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OU

Oklahoma 17 at Clemson 37

CLEM
2015 · Postseason · Dec 31, 2015 · Hard Rock Stadium
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:41 · Greg Huegel 47 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 135Home team on offense+8.3Score differential+1.4Garbage-time factor+2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6Pregame prior−1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:45: Deshaun Watson 5 Yd Run (Greg Huegel Kick) — CLEM win probability +4.4 pts (now 55%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:34: Mark Andrews 11 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick) — OU win probability +15.1 pts (now 58%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:51: Wayne Gallman 1 Yd Run (Greg Huegel Kick) — CLEM win probability +14.0 pts (now 69%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:07: Hunter Renfrow 35 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Greg Huegel Kick) — CLEM win probability +14.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:48: Wayne Gallman 4 Yd Run (Greg Huegel Kick) — CLEM win probability +4.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 9OU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 8:19CLEM 4th & 2 at CLEM 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.4%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:32OU 4th & 23 at OU 4, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.6%−1.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:45CLEM 4th & 9 at OU 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.8%
    89% to make
    Punt
    43.4%−2.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:54OU 4th & 17 at CLEM 37, up 4
    Close callPunted · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%−0.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    52.1%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.9%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:45CLEM 4th & 4 at OU 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    47.4%−1.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    48.2%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:20OU 4th & 17 at OU 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−1.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:05CLEM 4th & 10 at OU 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−0.8
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    49.9%−5.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:41OU 4th & 5 at CLEM 5, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.2%
    92% to make
    Punt
    34.5%−6.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:17CLEM 4th & 9 at OU 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−0.7
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    51.3%−4.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:10OU 4th & 23 at OU 9, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−4.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:41CLEM 4th & 8 at OU 30, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    65.8%−2.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:28OU 4th & 1 at CLEM 30, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    32.2%−4.4
    56% to make
    Punt
    29.6%−7.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:12CLEM 4th & 1 at CLEM 38, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.3%−2.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:28OU 4th & 12 at OU 13, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−1.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:50CLEM 4th & 14 at CLEM 19, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:12OU 4th & 13 at OU 41, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:00CLEM 4th & 13 at CLEM 14, up 20
    Close callWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4OU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:16OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:45CLEM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:34OU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:51CLEM Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:07CLEM Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:48CLEM Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:4453% → 54%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
47.4%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Carlos Watkins for a loss of 6 yards to the Okla 19Similar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+9
47.5%
Samaje Perine run for 9 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q1 13:59
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+17
47.7%
Samaje Perine run for 17 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
47.6%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the Okla 46Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+15
47.6%
Mayfield, Baker pass incomplete to Baxter, Jarvis, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Carter, Ryan) 15 yards to the CLEMSON39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA.Similar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
47.6%
Samaje Perine run for 5 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+2
47.6%
Baker Mayfield run for 2 yds to the Clem 32Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+10
47.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 10 yds to the Clem 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+21
47.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Mark Andrews for 21 yds to the Clem 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
47.6%
Baker Mayfield run for no gain to the Clem 1Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
46.3%
Samaje Perine 1 Yd Run (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:5747% → 46%
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
46.8%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Artavis ScottSimilar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+4
46.8%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the Clem 22Similar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+16
46.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Charone Peake for 16 yds to the Clem 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
46.9%
Deshaun Watson run for 1 yd to the Clem 39Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+4
46.8%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the Clem 43Similar
Q1 9:01
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+3
46.8%
Deshaun Watson run for 3 yds to the Clem 46Similar
Q1 8:19
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
46.4%
Andy Teasdall punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the Okla 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -13 yds · 1:4754% → 54%
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
46.1%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+1
46.1%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the Okla 18Similar
Q1 7:41
3RD & 9
OWN 18
-14
46.1%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Shaq Lawson for a loss of 14 yards to the Okla 4Similar
Q1 6:32
4TH & 23
OWN 4
0
46.4%
Austin Seibert punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 4FG
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:4747% → 48%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
47.3%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Charone PeakeSimilar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+10
47.2%
Deshaun Watson run for 10 yds to the Okla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
47.2%
Wayne Gallman run for 6 yds to the Okla 12Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+3
47.2%
Deshaun Watson run for 3 yds to the Okla 9Similar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+3
46.7%
Deshaun Watson run for 3 yds to the Okla 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
47.2%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q1 4:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
47.2%
Deshaun Watson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 9Similar
Q1 3:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
46.6%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Jordan LeggettSimilar
Q1 3:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
48.1%
Greg Huegel 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 38 yds · 3:5152% → 52%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
47.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Joe Mixon for 2 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+16
47.5%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 16 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
46.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 8 yds to the Clem 49Similar
Q1 2:34
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+7
46.3%
Baker Mayfield run for 7 yds to the Clem 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
46.4%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the Clem 39Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+9
46.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Joe Mixon for 9 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-12
45.9%
Joe Mixon run for 3 yds to the Clem 27 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Dimitri Flowers) to the Clem 42Similar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 22
OPP 42
+3
46.8%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the Clem 39Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 19
OPP 39
+2
47.3%
Joe Mixon run for 2 yds to the Clem 37Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 17
OPP 37
0
48.0%
Austin Seibert punt for 33 yds, downed at the Clem 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 6TD
7 plays · 96 yds · 2:0947% → 55%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+46
47.2%
Deshaun Watson run for 46 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:31
1ST & 10
50
0
49.2%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Jordan LeggettSimilar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 10
50
+6
49.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 6 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q2 13:51
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
49.1%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Jordan LeggettSimilar
Q2 13:45
4TH & 4
OPP 44
+31
48.2%
Andy Teasdall pass complete to Christian Wilkins for 31 yds to the Okla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
50.1%
Ray-Ray McCloud run for 8 yds to the Okla 5Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+5
54.5%
Deshaun Watson 5 Yd Run (Greg Huegel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 2:2547% → 46%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.6%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Joe Mixon for no gain to the Okla 25Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
52.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeffery Mead for 11 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
52.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jeffery Mead for 8 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+4
51.3%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
51.3%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-7
51.7%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Richard Yeargin and Ben Boulware for a loss of 7 yards to the Okla 41. Offsetting Penalties, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Sterling Shepard, Mackensie Alexander)Similar
Q2 10:37
3RD & 17
OWN 41
0
53.3%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Durron NealSimilar
Q2 10:20
4TH & 17
OWN 41
+5
54.3%
Austin Seibert punt for 45 yds , Artavis Scott returns for 5 yds to the Clem 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 8FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 3:1553% → 60%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
52.9%
Deshaun Watson run for 5 yds to the Clem 24Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+4
53.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the Clem 28Similar
Q2 9:14
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+15
53.0%
Deshaun Watson run for 15 yds to the Clem 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+24
55.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 24 yds to the Okla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
56.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 6 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+8
56.4%
Wayne Gallman run for 8 yds to the Okla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
57.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Charone Peake for 8 yds to the Okla 11Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 2
OPP 11
-1
57.4%
Deshaun Watson sacked by Frank Shannon for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 12Similar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 3
OPP 12
-7
56.8%
Artavis Scott sacked by Devante Bond for a loss of 7 yards to the Okla 19 CLEMSON Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Artavis Scott) to the Okla 19Similar
Q2 7:05
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+36
60.3%
Greg Huegel 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9FG
12 plays · 67 yds · 2:1942% → 45%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
57.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jarvis Baxter for 13 yds to the Okla 41 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Personal Foul (Jarvis Baxter) to the Okla 26Similar
Q2 6:34
1ST & 12
OWN 26
+3
58.4%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+42
54.9%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 27 yds to the CLEMSON 44 for a 1ST down CLEMSON Penalty, Sideline Interference (15 Yards) to the Clem 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
54.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jarvis Baxter for 6 yds to the Clem 23Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 4
OPP 23
0
54.8%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Durron NealSimilar
Q2 5:37
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+19
59.0%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 19 yds to the Clem 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
57.8%
Joe Mixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 5Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
58.0%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Durron NealSimilar
Q2 4:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
59.4%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Mark AndrewsSimilar
Q2 4:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
54.9%
Austin Seibert 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 10FG
10 plays · 49 yds · 2:2457% → 64%
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
56.7%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+18
57.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 18 yds to the Clem 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
59.1%
Wayne Gallman run for 9 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 1
OPP 44
0
59.9%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Artavis ScottSimilar
Q2 3:17
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+17
59.5%
Deshaun Watson run for 17 yds to the Okla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
60.9%
Deshaun Watson run for 1 yd to the Okla 26Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 9
OPP 26
0
60.8%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Charone PeakeSimilar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 9
OPP 26
0
59.6%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Charone PeakeSimilar
Q2 2:17
4TH & 9
OPP 26
+43
64.1%
Greg Huegel 43 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 0:4337% → 58%
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+20
63.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Samaje Perine for 20 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
61.2%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Samaje Perine for 3 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+42
60.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 42 yds to the Clem 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
42.1%
Mark Andrews 11 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 12INT
12 plays · 66 yds · 1:2149% → 52%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
49.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Charone Peake for 4 yds to the Clem 23Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+7
49.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 7 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+26
49.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Charone Peake for 26 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
52.9%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Charone PeakeSimilar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
52.7%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Artavis ScottSimilar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+12
50.5%
Deshaun Watson run for 12 yds to the Okla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
54.4%
Watson, Deshaun pass incomplete to Hopper, Germone, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference (Shannon, Frank) 15 yards to the OKLAHOMA17, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
54.4%
Deshaun Watson run for 2 yds to the Okla 15Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
54.0%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Charone PeakeSimilar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
52.1%
Deshaun Watson pass intercepted, touchback. Zack Sanchez return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
46.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 14TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:0949% → 69%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
49.4%
Wayne Gallman run for 11 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
50.7%
Wayne Gallman run for 5 yds to the Clem 41Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+5
52.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 5 yds to the Clem 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
52.8%
Wayne Gallman run for 6 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+9
53.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 9 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
53.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 2 yds to the Okla 37Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+17
53.3%
Zac Brooks run for 17 yds to the Okla 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
54.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 4 yds to the Okla 16Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+1
54.7%
Zac Brooks run for 1 yd to the Okla 15Similar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+11
53.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 11 yds to the Okla 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
54.9%
Deshaun Watson run for 3 yds to the Okla 1Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
68.9%
Wayne Gallman 1 Yd Run (Greg Huegel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 1:4137% → 33%
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
63.1%
Baker Mayfield run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 21Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 11
OWN 21
-3
63.7%
Samaje Perine run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 18Similar
Q3 10:01
3RD & 14
OWN 18
-9
65.3%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Kevin Dodd for a loss of 9 yards to the Okla 9Similar
Q3 9:10
4TH & 23
OWN 9
0
67.0%
Austin Seibert punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Artavis Scott at the Clem 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16MISSED FG
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:2968% → 68%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
68.2%
Wayne Gallman run for 16 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
69.8%
Wayne Gallman run for 13 yds to the Okla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
70.2%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the Okla 31 Wayne Gallman fumbled, recovered by ClemSimilar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+1
70.4%
Zac Brooks run for 1 yd to the Okla 30Similar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 8
OPP 30
0
69.5%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Jordan LeggettSimilar
Q3 7:41
4TH & 8
OPP 30
+47
67.6%
Greg Huegel 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:1336% → 37%
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
63.8%
Dede Westbrook run for 18 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
61.2%
Samaje Perine run for 5 yds to the Clem 46Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
60.8%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Dede WestbrookSimilar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+7
61.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 7 yds to the Clem 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
60.9%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+7
61.1%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 7 yds to the Clem 32Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+2
60.8%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Michiah Quick for 2 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q3 5:28
4TH & 1
OPP 30
0
62.7%
Samaje Perine run for no gain to the Clem 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 1:2169% → 87%
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+21
68.6%
Wayne Gallman run for 21 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
71.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 6 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+5
72.4%
Watson, Deshaun pass incomplete to Peake, Charone, PENALTY OKLAHOMA offside 5 yards to the OKLAHOMA38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
72.5%
Deshaun Watson run for 3 yds to the Okla 35Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+35
87.4%
Hunter Renfrow 35 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Greg Huegel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19INT
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:5716% → 18%
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
83.7%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Jarvis Baxter for 17 yds to the Okla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
82.4%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Jarvis BaxterSimilar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
83.0%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Durron NealSimilar
Q3 3:34
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+18
83.6%
Baker Mayfield run for 18 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
81.7%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Michiah QuickSimilar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+1
81.9%
Baker Mayfield pass intercepted B.J. Goodson return for 1 yd to the Clem 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5887% → 88%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
86.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the Clem 33Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+4
87.7%
Deshaun Watson run for 4 yds to the Clem 37Similar
Q3 1:59
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+1
88.0%
Deshaun Watson run for 1 yd to the Clem 38Similar
Q3 1:12
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
87.9%
Andy Teasdall punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the Okla 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:4413% → 12%
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
86.7%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the Okla 18Similar
Q3 0:47
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
87.0%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Dede WestbrookSimilar
Q3 0:40
3RD & 7
OWN 18
-5
87.3%
Baker Mayfield sacked by Ben Boulware and Austin Bryant for a loss of 5 yards to the Okla 13Similar
Q3 0:28
4TH & 12
OWN 13
0
87.7%
Austin Seibert punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Artavis Scott at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22TD
11 plays · 50 yds · 4:1291% → 99%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
50
-5
91.4%
Wayne Gallman run for a loss of 5 yards to the Clem 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+15
90.9%
Watson, Deshaun pass incomplete to Renfrow, Hunter, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference (Parker, Steven) 15 yards to the OKLAHOMA40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
91.6%
Wayne Gallman run for 6 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+7
91.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 7 yds to the Okla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
92.3%
Deshaun Watson run for 1 yd to the Okla 26Similar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+6
92.7%
Deshaun Watson run for 6 yds to the Okla 20Similar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+7
93.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 7 yds to the Okla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
93.7%
Deshaun Watson run for 6 yds to the Okla 7Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+3
94.0%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the Okla 4Similar
Q4 10:48
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+4
98.5%
Wayne Gallman 4 Yd Run (Greg Huegel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 23INT
12 plays · 70 yds · 3:252% → 2%
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.4%
Sterling Shepard run for 5 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
98.3%
Samaje Perine run for 6 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
98.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Dede Westbrook for 9 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+4
98.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 4 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
98.4%
Alex Ross run for 2 yds to the Clem 49Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+17
98.4%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Durron Neal for 17 yds to the Clem 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
98.3%
Baker Mayfield pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
98.3%
Mayfield, Baker pass complete to Westbrook, Dede for 4 yards to the CLEMSON28, PENALTY CLEMSON offside (Yeargin, Richard) 5 yards to the CLEMSON27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+7
98.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 7 yds to the Clem 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
98.3%
Baker Mayfield pass complete to Durron Neal for 15 yds to the Clem 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+9
98.4%
Baker Mayfield pass intercepted Ben Boulware return for 9 yds to the Clem 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 4:3399% → 100%
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
98.8%
Deshaun Watson run for 2 yds to the Clem 13Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+6
98.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 6 yds to the Clem 19Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+4
98.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the Clem 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
99.1%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Clem 18Similar
Q4 5:09
1ST & 15
OWN 18
+2
99.1%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the Clem 20Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 13
OWN 20
-1
99.1%
Wayne Gallman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 19Similar
Q4 3:31
3RD & 14
OWN 19
0
99.7%
Deshaun Watson run for no gain to the Clem 19Similar
Q4 2:50
4TH & 14
OWN 19
0
99.7%
Andy Teasdall punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the Okla 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:381% → 1%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-3
99.3%
Alex Ross run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 41Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 13
OWN 41
0
99.4%
Cody Thomas pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 13
OWN 41
0
99.4%
Cody Thomas pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q4 2:12
4TH & 13
OWN 41
0
99.4%
Austin Seibert punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Artavis Scott at the Clem 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · -3 yds · 2:12100% → 100%
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 16Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 11
OWN 16
-1
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 15Similar
Q4 0:47
3RD & 12
OWN 15
-1
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 14Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 13
OWN 14
0
99.8%
Deshaun Watson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:34
Mark Andrews 11 Yd pass from Baker Mayfield (Austin Seibert Kick)
-15.1
TD · Q3 4:07
Hunter Renfrow 35 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Greg Huegel Kick)
+14.9
TD · Q3 10:51
Wayne Gallman 1 Yd Run (Greg Huegel Kick)
+14
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com