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UCLA

UCLA 29 at Nebraska 37

NEB
2015 · Foster Farms Bowl · Dec 26, 2015 · Levi's Stadium
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameTD-14.3NEB 74.1%Josh Rosen pass complete to JordanPayton for 9 yds for a TD, (Josh Rosenpass to Thomas Duarte for Two-PointConversion)AWAY 29 - HOME 37 · Q4 11:29
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:29 · Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Payton for 9 yds for a TD, (Josh Rosen pass to Thomas Duarte for Two-Point Conversion)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 136Pregame prior−3.8Home team on offense+9.1Garbage-time factor+1.0Score differential+3.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.8Blowout margin+1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:23: Terrell Newby run for 3 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +9.2 pts (now 34%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:52: Andy Janovich run for 1 yd for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +13.0 pts (now 49%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:37: Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 22 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown PAT MISSED) — NEB win probability +11.5 pts (now 62%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:11: Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +11.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:29: Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Payton for 9 yds for a TD, (Josh Rosen pass to Thomas Duarte for Two-Point Conversion) — UCLA win probability +14.3 pts (now 26%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UCLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 10:51UCLA 4th & 1 at NEB 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    63.7%−0.2
    70% to make
    Punt
    63.2%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:55UCLA 4th & 8 at UCLA 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:31NEB 4th & 5 at NEB 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:23UCLA 4th & 1 at UCLA 39, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.3%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q3 9:22UCLA 4th & 12 at UCLA 23, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−3.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%
    average punt
  6. Q3 4:50NEB 4th & 1 at UCLA 3, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.9 ptsKicked a field goal · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%
    63% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.0%−4.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    48.3%−17.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:12UCLA 4th & 12 at UCLA 15, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−4.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  8. Q4 8:52NEB 4th & 5 at NEB 25, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%−1.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%
    average punt
  9. Q4 5:49UCLA 4th & 21 at NEB 28, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−4.7
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−7.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:40NEB 4th & 23 at NEB 15, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−4.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:54UCLA 4th & 10 at NEB 32, down 8
    Close callWent for it · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.5%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    8.9%
    51% to make
    Punt
    5.7%−3.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UCLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 10:17UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:50NEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:04UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:55UCLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:23NEB Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:52NEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:37NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    60.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:11NEB Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 11:29UCLA Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    17.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    17.4%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCLADrive 1TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 4:2869% → 69%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
30.9%
Stephen Johnson run for 4 yds to the UCLA 25Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 6
OWN 25
-5
31.1%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 20Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+32
31.2%
Paul Perkins run for 32 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
31.2%
Devin Fuller pass incomplete to Jordan PaytonSimilar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
31.2%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Taariq Allen) to the Neb 43Similar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+1
31.3%
Paul Perkins run for 1 yd to the Neb 42Similar
Q1 12:51
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+10
31.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Thomas Duarte for 10 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
31.6%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 2 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
31.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for no gain to the Neb 30Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+7
32.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Paul Perkins for 7 yds Paul Perkins fumbled, recovered by UCLA Paul PerkinsSimilar
Q1 10:51
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+22
32.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Thomas Duarte for 22 yds to the Neb 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
30.8%
Paul Perkins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ka'imi Fairbairn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:1731% → 37%
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
31.3%
Imani Cross run for 4 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
31.5%
Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
31.4%
Armstrong Jr., Tommy pass incomplete to Morgan Jr., Stanley, PENALTY UCLA pass interference (Johnson, John) 8 yards to the NEBRASKA39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEBRASKA.Similar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
31.8%
Imani Cross run for 7 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+2
32.2%
Imani Cross run for 2 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q1 7:40
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+1
32.2%
Andy Janovich run for 1 yd to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
32.3%
Imani Cross run for 5 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+14
32.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 14 yds to the UCLA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
33.0%
UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (Takkarist McKinley) to the UCLA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
33.1%
Devine Ozigbo run for 6 yds to the UCLA 11Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+4
33.3%
Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the UCLA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
33.4%
Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the UCLA 6Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
33.7%
Imani Cross run for 5 yds to the UCLA 1Similar
Q1 3:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
37.2%
Imani Cross run for 1 yd for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:3865% → 64%
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
35.4%
Paul Perkins run for 2 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
35.2%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Thomas DuarteSimilar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
35.7%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan PaytonSimilar
Q1 2:55
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
36.5%
Matt Mengel punt for 42 yds, downed at the Neb 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4FUMBLE
11 plays · 61 yds · 5:0237% → 42%
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
36.6%
Imani Cross run for 4 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+15
37.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 15 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
38.1%
Devine Ozigbo run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 37Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+8
38.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Cethan Carter for 8 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q1 0:21
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+6
38.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 6 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
39.9%
Westerkamp, Jordan rush for 4 yards to the UCLA45, PENALTY UCLA offside (Hollins, Deon) 5 yards to the UCLA44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:34
1ST & 5
OPP 44
+5
40.2%
Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
40.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 3 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+16
41.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 16 yds to the UCLA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
41.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Alonzo MooreSimilar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+6
41.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 6 yds to the UCLA 14 Tommy Armstrong Jr. fumbled, recovered by UCLA Jaleel WadoodSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 5TD
4 plays · 86 yds · 1:2662% → 69%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
38.2%
Paul Perkins run for 4 yds to the UCLA 18Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 6
OWN 18
0
38.4%
Paul Perkins run for no gain to the UCLA 18Similar
Q2 11:26
3RD & 6
OWN 18
+22
39.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Payton for 22 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
31.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Kenneth Walker III for 60 yds for a TD, (Ka'imi Fairbairn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2433% → 32%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
32.6%
Imani Cross run for 4 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
32.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Brandon ReillySimilar
Q2 10:13
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+1
32.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Terrell Newby for 1 yd to the Neb 30Similar
Q2 9:31
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
31.5%
Sam Foltz punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 7TD
4 plays · 68 yds · 1:2468% → 77%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+36
31.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Soso Jamabo for 36 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
30.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 37Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 15
OPP 37
+11
30.7%
Nate Starks run for 11 yds to the Neb 26Similar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+26
23.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Nate Starks for 26 yds for a TD, (Ka'imi Fairbairn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:2624% → 34%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
24.0%
Devine Ozigbo run for 7 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+43
26.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 28 yds to the NEBRASKA 40 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (Jaleel Wadood) to the UCLA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+22
24.6%
Jamal Turner run for 22 yds to the UCLA 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
33.8%
Terrell Newby run for 3 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2870% → 70%
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
29.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Stephen Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 25Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+6
30.8%
Paul Perkins run for 6 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+8
31.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Thomas Duarte for 8 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q2 4:23
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
29.7%
Matt Mengel punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 3:2130% → 49%
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
30.4%
Imani Cross run for 5 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+24
31.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Cethan Carter for 24 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
33.1%
Andy Janovich run for 12 yds to the UCLA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
34.2%
Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 8
OPP 30
-5
34.0%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (Alex Lewis) to the UCLA 35Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 13
OPP 35
+26
32.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 26 yds to the UCLA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
34.3%
Imani Cross run for 7 yds to the UCLA 2Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
34.4%
Imani Cross run for 1 yd to the UCLA 1Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
48.7%
Andy Janovich run for 1 yd for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:1758% → 59%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
42.0%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+13
42.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Paul Perkins for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 16 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, Personal Foul (Nate Gerry) to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
41.2%
Josh Rosen pass intercepted Joshua Kalu return for no gain to the Neb 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -7 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-7
46.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. sacked by Kenny Clark for a loss of 7 yards to the Neb 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 4:0745% → 62%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
44.6%
Imani Cross run for 3 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+9
45.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 9 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
45.5%
Imani Cross run for 7 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+7
48.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 7 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
48.3%
Andy Janovich run for 6 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+9
49.1%
Devine Ozigbo run for 9 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
49.4%
Alonzo Moore run for 8 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+7
50.7%
Imani Cross run for 7 yds to the UCLA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
62.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 22 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:0844% → 40%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
56.1%
Nate Starks run for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 20Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+3
57.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Nate Starks for 3 yds to the UCLA 23Similar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
58.7%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan PaytonSimilar
Q3 9:22
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
59.6%
Matt Mengel punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jordan Westerkamp at the Neb 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15FG
12 plays · 68 yds · 4:2560% → 73%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
60.1%
Devine Ozigbo run for 12 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+23
62.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 23 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
64.3%
Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q3 7:49
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+9
64.8%
Andy Janovich run for 9 yds to the UCLA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
65.3%
Devine Ozigbo run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 25Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 12
OPP 25
0
65.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Jordan WesterkampSimilar
Q3 6:38
3RD & 12
OPP 25
+13
63.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Alonzo Moore for 13 yds to the UCLA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-4
66.2%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (Zach Sterup) to the UCLA 17Similar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 15
OPP 17
+12
66.3%
Devine Ozigbo run for 12 yds to the UCLA 5Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+2
66.8%
Andy Janovich run for 2 yds to the UCLA 3Similar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 1
OPP 3
0
66.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Jordan WesterkampSimilar
Q3 4:50
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+20
73.2%
Drew Brown 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:3827% → 24%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
72.6%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (Cristian Garcia) to the UCLA 12Similar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 15
OWN 12
0
73.1%
Paul Perkins run for no gain to the UCLA 12Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 15
OWN 12
0
73.9%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 15
OWN 12
+3
75.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Paul Perkins for 3 yds to the UCLA 15Similar
Q3 3:12
4TH & 12
OWN 15
+8
76.5%
Matt Mengel punt for 44 yds , Jordan Westerkamp returns for 8 yds to the Neb 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17TD
10 plays · 51 yds · 3:4977% → 92%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
77.4%
Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+15
77.7%
Terrell Newby run for 15 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+13
78.6%
Brandon Reilly run for 13 yds to the UCLA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
79.0%
Imani Cross run for 1 yd to the UCLA 20Similar
Q3 1:01
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+13
79.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 13 yds to the UCLA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
79.9%
Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the UCLA 5Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
80.3%
Armstrong Jr., Tommy pass incomplete to Westerkamp, Jordan, PENALTY UCLA pass interference (Goforth, Randall) 3 yards to the UCLA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEBRASKA.Similar
Q4 14:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
80.5%
Imani Cross run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 3Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
80.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Jordan WesterkampSimilar
Q4 14:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
92.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 2:3211% → 26%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
89.0%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Kenneth Walker IIISimilar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+3
89.5%
Paul Perkins run for 3 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+12
89.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Thomas Duarte for 12 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+17
89.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Kenneth Walker III for 17 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+22
89.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 22 yds to the Neb 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
88.3%
Paul Perkins run for 9 yds to the Neb 13Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+4
88.4%
Paul Perkins run for 4 yds to the Neb 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
74.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Payton for 9 yds for a TD, (Josh Rosen pass to Thomas Duarte for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:2082% → 84%
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
82.0%
Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Neb 9Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+11
83.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 11 yds to the Neb 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
84.3%
Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
84.7%
Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
84.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Jordan WesterkampSimilar
Q4 8:52
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
83.7%
Sam Foltz punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Devin Fuller at the UCLA 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20MISSED FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 2:5516% → 12%
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
83.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 8 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+14
81.6%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 14 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
80.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Stephen Johnson for 10 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
80.7%
Paul Perkins run for 6 yds to the Neb 35Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+18
79.4%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Stephen Johnson for 18 yds to the Neb 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
79.6%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
79.9%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Eldridge MassingtonSimilar
Q4 5:55
3RD & 10
OPP 17
-3
83.8%
Josh Rosen run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 28 Josh Rosen fumbled, recovered by UCLASimilar
Q4 5:49
4TH & 21
OPP 28
+46
88.0%
Ka'imi Fairbairn 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -13 yds · 1:0091% → 90%
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
91.3%
Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Neb 29Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
92.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Alonzo MooreSimilar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 9
OWN 29
-14
91.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for a loss of 14 yards to the Neb 15Similar
Q4 4:40
4TH & 23
OWN 15
0
90.3%
Sam Foltz punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 22INT
8 plays · 22 yds · 1:4014% → 11%
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
86.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Kenneth Walker III for 11 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
85.4%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 5 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 5
OPP 38
0
84.6%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan PaytonSimilar
Q4 3:42
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+6
86.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Payton for 6 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
84.2%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Kenneth Walker IIISimilar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
84.8%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan PaytonSimilar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
86.5%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Thomas DuarteSimilar
Q4 2:54
4TH & 10
OPP 32
0
88.6%
Josh Rosen pass intercepted, touchback. Chris Jones return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23END OF GAME
9 plays · 46 yds · 2:4994% → 98%
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
94.2%
Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+23
95.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 23 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
96.1%
Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 6
50
+4
96.6%
Devine Ozigbo run for 4 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q4 1:07
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+16
97.3%
Cethan Carter run for 16 yds to the UCLA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
97.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 32Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 32
-2
97.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:29
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Payton for 9 yds for a TD, (Josh Rosen pass to Thomas Duarte for Two-Point Conversion)
-14.3
TD · Q2 0:52
Andy Janovich run for 1 yd for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)
+13
TD · Q3 10:37
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 22 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown PAT MISSED)
+11.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com