Try the model
APP

App State 47 at Idaho 20

IDHO
2015 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2015 · Kibbie Dome
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · IDHO
modelIDHO aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playIDHO scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDSAFETYTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:39 · Austin Rehkow punt for 53 yds , Bobo Beathard returns for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 128Pregame prior−17.6Home team on offense−34.9Score differential−21.0Garbage-time factor−12.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:42: Elijhaa Penny 15 Yd pass from Matt Linehan (Austin Rehkow Kick) — IDHO win probability +2.8 pts (now 15%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 6:13: Austin Rehkow 22 Yd Field Goal — IDHO win probability +3.9 pts (now 18%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:11: Terrence Upshaw run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK) — APP win probability +4.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:13: Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malachi Jones for 15 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK) — APP win probability +4.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:45: Montez McGuire 5 Yd pass from Taylor Lamb (Zach Matics Kick) — APP win probability +5.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IDHO made the numbers' call on 6 of 9APP made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00IDHO 4th & 8 at IDHO 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:55APP 4th & 11 at IDHO 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    88.3%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 13:08IDHO 4th & 1 at IDHO 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:58IDHO 4th & 14 at APP 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:45APP 4th & 6 at APP 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:09IDHO 4th & 1 at APP 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    15.6%−1.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    12.5%−4.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:13IDHO 4th & 3 at APP 5, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.4%−0.6
    92% to make
    Punt
    13.1%−4.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:07APP 4th & 2 at IDHO 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    78.5%−1.4
    25% to make
    Punt
    79.1%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:13IDHO 4th & 8 at IDHO 38, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:39IDHO 4th & 13 at IDHO 15, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−1.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00APP 4th & 11 at IDHO 45, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    97.8%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:00APP 4th & 6 at IDHO 13, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:53IDHO 4th & 1 at IDHO 40, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:53IDHO 4th & 19 at IDHO 32, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IDHO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2APP made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 7:58APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:42IDHO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:09APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:11APP Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:13APP Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:45APP Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:23APP Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:28IDHO Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
8.1%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
8.1%
Matt Linehan run for 2 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
8.1%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+36
8.1%
Austin Rehkow punt for 54 yds , Bobo Beathard returns for 36 yds to the Idaho 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
8.5%
Terrence Upshaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 46Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 11
OPP 46
0
8.5%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Simms McElfreshSimilar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 11
OPP 46
0
8.5%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Terrence UpshawSimilar
Q1 13:55
4TH & 11
OPP 46
0
8.5%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
8.8%
Elijhaa Penny run for 5 yds to the Idaho 25Similar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
8.8%
Elijhaa Penny run for 4 yds to the Idaho 29Similar
Q1 13:08
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
8.8%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jake ManleySimilar
Q1 13:08
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
8.8%
Austin Rehkow punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Bobo Beathard at the AppSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 3:5191% → 90%
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
9.3%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Simms McElfreshSimilar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+6
9.3%
Jalin Moore run for 6 yds to the AppSt 30Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+14
9.3%
Jalin Moore run for 14 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
9.2%
Jalin Moore run for 5 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+13
9.2%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 13 yds to the Idaho 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
9.2%
Jalin Moore run for 11 yds to the Idaho 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
9.2%
Jalin Moore run for 8 yds to the Idaho 19Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+4
9.2%
Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the Idaho 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+15
9.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Barrett Burns for 15 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
10.0%
Elijhaa Penny run for no gain to the Idaho 25Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
9.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 5 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+14
9.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Buck Cowan for 14 yds to the Idaho 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
10.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Elijhaa Penny for 13 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
10.3%
Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd to the AppSt 42Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 9
OPP 42
0
10.3%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jante BostonSimilar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 9
OPP 42
-5
10.2%
Matt Linehan sacked by Olawale Dada for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 47Similar
Q1 7:58
4TH & 14
OPP 47
0
9.9%
Austin Rehkow punt for 46 yds, downed at the AppSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
10.8%
Terrence Upshaw run for no gain to the AppSt 1 Terrence Upshaw fumbled, recovered by AppSt Terrence UpshawSimilar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+4
10.9%
Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the AppSt 5Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 6
OWN 5
0
11.0%
Jalin Moore run for no gain to the AppSt 5Similar
Q1 4:45
4TH & 6
OWN 5
-2
11.1%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 45 yds , TEAM returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 7TD
3 plays · 52 yds · 1:0212% → 15%
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+34
12.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 34 yds to the AppSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
12.4%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the AppSt 15Similar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+15
15.1%
Elijhaa Penny 15 Yd pass from Matt Linehan (Austin Rehkow Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8TD
13 plays · 87 yds · 4:3386% → 88%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
13.8%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+8
13.8%
Jalin Moore run for 8 yds to the AppSt 21Similar
Q1 1:42
3RD & 2
OWN 21
+6
14.0%
Jalin Moore run for 6 yds to the AppSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
13.7%
Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the AppSt 31Similar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+3
13.6%
Taylor Lamb run for 3 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+12
14.5%
Jalin Moore run for 12 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
14.0%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Barrett BurnsSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+1
14.2%
Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the AppSt 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+10
14.4%
Taylor Lamb run for 10 yds to the Idaho 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
13.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malachi Jones for 6 yds to the Idaho 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+20
13.8%
Jalin Moore run for 20 yds to the Idaho 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
12.1%
Bobo Beathard 17 Yd Run (Zach Matics Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 9FG
16 plays · 70 yds · 5:5613% → 18%
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
13.1%
Elijhaa Penny run for 5 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
13.3%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Buck CowanSimilar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
13.0%
IDAHO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Idaho 25Similar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+36
12.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 36 yds to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
14.1%
Elijhaa Penny run for 4 yds to the AppSt 35Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+5
14.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 5 yds to the AppSt 30Similar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+6
14.1%
Elijhaa Penny run for 6 yds to the AppSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
14.5%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Callen HightowerSimilar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+5
14.5%
Elijhaa Penny run for 5 yds to the AppSt 19Similar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+4
14.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jante Boston for 4 yds to the AppSt 15Similar
Q2 12:09
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+3
13.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the AppSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
14.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Buck Cowan for 5 yds to the AppSt 7Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+2
14.5%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the AppSt 5Similar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 3
OPP 5
0
14.0%
Elijhaa Penny run for no gain to the AppSt 5Similar
Q2 6:13
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+22
18.0%
Austin Rehkow 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10TD
14 plays · 69 yds · 4:5683% → 89%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-10
16.8%
Upshaw, T. rush for 2 yards to the APP33 (Smith, Khalin), PENALTY APP holding (Collmar, Jamie) 10 yards to the APP21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 20
OWN 21
+10
17.2%
Terrence Upshaw run for 10 yds to the AppSt 31Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+16
17.0%
Terrence Upshaw run for 16 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
16.1%
Terrence Upshaw run for no gain to the AppSt 47Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
16.2%
Taylor Lamb run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 7
50
0
16.2%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Simms McElfreshSimilar
Q2 6:07
4TH & 7
50
+5
17.2%
Critcher, B. punt 50 yards to the IDAHO0, touchback, PENALTY IDAHO offside defense (Hightower, C) 5 yards to the IDAHO45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:07
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+3
16.8%
Taylor Lamb run for 3 yds to the Idaho 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+21
15.9%
Jalin Moore run for 21 yds to the Idaho 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
15.4%
Jalin Moore run for 8 yds to the Idaho 13Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+3
15.4%
Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the Idaho 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
15.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Levi Duffield for 9 yds to the Idaho 1Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
11.2%
Terrence Upshaw run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 11FG
14 plays · 49 yds · 1:0513% → 13%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-4
12.7%
Matt Linehan sacked by Stephen Burns for a loss of 4 yards to the Idaho 20Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 14
OWN 20
+11
12.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Elijhaa Penny for 11 yds to the Idaho 31Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+5
12.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 5 yds to the Idaho 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
12.7%
Matt Linehan run for 6 yds to the Idaho 42Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+6
13.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Buck Cowan for 6 yds to the Idaho 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
13.2%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+11
13.0%
Linehan, Matt pass incomplete to Hightower, C, PENALTY APP pass interference (Gibbs, Latrell) 11 yards to the APP41, 1ST DOWN IDAHO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+14
13.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jante Boston for 14 yds to the AppSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+44
15.3%
Austin Rehkow 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-15
12.8%
IDAHO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 1:4087% → 92%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+47
13.4%
Jalin Moore run for 47 yds to the Idaho 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
12.4%
Terrence Upshaw run for 11 yds to the Idaho 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
12.4%
Terrence Upshaw run for a loss of 5 yards to the Idaho 15Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
8.0%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malachi Jones for 15 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
10.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Buck Cowan for 9 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
10.5%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the Idaho 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
10.4%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Idaho 38Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
10.6%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
10.3%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon Watson, broken up by Mondo WilliamsSimilar
Q3 13:13
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
10.0%
Austin Rehkow punt for 55 yds, downed at the AppSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14TD
16 plays · 93 yds · 8:4992% → 98%
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
8.5%
Terrence Upshaw run for 6 yds to the AppSt 13Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+3
8.5%
Taylor Lamb run for 3 yds to the AppSt 16Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+1
8.7%
Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the AppSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+20
8.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 20 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
8.1%
Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-5
7.9%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 36Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+11
8.2%
Jalin Moore run for 11 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+16
7.8%
Taylor Lamb run for 16 yds to the Idaho 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
7.8%
Taylor Lamb sacked by Dorian Clark and Kaylyn Ayers for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 39Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+3
7.8%
Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the Idaho 36Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+13
7.8%
Jalin Moore run for 13 yds to the Idaho 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
7.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 7 yds to the Idaho 16Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+5
7.6%
Taylor Lamb run for 5 yds to the Idaho 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
7.6%
Terrence Upshaw run for 3 yds to the Idaho 8Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+3
7.6%
Terrence Upshaw run for 3 yds to the Idaho 5Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
1.8%
Montez McGuire 5 Yd pass from Taylor Lamb (Zach Matics Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-8
2.6%
Matt Linehan sacked by Ronald Blair for a loss of 8 yards to the Idaho 10Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 18
OWN 10
+1
2.6%
Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd to the Idaho 11Similar
Q3 2:39
3RD & 17
OWN 11
+4
2.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 4 yds to the Idaho 15Similar
Q3 2:39
4TH & 13
OWN 15
-4
2.5%
Austin Rehkow punt for 53 yds , Bobo Beathard returns for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:5198% → 98%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
1.8%
Jalin Moore run for 12 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
1.7%
Jalin Moore run for 16 yds to the Idaho 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
1.6%
Josh Boyd run for no gain to the Idaho 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-5
1.6%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Idaho 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 49
+4
1.6%
Josh Boyd run for 4 yds to the Idaho 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 45
0
1.6%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Malachi Jones, broken up by Dorian ClarkSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OPP 45
0
1.8%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 41 yds, downed at the Idaho 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 17SF
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
1.7%
Team SafetySimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & GOAL
OWN 20
+23
1.8%
Austin Rehkow punt for 55 yds , Bobo Beathard returns for 23 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 3:2899% → 100%
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
1.4%
JP Caruso pass complete to Deltron Hopkins for 15 yds to the Idaho 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
1.4%
Moore, Jalin rush for no gain to the IDAHO37 (Elliss, Kaden), PENALTY IDAHO face mask (Edwards, Chris) 15 yards to the IDAHO22, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+20
1.3%
JP Caruso run for 20 yds to the Idaho 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
1.3%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Idaho 7Similar
Q4 12:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
1.3%
Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the Idaho 6Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
1.3%
Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the Idaho 5Similar
Q4 9:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.3%
Bill Cecil 5 Yd pass from JP Caruso (Zach Matics Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 19TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:550% → 1%
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.2%
Callen Hightower run for 2 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 8
OWN 0
+12
0.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jante Boston for 12 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST down IDAHO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+22
0.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Buck Cowan for 22 yds to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
0.2%
Matt Linehan run for 14 yds to the AppSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
0.3%
Elijhaa Penny run for 5 yds to the AppSt 20Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+10
0.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Buck Cowan for 10 yds to the AppSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
0.3%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jake ManleySimilar
Q4 6:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
1.3%
Buck Cowan 10 Yd pass from Matt Linehan (Austin Rehkow Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20FG
8 plays · 32 yds · 3:2799% → 100%
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
0.7%
JP Caruso run for 4 yds to the Idaho 41Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+24
0.7%
Deltron Hopkins run for 24 yds to the Idaho 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
0.7%
Josh Boyd run for 6 yds to the Idaho 11Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+3
0.7%
JP Caruso run for 3 yds to the Idaho 8Similar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 1
OPP 8
-5
0.8%
Josh Boyd run for a loss of 5 yards to the Idaho 13 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 3:00
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+31
0.1%
Zach Matics 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 10 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
0.2%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jante BostonSimilar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+7
0.1%
Elijhaa Penny run for 7 yds to the Idaho 38Similar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+2
0.1%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the Idaho 40Similar
Q4 2:53
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+1
0.1%
Matt Linehan run for 1 yd to the Idaho 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-4
0.2%
Matt Linehan sacked by Caleb Fuller for a loss of 4 yards to the Idaho 37Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 14
OWN 37
-5
0.1%
Matt Linehan sacked by Caleb Fuller for a loss of 5 yards to the Idaho 32Similar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 19
OWN 32
0
0.1%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Buck CowanSimilar
Q4 2:53
4TH & 19
OWN 32
+9
0.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jante Boston for 9 yds to the Idaho 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
0.1%
JP Caruso run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:45
Montez McGuire 5 Yd pass from Taylor Lamb (Zach Matics Kick)
-5.8
TD · Q3 13:13
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malachi Jones for 15 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)
-4.4
TD · Q2 1:11
Terrence Upshaw run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)
-4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com