%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jordan CanzeriSimilar
Q3 9:34
4TH & 7
OWN 29
0
1.6%
Dillon Kidd punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Stanf 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 16FUMBLE
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:5098% → 98%
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
1.9%
Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the Stanf 36Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+6
1.8%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 6 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q3 8:16
3RD & 3
OWN 42
-5
1.7%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (Austin Hooper) to the Stanf 37Similar
Q3 7:49
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+7
1.7%
Christian McCaffrey run for 7 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q3 7:28
4TH & 1
OWN 44
-19
2.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 19 yards to the Stanf 25 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Stanf Alex RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17FG
9 plays · 4 yds · 3:222% → 1%
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-8
1.5%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Solomon Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the Stanf 33Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 18
OPP 33
+10
1.3%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Henry Krieger Coble for 10 yds to the Stanf 23Similar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
1.2%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jacob HillyerSimilar
Q3 5:40
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+9
1.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jordan Canzeri for 9 yds to the Stanf 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
1.2%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for no gain to the Stanf 14Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-5
1.0%
IOWA Penalty, False Start (Sean Welsh) to the Stanf 19Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 15
OPP 19
0
1.0%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Henry Krieger CobleSimilar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 15
OPP 19
-2
0.7%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Brennan Scarlett and Peter Kalambayi for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 21Similar
Q3 3:36
4TH & 17
OPP 21
+39
1.1%
Marshall Koehn 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 18PUNT
12 plays · -1 yds · 3:3399% → 99%
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
0.9%
Christian McCaffrey run for 11 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
0.8%
Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Stanf 43Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+9
0.8%
Kevin Hogan run for 9 yds to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
0.6%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:38
2ND & 12
50
-10
0.6%
STANFORD Penalty, Offensive Holding (Joshua Garnett) to the Stanf 40Similar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 22
OWN 40
0
0.6%
Kevin Hogan pass incomplete to Michael RectorSimilar
Q3 0:01
3RD & 22
OWN 40
-3
0.6%
Kevin Hogan sacked by Matt Nelson and Faith Ekakitie for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 37Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 25
OWN 37
-5
0.6%
STANFORD Penalty, Illegal Motion (Taijuan Thomas) to the Stanf 32Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 30
OWN 32
-5
0.7%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 27Similar
Q4 14:41
4TH & 35
OWN 27
+38
0.7%
Alex Robinson punt for 42 yds , Desmond King returns for 38 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19TD
4 plays · 31 yds · 1:031% → 1%
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
0.5%
Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd to the Stanf 30Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 9
OPP 30
-6
0.4%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Ronnie Harris and Aziz Shittu for a loss of 6 yards to the Stanf 36Similar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 15
OPP 36
+36
0.5%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 36 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 20INT
13 plays · 61 yds · 7:12100% → 100%
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
0.5%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Austin Hooper for 6 yds to the Stanf 36Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+25
0.4%
Christian McCaffrey run for 25 yds to the Iowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
0.4%
Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
0.4%
Christian McCaffrey run for no gain to the Iowa 37Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+12
0.3%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 12 yds to the Iowa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
0.3%
Christian McCaffrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 26Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+1
0.3%
Barry Sanders run for 1 yd to the Iowa 25Similar
Q4 8:12
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+15
0.2%
Remound Wright run for 15 yds to the Iowa 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
0.2%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (Bryce Love) to the Iowa 15Similar
Q4 6:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+3
0.2%
Kevin Hogan run for 3 yds to the Iowa 12Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+3
0.2%
Kevin Hogan run for 3 yds to the Iowa 9Similar
Q4 5:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
0.2%
Kevin Hogan pass intercepted, touchback. Josey Jewell return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:520% → 1%
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
0.1%
Akrum Wadley run for 12 yds to the Iowa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
0.1%
STANFORD Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Sam Shober) to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
0.1%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+10
0.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Derrick Mitchell Jr. for 10 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
0.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Derrick Mitchell Jr. for 5 yds to the Stanf 36Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+3
0.1%
Derrick Mitchell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q4 3:04
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+2
0.1%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the Stanf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
1.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 31 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 22TD
3 plays · 49 yds · 0:39100% → 100%
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
0.4%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 7 yds to the Iowa 42Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+42
0.1%
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Michael Rector for 42 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 23FUMBLE
12 plays · 62 yds · 1:290% → 0%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+17
0.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 17 yds to the Iowa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
0.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 12 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
0.1%
C.J. Beathard run for a loss of 5 yards to the Iowa 39Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 15
OWN 39
0
0.0%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jerminic SmithSimilar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 15
OWN 39
0
0.0%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Tevaun SmithSimilar
Q4 0:40
4TH & 15
OWN 39
+21
0.0%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Derrick Mitchell Jr. for 21 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
0.0%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 11 yds to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
0.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jacob Hillyer for 9 yds to the Stanf 20Similar
Q4 0:11
2ND & 1
OPP 20
-3
0.0%
C.J. Beathard run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 23 C.J. Beathard fumbled, recovered by Stanf Lane VeachSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 4:07
Quenton Meeks 66 Yd Interception Return (Conrad Ukropina KICK)
-4.8
TD · Q2 8:22
Kevin Hogan pass complete to Michael Rector for 31 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)
-4.1
TD · Q1 9:13
Kevin Hogan run for 8 yds for a TD, (Conrad Ukropina KICK)
-1.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com