Try the model
USD

San Diego 3 at San Diego State 37

SDSU
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2015 · Qualcomm Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · SDSU
modelSDSU aheadUSD aheadconfidence bandkey playSDSU scoreUSD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:06 · Marcus Stamps run for no gain to the SnDgo 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 14:20: Trey Wheeler pass intercepted for a TD Calvin Munson return for 19 yds for a TD, (Donny Hageman KICK) — USD win probability +0.1 pts (now 2%) (top driver: USD has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 4:53: Donny Hageman 33 yd FG GOOD — SDSU win probability +0.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 2:53: Donny Hageman 36 yd FG GOOD — SDSU win probability +0.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 0:18: Jack Flatau 23 yd FG GOOD — USD win probability +0.7 pts (now 1%) (top driver: USD has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 9:57: Donny Hageman 37 yd FG GOOD — SDSU win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SDSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8USD made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 14:20USD 4th & 5 at USD 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:57SDSU 4th & 14 at SDSU 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:47USD 4th & 10 at USD 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00USD 4th & 14 at USD 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:51SDSU 4th & 4 at SDSU 20, up 14
    Close callPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:48USD 4th & 8 at USD 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:12SDSU 4th & 10 at SDSU 49, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:53SDSU 4th & 8 at USD 16, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    94.7%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:53SDSU 4th & 8 at USD 19, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    95.7%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:13USD 4th & 7 at USD 39, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:26SDSU 4th & 10 at USD 47, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:04USD 4th & 3 at USD 21, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:06SDSU 4th & 6 at SDSU 45, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:18USD 4th & 6 at SDSU 6, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    -0.5%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:57SDSU 4th & 13 at USD 17, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:19USD 4th & 10 at USD 35, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SDSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 14:20SDSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:54SDSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 14:49SDSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:35SDSU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USDDrive 1INT TD
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:402% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
97.9%
Jonah Hodges run for a loss of 1 yard to the SnDgo 16Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 11
OWN 16
+19
97.9%
Trey Wheeler pass intercepted for a TD Calvin Munson return for 19 yds for a TD, (Donny Hageman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USDDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.9%
Jonah Hodges run for 4 yds to the SnDgo 29Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
97.9%
Jonah Hodges run for 1 yd to the SnDgo 30Similar
Q1 14:20
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
97.9%
Trey Wheeler pass incomplete to Jonah HodgesSimilar
Q1 14:20
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+37
97.9%
Ryan Belden punt for 37 yds , Damontae Kazee returns for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
97.8%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 27Similar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+1
97.8%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the SDSt 28Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 14
OWN 28
+5
97.8%
Maxwell Smith pass complete to Donnel Pumphrey for 5 yds to the SDSt 33Similar
Q1 12:57
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
97.8%
Maxwell Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:57
4TH & 9
OWN 33
-5
97.7%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 28Similar
Q1 12:57
4TH & 14
OWN 28
0
97.7%
Tanner Blain punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USDDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.6%
Trey Wheeler pass incomplete, broken up by Alex BarrettSimilar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
97.6%
Dallas Kessman run for no gain to the SnDgo 35Similar
Q1 11:47
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
97.6%
Trey Wheeler pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:47
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
97.7%
Ryan Belden punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Damontae Kazee at the SDSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 5INT
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
97.6%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 11 yds to the SDSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
97.6%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the SDSt 45Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
97.6%
Maxwell Smith pass intercepted Jamal Agnew return for no gain to the SDSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USDDrive 6INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
97.4%
Jonah Hodges run for 3 yds to the SDSt 46Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+5
97.4%
ARMSTRONG, J rush for 6 yards to the SDSU40 (FELY, Jake), PENALTY SDSU offside 5 yards to the SDSU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+1
97.4%
Jonah Hodges run for 1 yd to the SDSt 40Similar
Q1 10:03
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+3
97.4%
Chris Campano run for 3 yds to the SDSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-7
97.4%
Chris Willson pass intercepted Damontae Kazee return for a loss of 7 yards to the SDSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 7TD
12 plays · 98 yds · 5:0597% → 97%
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
97.3%
Chase Price run for 4 yds to the SDSt 6Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+5
97.2%
Chase Price run for 5 yds to the SDSt 11Similar
Q1 7:59
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+2
97.2%
Chase Price run for 2 yds to the SDSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
97.3%
Dakota Gordon run for 7 yds to the SDSt 20Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+18
97.3%
Chase Price run for 18 yds to the SDSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
97.3%
Chase Price run for 3 yds to the SDSt 41Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
97.3%
Maxwell Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:59
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+13
97.3%
Maxwell Smith pass complete to Mikah Holder for 13 yds to the SnDgo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
97.3%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 11 yds to the SnDgo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
97.3%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 12 yds to the SnDgo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+18
97.3%
Maxwell Smith pass complete to Dakota Gordon for 18 yds to the SnDgo 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.4%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 5 yds for a TD, (Donny Hageman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USDDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:543% → 3%
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
97.2%
Jonah Hodges run for 2 yds to the SnDgo 29Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+24
97.2%
Trey Wheeler pass complete to Jonah Hodges for 24 yds to the SDSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
97.1%
Dallas Kessman run for 3 yds to the SDSt 44Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 7
OPP 44
-5
97.1%
SAN DIEGO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 49Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 12
OPP 49
-2
97.1%
Trey Wheeler pass complete to Jonah Hodges for a loss of 2 yards to the SnDgo 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 49
0
96.9%
Trey Wheeler pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 49
0
96.9%
Ryan Belden punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Damontae Kazee at the SDSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
97.1%
Chase Price run for 7 yds to the SDSt 21Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+1
97.1%
Chase Price run for 1 yd to the SDSt 22Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 2
OWN 22
-2
97.0%
Donnel Pumphrey run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 20Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 4
OWN 20
0
96.9%
Tanner Blain punt for 63 yds, downed at the SnDgo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USDDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
96.7%
Dallas Kessman run for no gain to the SnDgo 17Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+2
96.7%
Jereke Armstrong run for 2 yds to the SnDgo 19Similar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 8
OWN 19
0
96.7%
Trey Wheeler pass incomplete to Brian Riley, broken up by Na'im McGeeSimilar
Q2 12:48
4TH & 8
OWN 19
0
96.8%
Ryan Belden punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
97.0%
Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Dakota GordonSimilar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
96.9%
Donnel Pumphrey run for no gain to the SDSt 49Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
96.8%
Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Mikah HolderSimilar
Q2 11:12
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
96.7%
Tanner Blain punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USDDrive 12INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
96.4%
Dallas Kessman run for 5 yds to the SnDgo 25Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
96.4%
Dallas Kessman run for no gain to the SnDgo 25Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-5
96.4%
SAN DIEGO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SnDgo 20Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
96.5%
Trey Wheeler pass intercepted Damontae Kazee return for no gain to the SDSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 13FG
12 plays · 36 yds · 3:2997% → 97%
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
96.7%
Chase Price run for 4 yds to the SnDgo 48Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+19
96.8%
Chase Price run for 19 yds to the SnDgo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-10
96.8%
PRICE, Chase rush for no gain to the USD29 (GIORGI, Colton), PENALTY SDSU holding 10 yards to the USD39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 20
OWN 0
0
96.6%
SMITH, Maxwell pass incomplete to HOLDER, Mikah, PENALTY SDSU holding off-setting, PENALTY USD roughing passer off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 20
OPP 39
+2
96.7%
Dakota Gordon run for 2 yds to the SnDgo 37Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & 18
OPP 37
0
96.7%
Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Donnel PumphreySimilar
Q2 8:22
3RD & 18
OPP 37
+19
96.6%
Maxwell Smith pass complete to Eric Judge for 19 yds to the SnDgo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
96.7%
Maxwell Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+2
96.7%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the SnDgo 16Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 8
OPP 16
0
96.6%
Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Eric JudgeSimilar
Q2 4:53
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+33
97.4%
Donny Hageman 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USDDrive 14FUMBLE
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
96.8%
Trey Wheeler pass complete to Chris Campano for 5 yds Chris Campano fumbled, forced by Jake Fely, recovered by SDSt Calvin Munson , return for 3 yds to the SnDgo 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 15FG
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:5298% → 98%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-3
97.5%
Donnel Pumphrey run for a loss of 3 yards to the SnDgo 44Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 13
OPP 44
+9
97.5%
Maxwell Smith pass complete to Donnel Pumphrey for 9 yds to the SnDgo 35Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+14
97.5%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 14 yds to the SnDgo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
97.6%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the SnDgo 19Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 8
OPP 19
0
97.6%
Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Mikah Holder, broken up by Jamal AgnewSimilar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 8
OPP 19
0
97.5%
Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Eric Judge, broken up by Jamal AgnewSimilar
Q2 2:53
4TH & 8
OPP 19
+36
98.4%
Donny Hageman 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USDDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 2:402% → 1%
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.2%
Chris Willson run for 6 yds to the SnDgo 31Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
98.1%
Chris Willson run for 5 yds to the SnDgo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
98.1%
Dallas Kessman run for a loss of 2 yards to the SnDgo 34Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+3
98.3%
Dallas Kessman run for 3 yds to the SnDgo 37Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+2
98.3%
Chris Willson run for 2 yds to the SnDgo 39Similar
Q2 0:13
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
98.9%
Ryan Belden punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Damontae Kazee at the SDSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
98.7%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the SDSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USDDrive 19INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
98.9%
Blake Martin run for 3 yds to the SnDgo 24Similar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 7
OWN 24
-1
98.9%
Blake Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the SnDgo 23Similar
Q3 14:49
3RD & 8
OWN 23
0
98.9%
Trey Wheeler pass intercepted Damontae Kazee return for no gain to the SnDgo 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
99.7%
Maxwell Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the SnDgo 48Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 21
OWN 42
0
99.6%
Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Donnel PumphreySimilar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 21
OWN 42
+11
99.6%
Maxwell Smith pass complete to Mikah Holder for 11 yds to the SnDgo 47Similar
Q3 13:26
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
99.6%
Tanner Blain punt for 33 yds, downed at the SnDgo 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USDDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
99.7%
Trey Wheeler pass complete to Ross Dwelley for 7 yds to the SnDgo 21Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+1
99.7%
Chris Willson run for 1 yd to the SnDgo 22Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 2
OWN 22
-1
99.7%
Trey Wheeler sacked by Calvin Munson for a loss of 1 yard to the SnDgo 21Similar
Q3 12:04
4TH & 3
OWN 21
0
99.7%
Ryan Belden punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Damontae Kazee at the SDSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.7%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the SDSt 43Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+5
99.7%
Maxwell Smith pass complete to Chase Favreau for 5 yds to the SDSt 48Similar
Q3 10:06
3RD & 3
OWN 48
-3
99.7%
Donnel Pumphrey run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 45Similar
Q3 10:06
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
99.7%
Tanner Blain punt for 38 yds, downed at the SnDgo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USDDrive 23FG
20 plays · 77 yds · 7:540% → 1%
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
99.7%
Blake Martin run for 1 yd to the SnDgo 18Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+8
99.7%
Anthony Lawrence pass complete to Ross Dwelley for 8 yds to the SnDgo 26Similar
Q3 6:41
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+12
99.8%
Anthony Lawrence pass complete to Ross Dwelley for 12 yds to the SnDgo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
99.8%
Anthony Lawrence pass complete to Ross Dwelley for 13 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
99.8%
Anthony Lawrence pass complete to Justin Priest for 6 yds to the SDSt 43Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+8
99.8%
Chris Willson run for 8 yds to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
99.8%
SAN DIEGO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 40Similar
Q3 6:41
1ST & 15
OPP 40
+15
99.8%
LAWRENCE, A pass incomplete to WHEELER, Trey, PENALTY SDSU roughing passer 15 yards to the SDSU25, 1ST DOWN USD, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
99.8%
Blake Martin run for 6 yds to the SDSt 19Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+8
99.8%
Chris Willson run for 8 yds to the SDSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
99.8%
Chris Willson run for 4 yds to the SDSt 7Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 6
OPP 7
0
99.8%
Anthony Lawrence pass incomplete to Zack HollandSimilar
Q3 2:16
3RD & 6
OPP 7
0
99.9%
Anthony Lawrence pass incomplete to Justin PriestSimilar
Q3 2:16
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+3
99.9%
FLATAU, Jake field goal attempt from 25 MISSED - wide left,, PENALTY SDSU roughing the kicker 3 yards to the SDSU4, 1ST DOWN USD, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.9%
Blake Martin run for 2 yds to the SDSt 2Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
99.9%
Chris Willson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 3Similar
Q3 2:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
99.9%
Chris Willson run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 6Similar
Q3 0:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
99.2%
Jack Flatau 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 24FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 5:2199% → 100%
Q3 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
99.3%
Donnel Pumphrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+10
99.3%
Maxwell Smith pass complete to David Wells for 10 yds to the SDSt 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+2
99.3%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the SDSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
99.3%
Maxwell Smith pass complete to Eric Judge for 10 yds to the SDSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
99.4%
Rashaad Penny run for 6 yds to the SnDgo 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+3
99.4%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the SnDgo 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+3
99.4%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the SnDgo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+27
99.4%
Maxwell Smith run for 27 yds to the SnDgo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
99.4%
Maxwell Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
99.4%
Donnel Pumphrey run for no gain to the SnDgo 14Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 14
-6
99.4%
Maxwell Smith sacked by Jonathan Petersen for a loss of 6 yards to the SnDgo 17 Maxwell Smith fumbled, recovered by SDSt Maxwell Smith , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 9:57
4TH & 13
OPP 17
+37
99.9%
Donny Hageman 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USDDrive 25INT TD
11 plays · 39 yds · 6:220% → 0%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
100.0%
Jereke Armstrong run for 6 yds to the SnDgo 27Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+7
100.0%
Anthony Lawrence pass complete to Brian Riley for 7 yds to the SnDgo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
100.0%
Jereke Armstrong run for 9 yds to the SnDgo 43Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+2
99.9%
Fia Malepeai run for 2 yds to the SnDgo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
100.0%
Anthony Lawrence run for a loss of 3 yards to the SnDgo 42Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 13
OWN 42
+4
100.0%
Anthony Lawrence pass complete to Brian Riley for 4 yds to the SnDgo 46Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+10
100.0%
Anthony Lawrence pass complete to Ross Dwelley for 10 yds to the SDSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
100.0%
Jereke Armstrong run for 1 yd to the SDSt 43Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+3
100.0%
Anthony Lawrence pass complete to Trevor Barney for 3 yds to the SDSt 40Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+67
100.0%
Anthony Lawrence pass intercepted for a TD Calvin Munson return for 67 yds for a TD, (Donny Hageman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USDDrive 26PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 2:160% → 0%
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
100.0%
Blake Martin run for 3 yds to the SnDgo 25Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Blake Martin run for 2 yds to the SnDgo 27Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+8
100.0%
Anthony Lawrence pass complete to Jacob Arnell for 8 yds to the SnDgo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Anthony Lawrence pass incomplete to Justin PriestSimilar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Anthony Lawrence pass incomplete to Zack HollandSimilar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Jereke Armstrong run for no gain to the SnDgo 35Similar
Q4 1:19
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Ryan Belden punt for 38 yds, downed at the SDSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 39 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+32
100.0%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Rashaad Penny for 32 yds to the SnDgo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
100.0%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Rashaad Penny for 7 yds to the SnDgo 34Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 3
OPP 34
0
100.0%
Marcus Stamps run for no gain to the SnDgo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 2:53
Donny Hageman 36 yd FG GOOD
+0.9
FG · Q2 4:53
Donny Hageman 33 yd FG GOOD
+0.8
FG · Q3 0:18
Jack Flatau 23 yd FG GOOD
-0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com