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USU

Utah State 14 at San Diego State 48

SDSU
2015 · Week 8 · Oct 23, 2015 · Qualcomm Stadium
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Win probability · SDSU
modelSDSU aheadUSU aheadconfidence bandkey playSDSU scoreUSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:35 · Tanner Blain punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jalen Davis at the UthSt 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Pregame prior−8.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:51: Donnel Pumphrey 4 Yd Run (Donny Hageman Kick) — SDSU win probability +11.8 pts (now 84%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:14: Hunter Sharp 45 Yd pass from Kent Myers (Brock Warren Kick) — USU win probability +11.4 pts (now 32%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:36: Donnel Pumphrey 62 Yd Run (Donny Hageman Kick) — SDSU win probability +11.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 1:29: Donny Hageman 21 Yd Field Goal — SDSU win probability +7.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:17: Devante Mays 26 Yd Run (Brock Warren Kick) — USU win probability +5.8 pts (now 13%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SDSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8USU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 13:35SDSU 4th & 1 at SDSU 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:02USU 4th & 5 at USU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:30USU 4th & 5 at USU 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:53SDSU 4th & 12 at USU 24, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%−1.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    48.5%−4.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:29SDSU 4th & 3 at USU 4, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.9%−0.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    81.3%−5.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00USU 4th & 1 at USU 39, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.0%−2.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:41SDSU 4th & 8 at SDSU 27, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:44USU 4th & 1 at USU 40, down 20
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%−2.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:39SDSU 4th & 8 at SDSU 15, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:43USU 4th & 2 at SDSU 47, down 20
    Close callPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:57SDSU 4th & 3 at USU 40, up 20
    Close callPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    95.5%−1.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:09SDSU 4th & 10 at USU 19, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    94.6%−2.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:42USU 4th & 10 at USU 31, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:08USU 4th & 10 at USU 39, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:09USU 4th & 8 at USU 46, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:54SDSU 4th & 2 at SDSU 18, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SDSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6USU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:35SDSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:52SDSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:51SDSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:14USU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:36SDSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:17USU Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:47SDSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:04SDSU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SDSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1342% → 42%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
41.6%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 9 yds to the SDSt 37Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 1
OWN 37
0
41.8%
Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Eric JudgeSimilar
Q1 14:13
3RD & 1
OWN 37
0
41.8%
Donnel Pumphrey run for no gain to the SDSt 37Similar
Q1 13:35
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
42.0%
Tanner Blain punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jalen Davis at the UthSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2158% → 57%
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
42.0%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 5 yds to the UthSt 22Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 5
OWN 22
0
42.2%
Devante Mays run for no gain to the UthSt 22Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 5
OWN 22
0
42.5%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Hunter SharpSimilar
Q1 12:02
4TH & 5
OWN 22
0
42.7%
Aaron Dalton punt for 56 yds, downed at the SDSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 2:2543% → 46%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+17
42.5%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the SDSt 24 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Gasetoto Schuster) to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
42.9%
Rashaad Penny run for 12 yds to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
43.3%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 5 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+26
43.6%
Maxwell Smith pass complete to Jemond Hazely for 26 yds to the UthSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
43.8%
Donnel Pumphrey run for no gain to the UthSt 18Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
44.1%
Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Donnel PumphreySimilar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+18
45.8%
Mikah Holder 18 Yd pass from Maxwell Smith (Donny Hageman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · -11 yds · 0:0655% → 55%
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.3%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-11
45.4%
Kent Myers sacked by Alex Barrett for a loss of 11 yards to the UthSt 14 Kent Myers fumbled, recovered by SDSt Calvin Munson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 5TD
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:2846% → 49%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
46.2%
Chase Price run for 13 yds to the UthSt 1 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
49.1%
Maxwell Smith 1 Yd Run (Donny Hageman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:0952% → 50%
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
48.1%
Devante Mays run for 5 yds to the UthSt 18Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 5
OWN 18
0
49.1%
Kent Myers run for no gain to the UthSt 18Similar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 5
OWN 18
0
49.7%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:30
4TH & 5
OWN 18
0
49.9%
Aaron Dalton punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Damontae Kazee at the SDSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 7FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 4:2051% → 58%
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+21
50.8%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 21 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
51.8%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 9 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+6
52.5%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 6 yds to the UthSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
52.8%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 5 yds to the UthSt 28Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 5
OPP 28
0
53.4%
Donnel Pumphrey run for no gain to the UthSt 28Similar
Q1 5:01
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+6
53.9%
Maxwell Smith pass complete to Eric Judge for 6 yds to the UthSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
54.7%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the UthSt 19Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+3
55.6%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the UthSt 16Similar
Q1 3:12
3RD & 4
OPP 16
-8
55.8%
Maxwell Smith sacked by Torrey Green for a loss of 8 yards to the UthSt 24Similar
Q1 2:53
4TH & 12
OPP 24
+41
57.5%
Donny Hageman 41 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 8INT
12 plays · 58 yds · 4:4843% → 38%
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
57.4%
LaJuan Hunt run for 4 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
57.7%
Kent Myers run for 9 yds to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
58.0%
Devante Mays run for 8 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+5
57.8%
Mays, Devante rush for 4 yards to the 50 yardline, PENALTY SANDIEGOST offside 5 yards to the SANDIEGOST49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAHST.Similar
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
58.5%
LaJuan Hunt run for 4 yds to the SDSt 45Similar
Q1 0:21
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+1
59.5%
Devante Mays run for 1 yd to the SDSt 44Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+5
61.0%
Justen Hervey run for 5 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
61.1%
Devante Mays run for 6 yds to the SDSt 33Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+16
60.6%
Devante Mays run for 1 yd to the SDSt 32 for a 1ST down SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Alex Barrett) to the SDSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
62.0%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the SDSt 17Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+8
62.2%
Kent Myers pass intercepted Malik Smith return for 8 yds to the SDSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 9TD
13 plays · 77 yds · 5:5466% → 84%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
66.3%
Chase Price run for 4 yds to the SDSt 27Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+5
66.9%
Maxwell Smith pass complete to Jemond Hazely for 5 yds to the SDSt 32Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+18
67.3%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Nick Vigil) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
50
+1
69.2%
Chase Price run for 1 yd to the UthSt 49Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+15
69.8%
Chase Price run for 15 yds to the UthSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
70.9%
Chase Price run for 8 yds to the UthSt 26Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+7
71.2%
Chase Price run for 7 yds to the UthSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
72.3%
Dakota Gordon run for 7 yds to the UthSt 12Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+2
72.6%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the UthSt 10Similar
Q2 7:48
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+5
71.1%
UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UthSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
71.9%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the UthSt 4Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
83.7%
Donnel Pumphrey 4 Yd Run (Donny Hageman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 1:2421% → 32%
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
79.2%
LaJuan Hunt run for 2 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+2
79.8%
Kent Myers run for 2 yds to the UthSt 31Similar
Q2 5:50
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+24
79.7%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 9 yds to the SDSt 40 for a 1ST down SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the SDSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
68.4%
Hunter Sharp 45 Yd pass from Kent Myers (Brock Warren Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 11TD
3 plays · 67 yds · 0:2574% → 86%
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
74.0%
Rashaad Penny run for 5 yds to the SDSt 38Similar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+62
85.8%
Donnel Pumphrey 62 Yd Run (Donny Hageman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 12FUMBLE
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
81.9%
Kent Myers run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 22 Kent Myers fumbled, recovered by SDStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 13FG
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:2687% → 95%
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
86.5%
Chase Price run for 4 yds to the UthSt 18Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+7
86.5%
Chase Price run for 7 yds to the UthSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
87.4%
Chase Price run for 2 yds to the UthSt 9Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+6
87.6%
Chase Price run for 6 yds to the UthSt 3Similar
Q2 2:10
3RD & 2
OPP 3
-1
87.3%
Chase Price run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 4Similar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+21
94.5%
Donny Hageman 21 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 14END OF HALF
8 plays · 36 yds · 1:153% → 3%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
96.9%
Kent Myers pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 11 yds to the UthSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
95.3%
Kent Myers pass complete to Kennedy Williams for 5 yds to the UthSt 35Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+4
95.1%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 4 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 1
OWN 39
0
96.3%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the UthSt 39Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+16
97.0%
Kent Myers run for 16 yds to the SDSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:319% → 13%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
91.1%
Devante Mays run for 6 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
92.1%
Devante Mays run for 3 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q3 13:54
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
91.2%
Devante Mays run for 4 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
91.8%
Myers, Kent pass incomplete to Robinson, Devonte, PENALTY SANDIEGOST pass interference 15 yards to the SANDIEGOST37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAHST.Similar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
93.9%
Kent Myers run for 5 yds to the SDSt 32Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+6
92.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for 6 yds to the SDSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
87.0%
Devante Mays 26 Yd Run (Brock Warren Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:3592% → 92%
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
92.1%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 20Similar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
92.0%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 4 yds to the SDSt 24Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
92.2%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the SDSt 27Similar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
92.4%
Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Eric JudgeSimilar
Q3 10:41
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+4
92.1%
Tanner Blain punt for 36 yds , Andrew Rodriguez returns for 4 yds to the UthSt 31 UTAH ST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the UthSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4610% → 8%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
90.2%
Devante Mays run for 1 yd to the UthSt 32Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+3
91.0%
Kent Myers pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 3 yds to the UthSt 35Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+5
91.5%
Kent Myers run for 5 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q3 8:44
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
91.8%
Aaron Dalton punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Damontae Kazee at the SDSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:5594% → 94%
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
93.7%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the SDSt 16Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+5
94.1%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 5 yds to the SDSt 21Similar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 2
OWN 21
-6
94.6%
Rashaad Penny run for a loss of 6 yards to the SDSt 15Similar
Q3 6:39
4TH & 8
OWN 15
0
94.4%
Tanner Blain punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Andrew Rodriguez at the UthSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:267% → 6%
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
93.4%
Justen Hervey run for no gain to the UthSt 45Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+6
93.8%
Devante Mays run for 6 yds to the SDSt 49Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+2
94.1%
Damion Hobbs pass complete to Tonny Lindsey for 2 yds to the SDSt 47Similar
Q3 4:43
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
94.3%
Aaron Dalton punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Damontae Kazee at the SDSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 20FUMBLE
7 plays · 47 yds · 3:2895% → 97%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
95.0%
Chase Price run for 3 yds to the SDSt 16Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+3
95.2%
Chase Price run for 3 yds to the SDSt 19Similar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+34
95.5%
Maxwell Smith pass complete to Dakota Gordon for 34 yds to the UthSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
95.9%
Chase Price run for 4 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+4
96.2%
Chase Price run for 4 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
Q3 1:39
3RD & 2
OPP 39
-1
95.5%
Chase Price run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 40Similar
Q3 0:57
4TH & 3
OPP 40
+3
96.8%
Tanner Blain punt for 24 yds , Jalen Davis returns for 3 yds to the UthSt 19 Jalen Davis fumbled, recovered by SDSt Marcus StampsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 21MISSED FG
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:4197% → 98%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
97.2%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the UthSt 18Similar
Q3 0:08
2ND & 9
OPP 18
-5
97.4%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (Kwayde Miller) to the UthSt 23Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 14
OPP 23
0
97.5%
Maxwell Smith pass incomplete to Mikah HolderSimilar
Q4 14:28
3RD & 14
OPP 23
+4
97.7%
Maxwell Smith pass complete to Jemond Hazely for 4 yds to the UthSt 19Similar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+36
97.6%
Donny Hageman 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:142% → 2%
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
97.9%
Kent Myers pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 11 yds to the UthSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
97.9%
Kent Myers run for no gain to the UthSt 31Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
98.1%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Andrew RodriguezSimilar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
98.2%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to LaJuan HuntSimilar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 10
OWN 31
0
98.2%
Aaron Dalton punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 3:4698% → 100%
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
98.3%
Chase Price run for 3 yds to the SDSt 44Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+8
98.4%
Chase Price run for 8 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
98.4%
Chase Price run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 49Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+9
98.5%
Dakota Gordon run for 9 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q4 9:48
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+30
98.5%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 30 yds to the UthSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
98.7%
Dakota Gordon run for 2 yds to the UthSt 8Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
98.7%
Chase Price run for 7 yds to the UthSt 1Similar
Q4 8:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Chase Price 1 Yd Run (Donny Hageman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 24FUMBLE
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:280% → 0%
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Wyatt HoustonSimilar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:24
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Braelon RobertsSimilar
Q4 8:08
4TH & 10
OWN 39
-11
99.9%
Kent Myers run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 28 Kent Myers fumbled, recovered by UthSt UTAH ST Penalty, Illegal Kicking (-10 Yards) to the UthSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 25TD
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:56100% → 100%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
99.9%
Marcus Stamps run for 4 yds to the UthSt 24Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+5
99.9%
Marcus Stamps run for 5 yds to the UthSt 19Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+10
99.9%
Rashaad Penny run for 10 yds to the UthSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
99.9%
Rashaad Penny run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 12Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+5
99.9%
Rashaad Penny run for 5 yds to the UthSt 7Similar
Q4 5:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Rashaad Penny 7 Yd Run (Donny Hageman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:450% → 0%
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Devante Mays run for 8 yds to the UthSt 33Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+11
99.9%
Devante Mays run for 11 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
99.9%
Devante Mays run for 2 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Tyler FoxSimilar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 8
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:09
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Aaron Dalton punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Damontae Kazee at the SDSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:06100% → 100%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
99.9%
Rashaad Penny run for 1 yd to the SDSt 11Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+4
99.9%
Rashaad Penny run for 4 yds to the SDSt 15Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+3
100.0%
Rashaad Penny run for 3 yds to the SDSt 18Similar
Q4 0:54
4TH & 2
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Tanner Blain punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Andrew Rodriguez at the UthSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:400% → 0%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
100.0%
Justen Hervey run for 7 yds to the SDSt 44Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+6
99.9%
Justen Hervey run for 6 yds to the SDSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
100.0%
Kent Myers run for no gain to the SDSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:51
Donnel Pumphrey 4 Yd Run (Donny Hageman Kick)
+11.8
TD · Q2 4:36
Donnel Pumphrey 62 Yd Run (Donny Hageman Kick)
+11.8
TD · Q2 5:14
Hunter Sharp 45 Yd pass from Kent Myers (Brock Warren Kick)
-11.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com