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USU

Utah State 14 at Utah 24

UTAH
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2015 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadUSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreUSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:05 · Tom Hackett punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UthSt 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 145Pregame prior+3.4Home team on offense+20.4Garbage-time factor+13.3Score differential+2.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:46: Devontae Booker run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +5.2 pts (now 81%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:24: Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Zach Van Leeuwen for 15 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK) — USU win probability +15.1 pts (now 37%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:24: Jake Thompson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — UTAH win probability +5.5 pts (now 68%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:35: Kendal Thompson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +12.6 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 14:33: Kendal Thompson pass complete to Bubba Poole for 12 yds to the UthSt 27 for a 1ST down — UTAH win probability +5.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 8USU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 4:40UTAH 4th & 11 at USU 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.8%
    average punt
  2. Q2 11:09UTAH 4th & 4 at UTAH 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:19USU 4th & 5 at USU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:52USU 4th & 1 at UTAH 46, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    20.3%−2.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%−1.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:49UTAH 4th & 2 at UTAH 36, up 7
    Close callPunted · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.3%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:10USU 4th & 1 at USU 34, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:41UTAH 4th & 1 at USU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    63.5%−5.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    65.6%−3.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:39USU 4th & 7 at USU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−1.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:33UTAH 4th & 11 at UTAH 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−2.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:42USU 4th & 13 at USU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−2.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:47UTAH 4th & 2 at USU 19, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.7%−1.4
    77% to make
    Punt
    77.4%−9.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:05UTAH 4th & 2 at UTAH 33, up 10
    Close callPunted · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:01UTAH 4th & 6 at UTAH 23, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3USU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:18UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:57USU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:46UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:24USU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:35UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:3781% → 81%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
80.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Tyrone Smith for 8 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q1 14:11
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
80.7%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Utah 34Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
80.5%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
80.4%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+6
80.3%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for 6 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+4
80.3%
Travis Wilson run for 4 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
80.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Marcus Sanders-Williams for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 8
50
+12
80.1%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for 12 yds to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
80.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Britain Covey for 14 yds to the UthSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
80.0%
Wilson, Travis pass incomplete to Covey, Britain, PENALTY UTAHST personal foul (Evans, Marwin) 12 yards to the UTAHST12, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH.Similar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
81.0%
Travis Wilson run for 12 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 2INT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:5220% → 20%
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
80.4%
Devante Mays run for 7 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+2
80.2%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Zach Van Leeuwen for 2 yds to the UthSt 48Similar
Q1 9:29
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+3
80.3%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
80.1%
LaJuan Hunt run for 5 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 5
OPP 44
0
80.0%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Zach Van LeeuwenSimilar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
80.1%
Chuckie Keeton pass intercepted Marcus Williams return for no gain to the Utah 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:3181% → 80%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+22
80.6%
Devontae Booker run for 22 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
80.9%
Joe Williams run for 3 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+9
80.9%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 9 yds to the UthSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
81.0%
Devontae Booker run for 7 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+2
81.0%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q1 4:54
3RD & 1
OPP 38
-10
80.8%
Hansen, Chase rush for no gain to the UTAHST38, PENALTY UTAH holding (Fakailoatonga, Siale) 10 yards to the UTAHST48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 11
OPP 48
0
80.7%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth ScottSimilar
Q1 4:40
4TH & 11
OPP 48
0
80.3%
Tom Hackett punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jalen Davis at the UthSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 4TD
13 plays · 85 yds · 5:2120% → 27%
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
80.2%
Devante Mays run for 7 yds to the UthSt 22Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+8
79.9%
LaJuan Hunt run for 8 yds to the UthSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
79.9%
Devante Mays run for no gain to the UthSt 30Similar
Q1 2:59
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-5
80.0%
Chuckie Keeton run for a loss of 5 yards to the UthSt 25 Chuckie Keeton fumbled, recovered by UthSt Chuckie KeetonSimilar
Q1 2:11
3RD & 15
OWN 25
+15
80.2%
Keeton, Chuckie pass incomplete, PENALTY UTAH roughing passer (Tauteoli, Sunia) 15 yards to the UTAHST40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAHST.Similar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+39
79.2%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Devonte Robinson for 39 yds to the Utah 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
78.1%
Devante Mays run for 7 yds to the Utah 14Similar
Q1 1:01
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+2
77.9%
LaJuan Hunt run for 2 yds to the Utah 12Similar
Q1 0:31
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+1
78.7%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 1 yd to the Utah 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
78.1%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the Utah 10Similar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+2
78.1%
LaJuan Hunt run for 2 yds to the Utah 8Similar
Q2 13:57
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+8
73.5%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 8 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:3276% → 74%
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
75.6%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Utah 10Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 9
OWN 10
0
75.6%
Travis Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:04
3RD & 9
OWN 10
+15
75.0%
UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jalen Davis) to the Utah 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.5%
Kyle Fulks run for no gain to the Utah 25Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.3%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q2 11:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
74.8%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Utah 31Similar
Q2 11:09
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+14
74.3%
Tom Hackett punt for 53 yds , Jalen Davis returns for 14 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:3427% → 26%
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
73.4%
Chuckie Keeton run for 5 yds to the UthSt 35Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
72.8%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Tyler FoxSimilar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
73.4%
Chuckie Keeton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:19
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+1
74.0%
Aaron Dalton punt for 39 yds , Britain Covey returns for 1 yd to the Utah 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:2975% → 81%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-7
74.8%
Travis Wilson run for a loss of 7 yards to the Utah 19 Travis Wilson fumbled, recovered by Utah Travis WilsonSimilar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 18
OWN 19
+11
74.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Tyrone Smith for 11 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q2 8:59
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+9
73.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 9 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
75.2%
Devontae Booker run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
50
0
75.8%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Siale FakailoatongaSimilar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 10
50
+5
75.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Siale Fakailoatonga for 5 yds to the UthSt 45Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+38
75.3%
Travis Wilson run for 38 yds to the UthSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
76.0%
Travis Wilson run for 3 yds to the UthSt 4Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
81.2%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:4021% → 21%
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
79.5%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 34Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+6
79.9%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Devonte Robinson for 6 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+5
79.3%
Chuckie Keeton run for 5 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
78.7%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Zach Van Leeuwen for 9 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 1
OPP 46
0
77.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the Utah 46Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 1
OPP 46
0
77.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the Utah 46Similar
Q2 3:52
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+7
78.8%
Aaron Dalton punt for 37 yds , Britain Covey returns for 7 yds to the Utah 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:5380% → 79%
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
79.9%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 19Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+9
79.7%
Kendal Thompson run for 9 yds to the Utah 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
79.7%
Kendal Thompson pass complete to Siale Fakailoatonga for 2 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+6
79.6%
Devontae Booker run for 6 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 2
OWN 36
0
79.9%
Kendal Thompson pass incomplete to Britain CoveySimilar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 2
OWN 36
+4
78.9%
Tom Hackett punt for 44 yds , Jalen Davis returns for 4 yds to the UthSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 10TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 1:2120% → 37%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
79.9%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Devonte RobinsonSimilar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+11
80.1%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Tyler Fox for 11 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
79.3%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 9 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+8
77.4%
LaJuan Hunt run for 8 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
77.2%
Chuckie Keeton run for 14 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
75.9%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Braelon Roberts for 9 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 1
OPP 25
0
76.9%
Chuckie Keeton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+10
77.9%
Chuckie Keeton run for 10 yds to the Utah 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
62.8%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Zach Van Leeuwen for 15 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
71.0%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3632% → 32%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
67.9%
Chuckie Keeton run for 4 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
66.9%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Zach Van Leeuwen for 5 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
66.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the UthSt 34Similar
Q3 13:10
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
67.8%
Aaron Dalton punt for 35 yds , Britain Covey returns for no gain to the Utah 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13TD
13 plays · 69 yds · 6:2071% → 85%
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
70.6%
Kendal Thompson run for 7 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 3
OWN 38
-1
72.3%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 37Similar
Q3 11:57
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+8
70.1%
Kendal Thompson pass complete to Britain Covey for 8 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
71.7%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+3
71.9%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the UthSt 48Similar
Q3 10:21
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+2
71.6%
Kendal Thompson run for 2 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
Q3 9:41
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+2
70.2%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
72.1%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the UthSt 43Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+10
71.7%
Kendal Thompson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 10 yds to the UthSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
72.5%
Kendal Thompson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 3 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+13
72.4%
Kendal Thompson pass complete to Britain Covey for 13 yds to the UthSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+15
72.2%
UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Tyler Floyd) to the UthSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
84.8%
Kendal Thompson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5321% → 19%
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.2%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Zach Van LeeuwenSimilar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
79.3%
Chuckie Keeton run for 3 yds to the UthSt 28Similar
Q3 5:48
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
80.0%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Andrew RodriguezSimilar
Q3 5:39
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+48
80.7%
Aaron Dalton punt for 48 yds , Britain Covey returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 3:5683% → 82%
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
82.7%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+4
82.6%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q3 4:23
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+4
82.1%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
82.7%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 31Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 14
OWN 31
0
82.3%
Kendal Thompson pass complete to Marcus Sanders-Williams for no gain to the Utah 31Similar
Q3 2:39
3RD & 14
OWN 31
-5
82.4%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (Sam Tevi) to the Utah 26Similar
Q3 2:14
3RD & 19
OWN 26
+8
82.3%
Kendal Thompson pass complete to Britain Covey for 8 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q3 1:33
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
81.8%
Tom Hackett punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jalen Davis at the UthSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:4019% → 17%
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
80.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for 5 yds to the UthSt 28Similar
Q3 0:48
2ND & 5
OWN 28
-3
80.2%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Devonte Robinson for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 25Similar
Q3 0:21
3RD & 8
OWN 25
-5
81.9%
UTAH ST Penalty, False Start (Wyatt Houston) to the UthSt 20Similar
Q3 0:01
3RD & 13
OWN 20
0
82.4%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Andrew RodriguezSimilar
Q4 14:42
4TH & 13
OWN 20
+30
83.0%
Aaron Dalton punt for 49 yds , Britain Covey returns for 30 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17FG
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:4688% → 88%
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
88.0%
Kendal Thompson pass complete to Bubba Poole for 12 yds to the UthSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
88.3%
Kendal Thompson pass incomplete to Siale FakailoatongaSimilar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+7
88.3%
Devontae Booker run for 7 yds to the UthSt 20Similar
Q4 13:25
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+1
87.8%
Kendal Thompson run for 1 yd to the UthSt 19Similar
Q4 12:47
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+37
87.9%
Andy Phillips 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 18FUMBLE
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:1712% → 12%
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
87.6%
Devante Mays run for 10 yds to the UthSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
87.5%
Devante Mays run for 3 yds to the UthSt 23Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+12
87.6%
Chuckie Keeton run for 12 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
86.6%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the UthSt 36Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+2
88.3%
LaJuan Hunt run for 2 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+15
88.7%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Tyler Fox for 15 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+20
87.5%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Kennedy Williams for 20 yds to the Utah 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
86.3%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Kennedy WilliamsSimilar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+3
86.8%
Chuckie Keeton run for 3 yds to the Utah 24Similar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 7
OPP 24
-7
87.9%
Chuckie Keeton sacked by Pita Taumoepenu for a loss of 7 yards to the Utah 25 Chuckie Keeton fumbled, forced by Pita Taumoepenu, recovered by Utah Gionni Paul , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5091% → 91%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.6%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
91.3%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Utah 31Similar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
91.3%
Kendal Thompson run for 2 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q4 6:05
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
91.3%
Tom Hackett punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UthSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 20INT
9 plays · 54 yds · 3:009% → 8%
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
91.5%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Devonte Robinson for 14 yds to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
90.5%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 16 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
89.7%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the Utah 35Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+3
89.6%
Chuckie Keeton run for 3 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q4 4:18
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+9
90.8%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Dax Raymond for 9 yds to the Utah 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
89.4%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Devonte Robinson for 12 yds to the Utah 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
90.0%
UTAH ST Penalty, False Start (Jake Simonich) to the Utah 16Similar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 15
OPP 16
+5
90.8%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Andrew Rodriguez for 5 yds to the Utah 11Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
92.0%
Chuckie Keeton pass intercepted Gionni Paul return for no gain to the Utah 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 1:4894% → 96%
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+8
93.7%
Devontae Booker run for 8 yds to the Utah 15Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 2
OWN 15
+4
93.7%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Utah 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
95.1%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (J.J. Dielman) to the Utah 14Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 12
OWN 17
+4
95.7%
Devontae Booker run for 4 yds to the Utah 21Similar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+2
95.9%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 23Similar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 6
OWN 23
+1
95.7%
Tom Hackett punt for 51 yds , Jalen Davis returns for 1 yd to the UthSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 22END OF GAME
5 plays · 48 yds · 0:513% → 5%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
97.0%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Devonte RobinsonSimilar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-7
97.2%
Chuckie Keeton sacked by Jason Fanaika for a loss of 7 yards to the UthSt 20 Chuckie Keeton fumbled, forced by Jason Fanaika, recovered by UthSt Taani Fisilau , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:19
3RD & 17
OWN 20
+51
97.3%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Devonte Robinson for 51 yds to the Utah 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
95.2%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Devonte RobinsonSimilar
Q4 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+4
95.4%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to LaJuan Hunt for 4 yds to the Utah 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:24
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Zach Van Leeuwen for 15 yds for a TD, (Brock Warren KICK)
-15.1
TD · Q3 6:35
Kendal Thompson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
+12.6
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:24
Jake Thompson kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+5.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com