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BOIS

Boise State 40 at San José State 23

SJSU
2015 · Week 13 · Nov 27, 2015 · CEFCU Stadium
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Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadBOIS aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreBOIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:33 · Brett Rypien pass complete to Alec Dhaenens for 4 yds to the SJSt 28 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 75Home team on offense+1.3Pregame prior−11.0Score differential+0.3Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:33: Kenny Potter pass complete to Billy Freeman for 35 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK) — SJSU win probability +10.1 pts (now 50%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:51: Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — BOIS win probability +18.8 pts (now 74%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:05: Jeremy McNichols run for 88 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — BOIS win probability +21.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:29: Hansell Wilson 13 Yd pass from Kenny Potter (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — SJSU win probability +8.3 pts (now 18%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:21: Jeremy McNichols run for 19 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — BOIS win probability +8.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9BOIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00SJSU 4th & 13 at BOIS 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    26.8%−<0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:08BOIS 4th & 6 at BOIS 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.7%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:55SJSU 4th & 3 at BOIS 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.8%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    29.7%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:15SJSU 4th & 18 at BOIS 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−1.5
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    29.2%−3.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:15BOIS 4th & 3 at BOIS 39, up 3
    Close callPunted · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:33SJSU 4th & 6 at BOIS 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    35.7%−0.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    34.5%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:33BOIS 4th & 2 at SJSU 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    55.9%−1.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    54.6%−2.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00BOIS 4th & 4 at SJSU 8, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.7%−0.6
    90% to make
    Punt
    49.2%−7.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:55BOIS 4th & 18 at SJSU 46, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−2.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    53.5%−2.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:18SJSU 4th & 10 at SJSU 30, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00SJSU 4th & 5 at BOIS 49, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:37BOIS 4th & 2 at SJSU 14, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.8%−1.0
    84% to make
    Punt
    84.1%−7.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:37SJSU 4th & 4 at SJSU 48, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.3%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:08SJSU 4th & 11 at BOIS 47, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:55SJSU 4th & 3 at BOIS 3, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    3.2%−1.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−2.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3BOIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q2 14:56BOIS Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    68.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:33SJSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:51BOIS Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:05BOIS Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:29SJSU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    15.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    14.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:21BOIS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:55SJSU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:15BOIS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 39 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+42
30.6%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 42 yds to the BoiSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-7
30.6%
Kenny Potter sacked by Tyler Horn for a loss of 7 yards to the SJSt 49 Kenny Potter fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 28
OWN 49
+9
30.6%
Kenny Potter run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 19
OPP 42
+11
30.6%
Kenny Potter run for 11 yds to the BoiSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 31
-5
30.6%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 13
OPP 36
0
30.6%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
31.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 2 yds to the BoiSt 10Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+4
31.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 4 yds to the BoiSt 14Similar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 4
OWN 14
+3
32.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 3 yds to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q1 12:08
4TH & 1
OWN 17
-5
32.1%
BOISE ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 12Similar
Q1 12:08
4TH & 6
OWN 12
0
32.1%
Sean Wale punt for 58 yds , Tyler Ervin returns for no gain to the SJSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3FG
7 plays · 67 yds · 3:2733% → 35%
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+40
32.8%
Tyler Ervin run for 40 yds to the BoiSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
33.3%
Tyler Ervin run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+21
33.3%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Billy Freeman for 21 yds to the BoiSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
33.3%
Tyler Ervin run for no gain to the BoiSt 7Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
33.3%
Kenny Potter sacked by Kamalei Correa for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 8Similar
Q1 10:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
33.2%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 5 yds to the BoiSt 3Similar
Q1 6:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
35.2%
Austin Lopez 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 4TD
17 plays · 84 yds · 6:5865% → 66%
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
35.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 7 yds to the BoiSt 23Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+9
35.0%
Jeremy McNichols run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
35.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Holden Huff for 5 yds to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+5
34.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 5 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
34.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for no gain to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-5
34.8%
BOISE ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 15
OWN 37
+2
35.2%
Thomas Sperbeck run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 13
OWN 39
+13
35.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 13 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
34.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 11 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
34.4%
Jeremy McNichols run for 8 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+3
34.1%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the SJSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
34.1%
Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the SJSt 24Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+9
34.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Holden Huff for 9 yds to the SJSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
34.1%
Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the SJSt 11Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 6
OPP 11
-1
34.1%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 12Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+12
33.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Holden Huff for 12 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5MISSED FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 3:4135% → 36%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
35.4%
Tyler Ervin run for 5 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
36.6%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for no gain to the SJSt 40Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+15
36.0%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 15 yds to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+32
37.0%
Hansell Wilson run for 32 yds to the BoiSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-4
37.5%
Kenny Potter run for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 14
OPP 17
-4
37.2%
Tyler Ervin run for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 18
OPP 21
0
35.8%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Hansell WilsonSimilar
Q2 11:15
4TH & 18
OPP 21
+38
35.8%
Austin Lopez 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
35.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 23Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+7
35.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 7 yds to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+2
35.4%
Brett Rypien run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
35.4%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
35.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 3 yds to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+4
35.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Kelsey Young for 4 yds to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q2 11:15
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
36.1%
Sean Wale punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tyler Ervin at the SJSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7TD
14 plays · 82 yds · 5:4337% → 50%
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
36.8%
ERVIN, Tyler rush up middle for 2 yards to the SJ20 (NANCE, Armand), PENALTY BSU offside (FRAZIER, Jabril) 5 yards to the SJ23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 5
OWN 23
+1
37.2%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 1 yd to the SJSt 24Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 4
OWN 24
-1
37.2%
Tyler Ervin run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 23Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+8
36.0%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 8 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+19
37.2%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Billy Freeman for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
50
+1
39.2%
Kenny Potter run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+6
39.3%
Malik Roberson run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 3
OPP 43
-5
39.1%
POTTER, Kenny rush right for 5 yards to the BSU38 (JAMES, C.), PENALTY SJ illegal formation 5 yards to the BSU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+9
38.5%
Kenny Potter run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
39.5%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tim Crawley, broken up by Chanceller JamesSimilar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+1
39.4%
Tyler Ervin run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 38Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+3
38.8%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 3 yds to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q2 2:33
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+35
49.8%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Billy Freeman for 35 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8FG
18 plays · 67 yds · 2:3351% → 55%
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
48.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Kelsey Young for 18 yds to the BoiSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
46.9%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+2
47.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 2 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q2 2:33
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+15
47.8%
RYPIEN, Brett deep left pass incomplete to SPERBECK, T. (CHACHERE, Andre), PENALTY SJ pass interference (CHACHERE, Andre) 15 yards to the SJ40, 1ST DOWN BSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
45.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 8 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 2
OPP 32
0
44.7%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q2 2:33
3RD & 2
OPP 32
0
46.0%
Jeremy McNichols run for no gain to the SJSt 32Similar
Q2 2:33
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+4
47.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alec Dhaenens for 4 yds to the SJSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
47.6%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+14
47.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 14 yds to the SJSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
47.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
47.6%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas Sperbeck, broken up by Andre ChachereSimilar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+6
49.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 6 yds to the SJSt 8Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+25
45.3%
Tyler Rausa 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:0054% → 52%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
46.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+13
46.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 13 yds to the BoiSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+19
44.4%
Kelsey Young run for 19 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
43.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for no gain to the SJSt 38Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-5
43.7%
RYPIEN, Brett left pass complete to SPERBECK, T. for 14 yards to the SJ24 (WALLACE, Clevel), PENALTY BSU illegal formation 5 yards to the SJ43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 15
OPP 43
0
45.1%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 15
OPP 43
-3
46.2%
Brett Rypien sacked by Dominic Barnes for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 46Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 18
OPP 46
0
47.8%
Sean Wale punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0049% → 47%
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
49.2%
Kenny Potter run for 9 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+1
51.1%
Tyler Ervin run for 1 yd to the SJSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
49.5%
Kenny Potter run for 2 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
49.6%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tyler ErvinSimilar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 8
OWN 32
-15
48.2%
POTTER, Kenny right pass complete to HOLMES, Justin for 10 yards to the SJ42 (DEAYON, Donte), PENALTY SJ pass interference (HOLMES, Justin) 15 yards to the SJ17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 23
OWN 17
+13
47.4%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Malik Roberson for 13 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
Q3 12:18
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
46.8%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 67 yds, downed at the BoiSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11TD
15 plays · 97 yds · 6:4150% → 74%
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
50.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 8Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+6
50.9%
Jeremy McNichols run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+13
50.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 13 yds to the BoiSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
49.6%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Holden HuffSimilar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+21
50.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 21 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+19
46.5%
Thomas Sperbeck run for 19 yds to the SJSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
44.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd to the SJSt 32Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 9
OPP 32
-2
44.9%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 34 Jeremy McNichols fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Mario YakooSimilar
Q3 9:32
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+11
47.2%
Ryan Wolpin run for 11 yds to the SJSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
44.5%
Brett Rypien run for 5 yds to the SJSt 18Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 5
OPP 18
-1
44.5%
Ryan Wolpin run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 19Similar
Q3 9:32
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+11
45.9%
RYPIEN, Brett deep left pass incomplete to SPERBECK, T., PENALTY SJ pass interference (PRUITT, Jimmy) 11 yards to the SJ8, 1ST DOWN BSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
44.5%
Thomas Stuart run for no gain to the SJSt 8Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
44.5%
Thomas Stuart run for 3 yds to the SJSt 5Similar
Q3 2:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
25.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 2:4632% → 33%
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
32.1%
POTTER, Kenny deep pass incomplete to WILSON, Hansell (DEAYON, Donte), PENALTY BSU pass interference (DEAYON, Donte) 15 yards to the SJ34, 1ST DOWN SJ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
32.8%
Tyler Ervin run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 33Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+2
32.1%
Malik Roberson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q3 2:46
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+11
31.3%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 11 yds to the SJSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
35.5%
Kenny Potter run for no gain to the SJSt 46Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
33.8%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 3 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+2
34.8%
Kenny Potter run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
33.4%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Donte Deayon at the BoiSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13TD
1 play · 88 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+88
12.3%
Jeremy McNichols run for 88 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14INT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
15.8%
Kenny Potter sacked by Justin Taimatuia for a loss of 6 yards to the SJSt 19Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+13
15.4%
Kenny Potter run for 13 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
15.8%
Kenny Potter pass intercepted Ben Weaver return for no gain to the SJSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 15FG
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:5691% → 93%
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
9.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 8 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+7
8.6%
Jeremy McNichols run for 7 yds to the SJSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
8.6%
Chaz Anderson run for 8 yds to the SJSt 14Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 2
OPP 14
0
8.6%
Brett Rypien run for no gain to the SJSt 14Similar
Q4 12:33
3RD & 2
OPP 14
0
8.9%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Alec Dhaenens, broken up by William OssaiSimilar
Q4 10:37
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+31
6.6%
Tyler Rausa 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:088% → 18%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
7.9%
Kenny Potter run for 7 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
8.4%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 10 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
8.7%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Billy FreemanSimilar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+6
8.3%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 6 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
8.7%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Billy FreemanSimilar
Q4 10:37
4TH & 4
OWN 48
+17
8.5%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 17 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
9.7%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Billy Freeman for 12 yds to the BoiSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
10.0%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tyler ErvinSimilar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+10
9.6%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 10 yds to the BoiSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
18.0%
Hansell Wilson 13 Yd pass from Kenny Potter (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 17TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 2:0387% → 96%
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+34
12.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for 34 yds to the SJSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
11.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for no gain to the SJSt 25Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+6
12.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for 6 yds to the SJSt 19Similar
Q4 6:21
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+19
3.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 19 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18TD
18 plays · 83 yds · 3:214% → 6%
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+16
4.3%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Chris Kearney for 16 yds to the SJSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
4.4%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Justin HolmesSimilar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+4
4.4%
Tyler Ervin run for 4 yds to the SJSt 37Similar
Q4 6:16
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+17
4.5%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Hansell Wilson for 17 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-6
5.0%
Kenny Potter sacked by Dereck Boles for a loss of 6 yards to the SJSt 48Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 16
OWN 48
+8
3.2%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Billy Freeman for 8 yds to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q4 5:08
3RD & 8
OPP 44
-3
3.3%
Kenny Potter sacked by Jabril Frazier for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q4 5:08
4TH & 11
OPP 47
+16
3.2%
Kenny Potter run for 16 yds to the BoiSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+14
3.8%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 14 yds to the BoiSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+12
3.9%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tyler Ervin for 12 yds to the BoiSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
3.9%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Justin Holmes, broken up by Jonathan MoxeySimilar
Q4 5:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
3.9%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tim Crawley, broken up by Chanceller JamesSimilar
Q4 5:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
3.7%
Kenny Potter run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 3Similar
Q4 2:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
6.3%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 19TD
3 plays · 44 yds · 0:4094% → 99%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
5.7%
Kelsey Young run for 10 yds to the SJSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
1.5%
Kelsey Young run for 34 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 20INT
10 plays · 30 yds · 0:172% → 1%
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
2.1%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Billy FreemanSimilar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+7
2.1%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Billy Freeman for 7 yds to the SJSt 26Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+5
0.8%
Tyler Ervin run for 5 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
0.9%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 8 yds to the SJSt 39Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 2
OWN 39
0
0.9%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Justin HolmesSimilar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+3
0.9%
Kenny Potter run for 3 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
0.9%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Billy Freeman for 7 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 3
OWN 49
0
0.9%
Kenny Potter pass intercepted Joe Martarano return for no gain to the BoiSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 21END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
1.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:05
Jeremy McNichols run for 88 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)
-21.1
TD · Q3 2:51
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)
-18.8
TD · Q2 2:33
Kenny Potter pass complete to Billy Freeman for 35 yds for a TD, (Austin Lopez KICK)
+10.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com