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USA

South Alabama 17 at Georgia Southern 55

GASO
2015 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2015 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadUSA aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreUSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFUMBLETDTDTDFGTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:19 · Aleem Sunanon punt for 41 yds, downed at the GeoSo 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 97Pregame prior+22.7Home team on offense+16.6Score differential+5.0Garbage-time factor+3.4Blowout margin+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.9
This game in five plays
  1. FUMBLE · Q2 8:33: LA Ramsby run for a loss of 3 yards LA Ramsby fumbled, forced by Akeem Lewis, recovered by SAlab Devon Earl , return for 62 yds, (Aleem Sunanon KICK) — USA win probability +7.9 pts (now 20%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:28: Matt Breida run for 1 yd for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK) — GASO win probability +5.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:36: Kevin Ellison pass complete to Derek Keaton for 23 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK) — GASO win probability +3.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:27: Kevin Ellison run for 2 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK) — GASO win probability +4.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:26: Matt Breida run for 75 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK) — GASO win probability +6.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 5 of 6USA made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 10:48GASO 4th & 4 at GASO 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:56USA 4th & 15 at USA 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00USA 4th & 13 at GASO 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    13.9%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:33GASO 4th & 1 at USA 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    83.4%−0.8
    47% to make
    Punt
    83.2%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:28USA 4th & 2 at USA 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.7%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00GASO 4th & 11 at GASO 24, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:39USA 4th & 6 at GASO 6, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−3.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:19USA 4th & 9 at USA 19, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:25GASO 4th & 4 at USA 4, up 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.1%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−1.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:18USA 4th & 5 at USA 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:17GASO 4th & 1 at USA 38, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:14GASO 4th & 9 at USA 21, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:14USA 4th & 13 at USA 22, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:44USA 4th & 7 at USA 28, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 7 of 7USA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:58USA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:42GASO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:28GASO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:36GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:27GASO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:26GASO Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:00GASO Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:44GASO Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USADrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:028% → 10%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.1%
Xavier Johnson run for 5 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
92.1%
Cody Clements pass incomplete, broken up by Darrius WhiteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
92.1%
Cody Clements pass complete to Danny Woodson for 8 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
92.1%
Cody Clements pass complete to Josh Magee for 5 yds to the SAlab 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
92.1%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Josh MageeSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+13
92.1%
Cody Clements pass complete to Kevin Kutchera for 13 yds to the GeoSo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
92.1%
Tyreis Thomas run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
92.1%
Cody Clements pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+35
92.1%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 35 yds to the GeoSo 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
92.1%
Tyreis Thomas run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 2Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
90.3%
Tyreis Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
90.5%
Kevin Ellison run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+1
90.5%
Matt Breida run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+3
90.5%
Matt Breida run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q1 10:48
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
90.4%
Ryan Nowicki punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Josh Magee at the SAlab 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
89.6%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Josh Magee, broken up by Darius JonesSimilar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 10
OWN 11
-8
89.6%
Cody Clements sacked by Jay Ellison for a loss of 8 yards to the SAlab 3Similar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 18
OWN 3
0
89.7%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, intentional grounding (Cody Clements) to the SAlab 3Similar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 18
OWN 3
+3
89.7%
Cody Clements pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 3 yds to the SAlab 6Similar
Q1 8:56
4TH & 15
OWN 6
+15
89.7%
Aleem Sunanon punt for 55 yds , Derek Keaton returns for 15 yds to the GeoSo 21 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the GeoSo 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 2:5689% → 89%
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+40
89.2%
Matt Breida run for 40 yds to the SAlab 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+5
89.4%
Kevin Ellison run for 5 yds to the SAlab 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
89.4%
LA Ramsby run for 7 yds to the SAlab 9Similar
Q1 7:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
89.4%
LA Ramsby run for 3 yds to the SAlab 1Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
89.4%
LA Ramsby run for no gain to the SAlab 1Similar
Q1 4:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.4%
Kevin Ellison run for 1 yd for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 5PUNT
12 plays · 30 yds · 4:4211% → 13%
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
89.0%
Tyreis Thomas run for 8 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
88.7%
Tyreis Thomas run for 3 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
88.8%
Cody Clements run for 3 yds to the SAlab 39Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+2
88.7%
Cody Clements run for 2 yds to the SAlab 41Similar
Q1 4:42
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+7
88.7%
Cody Clements short right pass incomplete to Danny Woodson, PENALTY GS pass interference (Ca. Williams) 7 yards to the USA48, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
88.6%
Terrance Timmons run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+7
88.5%
Cody Clements run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
88.5%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 7
OPP 39
-6
88.5%
Cody Clements sacked by Matt Dobson for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 45
0
86.9%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Kevin KutcheraSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 13
OPP 45
0
87.2%
Brandon McKee punt for 35 yds, downed at the GeoSo 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6FUMBLE TD
11 plays · 52 yds · 6:1187% → 80%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
87.3%
Matt Breida run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
87.3%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Myles Campbell for 7 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+3
87.6%
Favian Upshaw run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
87.4%
LA Ramsby run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
87.9%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Bj Johnson for 6 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+2
88.0%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the SAlab 49Similar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+6
87.9%
Matt Breida run for 6 yds to the SAlab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
88.1%
Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the SAlab 42Similar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+3
88.1%
LA Ramsby run for 3 yds to the SAlab 39Similar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+5
88.0%
Favian Upshaw run for 5 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q2 8:33
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+62
80.0%
LA Ramsby run for a loss of 3 yards LA Ramsby fumbled, forced by Akeem Lewis, recovered by SAlab Devon Earl , return for 62 yds, (Aleem Sunanon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 1:5879% → 86%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
79.0%
Matt Breida run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 7
OWN 27
-4
79.1%
Matt Breida run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 33 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+20
78.9%
Montay Crockett run for 20 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
80.0%
Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Montay CrockettSimilar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+56
79.6%
Kevin Ellison run for 56 yds to the SAlab 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.5%
Matt Breida run for 1 yd for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
82.1%
Xavier Johnson run for 8 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
81.3%
Xavier Johnson run for no gain to the SAlab 33Similar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
81.8%
Xavier Johnson run for no gain to the SAlab 33Similar
Q2 6:28
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+15
82.5%
Aleem Sunanon punt for 34 yds , Derek Keaton returns for 15 yds to the GeoSo 48 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive holding (Darrius White) to the GeoSo 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 2:5484% → 89%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
83.6%
Matt Breida run for no gain to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+17
83.4%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Ryan Longoria for 17 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
84.5%
Matt Breida run for 1 yd to the SAlab 44Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+18
84.4%
Wesley Fields run for 18 yds to the SAlab 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
84.8%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the SAlab 23Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+23
88.7%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Derek Keaton for 23 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 10INT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1313% → 13%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
86.9%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Josh MageeSimilar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
87.0%
Xavier Johnson run for no gain to the SAlab 20Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+24
87.3%
Cody Clements pass intercepted Darrius White return for 24 yds to the SAlab 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11TD
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:3888% → 92%
Q2 1:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
88.4%
Matt Breida run for no gain to the SAlab 8Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
88.4%
Kevin Ellison run for 6 yds to the SAlab 2Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.4%
Kevin Ellison run for 2 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
92.2%
TEAM takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.4%
Matt Breida run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-10
92.4%
K. Ellison rush quarterback keeper right for no gain to the GS30 (Roman Buchanan), PENALTY GS holding 10 yards to the GS20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+4
92.3%
Matt Breida run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
92.0%
Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Derek KeatonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
91.6%
TEAM punt blocked by Ronnie Reed blocked by Ronnie ReedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 14FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1610% → 11%
Q3 12:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
90.4%
Tyreis Thomas run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 6Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
90.4%
Cody Clements run for no gain to the GeoSo 6Similar
Q3 12:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
90.9%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Gerald Everett, broken up by Ironhead GallonSimilar
Q3 11:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
89.0%
Aleem Sunanon 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
95.8%
Matt Breida run for 75 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
94.2%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Josh Magee, broken up by Antonio GloverSimilar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+1
94.3%
Xavier Johnson run for 1 yd to the SAlab 19 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 11:19
3RD & 9
OWN 19
0
94.4%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Gerald Everett, broken up by Antwione WilliamsSimilar
Q3 11:19
4TH & 9
OWN 19
0
94.4%
Aleem Sunanon punt for 41 yds, downed at the GeoSo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 6:1196% → 97%
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
96.1%
Matt Breida run for 11 yds to the SAlab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
96.1%
LA Ramsby run for 5 yds to the SAlab 44Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+6
96.1%
LA Ramsby run for 6 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+23
96.1%
Wesley Fields run for 23 yds to the SAlab 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
96.1%
Matt Breida run for 4 yds to the SAlab 11Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+1
96.1%
Matt Breida run for 1 yd to the SAlab 10Similar
Q3 10:36
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+6
96.0%
Kevin Ellison run for 6 yds to the SAlab 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
96.1%
LA Ramsby run for no gain to the SAlab 4Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
96.1%
Kevin Ellison run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 6Similar
Q3 10:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
96.0%
Kevin Ellison run for 2 yds to the SAlab 4Similar
Q3 4:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
97.4%
Younghoe Koo 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-5
97.9%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (Noah Fisher) to the SAlab 6Similar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 15
OWN 6
+15
98.0%
Dallas Davis medium right pass incomplete to Josh Magee, PENALTY GS pass interference (A. Glover) 15 yards to the USA21, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
97.9%
Tyreis Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 20Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 11
OWN 20
-10
97.9%
Dallas Davis sacked by Antwione Williams for a loss of 10 yards to the SAlab 10Similar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 21
OWN 10
+16
98.0%
Tyreis Thomas run for 16 yds to the SAlab 26Similar
Q3 4:18
4TH & 5
OWN 26
+9
97.9%
Brandon McKee punt for 39 yds , Derek Keaton returns for 9 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19TD
4 plays · 56 yds · 2:0299% → 100%
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
98.7%
Matt Breida run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 4
50
0
98.7%
LA Ramsby run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:02
3RD & 4
50
+4
98.7%
Matt Breida run for 4 yds to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
99.8%
LA Ramsby run for 46 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 20INT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.8%
Xavier Johnson run for 9 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.8%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
99.8%
Dallas Davis sacked by Antwione Williams and Riyahd Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the SAlab 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+1
99.8%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Josh Magee for 1 yd to the SAlab 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 41
-2
99.8%
Dallas Davis pass intercepted Darius Jones return for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21FG
9 plays · 26 yds · 5:03100% → 100%
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
99.9%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the SAlab 45Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+4
99.9%
LA Ramsby run for 4 yds to the SAlab 41Similar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+3
99.9%
LA Ramsby run for 3 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q4 12:17
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+3
99.8%
Matt Breida run for 3 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
99.9%
Chaz Thornton run for 13 yds to the SAlab 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
99.9%
Chaz Thornton run for 1 yd to the SAlab 21Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 9
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Favian Upshaw run for no gain to the SAlab 21Similar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 9
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Favian Upshaw pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:14
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+38
99.9%
Younghoe Koo 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.9%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Josh Magee for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 22Similar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Xavier Johnson run for no gain to the SAlab 22Similar
Q4 7:14
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Jalen ThompsonSimilar
Q4 7:14
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+72
99.9%
Brandon McKee punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 4 , Derek Keaton returns for 72 yds to the SAlab 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 23TD
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
100.0%
Vegas Harley run for 4 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Dallas Davis run for 1 yd to the SAlab 26Similar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
100.0%
Dami Ayoola run for 5 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q4 5:44
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-3
100.0%
Dami Ayoola run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 28Similar
Q4 5:44
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+29
100.0%
Brandon McKee punt for 44 yds SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the GeoSo 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 25FUMBLE
1 play · 46 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+51
100.0%
Noah Hickey run for 46 yds to the SAlab 6 Noah Hickey fumbled, forced by Antonio Carter, recovered by SAlab Antonio Carter SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Antonio Carter) to the SAlab 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 26END OF GAME
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
100.0%
Dami Ayoola run for 3 yds to the SAlab 9Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+7
100.0%
Dami Ayoola run for 7 yds to the SAlab 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
100.0%
Dami Ayoola run for no gain to the SAlab 16Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+3
100.0%
Dami Ayoola run for 3 yds to the SAlab 19Similar
Q4 2:52
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+4
100.0%
Dami Ayoola run for 4 yds to the SAlab 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FUMBLE · Q2 8:33
LA Ramsby run for a loss of 3 yards LA Ramsby fumbled, forced by Akeem Lewis, recovered by SAlab Devon Earl , return for 62 yds, (Aleem Sunanon KICK)
-7.9
TD · Q3 11:26
Matt Breida run for 75 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)
+6.1
TD · Q2 6:28
Matt Breida run for 1 yd for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)
+5.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com