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CONN

UConn 10 at Marshall 16

MRSH
2015 · St. Petersburg Bowl · Dec 26, 2015 · Tropicana Field
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:57 · Justin Wain punt for 53 yds, downed at the Marsh 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 65Pregame prior+9.0Home team on offense+1.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score differential+0.3Blowout margin+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:51: Ron Johnson 8 Yd Run (Bobby Puyol Kick) — CONN win probability +5.1 pts (now 39%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Nick Smith 29 Yd Field Goal — MRSH win probability +4.6 pts (now 74%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:56: Hyleck Foster run for no gain to the Marsh 44 — MRSH win probability +8.4 pts (now 75%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:28: Bryant Shirreffs run for 15 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST down — CONN win probability +6.0 pts (now 30%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:44: Nick Smith 32 Yd Field Goal — MRSH win probability +8.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 6CONN made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:02CONN 4th & 4 at CONN 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:44MRSH 4th & 3 at CONN 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    63.2%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:59CONN 4th & 9 at CONN 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:07MRSH 4th & 7 at MRSH 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:06CONN 4th & 4 at CONN 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:04MRSH 4th & 2 at CONN 3, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.6%−1.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    56.7%−6.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:57CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:53MRSH 4th & 2 at CONN 17, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    71.8%−1.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    63.7%−9.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:34MRSH 4th & 6 at CONN 25, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.4%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    66.5%−9.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:02CONN 4th & 10 at MRSH 35, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.8%
    45% to make
    Punt
    26.3%−1.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:19CONN 4th & 7 at midfield, down 3
    Close callPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:44MRSH 4th & 6 at CONN 15, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%−1.0
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    63.5%−20.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:21CONN 4th & 9 at CONN 41, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.6%−3.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1CONN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:10MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:51CONN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:5134% → 35%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
65.6%
Arkeel Newsome run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 24Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+9
65.6%
Arkeel Newsome run for 9 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-2
65.5%
Arkeel Newsome run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 31Similar
Q1 13:02
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
65.5%
Justin Wain punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Deandre Reaves at the Marsh 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:1166% → 66%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
65.5%
Hyleck Foster run for 1 yd to the Marsh 31Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+21
65.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 21 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
65.8%
Hyleck Foster run for 4 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+3
65.8%
Hyleck Foster run for 3 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q1 10:53
3RD & 3
OPP 41
0
65.7%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deandre ReavesSimilar
Q1 10:44
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
65.5%
Tyler Williams punt for 32 yds, downed at the UConn 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:3935% → 35%
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
65.2%
Arkeel Newsome run for 6 yds to the UConn 15Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 4
OWN 15
-5
65.1%
Bryant Shirreffs run for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 10Similar
Q1 9:18
3RD & 9
OWN 10
0
65.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Alec BloomSimilar
Q1 8:59
4TH & 9
OWN 10
+26
65.4%
Justin Wain punt for 36 yds , Deandre Reaves returns for 26 yds to the UConn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4TD
3 plays · 20 yds · 0:4066% → 68%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
65.8%
Devon Johnson run for 4 yds to the UConn 16Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+16
68.0%
Ryan Yurachek 16 Yd pass from Chase Litton (Nick Smith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:1433% → 39%
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
67.2%
Josh Marriner run for 2 yds to the UConn 27Similar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
67.2%
Josh Marriner run for 7 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
67.1%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 2 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
67.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Steve HashemiSimilar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+11
67.4%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Alec Bloom for 11 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
66.9%
Bryant Shirreffs run for no gain to the UConn 47Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+9
67.3%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 9 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q1 4:51
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+1
66.9%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 1 yd to the Marsh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
67.0%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 6 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+10
66.9%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 10 yds to the Marsh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
66.4%
Josh Marriner run for 2 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+17
66.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 17 yds to the Marsh 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
61.5%
Ron Johnson 8 Yd Run (Bobby Puyol Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:4064% → 64%
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
64.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 5 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
64.6%
Hyleck Foster run for 6 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
64.8%
Hyleck Foster run for 3 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q1 0:22
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
65.2%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q1 0:16
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
64.3%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deandre ReavesSimilar
Q1 0:07
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
63.7%
Tyler Williams punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5437% → 36%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
63.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 4 yds to the UConn 24Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+2
62.9%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 2 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
63.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Steve HashemiSimilar
Q2 14:06
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
64.0%
Justin Wain punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Deandre Reaves at the Marsh 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8FG
13 plays · 65 yds · 5:5664% → 67%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
64.3%
Devon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+3
65.1%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 40Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+6
64.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 6 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
65.4%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 3 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+13
65.5%
Hyleck Foster run for 13 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
65.8%
Hyleck Foster run for 1 yd to the UConn 37Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+15
65.8%
Chase Litton pass complete to Emanuel Byrd for 15 yds to the UConn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
66.2%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+11
66.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 11 yds to the UConn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
66.4%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+3
66.4%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the UConn 8Similar
Q2 8:42
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+5
65.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 5 yds to the UConn 3Similar
Q2 8:04
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+21
66.5%
Nick Smith 21 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:5534% → 34%
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
65.7%
Arkeel Newsome run for 9 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
64.4%
Arkeel Newsome run for 5 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
64.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 1 yd to the UConn 40Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+7
64.5%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 7 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q2 5:37
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+1
63.7%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 1 yd to the UConn 48Similar
Q2 5:29
4TH & 1
OWN 48
-5
64.7%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (Andreas Knappe) to the UConn 43Similar
Q2 4:57
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
65.8%
Justin Wain punt for 53 yds, downed at the Marsh 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10END OF HALF
18 plays · 85 yds · 4:5166% → 74%
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+14
65.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Davonte Allen for 14 yds to the Marsh 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
65.8%
Hyleck Foster run for 5 yds to the Marsh 23Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+1
65.8%
Hyleck Foster run for 1 yd to the Marsh 24Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+14
64.9%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 14 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
66.9%
Devon Johnson run for 9 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+2
67.8%
Devon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
67.8%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Justin HuntSimilar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+7
68.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 7 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+6
68.0%
Michael Birdsong run for 6 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
69.0%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+8
68.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Emanuel Byrd for 8 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+3
68.3%
Michael Birdsong run for 3 yds to the UConn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
69.4%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+16
69.3%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 16 yds to the UConn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+29
74.4%
Nick Smith 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11DOWNS
16 plays · 58 yds · 6:0272% → 74%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
72.3%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jhavon Williams) to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
73.9%
Chase Litton sacked by Folorunso Fatukasi for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 39Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+8
73.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 8 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+7
73.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 7 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
74.8%
Hyleck Foster run for 2 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+7
74.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 7 yds to the UConn 37Similar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+2
74.0%
Michael Birdsong run for 2 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
75.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 7 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+2
75.3%
Hyleck Foster run for 2 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+1
74.5%
Michael Birdsong run for 1 yd to the UConn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
75.6%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 4 yds to the UConn 21Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+4
75.8%
Devon Johnson run for 4 yds to the UConn 17Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 2
OPP 17
0
74.9%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Ryan YurachekSimilar
Q3 8:53
4TH & 2
OPP 17
0
73.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for no gain to the UConn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12INT
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:4430% → 33%
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
70.0%
Arkeel Newsome run for no gain to the UConn 17Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+13
70.6%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Alec Bloom for 13 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
69.2%
Josh Marriner run for 1 yd to the UConn 31Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+15
69.5%
MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Rodney Allen) to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
66.8%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 2 yds to the UConn 48Similar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+8
66.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass intercepted Kendall Gant return for 8 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 13MISSED FG
11 plays · 31 yds · 4:2275% → 76%
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
75.3%
Hyleck Foster run for no gain to the Marsh 44Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
74.5%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Justin HuntSimilar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+17
73.0%
Chase Litton pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 17 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
76.2%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Josh KnightSimilar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
75.9%
Hyleck Foster run for 3 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q3 4:57
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+7
75.7%
Chase Litton pass complete to Josh Knight for 7 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
77.3%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+6
77.4%
Chase Litton run for 6 yds to the UConn 20Similar
Q3 3:29
3RD & 1
OPP 20
0
76.2%
Devon Johnson run for no gain to the UConn 20Similar
Q3 2:56
4TH & 1
OPP 20
-5
76.7%
MARSHALL Penalty, False Start (Sandley Jean-Felix) to the UConn 25Similar
Q3 2:34
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+43
76.3%
Nick Smith 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14FG
6 plays · 40 yds · 2:2630% → 34%
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
70.3%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 15 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+25
67.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, Personal Foul (Devontre'a Tyler) to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
63.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q3 0:48
2ND & 8
OPP 33
-2
63.8%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Ryan Bee for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 35Similar
Q3 0:09
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
67.3%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Noel ThomasSimilar
Q3 0:02
4TH & 10
OPP 35
+52
65.8%
Bobby Puyol 52 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15INT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:1766% → 72%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
65.9%
Chase Litton pass incomplete to Josh KnightSimilar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+13
65.5%
Chase Litton pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 13 yds to the Marsh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
70.5%
Devon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 5
OWN 33
0
71.5%
Chase Litton pass intercepted Jamar Summers return for no gain to the UConn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 40 yds · 5:1633% → 32%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
67.4%
Arkeel Newsome run for 4 yds to the UConn 14Similar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+4
67.7%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 4 yds to the UConn 18Similar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+7
68.9%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 7 yds to the UConn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
67.2%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 12 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
65.1%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Steve Hashemi for 10 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
63.8%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 42Similar
Q4 10:26
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+1
67.7%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 1 yd to the UConn 43Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 14
OWN 43
+2
67.5%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 2 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+5
68.2%
Bryant Shirreffs run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:19
4TH & 7
50
0
67.9%
Justin Wain punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Deandre Reaves at the Marsh 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17FG
17 plays · 80 yds · 6:2871% → 95%
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
71.1%
Keion Davis run for 7 yds to the Marsh 12Similar
Q4 7:36
2ND & 3
OWN 12
+5
71.7%
Keion Davis run for 5 yds to the Marsh 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+41
71.8%
Keion Davis run for 41 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
77.4%
Keion Davis run for 1 yd to the UConn 41Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+3
77.4%
Keion Davis run for 3 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q4 5:03
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+7
77.2%
Chase Litton pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 7 yds to the UConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
82.8%
Keion Davis run for 3 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+3
84.3%
Keion Davis run for 3 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+6
83.9%
Keion Davis run for 6 yds to the UConn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
88.5%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the UConn 17Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+2
89.8%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the UConn 15Similar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
90.2%
Hyleck Foster run for no gain to the UConn 15Similar
Q4 1:44
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+32
95.3%
Nick Smith 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18DOWNS
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:1610% → 8%
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
89.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 15 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
88.7%
Bryant Shirreffs sacked by Gary Thompson for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 37Similar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+4
90.8%
Bryant Shirreffs pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 4 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q4 0:28
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
90.5%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Aaron McLeanSimilar
Q4 0:21
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
91.9%
Bryant Shirreffs pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
96.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 1:44
Nick Smith 32 Yd Field Goal
+8.5
KEY PLAY · Q3 6:56
Hyleck Foster run for no gain to the Marsh 44
+8.4
KEY PLAY · Q3 2:28
Bryant Shirreffs run for 15 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST down
-6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com