Try the model
BOIS

Boise State 26 at Utah State 52

USU
2015 · Week 7 · Oct 16, 2015 · Maverik Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadBOIS aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreBOIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:32 · Aaron Dalton punt for 30 yds, downed at the BoiSt 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 65Home team on offense+14.3Score differential+10.3Pregame prior−15.3Blowout margin−0.1Garbage-time factor+5.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:54: Hunter Sharp 10 Yd pass from Kent Myers (Brock Warren Kick) — USU win probability +6.6 pts (now 47%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:29: LaJuan Hunt 4 Yd Run (Brock Warren Kick) — USU win probability +10.6 pts (now 60%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:12: Kelsey Young 1 Yd Run (Tyler Rausa Kick) — BOIS win probability +14.9 pts (now 40%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:25: Kent Myers 39 Yd Run (Brock Warren Kick) — USU win probability +18.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:05: Hunter Sharp 21 Yd pass from Kent Myers (Brock Warren Kick) — USU win probability +13.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11BOIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:56USU 4th & 7 at USU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:36BOIS 4th & 5 at USU 29, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.9%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    68.6%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:33USU 4th & 1 at BOIS 2, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.0%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    32.7%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    31.7%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:39BOIS 4th & 12 at BOIS 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−0.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:22USU 4th & 5 at BOIS 34, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.9%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    36.6%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:32USU 4th & 10 at USU 38, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.5%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:20USU 4th & 11 at USU 24, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%−2.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:25BOIS 4th & 3 at USU 45, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    6.3%−0.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    5.6%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:23USU 4th & 2 at USU 46, up 35
    Close callPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:45BOIS 4th & 7 at BOIS 28, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:40USU 4th & 18 at USU 30, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:24BOIS 4th & 16 at BOIS 19, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:51USU 4th & 7 at USU 43, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:31BOIS 4th & 20 at USU 24, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:21USU 4th & 4 at USU 26, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:52USU 4th & 5 at BOIS 16, up 26
    Close callWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%
    81% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:21USU 4th & 2 at BOIS 2, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7BOIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 7:33USU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:54USU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:29USU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:12BOIS Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:25USU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:05USU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:00USU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:02BOIS Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 0:22USU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:09BOIS Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.6%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5628% → 29%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
28.2%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
28.2%
Kent Myers run for 3 yds to the UthSt 28Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
28.5%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:56
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+38
28.5%
Aaron Dalton punt for 44 yds , Shane Williams-Rhodes returns for 38 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 2FG
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5571% → 71%
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
28.6%
UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UthSt 29Similar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 5
OPP 29
-6
28.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Kelsey Young for a loss of 6 yards to the UthSt 35Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+6
28.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 6 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q1 12:41
3RD & 5
OPP 29
0
28.9%
Brett Rypien pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:36
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+46
29.0%
Tyler Rausa 46 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 4:5129% → 33%
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
29.1%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 25Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 14
OWN 25
-1
29.3%
Hunter Sharp run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 24Similar
Q1 11:12
3RD & 15
OWN 24
+51
29.4%
Kent Myers pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 51 yds to the BoiSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
30.4%
Kent Myers run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+16
30.7%
Kent Myers run for 16 yds to the BoiSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
31.1%
Devante Mays run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 5Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+3
31.2%
Devante Mays run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 2Similar
Q1 8:17
3RD & 1
OPP 2
0
31.3%
Devante Mays run for no gain to the BoiSt 2Similar
Q1 7:33
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+2
32.7%
Wyatt Houston 2 Yd pass from Kent Myers (Brock Warren Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:4367% → 66%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
32.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 23Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
33.1%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
33.4%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Kelsey YoungSimilar
Q1 6:39
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
33.8%
Sean Wale punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Hunter Sharp at the UthSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5FG
7 plays · 26 yds · 3:0834% → 38%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
33.6%
Kent Myers pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for no gain to the UthSt 40Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
33.8%
Kent Myers run for 4 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q1 5:17
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+17
34.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to Brandon Swindall for 17 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
35.2%
Kent Myers sacked by Chanceller James for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 11
OPP 40
0
35.5%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:04
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+6
35.0%
Hunter Sharp run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q1 3:22
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+51
37.9%
Jake Thompson 51 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · -14 yds · 0:5962% → 61%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
37.7%
Devan Demas run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 31Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-3
37.5%
Devan Demas run for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q1 2:12
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-17
39.2%
Brett Rypien sacked by Ricky Ali'ifua for a loss of 17 yards to the BoiSt 11 Brett Rypien fumbled, forced by Ricky Ali'ifua, recovered by UthStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:0641% → 47%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
40.7%
Devante Mays run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 12Similar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+2
40.6%
Devante Mays run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 10Similar
Q1 0:54
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+10
47.2%
Hunter Sharp 10 Yd pass from Kent Myers (Brock Warren Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8FUMBLE
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:3354% → 53%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
45.7%
Kelsey Young run for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 22Similar
Q1 0:12
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-7
46.7%
Brett Rypien sacked by Nick Vigil for a loss of 7 yards to the BoiSt 15 Brett Rypien fumbled, recovered by UthStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:3249% → 60%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
49.0%
Kent Myers run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 13Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+9
49.2%
Kent Myers pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 9 yds to the BoiSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
49.7%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
60.3%
LaJuan Hunt 4 Yd Run (Brock Warren Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 10INT
12 plays · 41 yds · 2:5941% → 36%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
59.2%
Kelsey Young run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
60.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 12 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
59.8%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Jake RohSimilar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
60.1%
UTAH ST Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
59.6%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Holden HuffSimilar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+5
61.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 5 yds to the BoiSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
61.2%
Kelsey Young run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 9
50
+12
62.7%
Devan Demas run for 12 yds to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
62.4%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Shane Williams-RhodesSimilar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
63.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Devan Demas for 4 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+9
64.2%
Brett Rypien pass intercepted Torrey Green return for 9 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:3269% → 72%
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
69.3%
Kent Myers run for 1 yd to the UthSt 39Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 9
OWN 39
-5
70.0%
UTAH ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 34Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 14
OWN 34
+4
70.0%
Kent Myers run for 4 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
73.1%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:32
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
72.2%
Aaron Dalton punt for 30 yds, downed at the BoiSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 12INT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:5131% → 27%
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
68.7%
Kelsey Young run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 38Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+3
69.0%
Kelsey Young run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
69.0%
Kelsey Young run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
69.5%
Kelsey Young run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+5
71.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 5 yds to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 4
OWN 49
-5
71.2%
BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+16
72.8%
Brett Rypien pass intercepted Jalen Davis return for 16 yds to the BoiSt 49 Jalen Davis fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Shane Williams-RhodesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:4328% → 40%
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
72.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 8 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+19
72.1%
Kelsey Young run for 4 yds to the UthSt 39 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UthSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
71.6%
Young, Kelsey rush for 5 yards to the UTAHST19, PENALTY UTAHST offside 5 yards to the UTAHST19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 5
OPP 19
0
72.1%
Devan Demas run for no gain to the UthSt 19Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+11
72.5%
Kelsey Young run for 11 yds to the UthSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
73.9%
Kelsey Young run for 3 yds to the UthSt 5Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
74.6%
Kelsey Young run for 4 yds to the UthSt 1Similar
Q2 3:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
59.8%
Kelsey Young 1 Yd Run (Tyler Rausa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:4064% → 66%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
63.6%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 21Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+3
64.3%
Kent Myers run for 3 yds to the UthSt 24Similar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
66.5%
Kent Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:20
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
65.5%
Aaron Dalton punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Shane Williams-Rhodes at the BoiSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0636% → 35%
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
64.2%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
64.8%
Devan Demas run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 46 Devan Demas fumbled, forced by Marwin Evans, recovered by UthStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 16TD
2 plays · 46 yds · 0:3269% → 87%
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
69.1%
Kent Myers pass complete to Devonte Robinson for 7 yds to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+39
87.4%
Kent Myers 39 Yd Run (Brock Warren Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
82.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 5 yds Chaz Anderson fumbled, recovered by UthStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 18TD
1 play · 21 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
95.4%
Hunter Sharp 21 Yd pass from Kent Myers (Brock Warren Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 19END OF HALF TD
10 plays · 41 yds · 1:004% → 3%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
95.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 10 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
95.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 13 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
95.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 7 yds to the UthSt 45Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 3
OPP 45
0
94.9%
Brett Rypien pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 3
OPP 45
0
95.1%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 3
OPP 45
+11
95.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 11 yds to the UthSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
94.3%
Brett Rypien pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
94.4%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+90
97.2%
Marwin Evans 90 Yd Interception Return (Brock Warren Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · 37 yds · 0:304% → 4%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
96.2%
Kelsey Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+38
96.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 38 yds Thomas Sperbeck fumbled, recovered by UthStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4296% → 97%
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
96.3%
Kent Myers run for 3 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+6
97.3%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 6 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 1
OWN 47
-1
97.4%
LaJuan Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 46Similar
Q3 12:23
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
97.4%
Aaron Dalton punt for 51 yds, downed at the BoiSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:102% → 2%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
97.6%
Kelsey Young run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 6Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+19
97.8%
Kelsey Young run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 10 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the BoiSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Holden Huff for 3 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
97.8%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Shane Williams-RhodesSimilar
Q3 11:05
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
97.9%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Shane Williams-Rhodes BOISE ST Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 10:45
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+8
98.1%
Sean Wale punt for 47 yds , Andrew Rodriguez returns for 8 yds to the UthSt 36 UTAH ST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the UthSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5098% → 99%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
98.1%
Myers, Kent pass incomplete, PENALTY BOISEST personal foul 15 yards to the UTAHST38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAHST.Similar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
98.3%
Devante Mays run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 37Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+3
98.3%
Hunter Sharp run for 3 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 8
OWN 40
-10
98.5%
Kent Myers sacked by Kamalei Correa for a loss of 10 yards to the UthSt 30Similar
Q3 8:40
4TH & 18
OWN 30
0
98.5%
Aaron Dalton punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Shane Williams-Rhodes at the BoiSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:062% → 1%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 7 yds to the BoiSt 32Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
98.6%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Shane Williams-RhodesSimilar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-13
98.6%
Brett Rypien sacked by Nick Vigil for a loss of 13 yards to the BoiSt 19Similar
Q3 7:24
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
98.9%
Sean Wale punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Hunter Sharp at the UthSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2699% → 99%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
98.9%
Kent Myers pass incomplete to Hunter SharpSimilar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
98.9%
Kent Myers run for no gain to the UthSt 40Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.0%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 3 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
Q3 5:51
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
99.0%
Aaron Dalton punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BoiSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 26TD
10 plays · 82 yds · 2:431% → 1%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
99.2%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+3
99.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 3 yds to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+19
99.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Shane Williams-Rhodes for 19 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.2%
Kelsey Young run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+26
99.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 26 yds to the UthSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.2%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
99.3%
Brett Rypien pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+29
99.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 29 yds to the UthSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
99.1%
Kelsey Young run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 3Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.9%
Devan Demas 3 Yd Run (Tyler Rausa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 27TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:26100% → 100%
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.5%
Damion Hobbs run for 7 yds to the UthSt 32Similar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+48
99.4%
Devante Mays run for 48 yds to the BoiSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
99.6%
Kent Myers pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 11 yds to the BoiSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
99.6%
Damion Hobbs run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 1Similar
Q3 0:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Devante Mays 1 Yd Run (Brock Warren Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 28FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 1:410% → 0%
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+38
99.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 38 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
99.6%
Kelsey Young run for 1 yd to the UthSt 36Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 9
OPP 36
-8
99.7%
Brett Rypien sacked by Jordan Nielsen for a loss of 8 yards to the UthSt 44Similar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 17
OPP 44
+15
99.7%
Rypien, Brett pass incomplete, PENALTY UTAHST personal foul 15 yards to the UTAHST29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOISEST.Similar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.6%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+15
99.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 15 yds to the UthSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:46
1ST & 20
OPP 24
0
99.7%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Jake RohSimilar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 20
OPP 24
0
99.7%
Brett Rypien pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 20
OPP 24
0
99.7%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete BOISE ST Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 13:31
4TH & 20
OPP 24
+41
99.6%
Tyler Rausa 41 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 29PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 3:39100% → 100%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
99.6%
Damion Hobbs run for 5 yds to the UthSt 14Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+4
99.7%
Kent Myers pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 4 yds to the UthSt 18Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 1
OWN 18
+2
99.7%
Devante Mays run for 2 yds to the UthSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
99.7%
Damion Hobbs run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 18Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+4
99.7%
Devante Mays run for 4 yds to the UthSt 22Similar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+4
99.8%
Hunter Sharp run for 4 yds to the UthSt 26Similar
Q4 9:21
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+1
99.8%
Aaron Dalton punt for 42 yds , Shane Williams-Rhodes returns for 1 yd to the BoiSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 30TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 1:060% → 1%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
99.8%
Rypien, Brett pass incomplete to Sperbeck, Thomas, PENALTY UTAHST pass interference 15 yards to the BOISEST48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOISEST.Similar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+18
99.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 18 yds to the UthSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+18
99.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 18 yds to the UthSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+15
99.8%
Kelsey Young run for 15 yds to the UthSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.5%
Kelsey Young 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 31DOWNS
16 plays · 42 yds · 7:39100% → 100%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.7%
Damion Hobbs run for no gain to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+10
99.8%
Kent Myers pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 10 yds to the BoiSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
99.8%
Kent Myers pass complete to Devonte Robinson for 5 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+1
99.8%
Kent Myers run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+7
99.8%
LaJuan Hunt run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
99.8%
Damion Hobbs run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 18Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 7
OPP 18
-1
99.8%
Devante Mays run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 19Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+3
99.9%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 16Similar
Q4 2:52
4TH & 5
OPP 16
+9
99.9%
Kent Myers pass complete to Brandon Swindall for 9 yds to the BoiSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
99.9%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 4Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
99.9%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 3Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
99.9%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 2Similar
Q4 0:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.9%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the BoiSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 32END OF GAME
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:140% → 0%
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
99.9%
Brett Rypien pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:03
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+7
99.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 7 yds to the BoiSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:25
Kent Myers 39 Yd Run (Brock Warren Kick)
+18.3
TD · Q2 3:12
Kelsey Young 1 Yd Run (Tyler Rausa Kick)
-14.9
TD · Q2 1:05
Hunter Sharp 21 Yd pass from Kent Myers (Brock Warren Kick)
+13.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com