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WYO

Wyoming 27 at Utah State 58

USU
2015 · Week 9 · Oct 30, 2015 · Maverik Stadium
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Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+2.7USU 92.6%Jontrell Rocquemore 14 Yd Return ofBlocked Punt (Brock Warren PATblocked)AWAY 14 - HOME 30 · Q2 0:34
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:34 · Jontrell Rocquemore 14 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Brock Warren PAT blocked)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 73Pregame prior+26.8Home team on offense+11.2Score differential+3.8Garbage-time factor+2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.2Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:04: Devante Mays 2 Yd Run (Brock Warren Kick) — USU win probability +2.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:54: Brian Hill 47 Yd Run (Tristan Bailey Kick) — WYO win probability +3.5 pts (now 12%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:34: Jontrell Rocquemore 14 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Brock Warren PAT blocked) — USU win probability +2.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:09: Kent Myers 5 Yd Run (Brock Warren Kick) — USU win probability +3.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:25: Nick Smith 3 Yd Run (Tristan Bailey Kick) — WYO win probability +4.7 pts (now 6%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3WYO made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 7:16WYO 4th & 1 at USU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    7.9%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    7.5%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q2 11:06WYO 4th & 1 at USU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    9.8%−0.7
    56% to make
    Punt
    9.4%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 1:39USU 4th & 5 at WYO 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.2%
    92% to make
    Punt
    85.3%−2.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:34WYO 4th & 3 at WYO 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  5. Q3 10:51USU 4th & 1 at WYO 25, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    93.2%−0.9
    66% to make
    Punt
    90.5%−3.5
    average punt
  6. Q3 6:25WYO 4th & 9 at USU 47, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 1:25WYO 4th & 2 at USU 3, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q4 10:41WYO 4th & 12 at WYO 23, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  9. Q4 7:49WYO 4th & 10 at USU 48, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:17WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 39, down 37
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:04USU 4th & 2 at USU 22, up 37
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8WYO made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 12:45USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:43WYO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:08USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:04USU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:54WYO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:34USU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:09USU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:25WYO Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:34USU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 9:52USU Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 6:34USU Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 0:16WYO Touchdown, down 31 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0493% → 93%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
93.0%
Kent Myers pass complete to Chris Copier for 35 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+23
92.9%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 23 yds to the Wyom 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+14
92.8%
Devante Mays run for 11 yds to the Wyom 6 for a 1ST down WYOMING Penalty, Personal Foul (3 Yards) to the Wyom 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
92.8%
Devante Mays run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 8Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
92.8%
Wyatt Houston 8 Yd pass from Kent Myers (Brock Warren Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:567% → 10%
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.7%
Nick Smith run for 4 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
92.6%
Brian Hill run for 12 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
92.5%
Nick Smith run for 1 yd to the Wyom 42Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+2
92.3%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+8
92.3%
Nick Smith pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 8 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
92.1%
Nick Smith run for 12 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
92.0%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the UthSt 33Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+4
91.8%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q1 7:43
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+2
91.7%
Nick Smith run for 2 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q1 7:16
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+2
91.7%
Nick Smith run for 2 yds to the UthSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
91.4%
Brian Hill run for 12 yds to the UthSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
91.3%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the UthSt 9Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+9
89.9%
Jake Maulhardt 9 Yd pass from Nick Smith (Tristan Bailey Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 4:2290% → 91%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
90.4%
Justen Hervey run for 3 yds to the UthSt 25Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+11
90.2%
Kent Myers run for 11 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
90.2%
UTAH ST Penalty, False Start (Braelon Roberts) to the UthSt 31Similar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 15
OWN 31
0
90.0%
Kent Myers run for no gain to the UthSt 31Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+11
89.8%
Kent Myers pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 11 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+7
89.8%
Kent Myers pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 7 yds to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+24
89.9%
Kent Myers pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 24 yds to the Wyom 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
90.0%
Devante Mays run for 13 yds to the Wyom 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
89.9%
Devante Mays run for 3 yds to the Wyom 11Similar
Q1 1:08
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+11
91.3%
Devante Mays 11 Yd Run (Brock Warren Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4DOWNS
11 plays · 44 yds · 4:559% → 11%
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
90.6%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 26Similar
Q1 0:24
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
90.5%
Nick Smith pass incomplete to Jacob HollisterSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
90.6%
Nick Smith pass complete to James Price for 10 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
90.2%
Nick Smith run for 4 yds to the Wyom 40Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+4
89.8%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+17
89.7%
Brian Hill run for 17 yds to the UthSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
89.4%
Brian Hill run for 3 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+2
89.1%
Nick Smith run for 2 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q2 11:46
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+4
89.1%
Kellen Overstreet run for 4 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q2 11:06
4TH & 1
OPP 30
-1
89.1%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 1:5590% → 93%
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
89.9%
Devante Mays run for 9 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+40
90.4%
Kent Myers pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 25 yds to the UTAHST 35 for a 1ST down WYOMING Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Wyom 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
90.4%
Kent Myers pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 9 yds to the Wyom 11Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+9
90.3%
Devante Mays run for 9 yds to the Wyom 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.0%
Devante Mays 2 Yd Run (Brock Warren Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:018% → 12%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
92.0%
Brian Hill run for 17 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
92.4%
Nick Smith run for 6 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+5
92.0%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the UthSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
88.5%
Brian Hill 47 Yd Run (Tristan Bailey Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7FG
13 plays · 60 yds · 5:0990% → 90%
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
89.9%
Devante Mays run for 14 yds to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
90.4%
Devante Mays run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 9
50
+3
90.2%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q2 5:04
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+9
89.9%
Kent Myers pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 9 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
90.2%
Devante Mays run for 14 yds to the Wyom 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
90.3%
Kent Myers pass complete to Jaren Colston-Green for 20 yds to the Wyom 4 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Wyom 14 Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+4
90.3%
Devante Mays run for 4 yds to the Wyom 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
90.2%
Kent Myers run for 3 yds to the Wyom 7Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
89.7%
Kent Myers run for 2 yds to the Wyom 5Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
89.1%
Kent Myers run for no gain to the Wyom 5Similar
Q2 1:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
89.8%
Brock Warren 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8PUNT TD
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:5910% → 7%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
90.0%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 26Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
90.0%
Nick Smith run for no gain to the Wyom 26Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+6
90.1%
Kellen Overstreet run for 6 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+14
92.6%
Jontrell Rocquemore 14 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Brock Warren PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
92.5%
Brian Hill run for 7 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:497% → 7%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
92.7%
Nick Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-3
92.8%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 21Similar
Q3 13:56
3RD & 13
OWN 21
-7
93.0%
Nick Smith sacked by Torrey Green for a loss of 7 yards to the Wyom 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11TD
8 plays · 46 yds · 3:0394% → 98%
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
93.8%
Devante Mays run for 4 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+8
93.8%
Kent Myers run for 8 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
93.9%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Tyler FoxSimilar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+6
93.8%
Devante Mays run for 6 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+3
93.7%
Kent Myers run for 3 yds to the Wyom 25Similar
Q3 10:51
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+8
93.8%
Devante Mays run for 8 yds to the Wyom 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+12
94.3%
Kent Myers run for 12 yds to the Wyom 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.8%
Kent Myers 5 Yd Run (Brock Warren Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:383% → 2%
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.5%
Nick Smith run for 5 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
97.4%
Brian Hill run for 6 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
97.6%
Brian Hill run for 16 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
97.7%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the UthSt 47Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 9
OPP 47
0
97.7%
Nick Smith run for no gain to the UthSt 47Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 9
OPP 47
0
97.8%
Nick Smith pass complete to Brian Hill for no gain to the UthSt 47Similar
Q3 6:25
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
97.8%
Ethan Wood punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UthSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13FUMBLE
4 plays · 22 yds · 1:0498% → 98%
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.9%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Andrew RodriguezSimilar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
97.9%
Devante Mays run for 11 yds to the UthSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
98.0%
Devante Mays run for 9 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+2
98.4%
LaJuan Hunt run for 2 yds to the UthSt 42 LaJuan Hunt fumbled, recovered by WyomSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14TD
8 plays · 42 yds · 3:442% → 6%
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
97.8%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the UthSt 37Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+5
97.9%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the UthSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
97.9%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the UthSt 28Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+17
98.0%
Nick Smith pass complete to Justice Murphy for 17 yds to the UthSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
98.0%
Nick Smith run for 3 yds to the UthSt 8Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+5
98.1%
Nick Smith run for 5 yds to the UthSt 3Similar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 2
OPP 3
0
98.6%
Nick Smith run for no gain to the UthSt 3Similar
Q3 1:25
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+3
93.8%
Nick Smith 3 Yd Run (Tristan Bailey Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 3:4496% → 99%
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+14
95.8%
Kent Myers pass complete to Brandon Swindall for 14 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
96.0%
Devante Mays run for 1 yd to the UthSt 37Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+17
96.0%
Kent Myers pass complete to Brandon Swindall for 17 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
96.2%
Kent Myers run for 5 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q4 14:28
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+7
96.1%
Devante Mays run for 7 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
96.4%
Devante Mays run for 8 yds to the Wyom 26Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+8
96.4%
Devante Mays run for 8 yds to the Wyom 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
96.4%
Kent Myers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 19Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 11
OPP 19
0
96.8%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Tyler FoxSimilar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 11
OPP 19
+19
99.1%
Brandon Swindall 19 Yd pass from Kent Myers (Brock Warren Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:471% → 1%
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.0%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
99.0%
Nick Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 28Similar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
99.1%
WYOMING Penalty, False Start (Charlie Renfree) to the Wyom 23Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
99.1%
Nick Smith pass incomplete to Jacob HollisterSimilar
Q4 10:41
4TH & 12
OWN 23
-3
99.1%
Ethan Wood punt for 39 yds , Andrew Rodriguez returns for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 0:4099% → 100%
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+28
99.1%
Devante Mays run for 28 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
99.2%
Kennedy Williams run for 12 yds to the Wyom 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
99.9%
Wyatt Houston 25 Yd pass from Kent Myers (Brock Warren Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 1:490% → 0%
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
99.9%
Brian Hill run for 7 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Nick Smith pass complete to Nico Evans for 4 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+18
99.9%
Brian Hill run for 18 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Nick Smith pass incomplete to Jacob HollisterSimilar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Nick Smith pass incomplete to Nico EvansSimilar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Nick Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:49
4TH & 10
OPP 48
+20
99.9%
Ethan Wood punt for 41 yds , Andrew Rodriguez returns for 20 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 1:09100% → 100%
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
99.9%
Damion Hobbs pass complete to Zach Van Leeuwen for 16 yds to the UthSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
99.9%
Tonny Lindsey run for 6 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+17
99.9%
Tonny Lindsey run for 17 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
99.9%
Jaren Colston-Green 34 Yd pass from Damion Hobbs (Brock Warren Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:040% → 0%
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
Nick Smith pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 5 yds to the Wyom 36Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Nick Smith pass incomplete to Jacob HollisterSimilar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+3
99.9%
Joshua Tapscott run for 3 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q4 5:17
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Ethan Wood punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Andrew Rodriguez at the UthSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:13100% → 100%
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
99.9%
UTAH ST Penalty, False Start (KJ Uluave) to the UthSt 9Similar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 15
OWN 9
+2
99.9%
Damion Hobbs run for 2 yds to the UthSt 11Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 13
OWN 11
+4
99.9%
Justen Hervey run for 4 yds to the UthSt 15Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 9
OWN 15
+7
99.9%
Justen Hervey run for 7 yds to the UthSt 22Similar
Q4 3:04
4TH & 2
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Aaron Dalton punt for 38 yds, downed at the Wyom 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 22TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 2:410% → 0%
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
100.0%
Nick Smith pass complete to James Price for 6 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+3
100.0%
Kellen Overstreet run for 3 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q4 2:03
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+7
100.0%
Nick Smith run for 7 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
100.0%
Nick Smith pass complete to Joseph Parker for 16 yds to the UthSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Nick Smith pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+15
100.0%
UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Bryant Hayes) to the UthSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
99.9%
Nick Smith run for 5 yds to the UthSt 8Similar
Q4 0:16
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Jake Maulhardt 8 Yd pass from Nick Smith (Tristan Bailey PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
100.0%
Tonny Lindsey run for 16 yds to the UthSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:25
Nick Smith 3 Yd Run (Tristan Bailey Kick)
-4.7
TD · Q2 6:54
Brian Hill 47 Yd Run (Tristan Bailey Kick)
-3.5
TD · Q3 10:09
Kent Myers 5 Yd Run (Brock Warren Kick)
+3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com