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MIA

Miami 14 at Washington State 20

WSU
2015 · Hyundai Sun Bowl · Dec 26, 2015 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadMIA aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreMIA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:30 · TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginTime remaining
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:10: Gabe Marks 25 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick) — WSU win probability +11.1 pts (now 74%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Erik Powell 25 Yd Field Goal — WSU win probability +6.4 pts (now 79%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:10: Mark Walton 5 Yd Run (Michael Badgley Kick) — MIA win probability +23.6 pts (now 34%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:22: Morrow, Jamal rush for 2 yards to the WASHST6, PENALTY WASHST holding (Madison, Cole) 2 yards to the WASHST2, NO PLAY. — WSU win probability +15.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:58: Timeout MIAMI FL, clock 02:58 — WSU win probability +17.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10MIA made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 8:42MIA 4th & 3 at WSU 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    41.8%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    41.7%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:45MIA 4th & 4 at WSU 4, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    40.7%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    39.2%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:52WSU 4th & 7 at WSU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:46MIA 4th & 10 at WSU 30, tied
    Close callWent for it · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.7%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    44.0%
    56% to make
    Punt
    43.3%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:51WSU 4th & 4 at MIA 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    57.8%−0.2
    74% to make
    Punt
    54.6%−3.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:33WSU 4th & 11 at MIA 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    51.8%−5.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:42MIA 4th & 6 at midfield, down 3
    Close callPunted · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:26MIA 4th & 15 at MIA 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−2.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:11MIA 4th & 6 at WSU 47, down 13
    Close callPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:27WSU 4th & 10 at MIA 40, up 13
    Close callWent for it · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.9%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    82.5%−0.4
    34% to make
    Punt
    82.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:18MIA 4th & 4 at MIA 45, down 13
    Close callPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:47WSU 4th & 6 at MIA 35, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    86.6%−0.7
    45% to make
    Punt
    85.6%−1.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:26MIA 4th & 15 at MIA 30, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:43WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 43, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%−2.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:48MIA 4th & 17 at MIA 13, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−1.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:43WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 27, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%−1.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:56WSU 4th & 5 at midfield, up 6
    Close callPunted · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.5%−0.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:17MIA 4th & 15 at MIA 22, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−3.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.5%
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:22WSU 4th & 7 at WSU 35, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.2%−1.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:13WSU 4th & 8 at WSU 6, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−3.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MIA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:41WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:45MIA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:10WSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:10MIA Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1450% → 52%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
50.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 23Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+29
50.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 29 yds to the MiaFl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
50.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 4 yds to the MiaFl 44Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+8
50.7%
Keith Harrington run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
50.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 5 yds to the MiaFl 31Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+31
51.9%
Jamal Morrow 31 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 2TD
17 plays · 69 yds · 6:4148% → 49%
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
51.6%
Joseph Yearby run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 32Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+13
52.0%
Joseph Yearby run for 13 yds to the MiaFl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
52.0%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Mark WaltonSimilar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
52.1%
Joseph Yearby run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 5
50
+7
52.2%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Braxton Berrios for 7 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
52.2%
Kaaya, Brad pass incomplete to Scott, Rashawn, PENALTY WASHST offside (Paulo, Darryl) 5 yards to the WASHST38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 5
OPP 38
0
52.3%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Malcolm LewisSimilar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+3
52.3%
Joseph Yearby run for 3 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q1 9:31
3RD & 2
OPP 35
-1
52.8%
Joseph Yearby run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 36Similar
Q1 8:42
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+4
53.4%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Stacy Coley for 4 yds to the WshSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
53.0%
Joseph Yearby run for 8 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+18
53.0%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Christopher Herndon IV for 18 yds to the WshSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
53.2%
Joseph Yearby run for 1 yd to the WshSt 5Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
53.5%
Joseph Yearby run for 1 yd to the WshSt 4Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
54.2%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Christopher Herndon IV MIAMI FL Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Rashawn Scott) declinedSimilar
Q1 5:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
51.1%
Stacy Coley 4 Yd pass from Brad Kaaya (Michael Badgley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 1:5052% → 52%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
51.7%
Jamal Morrow run for 2 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
51.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
51.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 9 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
52.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 3 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
52.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Keith HarringtonSimilar
Q1 4:02
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
51.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyrin PriesterSimilar
Q1 3:52
4TH & 7
OWN 39
+4
51.5%
Zach Charme punt for 38 yds , Braxton Berrios returns for 4 yds to the MiaFl 27 MIAMI FL Penalty, Illegal Block (Jaquan Johnson) to the MiaFl 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 4INT
8 plays · 69 yds · 3:5148% → 51%
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+36
51.7%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Stacy Coley for 36 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
50.6%
Joseph Yearby run for 3 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+1
50.2%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to David Njoku for 1 yd to the WshSt 44Similar
Q1 1:50
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+11
50.4%
Joseph Yearby run for 11 yds to the WshSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-3
49.8%
Mark Walton run for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 36Similar
Q1 0:28
2ND & 13
OPP 36
-5
50.6%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 41Similar
Q1 0:08
2ND & 18
OPP 41
+26
50.8%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Mark Walton for 26 yds to the WshSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
49.5%
Brad Kaaya pass intercepted, touchback. Peyton Pelluer return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5FUMBLE
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:0653% → 53%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
52.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 7 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+5
53.3%
Gerard Wicks run for 5 yds to the WshSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
53.2%
Gerard Wicks run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 30 Gerard Wicks fumbled, forced by Mike Smith, recovered by MiaFl Deon BushSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 6DOWNS
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4750% → 48%
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
49.6%
Mark Walton run for no gain to the WshSt 30Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
49.6%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Rashawn ScottSimilar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
50.4%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Herb WatersSimilar
Q2 12:46
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+1
52.4%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Mark Walton for 1 yd to the WshSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7FG
15 plays · 58 yds · 6:0854% → 58%
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
54.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
54.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 2 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+29
53.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 29 yds to the MiaFl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
56.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 4 yds to the MiaFl 36Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+5
56.5%
Kyrin Priester run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 31Similar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+4
56.5%
Gerard Wicks run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
57.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom Williams, broken up by Rayshawn JenkinsSimilar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+6
57.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tyler Baker for 6 yds to the MiaFl 21Similar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 4
OPP 21
0
57.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q2 8:51
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+9
56.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 9 yds to the MiaFl 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-10
58.1%
Wicks, Gerard rush for 3 yards to the MIAMIFL9, PENALTY WASHST holding (Madison, Cole) 10 yards to the MIAMIFL22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 20
OPP 22
+7
57.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 7 yds to the MiaFl 15Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 13
OPP 15
0
58.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom Williams, broken up by Rayshawn JenkinsSimilar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 13
OPP 15
+2
56.6%
Luke Falk run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 13Similar
Q2 6:33
4TH & 11
OPP 13
+30
58.2%
Erik Powell 30 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:4543% → 42%
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
57.2%
Brad Kaaya sacked by Ivan McLennan for a loss of 9 yards to the MiaFl 16Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+30
57.8%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Mark Walton for 30 yds to the MiaFl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
55.2%
Mark Walton run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 48Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+2
55.3%
Joseph Yearby run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 6
50
0
55.5%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to David Njoku, broken up by Taylor TaliuluSimilar
Q2 3:42
4TH & 6
50
0
57.8%
Justin Vogel punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 2:2859% → 74%
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
58.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to John ThompsonSimilar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+5
58.5%
Jamal Morrow run for 5 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q2 2:57
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+4
58.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyrin Priester for 4 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q2 2:57
4TH & 1
OWN 38
+15
58.8%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Roughing Passer (Al-Quadin Muhammad) to the MiaFl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
61.3%
Jamal Morrow run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 46Similar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 9
OPP 46
0
61.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+10
60.2%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete to Marks, Gabe, PENALTY MIAMIFL holding (Burns, Artie) 10 yards to the MIAMIFL36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHST.Similar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
61.7%
Gerard Wicks run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 31Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+6
63.0%
Jamal Morrow run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
74.0%
Gabe Marks 25 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:2829% → 28%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
70.8%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Herb Waters for 3 yds to the MiaFl 28Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
70.8%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Rashawn Scott, broken up by Taylor TaliuluSimilar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-8
71.3%
Brad Kaaya sacked by Hercules Mata'afa for a loss of 8 yards to the MiaFl 20Similar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
71.7%
Justin Vogel punt for 22 yds, downed at the MiaFl 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11END OF HALF
6 plays · 34 yds · 0:2072% → 79%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
72.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Robert Lewis, broken up by Artie BurnsSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+11
72.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 11 yds to the MiaFl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
72.7%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the MiaFl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
72.7%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete to Marks, Gabe (Howard, Tracy), PENALTY MIAMIFL personal foul (Jenkins, Rayshawn) 8 yards to the MIAMIFL8, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHST.Similar
Q2 0:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
72.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
79.2%
Erik Powell 25 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:3325% → 23%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
74.7%
Joseph Yearby run for 12 yds to the MiaFl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
74.3%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Rashawn ScottSimilar
Q3 13:53
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+8
75.0%
Braxton Berrios run for 8 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 2
OPP 43
-10
74.1%
Walton, Mark rush for 11 yards to the WASHST32, PENALTY MIAMIFL holding (Dobard, Standish) 10 yards to the MIAMIFL47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:48
3RD & 12
OWN 47
+6
76.9%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Rashawn Scott for 6 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q3 12:11
4TH & 6
OPP 47
+4
77.2%
Justin Vogel punt for 39 yds , Kaleb Fossum returns for 4 yds to the WshSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13DOWNS
10 plays · 48 yds · 3:3880% → 82%
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
79.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 2 yds to the WshSt 14Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 8
OWN 14
-1
80.2%
Gerard Wicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 13Similar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 9
OWN 13
+33
78.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 33 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
81.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+8
80.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyrin Priester for 8 yds to the MiaFl 46Similar
Q3 10:16
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+6
81.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 6 yds to the MiaFl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
82.9%
Luke Falk sacked by Tyriq McCord for a loss of 10 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 20
50
+10
83.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Dom Williams for 10 yds to the MiaFl 40Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
83.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyrin PriesterSimilar
Q3 8:27
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
82.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River Cracraft, broken up by Deon BushSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0520% → 19%
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
80.1%
Mark Walton run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 41Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
80.3%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to David NjokuSimilar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+4
81.1%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Herb Waters for 4 yds to the MiaFl 45Similar
Q3 7:18
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
81.2%
Justin Vogel punt for 46 yds, downed at the WshSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15DOWNS
7 plays · 56 yds · 2:2383% → 86%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+27
83.3%
Jamal Morrow run for 27 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
84.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 15 yds to the MiaFl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
85.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 10 yds to the MiaFl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
86.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 4 yds to the MiaFl 35Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
86.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for no gain to the MiaFl 35Similar
Q3 4:52
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
86.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Jamal MorrowSimilar
Q3 4:47
4TH & 6
OPP 35
0
86.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Robert Lewis, broken up by Corn ElderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:0817% → 15%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
83.0%
Coley, Stacy rush for 50 yards to the WASHST15, PENALTY MIAMIFL illegal block (Darling, Trevor) 15 yards to the MIAMIFL20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 25
OWN 20
+10
84.4%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Rashawn Scott for 10 yds Rashawn Scott fumbled, recovered by MiaFl Rashawn ScottSimilar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 15
OWN 30
0
84.7%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Rashawn ScottSimilar
Q3 3:36
3RD & 15
OWN 30
0
85.1%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Rashawn Scott, broken up by Taylor TaliuluSimilar
Q3 3:26
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
85.5%
Justin Vogel punt for 36 yds, downed at the WshSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2787% → 89%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
87.4%
Keith Harrington run for 2 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q3 2:54
2ND & 8
OWN 36
-4
88.1%
Luke Falk sacked by Demetrius Jackson and RJ McIntosh for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 32Similar
Q3 2:14
3RD & 12
OWN 32
+11
87.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 11 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q3 1:43
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
89.3%
Zach Charme punt for 37 yds, Braxton Berrios returns for no gain to the MiaFl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:5112% → 10%
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-9
87.8%
Brad Kaaya sacked by Destiny Vaeao for a loss of 9 yards to the MiaFl 11Similar
Q3 0:49
2ND & 19
OWN 11
0
89.6%
Kaaya, Brad pass pass intended for Njoku, David intercepted by McLennan, Ivan at the MIAMIFL30, McLennan, Ivan return 19 yards to the MIAMIFL9, PENALTY WASHST offside (Paulo, Darryl) off-setting, PENALTY MIAMIFL Illegal Block off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 19
OWN 11
+2
89.7%
Joseph Yearby run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 13Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 17
OWN 13
0
90.3%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Rashawn ScottSimilar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 17
OWN 13
-6
90.4%
Justin Vogel punt for 53 yds , Kaleb Fossum returns for a loss of 6 yards to the WshSt 7 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the WshSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0392% → 92%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
91.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q4 14:39
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
91.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to John ThompsonSimilar
Q4 14:24
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+9
91.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 9 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q4 13:43
4TH & 1
OWN 27
0
92.3%
Zach Charme punt for 38 yds , fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the MiaFl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 20TD
2 plays · 65 yds · 0:2011% → 34%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+60
89.4%
Braxton Berrios run for 60 yds to the WshSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
65.9%
Mark Walton 5 Yd Run (Michael Badgley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:0677% → 82%
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
77.1%
Keith Harrington run for 2 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+8
79.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 8 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
82.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Jamal MorrowSimilar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
82.5%
Jamal Morrow run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 5
50
0
83.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q4 10:56
4TH & 5
50
0
81.8%
Zach Charme punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaFl 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:0824% → 19%
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
76.1%
Joseph Yearby run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 29Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 8
OWN 29
-7
77.8%
Brad Kaaya sacked by Darryl Paulo for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaFl 22Similar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 15
OWN 22
0
80.5%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Joseph Yearby MIAMI FL Penalty, Offensive Holding (Trevor Darling) declinedSimilar
Q4 9:17
4TH & 15
OWN 22
0
81.3%
Justin Vogel punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Kaleb Fossum at the WshSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5084% → 83%
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
83.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyrin PriesterSimilar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
83.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 3 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q4 8:32
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
83.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q4 8:22
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
82.5%
Zach Charme punt for 43 yds, downed at the MiaFl 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 24FUMBLE
9 plays · 70 yds · 3:4621% → 27%
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
79.5%
Braxton Berrios run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 26Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+3
79.0%
Mark Walton run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 29Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+17
80.2%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Rashawn Scott for 17 yds to the MiaFl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
77.2%
Mark Walton run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 49Similar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+10
77.1%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Herb Waters for 10 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+36
77.2%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Rashawn Scott for 36 yds to the WshSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & 0
OPP 5
-10
72.5%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Illegal Block (Herb Waters) to the WshSt 11Similar
Q4 4:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+6
74.5%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Rashawn Scott for 6 yds to the WshSt 5Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 0
OPP 5
+1
72.7%
Mark Walton run for 1 yd to the WshSt 4 Mark Walton fumbled, recovered by WshSt Marcellus PippinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0988% → 89%
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-2
88.4%
Morrow, Jamal rush for 2 yards to the WASHST6, PENALTY WASHST holding (Madison, Cole) 2 yards to the WASHST2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 12
OWN 2
+4
89.0%
Jamal Morrow run for 4 yds to the WshSt 6Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 8
OWN 6
0
88.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to John Thompson, broken up by Deon BushSimilar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 8
OWN 6
0
88.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q4 3:13
4TH & 8
OWN 6
+20
88.7%
Zach Charme punt for 42 yds , Braxton Berrios returns for 20 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 26INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+50
75.3%
Joseph Yearby pass intercepted Shalom Luani return for 40 yds to the WshSt 0 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Robert Barber) to the WshSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 27END OF GAME
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:2193% → 96%
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
93.1%
Jamal Morrow run for 11 yds to the WshSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
93.7%
Jamal Morrow run for 3 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+11
95.0%
Luke Falk run for 11 yds to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-6
96.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the WshSt 28Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 16
OWN 28
-5
95.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:10
Mark Walton 5 Yd Run (Michael Badgley Kick)
-23.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:58
Timeout MIAMI FL, clock 02:58
+17.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 4:22
Morrow, Jamal rush for 2 yards to the WASHST6, PENALTY WASHST holding (Madison, Cole) 2 yards to the WASHST2, NO PLAY.
+15.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com