Try the model
BGSU

Bowling Green 34 at Northern Illinois 14

NIU
2015 · Week 14 · Dec 4, 2015 · Ford Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:03 · Tommy Fiedler pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 15 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 127Home team on offense−40.7Pregame prior−8.7Score differential−19.9Garbage-time factor−8.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:28: Matt Johnson pass complete to Derek Lee for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) — BGSU win probability +5.8 pts (now 81%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:04: Travis Greene run for 25 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) — BGSU win probability +7.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:26: Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 45 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) — BGSU win probability +4.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:24: Matt Johnson pass intercepted by Shawun Lurry returned 64 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +6.9 pts (now 9%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:24: Christian Hagan kickoff for 65 yds , Clint Stephens return for 17 yds to the BwGrn 17 — NIU win probability +4.0 pts (now 13%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10BGSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:39BGSU 4th & 9 at BGSU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:51NIU 4th & 3 at NIU 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:50BGSU 4th & 14 at BGSU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:55NIU 4th & 8 at NIU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:19NIU 4th & 1 at BGSU 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    31.4%−1.3
    86% to make
    Punt
    27.5%−5.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:56BGSU 4th & 1 at NIU 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    67.4%−1.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    67.0%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:03BGSU 4th & 2 at NIU 4, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.7%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    67.8%−0.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    63.8%−4.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:24NIU 4th & 9 at NIU 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:36NIU 4th & 5 at NIU 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:14NIU 4th & 10 at NIU 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:03NIU 4th & 8 at NIU 21, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:12BGSU 4th & 2 at BGSU 12, up 28
    Close callPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:03NIU 4th & 11 at BGSU 47, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:37BGSU 4th & 2 at NIU 38, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    94.8%−1.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    94.8%−1.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:09NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.1%−1.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:01NIU 4th & 9 at BGSU 11, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%−1.0
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%
    87% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−2.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:35BGSU 4th & 16 at BGSU 6, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−1.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:56BGSU 4th & 13 at BGSU 42, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:00BGSU 4th & 9 at BGSU 45, up 20
    Close callWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2BGSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 4:15BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:28BGSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:04BGSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:26BGSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:43NIU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:24NIU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:32BGSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:1173% → 72%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
27.1%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Ryan BurbrinkSimilar
Q1 14:34
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-9
27.2%
Matt Johnson sacked by Cameron Clinton-Earl for a loss of 9 yards to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 19
OWN 20
+10
27.4%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 10 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q1 13:39
4TH & 9
OWN 30
+15
27.7%
Joseph Davidson punt for 49 yds , Ezra Saffold returns for 15 yds to the NoIll 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3728% → 29%
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
27.8%
Joel Bouagnon run for 4 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+1
28.0%
Joel Bouagnon run for 1 yd to the NoIll 41Similar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+2
28.4%
Tommy Fiedler run for 2 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q1 11:51
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
28.5%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ryan Burbrink at the BwGrn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:5872% → 70%
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
28.5%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+12
28.6%
Matt Johnson run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
28.7%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 15 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
28.6%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 12
OWN 42
0
28.9%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 12
OWN 42
-2
29.2%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Travis Greene for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q1 9:50
4TH & 14
OWN 40
0
29.7%
Joseph Davidson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Chad Beebe at the NoIll 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:3830% → 30%
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
29.7%
Tommy Fiedler pass complete to Aregeros Turner for 6 yds to the NoIll 26Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+1
29.9%
Joel Bouagnon run for 1 yd to the NoIll 27Similar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+4
29.7%
Aregeros Turner run for 4 yds to the NoIll 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
30.2%
Tommy Fiedler sacked by Shannon Smith and Taylor Royster for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 28Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+5
30.4%
Joel Bouagnon run for 5 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
30.4%
Tommy Fiedler pass incomplete to Kenny GolladaySimilar
Q1 6:55
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
30.3%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 36 yds, downed at the BwGrn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 2:2969% → 73%
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
30.7%
Fred Coppet run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+1
30.5%
Fred Coppet run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+13
30.8%
Fred Coppet run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
50
+4
30.4%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 4 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+6
30.4%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 6 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
30.5%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 7 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+15
30.3%
Fred Coppet run for 15 yds to the NoIll 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
30.4%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 11 yds to the NoIll 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
30.5%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the NoIll 4Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
27.4%
Fred Coppet run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6FUMBLE
13 plays · 59 yds · 3:4829% → 29%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
28.6%
Jordan Huff run for 12 yds to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
28.9%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the NoIll 42Similar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 5
OWN 42
+3
29.6%
Jordan Huff run for 3 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+18
29.7%
Jordan Huff run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the BwGrn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
29.7%
Jordan Huff run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+9
30.3%
Tommy Fiedler pass complete to Desroy Maxwell for 9 yds to the BwGrn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
30.4%
Tommy Fiedler pass incomplete to Kenny GolladaySimilar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+1
30.4%
Tommy Fiedler run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q1 1:08
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+5
29.9%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q1 0:46
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+3
30.0%
Tommy Fiedler run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 12Similar
Q1 0:19
4TH & 1
OPP 12
-4
29.1%
Aregeros Turner run for a loss of 4 yards to the BwGrn 22 Aregeros Turner fumbled, recovered by BwGrn Shannon SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7DOWNS
14 plays · 74 yds · 4:0772% → 73%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+19
28.2%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 19 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
27.1%
Travis Greene run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+11
27.1%
Travis Greene run for 11 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
26.8%
Travis Greene run for 2 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+4
26.9%
Travis Greene run for 4 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+3
26.9%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 3 yds to the NoIll 34Similar
Q2 12:56
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+2
27.5%
Travis Greene run for 2 yds to the NoIll 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
26.7%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Travis GreeneSimilar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+20
26.7%
Travis Greene run for 20 yds to the NoIll 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
26.5%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 17Similar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 15
OPP 17
0
26.7%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Ryan BurbrinkSimilar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 15
OPP 17
+7
26.7%
Fred Coppet run for 7 yds to the NoIll 10Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+6
26.8%
Fred Coppet run for 6 yds to the NoIll 4Similar
Q2 11:03
4TH & 2
OPP 4
0
27.4%
Fred Coppet run for no gain to the NoIll 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2928% → 27%
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
28.2%
Joel Bouagnon run for 1 yd to the NoIll 5Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 9
OWN 5
+5
28.1%
Joel Bouagnon run for 5 yds to the NoIll 10Similar
Q2 9:53
3RD & 4
OWN 10
-5
27.5%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 5Similar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 9
OWN 5
0
27.2%
Tommy Fiedler pass incomplete to Aregeros TurnerSimilar
Q2 9:24
4TH & 9
OWN 5
0
26.9%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ryan Burbrink at the NoIll 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9INT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:0474% → 75%
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
26.5%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 8 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+6
26.4%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 6 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
26.3%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Ryan BurbrinkSimilar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+9
26.4%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Travis Greene for 9 yds to the NoIll 24Similar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+4
25.5%
Matt Johnson run for 4 yds to the NoIll 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
25.1%
Travis Greene run for 7 yds to the NoIll 13Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 3
OPP 13
-9
25.1%
Travis Greene run for 1 yd to the NoIll 12 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NoIll 22Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 12
OPP 22
+12
25.3%
Matt Johnson pass intercepted Brandon Mayes return for 8 yds to the NoIll 14 NORTHERNIL Penalty, Offensive Holding (4 Yards) to the NoIll 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10FUMBLE
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:0727% → 27%
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
27.1%
Tommy Fiedler pass incomplete to Kenny GolladaySimilar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+15
27.0%
Tommy Fiedler run for 15 yds to the NoIll 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:5175% → 81%
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
25.0%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the NoIll 12Similar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 5
OPP 12
+6
25.0%
Matt Johnson run for 6 yds to the NoIll 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
25.0%
Fred Coppet run for 4 yds to the NoIll 2Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
19.2%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Derek Lee for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3721% → 20%
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
20.9%
Joel Bouagnon run for 1 yd to the NoIll 37Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+2
20.4%
Tommy Fiedler pass complete to Aregeros Turner for 2 yds to the NoIll 39Similar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+2
20.5%
Tommy Fiedler pass complete to Joel Bouagnon for 2 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q2 3:36
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
20.4%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BwGrn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 84 yds · 2:2080% → 91%
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+14
19.9%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 14 yds to the BwGrn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
19.6%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 9 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+4
18.7%
Travis Greene run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
18.5%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 4 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+4
17.4%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 4 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+5
17.5%
Travis Greene run for 5 yds to the NoIll 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+19
17.0%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Travis Greene for 4 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the NoIll 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
9.5%
Travis Greene run for 25 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:4213% → 13%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
12.8%
Joel Bouagnon run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 22Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+3
12.5%
Joel Bouagnon run for 3 yds to the NoIll 25Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
13.6%
Tommy Fiedler pass incomplete to Kenny GolladaySimilar
Q2 0:14
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+43
13.4%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 43 yds , Ryan Burbrink returns for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15Uncategorized
1 play · -10 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-10
10.3%
Johnson, Matt pass sacked for loss of 2 yards to the BOWLGREEN29 (Ford, Perez), PENALTY BOWLGREEN holding 10 yards to the BOWLGREEN21, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4112% → 12%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
12.0%
Tommy Fiedler run for 2 yds to the NoIll 21Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 8
OWN 21
0
11.8%
Tommy Fiedler pass incomplete to Aregeros TurnerSimilar
Q3 14:17
3RD & 8
OWN 21
0
11.7%
Tommy Fiedler pass incomplete to Juwan BrescacinSimilar
Q3 14:03
4TH & 8
OWN 21
0
11.6%
Jacob Ambrose punt for 52 yds, downed at the BwGrn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 1:3790% → 96%
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
9.6%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 15
OWN 22
+13
9.9%
Fred Coppet run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+13
9.5%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 13 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
9.0%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+4
8.8%
Fred Coppet run for 4 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+45
4.3%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 45 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18INT
7 plays · 43 yds · 2:086% → 5%
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+27
5.5%
Tommy Fiedler pass complete to Desroy Maxwell for 27 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
5.8%
Tommy Fiedler pass complete to Juwan Brescacin for 7 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+7
5.7%
Tommy Fiedler run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
5.9%
Tommy Fiedler run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+6
5.5%
Tommy Fiedler pass complete to Juwan Brescacin for 6 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 5
OPP 33
-3
5.4%
Joel Bouagnon run for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4697% → 98%
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
3.4%
Travis Greene run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 6Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 8
OWN 6
-3
3.3%
Travis Greene run for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 3Similar
Q3 7:47
3RD & 11
OWN 3
+9
2.6%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 9 yds to the BwGrn 12Similar
Q3 7:12
4TH & 2
OWN 12
+8
2.4%
Joseph Davidson punt for 42 yds , Chad Beebe returns for 8 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20TD
5 plays · 46 yds · 1:175% → 7%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
4.7%
Tommy Fiedler run for no gain to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
4.4%
Tommy Fiedler pass incomplete to Juwan BrescacinSimilar
Q3 6:25
3RD & 10
OPP 46
-1
4.3%
Tommy Fiedler sacked by Zac Bartman for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q3 6:03
4TH & 11
OPP 47
+15
4.1%
Tommy Fiedler pass complete to Kenny Golladay for 15 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
7.2%
Tommy Fiedler pass complete to Desroy Maxwell for 32 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5897% → 97%
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
2.8%
Travis Greene run for no gain to the NoIll 46Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+8
2.8%
Travis Greene run for 8 yds to the NoIll 38Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 2
OPP 38
0
2.7%
Matt Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:37
4TH & 2
OPP 38
0
3.0%
Matt Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 22DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:216% → 5%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
5.6%
Tommy Fiedler run for no gain to the NoIll 38Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+7
5.4%
Tommy Fiedler pass complete to Joel Bouagnon for 7 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+2
5.1%
Joel Bouagnon run for 2 yds to the NoIll 47Similar
Q3 3:09
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
4.7%
Aregeros Turner run for no gain to the NoIll 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 23INT TD
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:3098% → 91%
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
2.2%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 7 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+63
9.0%
Matt Johnson pass intercepted by Shawun Lurry returned 64 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24TD
14 plays · 83 yds · 4:4390% → 98%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
10.3%
Travis Greene run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+15
10.3%
Travis Greene run for 15 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
9.5%
Travis Greene run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+9
9.0%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 9 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
8.2%
Travis Greene run for 7 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 3
OPP 45
0
7.7%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+21
8.3%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 21 yds to the NoIll 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
6.5%
Travis Greene run for 3 yds to the NoIll 21Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+4
6.1%
Travis Greene run for 4 yds to the NoIll 17Similar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+15
6.3%
Johnson, Matt pass incomplete to Lewis, Roger, PENALTY NORTHERNIL pass interference 15 yards to the NORTHERNIL2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOWLGREEN.Similar
Q4 13:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
6.0%
Matt Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
5.8%
Travis Greene run for 1 yd to the NoIll 1Similar
Q4 12:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.0%
Travis Greene run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Tate PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 25DOWNS
13 plays · 63 yds · 3:263% → 2%
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.5%
Tommy Fiedler pass incomplete to Jordan HuffSimilar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-8
2.4%
Tommy Fiedler sacked by Izaah Lunsford for a loss of 8 yards to the NoIll 17Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+22
2.3%
Tommy Fiedler pass complete to Joel Bouagnon for 22 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
2.5%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the NoIll 44Similar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 5
OWN 44
+6
2.5%
Tommy Fiedler run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
50
+21
2.5%
Joel Bouagnon run for 21 yds to the BwGrn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
2.8%
Tommy Fiedler pass incomplete to Kenny GolladaySimilar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+17
2.7%
Tommy Fiedler pass complete to Chad Beebe for 17 yds to the BwGrn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
2.7%
Joel Bouagnon run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 9Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 7
OPP 9
-2
2.6%
Chad Beebe run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 11Similar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 9
OPP 11
0
2.5%
Tommy Fiedler pass incomplete to Joel BouagnonSimilar
Q4 9:01
4TH & 9
OPP 11
-1
2.3%
Tommy Fiedler sacked by Malik Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 2:1398% → 99%
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
1.6%
Fred Coppet run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 17Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 5
OWN 17
0
1.5%
Fred Coppet run for no gain to the BwGrn 17Similar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 5
OWN 17
-6
1.1%
Matt Johnson sacked by Ladell Fleming for a loss of 6 yards to the BwGrn 11Similar
Q4 6:46
4TH & 11
OWN 11
-5
1.1%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 6Similar
Q4 6:35
4TH & 16
OWN 6
0
1.4%
Joseph Davidson punt for 47 yds, downed at the NoIll 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 27INT
5 plays · 28 yds · 0:422% → 1%
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
1.6%
Fiedler, Tommy pass incomplete to Brescacin, Juwan, PENALTY BOWLGREEN pass interference 15 yards to the BOWLGREEN38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NORTHERNIL.Similar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
1.3%
Tommy Fiedler pass incomplete to Kenny GolladaySimilar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+13
1.3%
Aregeros Turner run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
1.5%
Tommy Fiedler pass incomplete to Kenny GolladaySimilar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-2
1.4%
Tommy Fiedler pass intercepted Clint Stephens return for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 28PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 2:3899% → 100%
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
0.9%
Travis Greene run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+30
0.7%
Travis Greene run for 30 yds to the BwGrn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
0.5%
Travis Greene run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
0.6%
Travis Greene run for no gain to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q4 3:48
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+1
0.5%
Travis Greene run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q4 3:10
4TH & 8
OWN 47
-5
0.5%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q4 2:56
4TH & 13
OWN 42
0
0.5%
Joseph Davidson punt for 52 yds, downed at the NoIll 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 29INT
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:190% → 0%
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+16
0.4%
Joel Bouagnon run for 16 yds to the NoIll 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
0.4%
Tommy Fiedler pass intercepted Marcus Milton return for no gain to the BwGrn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 30DOWNS
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:20100% → 100%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
0.4%
Travis Greene run for 13 yds to the NORTHERNIL 43 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 7
OWN 47
+1
0.3%
Matt Johnson run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+2
0.3%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 4
50
-5
0.3%
Ronnie Moore run for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 9
OWN 45
-5
0.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:04
Travis Greene run for 25 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)
-7.2
TD · Q3 2:24
Matt Johnson pass intercepted by Shawun Lurry returned 64 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)
+6.9
TD · Q2 5:28
Matt Johnson pass complete to Derek Lee for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)
-5.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com