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UNC

North Carolina 37 at Clemson 45

CLEM
2015 · Week 14 · Dec 5, 2015 · Bank of America Stadium
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadUNC aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreUNC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:57 · Andy Teasdall punt for 36 yds , Ryan Switzer returns for no gain to the Clem 46 Ryan Switzer fumbled, recovered by NCaro Ryan Switzer
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 40Pregame prior+15.5Home team on offense+0.8Garbage-time factor+0.3Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:52: Ryan Switzer 3 Yd pass from Marquise Williams (Nick Weiler Kick) — UNC win probability +11.0 pts (now 42%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:02: Jordan Leggett 1 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Ammon Lakip Kick) — CLEM win probability +10.0 pts (now 72%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:55: Wayne Gallman 3 Yd Run (Ammon Lakip Kick) — CLEM win probability +11.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:39: Marquise Williams 1 Yd Run (Nick Weiler Kick) — UNC win probability +8.0 pts (now 15%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:13: Ryan Switzer 17 Yd pass from Marquise Williams (Nick Weiler Kick) — UNC win probability +10.3 pts (now 14%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 9UNC made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 10:52CLEM 4th & 3 at UNC 30, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.8%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    67.7%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:45UNC 4th & 12 at CLEM 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    31.9%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:08UNC 4th & 2 at UNC 43, down 4
    Close callPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:57CLEM 4th & 11 at CLEM 10, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:49CLEM 4th & 9 at CLEM 21, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:50UNC 4th & 17 at CLEM 47, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−0.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:50CLEM 4th & 4 at UNC 38, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    64.5%−0.8
    38% to make
    Punt
    64.5%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:34UNC 4th & 10 at UNC 25, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:18CLEM 4th & 13 at CLEM 49, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.6%−1.0
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:58UNC 4th & 12 at UNC 14, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−1.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:56CLEM 4th & 15 at CLEM 30, up 5
    Numbers favored punt by 1.7 ptsWent for it · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.2%−1.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    68.8%
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:20CLEM 4th & 8 at CLEM 32, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%
    average punt
  13. Q2 1:56UNC 4th & 16 at UNC 32, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−3.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:36UNC 4th & 10 at UNC 36, down 12
    Numbers favored punt by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.4%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:57UNC 4th & 3 at UNC 48, down 19
    Close callPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%−0.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:35CLEM 4th & 6 at CLEM 29, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:14CLEM 4th & 8 at UNC 10, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    93.6%−2.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:25UNC 4th & 6 at CLEM 45, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%−0.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 6UNC made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 5:14CLEM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:44UNC Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    35.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    35.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:35CLEM Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:52UNC Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:02CLEM Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:55CLEM Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:58CLEM Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:39UNC Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 11:34CLEM Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 9:54UNC Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 1:13UNC Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.3%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1MISSED FG
11 plays · 45 yds · 3:5370% → 69%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
69.8%
Wayne Gallman run for 10 yds to the Clem 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
69.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 9 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+7
69.8%
Deshaun Watson run for 7 yds to the NCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
69.8%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the NCaro 48Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+7
69.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Charone Peake for 7 yds to the NCaro 41Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+4
69.7%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
69.8%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Deon Cain, broken up by Malik SimmonsSimilar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
69.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 2 yds to the NCaro 35Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+5
69.7%
Deshaun Watson run for 5 yds to the NCaro 30Similar
Q1 10:52
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+47
69.4%
Greg Huegel 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 2FG
10 plays · 58 yds · 2:1031% → 32%
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+28
69.1%
Marquise Williams run for 13 yds to the Clem 43 for a 1ST down CLEMSON Penalty, Personal Foul (T.J. Green) to the Clem 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
68.6%
Elijah Hood run for 2 yds to the Clem 40Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
68.6%
Marquise Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+16
68.7%
Mitch Trubisky pass complete to Mack Hollins for 16 yds to the Clem 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+16
68.3%
Elijah Hood run for 8 yds to the Clem 16 for a 1ST down CLEMSON Penalty, Face Mask (8 yards) (8 Yards) to the Clem 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
68.3%
NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Lucas Crowley) to the Clem 13Similar
Q1 9:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+1
68.3%
Elijah Hood run for 1 yd to the Clem 12Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
68.1%
Marquise Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
68.2%
Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Brandon FrittsSimilar
Q1 8:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+30
68.3%
Nick Weiler 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2268% → 70%
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
68.1%
Deshaun Watson run for 1 yd to the Clem 26Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
68.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 7 yds to the Clem 33Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
68.1%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
67.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the Clem 37Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+10
67.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 10 yds to the Clem 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+42
68.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 42 yds to the NCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
68.5%
Wayne Gallman run for a loss of 5 yards to the NCaro 16Similar
Q1 5:14
2ND & 15
OPP 16
+16
70.3%
Wayne Gallman 16 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Ammon Lakip Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5231% → 31%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
69.3%
Elijah Hood run for 7 yds to the NCaro 42Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 3
OWN 42
0
68.7%
Marquise Williams run for no gain to the NCaro 42Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+1
68.7%
Marquise Williams pass complete to Elijah Hood for 1 yd to the NCaro 43Similar
Q1 3:08
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
69.3%
Joey Mangili punt for 47 yds, downed at the Clem 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5FUMBLE
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5369% → 68%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
69.2%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Clem 11Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+4
69.0%
Deshaun Watson run for 4 yds to the Clem 15Similar
Q1 2:08
3RD & 6
OWN 15
0
68.5%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Germone HopperSimilar
Q1 2:07
4TH & 6
OWN 15
-5
68.2%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Dorian O'Daniel) to the Clem 10Similar
Q1 1:57
4TH & 11
OWN 10
0
68.2%
Andy Teasdall punt for 36 yds , Ryan Switzer returns for no gain to the Clem 46 Ryan Switzer fumbled, recovered by NCaro Ryan SwitzerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 6TD
1 play · 46 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
64.9%
T.J. Logan 46 Yd pass from Marquise Williams (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4167% → 65%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
66.5%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the Clem 21Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
66.4%
Deshaun Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:04
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
65.8%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q1 0:49
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+29
65.4%
Andy Teasdall punt for 48 yds , Ryan Switzer returns for 29 yds to the Clem 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:5536% → 34%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-3
64.5%
Marquise Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 43Similar
Q1 0:20
2ND & 13
OPP 43
0
64.7%
Marquise Williams pass incomplete to T.J. LoganSimilar
Q1 0:13
3RD & 13
OPP 43
-5
65.6%
NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Landon Turner) to the Clem 48Similar
Q1 0:01
3RD & 18
OPP 48
+1
65.6%
Marquise Williams run for 1 yd to the Clem 47Similar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 17
OPP 47
0
66.3%
Joey Mangili punt for 43 yds, downed at the Clem 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9TD
13 plays · 96 yds · 4:0566% → 73%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
66.4%
Zac Brooks run for 1 yd to the Clem 5Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 9
OWN 5
0
66.3%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Trevion ThompsonSimilar
Q2 14:05
3RD & 9
OWN 5
+11
65.7%
Deshaun Watson run for 11 yds to the Clem 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
66.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 7 yds to the Clem 23Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+33
66.6%
Deshaun Watson run for 33 yds to the NCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
68.1%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
68.0%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Artavis ScottSimilar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+6
66.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 6 yds to the NCaro 38Similar
Q2 11:50
4TH & 4
OPP 38
+8
67.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 8 yds to the NCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
68.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 5 yds to the NCaro 25Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+7
68.7%
Deshaun Watson run for 7 yds to the NCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
68.7%
Watson, Deshaun pass incomplete to Cain, Deon, PENALTY UNC holding (Simmons, Malik) 9 yards to the UNC9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q2 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
73.2%
Deshaun Watson 9 Yd Run (Ammon Lakip Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:5628% → 27%
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.7%
Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Mack HollinsSimilar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
71.8%
Elijah Hood run for no gain to the NCaro 25Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
72.2%
Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Kendrick SingletonSimilar
Q2 9:34
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
72.7%
Joey Mangili punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Artavis Scott at the Clem 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:0272% → 71%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+21
71.7%
Deshaun Watson run for 6 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST down NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (Dajaun Drennon) to the NCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
73.0%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Artavis ScottSimilar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
72.8%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Zac BrooksSimilar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 10
OPP 48
-3
72.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 49 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Clem Deshaun WatsonSimilar
Q2 8:18
4TH & 13
OWN 49
0
70.7%
Andy Teasdall punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Ryan Switzer at the NCaro 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:1028% → 26%
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-4
72.2%
T.J. Logan run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 12Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 14
OWN 12
+2
72.4%
Marquise Williams run for 2 yds to the NCaro 14Similar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 12
OWN 14
0
73.1%
Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Bug HowardSimilar
Q2 6:58
4TH & 12
OWN 14
0
73.6%
Joey Mangili punt for 51 yds, downed at the Clem 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13DOWNS
7 plays · -1 yds · 1:4973% → 71%
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
72.6%
Deshaun Watson run for 8 yds to the Clem 43Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 2
OWN 43
-5
73.8%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Deon Cain) to the Clem 38Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+2
73.5%
Deshaun Watson run for 2 yds to the Clem 40Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 5
OWN 40
-5
72.9%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Wayne Gallman) to the Clem 35Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
71.7%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q2 5:03
4TH & 10
OWN 35
-5
71.3%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (T.J. Green) to the Clem 30Similar
Q2 4:56
4TH & 15
OWN 30
+4
70.9%
Andy Teasdall run for 4 yds to the Clem 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 14TD
5 plays · 34 yds · 1:0031% → 42%
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
69.0%
Williams, Marquise pass incomplete to Howard, Bug, PENALTY CLEMSON personal foul (Lawson, Shaq) 15 yards to the CLEMSON19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UNC.Similar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
69.0%
Elijah Hood run for 6 yds to the Clem 13Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+12
69.0%
Elijah Hood run for 12 yds to the Clem 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
69.0%
Elijah Hood run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 3Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
58.0%
Ryan Switzer 3 Yd pass from Marquise Williams (Nick Weiler Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:1363% → 61%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
62.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Charone Peake for 10 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
62.8%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Charone PeakeSimilar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
62.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the Clem 32Similar
Q2 2:38
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
61.4%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Artavis ScottSimilar
Q2 2:30
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
60.6%
Teasdall, Andy punt 37 yards to the UNC31, fair catch by Switzer, Ryan, PENALTY CLEMSON targeting (Green, T.J.) off-setting, PENALTY UNC Illegal Block off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:20
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
60.5%
Andy Teasdall punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Ryan Switzer at the NCaro 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:2241% → 39%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
59.0%
Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Brandon Fritts, broken up by Carlos WatkinsSimilar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
59.1%
Marquise Williams pass incomplete to T.J. LoganSimilar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 10
OWN 38
-6
60.2%
Marquise Williams sacked by Kevin Dodd for a loss of 6 yards to the NCaro 32Similar
Q2 1:56
4TH & 16
OWN 32
+35
61.5%
Joey Mangili punt for 35 yds , Artavis Scott returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17TD
12 plays · 68 yds · 1:3861% → 72%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
60.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Wayne Gallman for 7 yds to the Clem 39Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+6
63.1%
Deshaun Watson run for 6 yds to the Clem 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
62.8%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Artavis Scott, broken up by Malik SimmonsSimilar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
61.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Wayne Gallman for 3 yds to the Clem 48Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+13
61.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 13 yds to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+16
63.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 16 yds to the NCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
64.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 6 yds to the NCaro 17Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+16
62.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Wayne Gallman for 16 yds to the NCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
62.4%
Deshaun Watson run for no gain to the NCaro 1Similar
Q2 0:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.2%
Jordan Leggett 1 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Ammon Lakip Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 19INT
8 plays · 59 yds · 1:4830% → 35%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
70.1%
Marquise Williams run for 19 yds to the NCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
67.9%
Elijah Hood run for 16 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
66.9%
Elijah Hood run for 4 yds to the Clem 36Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 6
OPP 36
-5
66.5%
NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Jon Heck) to the Clem 41Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 11
OPP 41
0
67.4%
Marquise Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+25
68.6%
Marquise Williams pass complete to Mack Hollins for 25 yds to the Clem 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
65.3%
Marquise Williams pass intercepted Cordrea Tankersley return for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20TD
14 plays · 97 yds · 5:0572% → 87%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
72.1%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Deon Cain) to the Clem 2Similar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 11
OWN 2
+20
72.0%
Wayne Gallman run for 20 yds to the Clem 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
72.3%
Deshaun Watson run for 2 yds to the Clem 24Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+11
71.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Charone Peake for 11 yds to the Clem 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
72.4%
Deshaun Watson run for 2 yds to the Clem 37Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+1
72.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the Clem 38Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+9
72.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 9 yds to the Clem 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
74.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 4 yds to the NCaro 49Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+12
74.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Charone Peake for 12 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+26
75.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 41, lat. to Wayne Gallman for 26 yds to the NCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
75.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 5 yds to the NCaro 10Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+2
75.8%
Deshaun Watson run for 2 yds to the NCaro 8Similar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+5
74.7%
Deshaun Watson run for 5 yds to the NCaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
86.6%
Wayne Gallman 3 Yd Run (Ammon Lakip Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:5415% → 14%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.1%
Elijah Hood run for no gain to the NCaro 25Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
85.3%
Marquise Williams pass complete to Bug Howard for 11 yds to the NCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
84.5%
Marquise Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
84.8%
Marquise Williams run for no gain to the NCaro 36Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
85.9%
Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Elijah HoodSimilar
Q3 5:36
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
86.2%
Joey Mangili pass incomplete to Shakeel RashadSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22TD
2 plays · 36 yds · 0:1288% → 96%
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
87.7%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the NCaro 35Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+35
95.5%
Artavis Scott 35 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Ammon Lakip Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:467% → 7%
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
92.8%
Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Mack HollinsSimilar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+7
93.0%
Elijah Hood run for 7 yds to the NCaro 48Similar
Q3 4:03
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
93.1%
Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Quinshad DavisSimilar
Q3 3:57
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
93.1%
Joey Mangili punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Artavis Scott at the Clem 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24INT
2 plays · 23 yds · 0:0496% → 96%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+23
95.6%
Wayne Gallman run for 23 yds to the Clem 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
95.9%
Deshaun Watson pass intercepted Nazair Jones return for no gain to the Clem 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 25TD
6 plays · 42 yds · 1:277% → 15%
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+16
93.2%
Marquise Williams run for 16 yds to the Clem 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
92.2%
Marquise Williams pass incomplete to T.J. LoganSimilar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+23
92.6%
Marquise Williams pass complete to Quinshad Davis for 23 yds to the Clem 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
92.3%
Elijah Hood run for 2 yds to the Clem 1Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
92.6%
Marquise Williams run for no gain to the Clem 1Similar
Q3 1:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.6%
Marquise Williams 1 Yd Run (Nick Weiler Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 26TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 5:0190% → 98%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+31
89.5%
Wayne Gallman run for 31 yds to the NCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
90.4%
Deshaun Watson run for 5 yds to the NCaro 44Similar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 5
OPP 44
0
90.6%
Deshaun Watson run for no gain to the NCaro 44Similar
Q3 0:02
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+13
90.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 13 yds to the NCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
90.7%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the NCaro 29Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+9
90.7%
Wayne Gallman run for 9 yds to the NCaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
90.8%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+6
90.9%
Deshaun Watson run for 6 yds to the NCaro 14Similar
Q4 12:35
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+11
92.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 11 yds to the NCaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
93.4%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the NCaro 2Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.9%
Deshaun Watson 2 Yd Run (Ammon Lakip Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 27TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 1:364% → 11%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
96.4%
Marquise Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+4
96.6%
Marquise Williams run for 4 yds to the NCaro 30Similar
Q4 10:25
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+40
96.5%
Marquise Williams pass complete to Quinshad Davis for 40 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+27
95.9%
Marquise Williams pass complete to Brandon Fritts for 27 yds to the Clem 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
95.8%
Williams, Marquise pass incomplete to Davis, Quinshad, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference 1 yards to the CLEMSON2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UNC.Similar
Q4 9:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.3%
Elijah Hood 2 Yd Run (Nick Weiler Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:3293% → 92%
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
93.1%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
93.3%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Clem 29Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
93.1%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Artavis ScottSimilar
Q4 8:35
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
92.4%
Andy Teasdall punt for 50 yds, downed at the NCaro 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 29FUMBLE
7 plays · 33 yds · 1:478% → 8%
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+21
92.2%
Marquise Williams pass complete to Ryan Switzer for 21 yds to the NCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
91.1%
Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Ryan SwitzerSimilar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
91.7%
Marquise Williams run for 4 yds to the NCaro 46Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+8
91.6%
Marquise Williams run for 8 yds to the Clem 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
91.6%
Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Bug HowardSimilar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+10
91.6%
Marquise Williams pass complete to Quinshad Davis for 10 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
91.7%
Marquise Williams sacked by Shaq Lawson for a loss of 10 yards to the Clem 46 Marquise Williams fumbled, forced by Shaq Lawson, recovered by Clem Austin Bryant , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 30FG
8 plays · 43 yds · 4:0195% → 98%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+22
95.2%
Wayne Gallman run for 22 yds to the NCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
95.4%
Wayne Gallman run for 8 yds to the NCaro 23Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+11
95.6%
Wayne Gallman run for 11 yds to the NCaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
96.1%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the NCaro 8Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+4
96.2%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the NCaro 4Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 2
OPP 4
-1
96.6%
Deshaun Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 5Similar
Q4 2:20
4TH & 3
OPP 5
-5
96.3%
CLEMSON Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 10Similar
Q4 2:14
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+27
97.5%
Greg Huegel 27 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 31TD
7 plays · 49 yds · 0:473% → 14%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
97.0%
Marquise Williams run for 4 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
96.9%
Marquise Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:41
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
97.0%
Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Mack HollinsSimilar
Q4 1:25
4TH & 6
OPP 45
+28
97.2%
Marquise Williams run for 28 yds to the Clem 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
96.2%
Marquise Williams pass incomplete to Quinshad DavisSimilar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
85.9%
Ryan Switzer 17 Yd pass from Marquise Williams (Nick Weiler Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 32END OF GAME
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:5898% → 98%
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
97.5%
Deshaun Watson run for 5 yds to the NCaro 25Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+2
97.6%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the NCaro 23Similar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+4
97.5%
Deshaun Watson run for 4 yds to the NCaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
97.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:55
Wayne Gallman 3 Yd Run (Ammon Lakip Kick)
+11.9
TD · Q2 3:52
Ryan Switzer 3 Yd pass from Marquise Williams (Nick Weiler Kick)
-11
TD · Q4 1:13
Ryan Switzer 17 Yd pass from Marquise Williams (Nick Weiler Kick)
-10.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com