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APP

App State 34 at South Alabama 27

USA
2015 · Week 14 · Dec 5, 2015 · Ladd Peebles Stadium
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Win probability · USA
modelUSA aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playUSA scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:58 · Bentlee Critcher punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Josh Magee at the SAlab 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 125Pregame prior−16.5Home team on offense−12.1Score differential−3.5Garbage-time factor−4.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:02: Gerald Everett 2 Yd Run (Aleem Sunanon Kick) — USA win probability +11.1 pts (now 25%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 13:20: Gerald Everett 1 Yd Run (Aleem Sunanon Kick) — USA win probability +27.0 pts (now 52%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 9:48: Aleem Sunanon 41 Yd Field Goal — USA win probability +13.8 pts (now 64%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 6:51: Zach Matics 50 Yd Field Goal — APP win probability +11.4 pts (now 56%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:16: Jalin Moore 18 Yd Run (Zach Matics Kick) — APP win probability +35.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USA made the numbers' call on 9 of 10APP made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 4:43APP 4th & 16 at USA 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:28USA 4th & 10 at USA 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:54USA 4th & 17 at USA 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−0.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:19USA 4th & 10 at USA 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:28USA 4th & 1 at USA 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.5%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:24APP 4th & 25 at USA 34, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%−1.5
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.8%
    47% to make
    Punt
    84.8%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:01USA 4th & 5 at APP 5, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−4.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:02APP 4th & 5 at USA 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:24USA 4th & 10 at USA 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−2.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:58APP 4th & 7 at USA 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:08USA 4th & 2 at APP 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    44.8%−4.7
    40% to make
    Punt
    44.3%−5.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:48USA 4th & 2 at APP 24, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.6%−3.4
    68% to make
    Punt
    30.4%−21.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:51APP 4th & 5 at USA 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−0.1
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.8%
    49% to make
    Punt
    34.0%−4.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:51USA 4th & 5 at USA 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−2.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:11APP 4th & 2 at USA 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    42.2%−10.9
    23% to make
    Punt
    45.5%−7.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:43USA 4th & 3 at APP 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.8%−3.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3APP made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 14:21APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:22USA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 8:24APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:54APP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:02USA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:20USA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:16APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.4%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
APPDrive 1TD
3 plays · 77 yds · 0:3988% → 88%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+74
11.9%
Marcus Cox run for 74 yds to the SAlab 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
12.0%
Jalin Moore run for 3 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 2TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:5912% → 14%
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
12.0%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 7 yds to the SAlab 32Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+13
12.1%
Cody Clements pass complete to Marvin Shinn for 13 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
12.1%
Xavier Johnson run for 15 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
12.1%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Marvin ShinnSimilar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+4
12.1%
Cody Clements pass complete to Marvin Shinn for 4 yds to the AppSt 36Similar
Q1 14:21
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+8
12.1%
Cody Clements pass complete to Danny Woodson for 8 yds to the AppSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
12.1%
Xavier Johnson run for 10 yds to the AppSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
12.1%
Xavier Johnson run for 6 yds to the AppSt 12Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+7
12.1%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 7 yds to the AppSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
12.1%
Terrance Timmons run for 3 yds to the AppSt 2Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
12.1%
Terrance Timmons run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 3Similar
Q1 10:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
14.2%
Cody Clements 3 Yd Run (Aleem Sunanon Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 3TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 1:5886% → 87%
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
13.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malachi Jones for 12 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
13.8%
Marcus Cox run for no gain to the AppSt 41Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
13.8%
Marcus Cox run for 1 yd to the AppSt 42Similar
Q1 8:24
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+58
13.4%
Simms McElfresh 58 Yd pass from Taylor Lamb (Zach Matics Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 4INT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
13.7%
Cody Clements pass complete to D.J. Vinson for 14 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
14.0%
Cody Clements pass complete to Josh Magee for 4 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 6
OPP 49
-4
14.0%
Cody Clements sacked by Osvaldo Sombo and Tyson Fernandez for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 47Similar
Q1 8:24
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
13.7%
Cody Clements pass intercepted Latrell Gibbs return for no gain to the AppSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:1586% → 85%
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+23
13.8%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Montez McGuire for 23 yds to the SAlab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-4
13.6%
Moore, Jalin rush for 13 yards to the USA30 (Roman Buchanan), PENALTY APP illegal formation 4 yards to the USA47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 14
OPP 47
+3
13.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Levi Duffield for 3 yds to the SAlab 44Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 11
OPP 44
0
13.6%
Jalin Moore run for no gain to the SAlab 44Similar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 11
OPP 44
0
13.7%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Montez McGuireSimilar
Q1 4:43
4TH & 11
OPP 44
-5
14.4%
Critcher, B. punt 41 yards to the USA3, downed, PENALTY APP illegal formation 5 yards to the USA49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:43
4TH & 16
OPP 49
0
14.6%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
14.5%
Xavier Johnson run for 2 yds to the SAlab 22Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-12
14.5%
Cody Clements sacked by Ronald Blair for a loss of 12 yards to the SAlab 10Similar
Q1 4:28
3RD & 20
OWN 10
+10
14.3%
Cody Clements run for 10 yds to the SAlab 20Similar
Q1 4:28
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
14.2%
Aleem Sunanon punt for 37 yds, downed at the AppSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 7TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 2:4586% → 88%
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
14.4%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-4
14.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 39Similar
Q1 2:39
3RD & 14
OWN 39
+18
15.0%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 18 yds to the SAlab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
14.3%
Marcus Cox run for 15 yds to the SAlab 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
14.2%
Marcus Cox run for no gain to the SAlab 28Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+10
14.2%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Levi Duffield for 10 yds to the SAlab 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
12.1%
Marcus Cox 18 Yd pass from Taylor Lamb (Zach Matics Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 5 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
12.7%
Terrance Timmons run for 3 yds to the SAlab 8Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 8
0
12.6%
Cody Clements pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 7
OWN 8
+9
12.5%
Cody Clements pass complete to Josh Magee for 9 yds to the SAlab 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
12.9%
Dami Ayoola run for 2 yds to the SAlab 19Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+1
12.8%
Cody Clements pass complete to Braedon Bowman for 1 yd to the SAlab 20Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 7
OWN 20
0
12.7%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Josh MageeSimilar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 7
OWN 20
-10
12.7%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Josh Magee) to the SAlab 10Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 17
OWN 10
+5
12.7%
Aleem Sunanon punt for 51 yds , Latrell Gibbs returns for 5 yds to the AppSt 15 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the AppSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 9FUMBLE
7 plays · 66 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
12.3%
Jalin Moore run for 5 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+1
12.1%
Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the AppSt 40Similar
Q2 12:31
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+9
12.2%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for 9 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
12.0%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Malachi Jones for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive holding (E.J. May) to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
12.0%
Ike Lewis run for 8 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+23
11.9%
Taylor Lamb run for 23 yds to the SAlab 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 0
OPP 10
+8
11.8%
Jalin Moore run for 8 yds Jalin Moore fumbled, forced by Kalen Jackson, recovered by SAlab E.J. MaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:5912% → 12%
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
12.3%
Xavier Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 19Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+6
12.2%
Cody Clements run for 6 yds to the SAlab 25Similar
Q2 8:19
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
12.4%
Cody Clements run for no gain to the SAlab 25Similar
Q2 8:19
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
12.2%
Aleem Sunanon punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Latrell Gibbs at the AppSt 45Similar
Q2 8:19
4TH & 5
OWN 25
-5
12.3%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 11FUMBLE
3 plays · 55 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
11.8%
Marcus Cox run for 9 yds to the SAlab 46Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+12
11.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Levi Duffield for 12 yds to the SAlab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+31
11.7%
Marcus Cox run for 31 yds Marcus Cox fumbled, forced by Jeremy Reaves, recovered by SAlabSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 12INT
9 plays · 46 yds · 0:0012% → 14%
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
12.3%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to D.J. VinsonSimilar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
12.3%
Cody Clements run for 6 yds to the SAlab 26Similar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+3
12.3%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q2 6:28
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+1
12.4%
Gerald Everett run for 1 yd to the SAlab 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+21
12.4%
Cody Clements pass complete to Danny Woodson for 21 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
13.3%
Tyreis Thomas run for 2 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+6
13.3%
Tyreis Thomas run for 6 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+7
13.3%
Cody Clements pass complete to D.J. Vinson for 7 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+30
13.6%
Cody Clements pass intercepted Eric Boggs return for 45 yds to the SAlab 0 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Cameron Blankenship) to the SAlab 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13FG
5 plays · -15 yds · 2:0088% → 91%
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
11.6%
Terrence Upshaw run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 21Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 12
OPP 21
-10
11.8%
Taylor Lamb sacked by Akeem Lewis for a loss of 10 yards to the SAlab 31Similar
Q2 3:24
3RD & 22
OPP 31
-3
12.0%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malachi Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 34Similar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 25
OPP 34
+51
9.2%
Zach Matics 51 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 14INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
11.8%
Cody Clements pass intercepted Alex Gray return for 3 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 15END OF HALF
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:1391% → 91%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
8.9%
Marcus Cox run for 3 yds to the AppSt 46Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+5
8.8%
Marcus Cox run for 5 yds to the SAlab 49Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+6
8.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for 6 yds to the SAlab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
8.5%
Taylor Lamb run for no gain to the SAlab 43Similar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
8.7%
Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 16FG
12 plays · 65 yds · 3:5911% → 13%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+26
10.6%
Xavier Johnson run for 26 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
11.8%
Tyreis Thomas run for 11 yds to the AppSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
12.1%
Dallas Davis run for 8 yds to the AppSt 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+7
12.2%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Marvin Shinn for 7 yds to the AppSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
12.2%
Tyreis Thomas run for 4 yds to the AppSt 14Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+4
12.2%
Tyreis Thomas run for 4 yds to the AppSt 10Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+5
11.9%
Dallas Davis run for 5 yds to the AppSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
12.2%
Dallas Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 7Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
12.2%
Terrance Timmons run for 2 yds to the AppSt 5Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
11.9%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Marvin Shinn, broken up by Latrell GibbsSimilar
Q3 11:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
13.1%
Aleem Sunanon 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 18TD
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:5914% → 25%
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
13.9%
Xavier Johnson run for 5 yds to the AppSt 16Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+4
13.9%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Gerald Everett for 4 yds to the AppSt 12Similar
Q3 11:01
3RD & 1
OWN 0
+6
11.5%
Xavier Johnson run for 6 yds to the AppSt 6 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the AppSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
13.9%
Dami Ayoola run for 4 yds to the AppSt 2Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
25.0%
Gerald Everett 2 Yd Run (Aleem Sunanon Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
19.2%
Marcus Cox run for 15 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
18.0%
Marcus Cox run for 6 yds to the SAlab 48Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+1
17.6%
Marcus Cox run for 1 yd to the SAlab 47Similar
Q3 9:02
3RD & 3
OPP 47
-2
18.0%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Bill Cecil for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 49Similar
Q3 9:02
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
18.9%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Josh Magee at the SAlab 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
21.3%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to D.J. VinsonSimilar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 10
OWN 11
-10
21.3%
Dallas Davis sacked by AJ Howard and Ronald Blair for a loss of 10 yards to the SAlab 1Similar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 20
OWN 1
+10
20.1%
Xavier Johnson run for 10 yds to the SAlab 11Similar
Q3 6:24
4TH & 10
OWN 11
0
19.8%
Aleem Sunanon punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Latrell Gibbs at the AppSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
17.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for no gain to the AppSt 49Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
17.6%
Simms McElfresh run for 3 yds to the SAlab 48Similar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
17.8%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Simms McElfresh, broken up by Kalen JacksonSimilar
Q3 4:58
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
19.0%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Josh Magee at the SAlab 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 22TD
13 plays · 91 yds · 5:3321% → 52%
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
21.4%
Xavier Johnson run for 5 yds to the SAlab 14Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+7
21.8%
Xavier Johnson run for 7 yds to the SAlab 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
21.8%
Xavier Johnson run for 2 yds to the SAlab 23Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+9
21.8%
Tyreis Thomas run for 9 yds to the SAlab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
22.4%
Tyreis Thomas run for 1 yd to the SAlab 33Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+2
22.2%
Tyreis Thomas run for 2 yds to the SAlab 35Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+7
21.6%
Dallas Davis run for 7 yds to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
24.0%
Terrance Timmons run for 4 yds to the SAlab 46Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+9
24.7%
Terrance Timmons run for 9 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
25.2%
Terrance Timmons run for 3 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+1
25.1%
Terrance Timmons run for 1 yd to the AppSt 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+40
24.7%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Danny Woodson for 40 yds to the AppSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
51.7%
Gerald Everett 1 Yd Run (Aleem Sunanon Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 23INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
39.4%
Taylor Lamb pass intercepted Jeremy Reaves return for no gain to the AppSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 24FG
8 plays · 21 yds · 3:2051% → 64%
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
50.5%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Marvin ShinnSimilar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+6
50.2%
Xavier Johnson run for 6 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q4 13:08
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+2
49.8%
Xavier Johnson run for 2 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
Q4 13:08
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+5
47.1%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Gerald Everett for 5 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
51.9%
Xavier Johnson run for 4 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+2
51.9%
Xavier Johnson run for 2 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
Q4 13:08
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+2
50.0%
Tyreis Thomas run for 2 yds to the AppSt 24Similar
Q4 9:48
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+41
63.8%
Aleem Sunanon 41 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 25FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 2:5742% → 56%
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+27
57.6%
Marcus Cox run for 27 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
50
+2
51.6%
Marcus Cox run for 2 yds to the SAlab 48Similar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
51.7%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Malachi JonesSimilar
Q4 8:34
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+10
57.0%
Lamb, Taylor pass incomplete to Jones, Malachi, PENALTY USA pass interference (Margo Reed) 10 yards to the USA38, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
54.8%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the SAlab 36Similar
Q4 8:34
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+3
54.8%
Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q4 8:34
3RD & 5
OPP 33
0
55.4%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Montez McGuireSimilar
Q4 6:51
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+50
44.0%
Zach Matics 50 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0052% → 49%
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
51.9%
Tyreis Thomas run for 5 yds to the SAlab 23Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+3
52.8%
Tyreis Thomas run for 3 yds to the SAlab 26Similar
Q4 6:51
3RD & 2
OWN 26
-3
50.9%
Dallas Davis sacked by Devan Stringer for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 23Similar
Q4 6:51
4TH & 5
OWN 23
+42
48.6%
Aleem Sunanon punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Latrell Gibbs at the SOUTHALA 30 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 27TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:2954% → 93%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
46.0%
Taylor Lamb run for 5 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+6
42.8%
Jalin Moore run for 6 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
42.2%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 43Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 13
OWN 43
+8
45.5%
Jalin Moore run for 8 yds to the SAlab 49Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+3
42.1%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for 3 yds to the SAlab 46Similar
Q4 2:11
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+4
47.5%
Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+24
44.0%
Jalin Moore run for 24 yds to the SAlab 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
8.2%
Jalin Moore 18 Yd Run (Zach Matics Kick)Similar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 0
OPP 3
0
7.3%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 28DOWNS
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:3317% → 13%
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
16.6%
Dallas Davis run for 5 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+2
18.3%
Xavier Johnson run for 2 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
Q4 0:43
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
15.2%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to D.J. Vinson, broken up by Devan StringerSimilar
Q4 0:43
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
13.4%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Danny Woodson, broken up by Tae HayesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
5.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:16
Jalin Moore 18 Yd Run (Zach Matics Kick)
-35.8
TD · Q4 13:20
Gerald Everett 1 Yd Run (Aleem Sunanon Kick)
+27
FG · Q4 9:48
Aleem Sunanon 41 Yd Field Goal
+13.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com