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BYU

BYU 28 at Utah 35

UTAH
2015 · Royal Purple Las Vegas Bowl · Dec 19, 2015 · Sam Boyd Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadBYU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreBYU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:07 · Jonny Linehan punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 133Home team on offense+25.1Score differential+16.6Garbage-time factor+5.3Pregame prior+3.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.5Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:01: Joe Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +4.5 pts (now 69%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 7:29: Tanner Mangum pass intercepted for a TD Dominique Hatfield return for 46 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +5.2 pts (now 74%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:02: Francis Bernard run for 10 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK) — BYU win probability +6.3 pts (now 8%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:33: Tanner Mangum pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 5 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK) — BYU win probability +5.0 pts (now 6%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:23: Tanner Mangum run for 4 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK) — BYU win probability +14.9 pts (now 19%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 8 of 10BYU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 11:56UTAH 4th & 1 at BYU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.8%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    59.6%−0.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    59.2%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:47BYU 4th & 8 at UTAH 25, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    18.2%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:09UTAH 4th & 6 at UTAH 45, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:21BYU 4th & 19 at BYU 11, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−3.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:11UTAH 4th & 12 at UTAH 31, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−1.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:08BYU 4th & 7 at BYU 14, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:41UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 47, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:55BYU 4th & 1 at BYU 11, down 35
    Close callPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:52UTAH 4th & 5 at BYU 45, up 35
    Close callPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    95.0%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:46UTAH 4th & 16 at UTAH 24, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−1.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:02UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 28, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.0%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    94.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:39UTAH 4th & 8 at BYU 49, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:07BYU 4th & 14 at BYU 49, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:55UTAH 4th & 1 at BYU 30, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.6%−0.5
    56% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−0.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:24BYU 4th & 13 at BYU 32, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−0.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:33BYU 4th & 3 at UTAH 5, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−1.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:00UTAH 4th & 1 at BYU 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    95.0%−1.4
    34% to make
    Punt
    95.1%−1.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5BYU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 10:59UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:42UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 9:01UTAH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 7:29UTAH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 4:38UTAH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:36BYU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:02BYU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:33BYU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:23BYU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1FUMBLE
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:3739% → 39%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
60.7%
Algernon Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the BYU 21Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
60.7%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Remington PeckSimilar
Q1 14:17
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+4
60.7%
Tanner Mangum run for 4 yds to the BYU 25 Tanner Mangum fumbled, forced by Kylie Fitts, recovered by Utah Gionni PaulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2TD
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:1161% → 62%
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
60.8%
Joe Williams run for 11 yds to the BYU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
60.9%
Joe Williams run for 4 yds to the BYU 10Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+3
61.0%
Travis Wilson run for 3 yds to the BYU 7Similar
Q1 12:34
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+2
61.0%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the BYU 5Similar
Q1 11:56
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+4
60.9%
Joe Williams run for 4 yds to the BYU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
61.2%
BYU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Logan Taele) to the BYU 1Similar
Q1 10:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
62.4%
Joe Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 3INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+28
63.4%
Tanner Mangum pass intercepted for a TD Tevin Carter return for 28 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4INT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:2637% → 36%
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
63.5%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 11 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-14
63.4%
BYU Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Tejan Koroma) to the BYU 15Similar
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
63.7%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 11 yds to the BYU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
63.8%
Francis Bernard run for 9 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 1
OWN 35
-3
63.8%
Trey Dye run for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 32Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+33
64.3%
Tanner Mangum pass intercepted Tevin Carter return for 33 yds to the BYU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 9:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
68.8%
Joe Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6INT TD
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:1532% → 26%
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
67.7%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Terenn HoukSimilar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+9
68.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 9 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q1 8:04
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+5
68.4%
Bernard, Francis rush for no gain to the BYU37, PENALTY UTAH offside (Fanaika, Jason) 5 yards to the BYU42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BYU.Similar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
69.1%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Mitch MathewsSimilar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+46
74.4%
Tanner Mangum pass intercepted for a TD Dominique Hatfield return for 46 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 7FUMBLE
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:2825% → 24%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
75.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 10 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
75.6%
Squally Canada run for 1 yd to the BYU 39 Squally Canada fumbled, recovered by UtahSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8TD
5 plays · 39 yds · 1:5675% → 81%
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
74.6%
Travis Wilson run for 4 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+8
75.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kendal Thompson for 8 yds to the BYU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-4
76.2%
Travis Wilson run for a loss of 4 yards to the BYU 31Similar
Q1 5:02
2ND & 14
OPP 31
+11
76.6%
Joe Williams run for 11 yds to the BYU 20Similar
Q1 4:38
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+20
80.7%
Travis Wilson run for 20 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 9MISSED FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 2:4023% → 19%
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
77.3%
Algernon Brown run for 5 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+6
78.2%
Francis Bernard run for 6 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
79.2%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Nick KurtzSimilar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+29
79.6%
Francis Bernard run for 29 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
78.7%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Mitch Mathews, broken up by Brian AllenSimilar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
78.9%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Nick KurtzSimilar
Q1 2:39
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+11
79.4%
Mangum, Tanner pass incomplete to Pearson, Colby, PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Porter, Reginald) 11 yards to the UTAH27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BYU.Similar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
78.4%
Tanner Mangum run for 2 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
82.5%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Devon BlackmonSimilar
Q1 1:54
3RD & 8
OPP 25
0
83.2%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Nick KurtzSimilar
Q1 1:47
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+44
81.5%
Trevor Samson 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:2584% → 86%
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
83.6%
Joe Williams run for no gain to the Utah 26Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
84.0%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:53
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+15
84.1%
Wilson, Travis pass incomplete to Butler-Byrd, Cory, PENALTY BYU pass interference (Hannemann, Micah) 15 yards to the UTAH41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH.Similar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
84.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for 2 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q1 0:12
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+2
85.3%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
85.5%
Travis Wilson run for no gain to the Utah 45Similar
Q2 14:09
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
85.9%
Tom Hackett punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:3711% → 9%
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-8
89.5%
Tanner Mangum sacked by Viliseni Fauonuku for a loss of 8 yards to the BYU 12Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 18
OWN 12
+2
90.3%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 2 yds to the BYU 14Similar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 16
OWN 14
-3
90.8%
Tanner Mangum sacked by Hunter Dimick for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 11Similar
Q2 12:21
4TH & 19
OWN 11
0
91.2%
Jonny Linehan punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -17 yds · 2:1088% → 88%
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-15
87.6%
UTAH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Cory Butler-Byrd) to the Utah 33Similar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
87.3%
Bubba Poole run for no gain to the Utah 33Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-1
87.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 32Similar
Q2 10:58
3RD & 11
OWN 32
-1
88.4%
Travis Wilson sacked by Tomasi Laulile for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 31Similar
Q2 10:11
4TH & 12
OWN 31
-2
88.2%
Tom Hackett punt for 56 yds , Michael Shelton returns for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:567% → 6%
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
93.0%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Nick Kurtz, broken up by Reginald PorterSimilar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+3
93.1%
Tanner Mangum run for 3 yds to the BYU 14Similar
Q2 9:19
3RD & 7
OWN 14
0
93.6%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:08
4TH & 7
OWN 14
0
93.8%
Jonny Linehan punt for 44 yds, downed at the Utah 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1992% → 94%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
92.2%
Kendal Thompson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 37Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 15
OWN 37
0
88.9%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth ScottSimilar
Q2 8:19
3RD & 15
OWN 37
+10
90.3%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Joe Williams for 10 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q2 7:41
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
93.8%
Tom Hackett punt for 51 yds, downed at the BYU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:415% → 5%
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
94.7%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete, broken up by Stevie Tu'ikolovatuSimilar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+9
95.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Terenn Houk for 9 yds to the BYU 11Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 1
OWN 11
0
95.2%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Mitch MathewsSimilar
Q2 6:55
4TH & 1
OWN 11
0
95.1%
Jonny Linehan punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:5495% → 95%
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
50
+2
94.7%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+3
94.9%
Joe Williams run for 3 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
95.3%
Travis Wilson run for no gain to the BYU 45Similar
Q2 4:52
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
95.4%
Tom Hackett punt for 42 yds, downed at the BYU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 17TD
15 plays · 97 yds · 4:093% → 3%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+8
96.8%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Devon Blackmon for 8 yds to the BYU 11Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 2
OWN 11
+20
96.9%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 20 yds to the BYU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
96.8%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Algernon Brown for 2 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+7
97.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 7 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q2 3:01
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+30
97.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 30 yds to the Utah 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
96.8%
Tanner Mangum run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 32Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 12
OPP 32
+8
97.1%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 8 yds to the Utah 24Similar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+6
97.2%
Tanner Mangum run for 6 yds to the Utah 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
97.1%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Terenn Houk for 7 yds to the Utah 11Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 3
OPP 11
0
97.1%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Moroni Laulu-PututauSimilar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+7
97.2%
Algernon Brown run for 7 yds to the Utah 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
97.5%
Francis Bernard run for 1 yd to the Utah 3Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.4%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Remington Peck for 3 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 1:1498% → 98%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.8%
BYU Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Utah 30Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
97.9%
Joe Williams run for 4 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
98.0%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete, broken up by Bronson KaufusiSimilar
Q3 14:18
3RD & 6
OWN 34
-10
98.1%
Wilson, Travis pass complete to Covey, Britain for 8 yards to the UTAH42, PENALTY UTAH holding (Aiono, Siaosi) 10 yards to the UTAH24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:57
3RD & 16
OWN 24
0
98.1%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Britain CoveySimilar
Q3 13:46
4TH & 16
OWN 24
0
98.0%
Tom Hackett punt for 48 yds, downed at the BYU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 3:352% → 8%
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
98.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Terenn Houk for 7 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+2
97.9%
Tanner Mangum run for 2 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q3 12:37
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+6
98.1%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 6 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
98.3%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
98.3%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Colby PearsonSimilar
Q3 11:57
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+12
98.4%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Terenn Houk for 12 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
98.4%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Algernon Brown for 7 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+6
98.3%
Francis Bernard run for 6 yds to the Utah 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
98.4%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Terenn HoukSimilar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
98.4%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau, broken up by Marcus WilliamsSimilar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+22
98.6%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Terenn Houk for 22 yds to the Utah 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
92.3%
Francis Bernard run for 10 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:1895% → 95%
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.5%
Joe Williams run for 3 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
94.8%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Britain CoveySimilar
Q3 9:08
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
94.7%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:02
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+21
94.3%
Tom Hackett run for 21 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
95.1%
Joe Williams run for no gain to the Utah 49Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
95.2%
Travis Wilson run for 2 yds to the BYU 49Similar
Q3 7:21
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
95.4%
Travis Wilson run for no gain to the BYU 49Similar
Q3 6:39
4TH & 8
OPP 49
+15
95.3%
Tom Hackett punt for 45 yds , Michael Shelton returns for 15 yds to the BYU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:275% → 4%
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
94.9%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Francis BernardSimilar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+6
95.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Francis Bernard for 6 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+13
94.9%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Francis Bernard for 13 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
95.0%
Mangum, Tanner pass incomplete to Blackmon, Devon, PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Thomas, Justin) 15 yards to the UTAH47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BYU.Similar
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
95.0%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Terenn HoukSimilar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
95.0%
Tanner Mangum run for 4 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q3 4:42
3RD & 6
OPP 43
-8
95.8%
Tanner Mangum sacked by Jason Fanaika for a loss of 8 yards to the BYU 49Similar
Q3 4:07
4TH & 14
OWN 49
0
96.2%
Jonny Linehan punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Britain Covey at the Utah 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23DOWNS
11 plays · 46 yds · 5:0895% → 98%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
95.3%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Britain CoveySimilar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+1
95.3%
Joe Williams run for 1 yd to the Utah 20Similar
Q3 3:17
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+15
96.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Tyrone Smith for 15 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
97.0%
Joe Williams run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
50
+3
97.2%
Travis Wilson run for 3 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q3 1:36
2ND & 7
OPP 47
-9
97.8%
Travis Wilson sacked by Tomasi Laulile for a loss of 9 yards to the Utah 44Similar
Q3 0:59
3RD & 16
OWN 44
+17
97.8%
Travis Wilson run for 17 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
98.0%
Britain Covey run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 40Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+1
98.1%
Travis Wilson run for 1 yd to the BYU 39Similar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+9
98.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 9 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q4 13:55
4TH & 1
OPP 30
-5
98.3%
Travis Wilson run for a loss of 5 yards to the BYU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 24TD
14 plays · 65 yds · 3:152% → 6%
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.2%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Devon BlackmonSimilar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
98.2%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Mitchell Juergens, broken up by Justin ThomasSimilar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-5
98.3%
Mangum, Tanner pass complete to Blackmon, Devon for 9 yards to the BYU44, PENALTY BYU ineligible downfield on pass (Koroma, Tejan) 5 yards to the BYU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:08
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+2
98.4%
Algernon Brown run for 2 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q4 12:24
4TH & 13
OWN 32
+44
98.5%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Devon Blackmon for 44 yds to the Utah 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
98.1%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Mitch MathewsSimilar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-3
98.3%
Francis Bernard run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 27Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 13
OPP 27
+15
98.5%
Mangum, Tanner pass incomplete to Kurtz, Nick, PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Williams, Marcus) 15 yards to the UTAH12, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BYU.Similar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
98.3%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Mitch MathewsSimilar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+5
98.3%
UTAH Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jason Fanaika) to the Utah 7Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
98.3%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Terenn Houk, broken up by Reginald PorterSimilar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+2
98.4%
Algernon Brown run for 2 yds to the Utah 5Similar
Q4 10:33
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+5
93.6%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 5 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 25DOWNS
12 plays · 38 yds · 5:1595% → 98%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-4
95.0%
Joe Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 18Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 14
OWN 18
+15
95.4%
Wilson, Travis pass incomplete to Scott, Kenneth, PENALTY BYU pass interference (Hannemann, Micah) 15 yards to the UTAH33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH.Similar
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
95.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Harrison Handley for 5 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+1
96.0%
Joe Williams run for 1 yd to the Utah 39Similar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+12
96.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Joe Williams for 12 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-8
96.6%
Travis Wilson sacked by Micah Hannemann for a loss of 8 yards to the Utah 43Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 18
OWN 43
+6
96.7%
Joe Williams run for 6 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q4 5:44
3RD & 12
OWN 49
+11
96.9%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Harrison Handley for 11 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q4 5:00
4TH & 1
OPP 40
0
98.0%
Joe Williams run for no gain to the BYU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 26TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 1:304% → 19%
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
95.7%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Nick Kurtz, broken up by Reginald PorterSimilar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
95.9%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Mitchell JuergensSimilar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+11
96.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Terenn Houk for 11 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
96.6%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Terenn HoukSimilar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+45
96.7%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Devon Blackmon for 45 yds to the Utah 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
96.2%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Francis BernardSimilar
Q4 3:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
81.3%
Tanner Mangum run for 4 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 27END OF GAME
10 plays · 22 yds · 2:5093% → 97%
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
93.2%
Joe Williams run for 6 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
94.5%
Joe Williams run for 3 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q4 3:07
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
94.8%
Joe Williams run for 3 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
95.8%
Joe Williams run for 5 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+7
95.9%
Joe Williams run for 7 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
96.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 42Similar
Q4 0:26
2ND & 11
OPP 42
-1
96.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:23
Tanner Mangum run for 4 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)
-14.9
TD · Q3 10:02
Francis Bernard run for 10 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)
-6.3
TD · Q1 7:29
Tanner Mangum pass intercepted for a TD Dominique Hatfield return for 46 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
+5.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com