Try the model
UL

Louisiana 7 at App State 28

APP
2015 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2015 · Kidd Brewer Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:09 · Steven Coutts punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Latrell Gibbs at the APPALCHAN 17 UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the AppSt 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 104Pregame prior+22.4Home team on offense+13.5Score differential+4.7Garbage-time factor+2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.3Blowout margin+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:03: Marcus Cox run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK) — APP win probability +2.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 8:18: Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the AppSt 44 — UL win probability +1.5 pts (now 9%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:42: Brooks Haack pass incomplete to Gabe Fuselier — APP win probability +1.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:44: Jalin Moore run for 54 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK) — APP win probability +4.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:34: Taylor Lamb pass complete to Michael Moll for 2 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK) — APP win probability +0.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UL made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00APP 4th & 5 at APP 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:38UL 4th & 14 at UL 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:34APP 4th & 1 at UL 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    90.3%−0.2
    89% to make
    Punt
    89.9%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:29UL 4th & 3 at APP 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    9.0%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:03UL 4th & 5 at UL 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:48UL 4th & 15 at APP 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    8.5%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:04UL 4th & 16 at APP 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.8
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    6.0%−2.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00UL 4th & 11 at UL 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:53APP 4th & 11 at APP 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:09UL 4th & 15 at UL 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:44UL 4th & 7 at UL 28, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:44UL 4th & 6 at UL 48, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:44UL 4th & 18 at APP 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    2.6%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00APP 4th & 12 at APP 30, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:38UL 4th & 11 at UL 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UL made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 9:34APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:03APP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:44APP Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:34APP Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:57UL Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
APPDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
92.7%
Marcus Cox run for no gain to the AppSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+5
92.7%
Marcus Cox run for 5 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
92.7%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
92.7%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 50 yds , Gary Haynes returns for no gain to the LaLaf 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
92.4%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 7
OWN 19
0
92.4%
Brooks Haack pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:38
3RD & 7
OWN 19
-7
92.4%
Brooks Haack sacked by Eric Boggs for a loss of 7 yards to the LaLaf 12Similar
Q1 13:38
4TH & 14
OWN 12
+10
92.4%
Steven Coutts punt for 53 yds , Bobo Beathard returns for 10 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 3TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:4292% → 92%
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
92.1%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Tre'maine Lightfoot) to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
92.2%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Marcus CoxSimilar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+22
92.2%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for 22 yds to the LaLaf 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
92.2%
Simms McElfresh run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 9Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 1
OPP 9
0
92.2%
Taylor Lamb run for no gain to the LaLaf 9Similar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 1
OPP 9
0
92.2%
Taylor Lamb run for no gain to the LaLaf 9Similar
Q1 9:34
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+9
92.1%
Marcus Cox run for 9 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4PUNT
12 plays · 47 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
91.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+6
91.9%
Torrey Pierce run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
91.9%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Torrey Pierce for 9 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+2
91.8%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
91.8%
Brooks Haack pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
91.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q1 9:29
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+11
91.9%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 11 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
91.8%
Brooks Haack pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-2
91.8%
Torrey Pierce run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 48Similar
Q1 9:29
3RD & 12
OPP 48
+9
91.9%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 9 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q1 9:29
4TH & 3
OPP 39
0
91.9%
Steven Coutts punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 5TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 6:0891% → 93%
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
91.3%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Simms McElfreshSimilar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
91.3%
Jalin Moore run for 6 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+15
91.2%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Montez McGuire for 15 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
91.5%
Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the AppSt 42Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+22
91.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Montez McGuire for 22 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
91.6%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 11
OPP 37
+2
91.6%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+10
91.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malachi Jones for 10 yds to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
91.6%
Taylor Lamb run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 6
OPP 21
-1
91.6%
Marcus Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+10
91.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for 10 yds to the LaLaf 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
91.6%
Marcus Cox run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+6
90.8%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Levi Duffield for 6 yds to the LaLaf 3Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+2
90.6%
Marcus Cox run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.8%
Marcus Cox run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
91.9%
Haack, Brooks pass incomplete to Haynes, Gary, PENALTY APP roughing passer (Norwood, Nate) 15 yards to the UL40, 1ST DOWN UL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
91.8%
McGuire, Elijah rush for no gain to the UL40 (Middleton, Doug), PENALTY UL holding 10 yards to the UL30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+2
91.9%
Torrey Pierce run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 18
OWN 32
+13
91.9%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Al Riles for 13 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q2 14:03
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
91.7%
Brooks Haack pass incomplete to Gabe FuselierSimilar
Q2 14:03
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
91.9%
Steven Coutts punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 7FUMBLE
8 plays · 51 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+18
92.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 18 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
92.8%
Marcus Cox run for 1 yd to the AppSt 43Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+9
92.8%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 9 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
92.8%
Marcus Cox run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+5
92.8%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
92.8%
Marcus Cox run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+9
92.9%
Taylor Lamb run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+28
92.9%
Taylor Lamb run for 1 yd to the AppSt 47 Taylor Lamb fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Travis Crawford , return for 28 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 2:309% → 8%
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
91.3%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+3
91.3%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+6
91.4%
Elijah McGuire run for 6 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
91.0%
Torrey Pierce run for 3 yds to the AppSt 32Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+1
90.9%
Jalen Nixon run for 1 yd to the AppSt 31Similar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 6
OPP 31
-9
91.8%
Brooks Haack sacked by John Law for a loss of 9 yards to the AppSt 40Similar
Q2 5:48
4TH & 15
OPP 40
0
92.4%
Steven Coutts punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 9FUMBLE
6 plays · 53 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
92.5%
Jalin Moore run for 6 yds to the AppSt 19Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+10
92.5%
Taylor Lamb run for 10 yds to the AppSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
92.6%
Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the AppSt 33Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+21
92.6%
Taylor Lamb run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST down UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
92.9%
Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+13
92.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malachi Jones for 13 yds Malachi Jones fumbled, forced by Chris Prater, recovered by LaLaf Taboris LeeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10MISSED FG
12 plays · 47 yds · 2:378% → 7%
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+16
92.2%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
50
+2
91.8%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+6
91.8%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 6 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+2
91.6%
Jalen Nixon run for 2 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
91.7%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 9 yds to the AppSt 31Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+7
91.3%
Torrey Pierce run for 7 yds to the AppSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
91.3%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Torrey Pierce for 11 yds to the AppSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
91.3%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the AppSt 11Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 8
OPP 11
-8
90.9%
Brooks Haack sacked by Ronald Blair for a loss of 8 yards to the AppSt 19Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 16
OPP 19
0
92.2%
Brooks Haack pass incomplete to Gabe FuselierSimilar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 16
OPP 19
+36
92.7%
Stevie Artigue 36 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Latrell Gibbs TEAM return for no gain to the AppSt 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 10 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
93.3%
Marcus Cox run for 10 yds to the AppSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.3%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+13
92.3%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 13 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
91.9%
Brooks Haack pass incomplete to Gabe Fuselier, broken up by Mondo WilliamsSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
92.0%
Brooks Haack pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+4
92.2%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Effrem Reed for 4 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 44
-5
92.3%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 39
+9
92.6%
Steven Coutts punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 19 , Latrell Gibbs returns for 9 yds to the AppSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
92.8%
Marcus Cox run for 4 yds to the AppSt 23Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+3
92.8%
Marcus Cox run for 3 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+3
92.5%
Marcus Cox run for 3 yds to the AppSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
92.8%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Marcus Cox for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 28Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 11
OWN 28
0
92.8%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 11
OWN 28
0
92.5%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Montez McGuireSimilar
Q3 12:53
4TH & 11
OWN 28
+23
92.0%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 50 yds , Gary Haynes returns for 23 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
91.6%
Brooks Haack sacked by Eric Boggs for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+8
92.0%
Brooks Haack run for 8 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
Q3 10:09
3RD & 4
OPP 49
-11
91.4%
Brooks Haack sacked by Eric Boggs for a loss of 11 yards to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q3 10:09
4TH & 15
OWN 40
+28
92.7%
Steven Coutts punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Latrell Gibbs at the APPALCHAN 17 UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the AppSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 15TD
4 plays · 68 yds · 1:2193% → 98%
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
93.4%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Levi DuffieldSimilar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
93.3%
Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the AppSt 35Similar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+11
93.1%
Taylor Lamb run for 11 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
97.9%
Jalin Moore run for 54 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 16PUNT
13 plays · 36 yds · 0:003% → 2%
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.5%
Elijah McGuire run for no gain to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.5%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
97.6%
Brooks Haack pass incomplete to Al RilesSimilar
Q3 6:44
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+16
97.6%
Jalen Nixon pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 16 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
97.4%
Torrey Pierce run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+3
97.4%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Gary Haynes for 3 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 3
OPP 49
-3
97.4%
Elijah McGuire run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q3 6:44
4TH & 6
OWN 48
+21
97.5%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 21 yds to the AppSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
97.1%
Elijah McGuire run for 1 yd to the AppSt 30Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 9
OPP 30
-14
97.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 14 yards to the AppSt 44Similar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 23
OPP 44
+5
97.6%
Elijah McGuire run for 5 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q3 6:44
4TH & 18
OPP 39
0
97.6%
Steven Coutts punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:0299% → 99%
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.7%
Marcus Cox run for no gain to the AppSt 20Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+12
98.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for 12 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
98.8%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Malachi JonesSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-1
98.8%
Marcus Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 31
-1
98.8%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Marcus Cox for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 30Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 30
+2
98.6%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 45 yds , Gary Haynes returns for 2 yds to the LaLaf 32 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, personal foul (Alex Gray) to the LaLaf 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
98.9%
Brooks Haack pass incomplete to Jamal RobinsonSimilar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
98.9%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 3 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 7
OWN 45
-4
98.9%
Brooks Haack sacked by Tashion Singleton for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q4 13:38
4TH & 11
OWN 41
0
98.9%
Steven Coutts punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Latrell Gibbs at the AppSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 19TD
13 plays · 86 yds · 5:3899% → 100%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-7
99.0%
Moore, Jalin rush for 2 yards to the APP16 (Peters, Otha;Osborne, M.), PENALTY APP personal foul (Chapman, Jesse) 7 yards to the APP7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 17
OWN 7
+3
99.0%
Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the AppSt 10Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 14
OWN 10
+37
99.0%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malachi Jones for 37 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
99.1%
Jalin Moore run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
99.1%
Jalin Moore run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
99.1%
Marcus Cox run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+3
99.1%
Marcus Cox run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
99.1%
Marcus Cox run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+5
99.1%
Marcus Cox run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 11Similar
Q4 12:12
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+7
99.1%
Marcus Cox run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
99.1%
Marcus Cox run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 5Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.1%
Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 2Similar
Q4 6:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Michael Moll for 2 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 20TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:370% → 1%
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 4 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-10
99.9%
Davis, Jordan rush for 2 yards to the UL31 (Ward, D.J.), PENALTY UL holding (Williams, D.) 10 yards to the UL19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+6
99.9%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 6 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q4 6:34
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+18
99.9%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Gary Haynes for 18 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
99.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+1
99.9%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 1 yd to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q4 6:34
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+12
99.9%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Nick Byrne for 12 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
99.9%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Gary Haynes for 9 yds to the AppSt 33Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+3
99.9%
Jordan Davis run for 3 yds to the AppSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
99.9%
Effrem Reed run for 2 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 8
OPP 28
-2
99.9%
Jordan Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 30Similar
Q4 6:34
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+10
99.9%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 10 yds to the AppSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.3%
Jordan Davis run for 20 yds for a TD, (Aaron Bird KICK)Similar
Q4 0:57
1ST & GOAL
50
+5
99.5%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive offside (AJ Howard) to the AppSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 21Uncategorized
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.6%
Ricky Fergerson run for no gain to the AppSt 36Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.6%
Ricky Fergerson run for 3 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:44
Jalin Moore run for 54 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)
+4.8
TD · Q2 14:03
Marcus Cox run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)
+2.2
KEY PLAY · Q2 8:18
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the AppSt 44
-1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com