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TEM

Temple 17 at Toledo 32

TOL
2015 · Marmot Boca Raton Bowl · Dec 22, 2015 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · TOL
modelTOL aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playTOL scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGSAFETYTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:10 · Alex Starzyk punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Corey Jones at the Toled 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingBlowout margin
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 77Home team on offense+4.5Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.2Blowout margin+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:16: Phillip Ely pass complete to Corey Jones for 26 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK) — TOL win probability +5.5 pts (now 60%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 11:38: Austin Jones 25 yd FG GOOD — TEM win probability +5.9 pts (now 38%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:41: Phillip Ely pass complete to Cody Thompson for 80 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK) — TOL win probability +16.2 pts (now 86%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:46: Kareem Hunt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jameson Vest PAT BLOCKED) — TOL win probability +4.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:50: Kip Patton run for 2 yds for a TD, (P.J. Walker pass to Robby Anderson for Two-Point Conversion) — TEM win probability +11.5 pts (now 15%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TOL made the numbers' call on 6 of 7TEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 13:07TOL 4th & 9 at TOL 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:27TEM 4th & 3 at TEM 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:58TOL 4th & 5 at TOL 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:13TEM 4th & 9 at TOL 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    47.4%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:42TOL 4th & 8 at TOL 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:34TEM 4th & 7 at TEM 36, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:27TOL 4th & 3 at TEM 33, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.6%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    60.5%−1.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    59.7%−1.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:16TEM 4th & 11 at TEM 43, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%−1.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:06TOL 4th & 1 at TEM 35, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.3 ptsPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    62.4%−2.2
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.4%−3.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:10TEM 4th & 8 at TEM 22, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−1.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:38TEM 4th & 6 at TOL 8, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    19.4%−10.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:01TOL 4th & 7 at TOL 27, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−1.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:11TEM 4th & 4 at TOL 17, down 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.4%−0.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    23.5%−12.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:22TOL 4th & 17 at TEM 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%−4.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:53TEM 4th & 23 at TEM 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−5.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:40TEM 4th & 19 at TOL 27, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%−0.5
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    2.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TOL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TEM made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q2 12:16TOL Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 12:41TOL Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 5:46TOL Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:50TEM Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    6.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    6.0%−0.9
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:29TOL Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TOLDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:3851% → 51%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
51.0%
Phillip Ely pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
51.1%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Kareem Hunt for a loss of 2 yards to the Toled 23Similar
Q1 14:07
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-5
51.1%
TOLEDO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Toled 18Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+8
51.1%
Marc Remy run for 8 yds to the Toled 26Similar
Q1 13:07
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+7
51.2%
Nick Ellis punt for 50 yds , Sean Chandler returns for 7 yds to the Temp 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:3149% → 48%
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
51.3%
Jahad Thomas run for 7 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+3
51.2%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
51.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Romond Deloatch for 6 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 4
OWN 47
-5
51.2%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (Brian Carter) to the Temp 42Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+5
51.3%
Ryquell Armstead run for 5 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q1 10:03
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+1
51.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to David Hood for 1 yd to the Temp 48Similar
Q1 9:27
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
51.7%
Alex Starzyk punt for 51 yds, downed at the Toled 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:2152% → 51%
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+15
51.9%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Michael Roberts for 15 yds to the Toled 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
51.9%
Kareem Hunt run for 4 yds to the Toled 20Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 6
OWN 20
-8
52.0%
Phillip Ely run for a loss of 8 yards to the Toled 12 Phillip Ely fumbled, recovered by Toled Phillip ElySimilar
Q1 7:43
3RD & 14
OWN 12
+9
51.5%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Kareem Hunt for 9 yds to the Toled 21Similar
Q1 6:58
4TH & 5
OWN 21
+14
51.4%
Nick Ellis punt for 45 yds , Sean Chandler returns for 14 yds to the Temp 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4FG
13 plays · 40 yds · 5:3749% → 49%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
51.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 8
50
+5
51.1%
P.J. Walker run for 5 yds to the Toled 45Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+3
51.3%
David Hood run for 3 yds to the Toled 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
51.1%
P.J. Walker run for 5 yds to the Toled 37Similar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+2
51.0%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the Toled 35Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+3
51.1%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the Toled 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
50.8%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 33Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 11
OPP 33
0
50.8%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:34
3RD & 11
OPP 33
+20
51.2%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robby Anderson for 20 yds to the Toled 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
50.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd to the Toled 12Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 9
OPP 12
0
50.1%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Romond DeloatchSimilar
Q1 1:19
3RD & 9
OPP 12
0
50.9%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Brandon ShippenSimilar
Q1 1:13
4TH & 9
OPP 12
+29
50.7%
Austin Jones 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2051% → 50%
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
50.9%
Kareem Hunt run for 2 yds to the Toled 27Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
51.0%
Kareem Hunt run for no gain to the Toled 27Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
50.1%
Phillip Ely pass incomplete to Cody ThompsonSimilar
Q2 14:42
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
49.8%
Nick Ellis punt for 64 yds, downed at the Temp 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6SF
2 plays · -9 yds · 0:3349% → 49%
Q2 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
50.6%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robby Anderson for 1 yd to the Temp 10Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 9
OWN 10
0
51.2%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 10 yards for a SAFETY Jahad Thomas fumbled, forced by Ja'Wuan Woodley, recovered by Temp for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 7TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 1:2053% → 60%
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
53.4%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Corey Jones for 7 yds to the Temp 48Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+15
54.0%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Cody Thompson for 15 yds to the Temp 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
54.7%
Terry Swanson run for 2 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+5
54.8%
Terry Swanson run for 5 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q2 12:16
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+26
60.3%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Corey Jones for 26 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1543% → 41%
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
57.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robby Anderson for 4 yds to the Temp 37Similar
Q2 11:17
2ND & 6
OWN 37
-1
56.9%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 36Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
58.1%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to David HoodSimilar
Q2 10:34
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
59.2%
Alex Starzyk punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Corey Jones at the Toled 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 9DOWNS
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:5360% → 62%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
60.3%
Kareem Hunt run for 1 yd to the Toled 36Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+9
60.9%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Corey Jones for 9 yds to the Toled 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
62.3%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Cody Thompson for 15 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
62.8%
Phillip Ely pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
62.8%
Kareem Hunt run for 3 yds to the Temp 37Similar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+4
63.4%
Terry Swanson run for 4 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q2 7:27
4TH & 3
OPP 33
0
62.4%
Phillip Ely pass incomplete to Diontae JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0440% → 38%
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
59.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for 10 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
58.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 42Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+1
60.1%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Romond Deloatch for 1 yd to the Temp 43Similar
Q2 5:27
3RD & 11
OWN 43
0
60.9%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Kip PattonSimilar
Q2 5:16
4TH & 11
OWN 43
+4
62.1%
Alex Starzyk punt for 39 yds , Corey Jones returns for 4 yds to the Toled 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 43 yds · 3:0064% → 66%
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
63.5%
Terry Swanson run for 4 yds to the Toled 26Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+9
63.8%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Cody Thompson for 9 yds to the Toled 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
64.1%
Phillip Ely pass incomplete to Corey JonesSimilar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
64.0%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Andrew Davis for 5 yds to the Toled 40Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+16
64.9%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 16 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
66.5%
Phillip Ely pass incomplete to Alex ZmolikSimilar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+2
66.4%
Terry Swanson run for 2 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q2 2:28
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+7
65.6%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Terry Swanson for 7 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q2 2:06
4TH & 1
OPP 35
0
65.6%
Nick Ellis punt for 35 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5036% → 34%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
64.5%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Brandon ShippenSimilar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
64.9%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the Temp 22Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
66.1%
P.J. Walker run for no gain to the Temp 22Similar
Q2 1:10
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
66.5%
Alex Starzyk punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Corey Jones at the Toled 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 13END OF HALF
8 plays · 36 yds · 1:0467% → 72%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
66.6%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 12 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
67.5%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Kareem Hunt for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 47Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+26
67.1%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Michael Roberts for 26 yds to the Temp 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
68.0%
TOLEDO Penalty, False Start (Paul Perschon) to the Temp 26Similar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 15
OPP 26
+4
67.6%
Kareem Hunt run for 4 yds to the Temp 22Similar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 11
OPP 22
0
67.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 22
+38
72.0%
Jameson Vest 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14FG
9 plays · 67 yds · 3:1031% → 38%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
68.6%
Robby Anderson run for 5 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
68.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 5 yds to the Temp 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+40
68.2%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 40 yds to the Toled 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
65.0%
Brandon Shippen run for 13 yds to the Toled 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
65.3%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd to the Toled 11Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+3
66.7%
P.J. Walker run for 3 yds to the Toled 8Similar
Q3 11:43
3RD & 6
OPP 8
0
68.4%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Romond Deloatch, broken up by Juwan HaynesSimilar
Q3 11:38
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+25
62.5%
Austin Jones 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2067% → 65%
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
66.9%
Kareem Hunt run for 3 yds to the Toled 27Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
67.1%
Kareem Hunt run for no gain to the Toled 27Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
66.2%
Phillip Ely pass incomplete to Alonzo RussellSimilar
Q3 10:01
4TH & 7
OWN 27
+12
65.2%
Nick Ellis punt for 39 yds , Sean Chandler returns for 12 yds to the Temp 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16FG
8 plays · 37 yds · 3:3738% → 42%
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
62.1%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Saledeem Major for 5 yds to the Toled 49Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+14
61.5%
P.J. Walker run for 14 yds to the Toled 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
60.2%
Ventell Bryant run for 9 yds to the Toled 26Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+3
59.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the Toled 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
59.8%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Romond DeloatchSimilar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+6
60.5%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robby Anderson for 6 yds to the Toled 17Similar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 4
OPP 17
0
61.8%
David Hood run for no gain to the Toled 17Similar
Q3 6:11
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+35
58.3%
Austin Jones 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 17PUNT
13 plays · 16 yds · 4:3263% → 64%
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
62.8%
Terry Swanson run for 2 yds to the Toled 37Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+9
63.7%
Terry Swanson run for 9 yds to the Toled 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
65.4%
Terry Swanson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 6
50
+5
66.0%
Terry Swanson run for 5 yds to the Temp 45Similar
Q3 3:36
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+3
66.0%
Damion Jones-Moore run for 3 yds to the Temp 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
66.8%
Damion Jones-Moore run for 3 yds to the Temp 39Similar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
67.0%
Damion Jones-Moore run for no gain to the Temp 39Similar
Q3 1:56
3RD & 7
OPP 39
-5
66.5%
TOLEDO Penalty, False Start (Elijah Nkansah) to the Temp 44Similar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 12
OPP 44
0
66.1%
Phillip Ely pass incomplete to Corey JonesSimilar
Q3 1:30
4TH & 12
OPP 44
-5
63.7%
TOLEDO Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Temp 49Similar
Q3 1:22
4TH & 17
OPP 49
0
63.5%
Nick Ellis punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18PUNT
12 plays · 9 yds · 3:1835% → 30%
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
64.7%
P.J. Walker run for 1 yd to the Temp 21Similar
Q3 0:41
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+15
64.9%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robby Anderson for 15 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
63.5%
P.J. Walker run for no gain to the Temp 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-5
64.3%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (Saledeem Major) to the Temp 31Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+3
65.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Kip Patton for 3 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+8
67.8%
Walker, P.J. pass incomplete to Christopher, John, PENALTY TOLEDO pass interference (Haynes, Juwan) 8 yards to the TEMPLE42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEMPLE.Similar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
63.5%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Robby AndersonSimilar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-15
64.4%
Walker, P.J. pass complete to Bryant, Ventell for 18 yards to the TOLEDO40, PENALTY TEMPLE personal foul (Dawkins, Dion) 15 yards to the TEMPLE27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 25
OWN 27
0
67.2%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 25
OWN 27
-5
68.4%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (Kyle Friend) to the Temp 22Similar
Q4 13:32
3RD & 30
OWN 22
+7
68.6%
David Hood run for 7 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q4 12:53
4TH & 23
OWN 29
0
69.6%
Alex Starzyk punt for 71 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 19TD
1 play · 80 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
85.9%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Cody Thompson for 80 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20INT
7 plays · 36 yds · 1:1515% → 18%
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
85.0%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Robby AndersonSimilar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
86.0%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Robby AndersonSimilar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+16
86.6%
P.J. Walker pass complete to David Hood for 16 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+20
83.9%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robby Anderson for 20 yds to the Toled 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
82.3%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Ryquell ArmsteadSimilar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
82.5%
P.J. Walker pass intercepted Juwan Haynes return for no gain to the Toled 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 21TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 5:1887% → 97%
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
86.8%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Alonzo Russell for 6 yds to the Toled 32Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+7
87.0%
Kareem Hunt run for 7 yds to the Toled 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
87.5%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Alonzo Russell for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
50
+3
88.2%
Kareem Hunt run for 3 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+2
88.6%
Kareem Hunt run for 2 yds to the Temp 45Similar
Q4 8:42
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+5
89.8%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Michael Roberts for 5 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
91.2%
Corey Jones run for 15 yds to the Temp 25 TOLEDO Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the Temp 35Similar
Q4 7:29
1ST & 5
OPP 35
+13
91.9%
Terry Swanson run for 13 yds to the Temp 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
92.4%
Kareem Hunt run for 3 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+3
92.9%
Kareem Hunt run for 3 yds to the Temp 16Similar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+15
92.7%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Alonzo Russell for 15 yds to the Temp 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.4%
Kareem Hunt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jameson Vest PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22TD
15 plays · 68 yds · 2:294% → 15%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
96.2%
P.J. Walker pass complete to David Hood for 4 yds to the Temp 36Similar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
96.9%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q4 5:01
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+8
97.0%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Brandon Shippen for 8 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
97.0%
P.J. Walker pass complete to John Christopher for 3 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
97.0%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Romond DeloatchSimilar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+15
97.1%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Brandon Shippen for 15 yds to the Toled 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
97.0%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Romond Deloatch for no gain to the Toled 38Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+12
97.1%
P.J. Walker run for 12 yds to the Toled 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
96.6%
Walker, P.J. pass incomplete, PENALTY TOLEDO roughing passer (Adeniyi, Olasunkanmi) 13 yards to the TOLEDO13, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEMPLE.Similar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
96.6%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Brandon Shippen for 4 yds to the Toled 9Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 6
OPP 9
0
96.7%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Adonis JenningsSimilar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+7
97.0%
Walker, P.J. pass incomplete to Shippen, Brandon, PENALTY TOLEDO pass interference (Davis, Andrew) 7 yards to the TOLEDO2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEMPLE.Similar
Q4 2:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
84.6%
Kip Patton run for 2 yds for a TD, (P.J. Walker pass to Robby Anderson for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 23TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 0:1296% → 99%
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
95.5%
Kareem Hunt run for 5 yds to the Temp 41Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+41
98.5%
Kareem Hunt run for 41 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 24DOWNS
10 plays · 54 yds · 1:312% → 1%
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
97.7%
P.J. Walker pass complete to David Hood for 2 yds to the Temp 21Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+43
97.7%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Brandon Shippen for 43 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
97.1%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Kip PattonSimilar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+18
97.1%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 18 yds to the Toled 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-10
96.7%
P.J. Walker sacked by Keenen Gibbs for a loss of 10 yards to the Toled 28Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 20
OPP 28
+1
98.9%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Romond Deloatch for 1 yd to the Toled 27Similar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 19
OPP 27
0
99.0%
P.J. Walker run for no gain to the Toled 27Similar
Q4 0:40
4TH & 19
OPP 27
0
99.1%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Ventell Bryant, broken up by DeJuan RogersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
98.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:41
Phillip Ely pass complete to Cody Thompson for 80 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)
+16.2
TD · Q4 2:50
Kip Patton run for 2 yds for a TD, (P.J. Walker pass to Robby Anderson for Two-Point Conversion)
-11.5
FG · Q3 11:38
Austin Jones 25 yd FG GOOD
-5.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com