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KENT

Kent State 3 at Illinois 52

ILL
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2015 · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
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Win probability · ILL
modelILL aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playILL scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:49 · Colin Reardon pass incomplete to P.J. Simmons
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 147Home team on offense+34.1Score differential+27.9Pregame prior+8.9Blowout margin+17.0Garbage-time factor+6.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:04: Wes Lunt pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 34 yds for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK) — ILL win probability +1.0 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:26: Wes Lunt pass complete to Josh Ferguson for 21 yds for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK) — ILL win probability +2.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 1:53: Josh Ferguson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK) — ILL win probability +3.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:36: Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 34 yds for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK) — KENT win probability +0.4 pts (now 5%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 6:16: Taylor Zalewski 43 yd FG GOOD — ILL win probability +0.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ILL made the numbers' call on 8 of 10KENT made the numbers' call on 13 of 15
  1. Q1 15:00KENT 4th & 24 at KENT 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:04KENT 4th & 16 at KENT 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:37ILL 4th & 19 at ILL 24, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%−0.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:26ILL 4th & 3 at KENT 21, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    83.4%−0.2
    74% to make
    Punt
    81.4%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:26KENT 4th & 7 at KENT 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:29ILL 4th & 14 at ILL 21, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−1.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00KENT 4th & 11 at KENT 26, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:17ILL 4th & 3 at KENT 45, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    92.9%−1.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    93.6%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:29ILL 4th & 28 at ILL 45, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%−1.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:36KENT 4th & 4 at KENT 31, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 10:36KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 37, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  12. Q2 6:16ILL 4th & 6 at KENT 25, up 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.0%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    95.6%−1.5
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:36KENT 4th & 5 at ILL 5, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:02KENT 4th & 13 at KENT 44, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:17ILL 4th & 4 at ILL 36, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:50KENT 4th & 2 at KENT 43, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:54KENT 4th & 6 at KENT 38, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 15:00ILL 4th & 12 at ILL 18, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 14:49KENT 4th & 3 at ILL 21, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  20. Q4 12:41ILL 4th & 23 at ILL 8, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  21. Q4 10:59KENT 4th & 4 at ILL 28, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  22. Q4 8:30KENT 4th & 15 at ILL 26, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  23. Q4 6:09KENT 4th & 14 at KENT 21, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  24. Q4 5:14ILL 4th & 2 at ILL 41, up 49
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  25. Q4 1:03KENT 4th & 17 at ILL 32, down 49
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ILL made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 12:10ILL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:04ILL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:26ILL Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:53ILL Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:36ILL Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:02ILL Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:09ILL Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -14 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-4
82.7%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 15
-5
82.7%
Colin Reardon sacked by Dawuane Smoot for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 10Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 10
0
82.7%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Raekwon JamesSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 10
-5
82.7%
KENT ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 5Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 24
OWN 5
+36
82.7%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 54 yds , V'Angelo Bentley returns for 36 yds to the KntSt 41 ILLINOIS Penalty, sideline interference (15 Yards) to the KntSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 2TD
5 plays · 38 yds · 1:3383% → 83%
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+23
82.5%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 23 yds to the KntSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
82.5%
KENT ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Najee Murray) to the KntSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
82.5%
Josh Ferguson run for 6 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+4
82.5%
Josh Ferguson run for 4 yds to the KntSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
82.8%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Tyler White for 2 yds for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3INT
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:0017% → 18%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
82.6%
Nick Holley run for 4 yds to the KntSt 17Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+6
82.5%
Nick Holley run for 6 yds to the KntSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
82.5%
Colin Reardon pass intercepted Eaton Spence return for no gain to the KntSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 4TD
1 play · 34 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
83.5%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 34 yds for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
83.1%
Miles Hibbler run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 9
50
-2
83.2%
Miles Hibbler run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 48Similar
Q1 11:04
3RD & 11
OWN 48
0
83.2%
Colin Reardon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:04
4TH & 11
OWN 48
-5
83.3%
KENT ST Penalty, delay of game (Anthony Melchiori) to the KntSt 43Similar
Q1 11:04
4TH & 16
OWN 43
0
83.3%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 46 yds, fair catch by V'Angelo Bentley at the Illin 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
83.7%
KENT ST Penalty, offside defense (Nate Terhune) to the Illin 16Similar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 5
OWN 16
+17
83.7%
Josh Ferguson run for 17 yds to the Illin 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-13
83.7%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Illin 35 ILLINOIS Penalty, illegal block (Joe Spencer) to the Illin 20Similar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 23
OWN 20
-5
83.7%
ILLINOIS Penalty, delay of game (Wes Lunt) to the Illin 15Similar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 28
OWN 15
+2
83.7%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Illin 17 ILLINOIS Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 26
OWN 17
0
83.7%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Malik TurnerSimilar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 26
OWN 17
+7
83.6%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 7 yds to the Illin 24Similar
Q1 9:37
4TH & 19
OWN 24
0
83.4%
Ryan Frain punt for 45 yds , Ernest Calhoun returns for no gain to the KntSt 28 Ernest Calhoun fumbled, recovered by Illin Davontay KwaaningSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 7TD
4 plays · 28 yds · 1:3985% → 87%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
84.8%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Geronimo AllisonSimilar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-1
84.8%
Josh Ferguson run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 29Similar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 11
OPP 29
+8
84.7%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Desmond Cain for 8 yds to the KntSt 21Similar
Q1 5:26
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+21
87.0%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Josh Ferguson for 21 yds for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
86.9%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 22Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-1
87.0%
Colin Reardon pass complete to P.J. Simmons for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 21Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+7
87.0%
Colin Reardon run for 7 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q1 5:26
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+1
87.0%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 48 yds , V'Angelo Bentley returns for 1 yd to the Illin 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
87.5%
Lunt,Wes pass complete to Allison, G. for 11 yards to the ILL36 (MURRAY, Najee), PENALTY ILL illegal formation 5 yards to the ILL20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
87.5%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Illin 21Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
87.5%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Marchie MurdockSimilar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
87.3%
Wes Lunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:29
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+11
87.1%
Ryan Frain punt for 38 yds , Ernest Calhoun returns for 11 yds to the Illin 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+43
88.4%
Colin Reardon pass intercepted Mason Monheim return for 43 yds to the KntSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 11TD
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
92.7%
Josh Ferguson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:537% → 6%
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
93.4%
Myles Washington run for no gain to the KntSt 27Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
93.5%
Colin Reardon run for no gain to the KntSt 27Similar
Q1 1:53
3RD & 10
OWN 27
-1
93.5%
Myles Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 26Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 26
0
94.5%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 13PUNT
12 plays · -3 yds · 3:2695% → 95%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
94.5%
V'Angelo Bentley pass incomplete to Geronimo AllisonSimilar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-1
94.5%
Henry Enyenihi run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 47Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 11
OWN 47
+8
94.5%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 8 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q2 13:17
4TH & 3
OPP 45
+8
94.0%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 8 yds to the KntSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
94.5%
Josh Ferguson run for 2 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 8
OPP 35
-5
94.4%
ILLINOIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 40Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 13
OPP 40
-15
95.0%
Lunt,Wes pass incomplete to Murdock,M., PENALTY ILL personal foul (Enyenihi,Henry) 15 yards to the ILL45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 28
OWN 45
0
94.9%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Geronimo AllisonSimilar
Q2 11:29
3RD & 28
OWN 45
0
94.8%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Malik TurnerSimilar
Q2 11:29
4TH & 28
OWN 45
0
94.5%
Ryan Frain punt for 34 yds, downed at the KntSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 14INT
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:004% → 5%
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
95.6%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 4 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
95.4%
Colin Reardon pass intercepted Taylor Barton return for no gain to the KntSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 15TD
1 play · 34 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
94.9%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 34 yds for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.8%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
96.7%
George Bollas pass complete to Nick Holley for 5 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-1
96.5%
Myles Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 31Similar
Q2 10:36
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+6
96.6%
George Bollas pass complete to Johnny Woods for 6 yds to the KntSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
96.7%
George Bollas run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 35Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+3
96.8%
Myles Washington run for 3 yds to the KntSt 38Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 9
OWN 38
-1
96.7%
Myles Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 37Similar
Q2 10:36
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+48
96.8%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 40 yds , V'Angelo Bentley returns for 48 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 17FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5497% → 98%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
97.4%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 6
OPP 25
0
97.4%
Wes Lunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 6
OPP 25
0
97.3%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Geronimo Allison, broken up by Najee MurraySimilar
Q2 6:16
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+43
97.7%
Taylor Zalewski 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18MISSED FG
15 plays · 80 yds · 5:402% → 2%
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
98.1%
Nick Holley run for 3 yds to the KntSt 18Similar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+6
98.1%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Connor Arlia for 6 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
Q2 6:16
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+2
98.1%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the KntSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
98.1%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Connor Arlia for 5 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+58
98.0%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Kris White for 58 yds to the Illin 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
97.7%
Trayion Durham run for 2 yds to the Illin 9Similar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
97.7%
Trayion Durham run for no gain to the Illin 9Similar
Q2 6:16
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+8
97.8%
Trayion Durham run for 8 yds to the Illin 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.6%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Brice FacklerSimilar
Q2 6:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.2%
Trayion Durham run for no gain to the Illin 1Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
98.5%
DURHAM, Trayion rush for 1 yard to the ILL0, clock 01:03, PENALTY KENT false start (WASHINGTON, M.) 4 yards to the ILL5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.8%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q2 0:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
98.1%
Shane Hynes 22 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Rob Bain Mason Monheim return for no gain to the Illin 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 19END OF HALF
2 plays · 18 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+15
99.0%
Josh Ferguson run for 15 yds to the Illin 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
99.0%
Josh Ferguson run for 3 yds to the Illin 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 20TD
14 plays · 73 yds · 5:5899% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
99.1%
Josh Ferguson run for 3 yds to the Illin 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+5
99.1%
KENT ST Penalty, offside defense (Jon Cunningham) to the Illin 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+8
99.1%
Josh Ferguson run for 8 yds to the Illin 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.1%
Josh Ferguson run for no gain to the Illin 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+13
99.1%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Tyler White for 13 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
99.1%
Josh Ferguson run for 8 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 36
0
99.1%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for no gain to the KntSt 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+15
99.1%
Vaughn,Ke'Shawn rush for loss of 2 yards to the KENT38 (HOLLEY, Nate), PENALTY KENT personal foul (MONDAY, D.) 15 yards to the KENT21, 1ST DOWN ILL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
99.1%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Ainslie Johnson for 2 yds to the KntSt 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+5
99.1%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 5 yds to the KntSt 14Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+9
99.1%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Tim Clary for 9 yds to the KntSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
99.1%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KntSt 1Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.5%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.6%
Ernest Calhoun run for 6 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+6
99.6%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Nick Holley for 6 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
99.6%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 44Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 13
OWN 44
0
99.6%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Josh BoyleSimilar
Q3 9:02
3RD & 13
OWN 44
0
99.6%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Connor ArliaSimilar
Q3 9:02
4TH & 13
OWN 44
0
99.6%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 41 yds, fair catch by V'Angelo Bentley at the Illin 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
99.6%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 15 yds to the Illin 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.6%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Illin 32Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+3
99.6%
Chayce Crouch run for 3 yds to the Illin 35Similar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+1
99.6%
Chayce Crouch run for 1 yd to the Illin 36Similar
Q3 7:17
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
99.6%
Ryan Frain punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ernest Calhoun at the KntSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
99.7%
Miles Hibbler run for 6 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+5
99.7%
Miles Hibbler run for 5 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.7%
Colin Reardon pass complete to P.J. Simmons for 5 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
99.7%
Colin Reardon pass complete to P.J. Simmons for 3 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
99.7%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Josh BoyleSimilar
Q3 4:50
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
99.7%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Kris White, broken up by Taylor BartonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 24INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Chayce Crouch pass intercepted, touchback. Demetrius Monday return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
99.8%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Raekwon James for 14 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
99.8%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Raekwon James for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 32Similar
Q3 2:54
2ND & 12
OWN 32
+1
99.8%
Raekwon James run for 1 yd to the KntSt 33Similar
Q3 2:54
3RD & 11
OWN 33
+5
99.8%
Colin Reardon pass complete to P.J. Simmons for 5 yds to the KntSt 38Similar
Q3 2:54
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 62 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:45100% → 100%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Chayce Crouch pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-2
99.8%
Chayce Crouch run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 18
0
99.8%
Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Henry EnyenihiSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 18
+1
99.8%
Ryan Frain punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 40 , Ernest Calhoun returns for 1 yd to the KntSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 27DOWNS
8 plays · 39 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to P.J. SimmonsSimilar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
99.9%
Myles Washington run for 9 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+1
99.8%
Myles Washington run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
50
+22
99.8%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 22 yds to the Illin 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.8%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Nick HolleySimilar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
99.8%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+7
99.9%
Colin Reardon run for 7 yds to the Illin 21Similar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 3
OPP 21
0
99.8%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to P.J. SimmonsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Dionte TaylorSimilar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+3
99.9%
Chayce Crouch run for 3 yds to the Illin 24Similar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 7
OWN 24
-11
99.9%
Chayce Crouch sacked by Terence Waugh for a loss of 11 yards to the Illin 13Similar
Q4 12:41
4TH & 18
OWN 13
-5
99.9%
ILLINOIS Penalty, false start (LaKeith Walls) to the Illin 8Similar
Q4 12:41
4TH & 23
OWN 8
0
99.9%
Ryan Frain punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Ernest Calhoun at the KntSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 29FG
11 plays · 26 yds · 2:290% → 0%
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
99.9%
Miles Hibbler run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 47Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+19
99.9%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Charles Chandler for 19 yds to the Illin 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
99.9%
Miles Hibbler run for 1 yd to the Illin 33Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Johnny Woods, broken up by Cedric DoxySimilar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+5
99.9%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Miles Hibbler for 5 yds to the Illin 28Similar
Q4 10:59
4TH & 4
OPP 28
+7
99.9%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Kyle Payton for 7 yds to the Illin 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Johnny Woods, broken up by B.J. BelloSimilar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Johnny WoodsSimilar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 10
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Charles ChandlerSimilar
Q4 10:59
4TH & 10
OPP 21
-5
99.9%
KENT ST Penalty, encroachment (Kris White) to the Illin 26Similar
Q4 8:30
4TH & 15
OPP 26
+43
99.9%
Shane Hynes 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 30TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:21100% → 100%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Chayce Crouch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Henry Enyenihi run for 1 yd to the Illin 26Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
99.9%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Sam Mays for 10 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+24
99.9%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Dionte Taylor for 9 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, personal foul (Colin Reardon) to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
99.9%
Henry Enyenihi run for 9 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 1
OPP 31
0
99.9%
Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Dionte TaylorSimilar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+4
99.9%
Henry Enyenihi run for 4 yds to the KntSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
99.9%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Sam Mays for 27 yds for a TD, (David Reisner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 31PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
100.0%
Raekwon James run for a loss of 6 yards to the KntSt 19Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+2
100.0%
Raekwon James run for 2 yds to the KntSt 21Similar
Q4 6:09
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
100.0%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Raekwon JamesSimilar
Q4 6:09
4TH & 14
OWN 21
-2
100.0%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 44 yds , Darius Mosely returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 32PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
99.9%
Kendrick Foster run for 3 yds to the Illin 36Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
Cameron Tucker run for 4 yds to the Illin 40Similar
Q4 5:14
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+1
99.9%
Kendrick Foster run for 1 yd to the Illin 41Similar
Q4 5:14
4TH & 2
OWN 41
+9
99.9%
Ryan Frain punt for 32 yds , Ernest Calhoun returns for 9 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 33DOWNS
9 plays · 41 yds · 2:350% → 0%
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
100.0%
George Bollas run for 8 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+18
100.0%
Myles Washington run for 3 yds to the Illin 47 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Illin 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
100.0%
Miles Hibbler run for 3 yds to the Illin 35Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+10
100.0%
George Bollas pass complete to Kyle Payton for 10 yds to the Illin 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
100.0%
Miles Hibbler run for 2 yds to the Illin 23Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 8
OPP 23
-4
100.0%
George Bollas run for a loss of 4 yards to the Illin 27Similar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 12
OPP 27
-5
100.0%
BOLLAS, George pass complete to SIMMONS, P.J. for 27 yards to the ILL0, clock 01:03, PENALTY KENT illegal motion (SIMMONS, P.J.) 5 yards to the ILL32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 17
OPP 32
0
100.0%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q4 1:03
4TH & 17
OPP 32
+9
100.0%
George Bollas pass complete to Johnny Woods for 9 yds to the Illin 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 34END OF GAME
1 play · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
100.0%
Kendrick Foster run for no gain to the Illin 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 1:53
Josh Ferguson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK)
+3.1
TD · Q1 5:26
Wes Lunt pass complete to Josh Ferguson for 21 yds for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK)
+2.4
TD · Q1 11:04
Wes Lunt pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 34 yds for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK)
+1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com