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UL

Louisiana 25 at South Alabama 32

USA
2015 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2015 · Ladd Peebles Stadium
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Win probability · USA
modelUSA aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playUSA scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 14:02 · Aleem Sunanon punt for 25 yds, downed at the SAlab 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Home team on offense+0.0Pregame prior−5.5Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:20: Gerald Everett 10 Yd pass from Cody Clements (Aleem Sunanon Kick) — USA win probability +13.0 pts (now 74%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 12:51: Cody Clements 7 Yd pass from Gerald Everett (Aleem Sunanon Kick) — USA win probability +14.1 pts (now 86%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:57: Jamal Robinson 45 Yd pass from Brooks Haack (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — UL win probability +19.7 pts (now 38%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:26: Savion Brown 85 Yd Interception Return (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — UL win probability +23.6 pts (now 45%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:32: Xavier Johnson 16 Yd Run (Cody Clements Run for Two-Point Conversion) — USA win probability +37.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USA made the numbers' call on 5 of 8UL made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 14:02USA 4th & 16 at USA 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:43UL 4th & 4 at USA 45, down 1
    Close callPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    49.0%−0.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    49.5%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:55USA 4th & 17 at USA 46, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.2%−0.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:20UL 4th & 21 at USA 34, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%−1.0
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.4%
    47% to make
    Punt
    46.0%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:20USA 4th & 5 at UL 8, up 1
    Close callKicked a field goal · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.5%−<0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    51.1%−4.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:33UL 4th & 6 at USA 49, down 4
    Close callPunted · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:44USA 4th & 3 at USA 25, up 4
    Close callPunted · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:02UL 4th & 11 at UL 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−1.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:48USA 4th & 21 at UL 48, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%−4.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:23UL 4th & 9 at UL 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−1.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:57USA 4th & 7 at USA 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−2.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:00UL 4th & 9 at UL 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−1.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:16USA 4th & 7 at UL 43, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsPunted · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    44.9%−1.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%−2.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:34UL 4th & 6 at UL 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.3%−2.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:41USA 4th & 1 at UL 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    93.7%−0.8
    66% to make
    Punt
    91.1%−3.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UL made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 11:18UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    52.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:00USA Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:20USA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:44UL Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:51USA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:57UL Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    29.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    28.3%−0.9
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:26UL Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    54.1%−1.5
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    55.6%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:32USA Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    80.3%−0.9
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    81.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:4945% → 45%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
44.5%
Cody Clements sacked by Taboris Lee for a loss of 6 yards to the SAlab 19Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
44.6%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Josh MageeSimilar
Q1 14:15
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
44.6%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to D.J. VinsonSimilar
Q1 14:02
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
44.6%
Aleem Sunanon punt for 25 yds, downed at the SAlab 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2TD
7 plays · 44 yds · 2:2055% → 56%
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
44.6%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 5 yds to the SAlab 39Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+3
44.7%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the SAlab 36Similar
Q1 12:41
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+7
44.8%
Jalen Nixon run for 7 yds to the SAlab 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
44.7%
Torrey Pierce run for 7 yds to the SAlab 22Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+4
44.8%
Torrey Pierce run for 4 yds to the SAlab 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
44.4%
Jalen Nixon 18 Yd Run (Stevie Artigue PAT blocked)Similar
Q1 11:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
44.4%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, False Start (D'Aquin Withrow) to the SAlab 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 3TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 2:5745% → 47%
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
44.8%
Terrance Timmons run for 10 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
44.9%
Terrance Timmons run for 1 yd to the SAlab 39Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
45.0%
Marvin Shinn pass incomplete to Josh MageeSimilar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+23
44.8%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 23 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
45.5%
Dami Ayoola run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+1
45.9%
Cody Clements run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q1 8:32
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+9
45.4%
Cody Clements pass complete to Danny Woodson for 9 yds to the LaLaf 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
46.0%
Xavier Johnson run for 13 yds to the LaLaf 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
47.3%
Xavier Johnson 9 Yd Run (Aleem Sunanon Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4PUNT
12 plays · 32 yds · 4:5953% → 52%
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
46.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+9
47.1%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 9 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
47.0%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 15
OWN 28
+4
47.4%
Jalen Nixon run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 11
OWN 32
0
47.6%
Brooks Haack pass incomplete to Gabe FuselierSimilar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 11
OWN 32
+17
48.0%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Al Riles for 17 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
46.7%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, False Start (Jesse Freeman) to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 15
OWN 44
-1
47.5%
Elijah McGuire run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 16
OWN 43
+8
47.8%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Torrey Pierce for 8 yds to the SAlab 49Similar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+4
47.4%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Al Riles for 4 yds to the SAlab 45Similar
Q1 2:43
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
47.9%
Steven Coutts punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 1:3949% → 48%
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+22
48.5%
Xavier Johnson run for 22 yds to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
49.6%
Terrance Timmons run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
50.2%
Terrance Timmons run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 12
OPP 49
0
49.6%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Gerald EverettSimilar
Q1 1:12
3RD & 12
OPP 49
0
49.2%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Josh MageeSimilar
Q1 1:03
4TH & 12
OPP 49
-5
48.3%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 46Similar
Q1 0:55
4TH & 17
OWN 46
+13
48.2%
Brandon McKee punt for 32 yds , Elijah McGuire returns for 13 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6MISSED FG
11 plays · 31 yds · 4:0051% → 49%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-7
48.8%
Jalen Nixon run for a loss of 7 yards to the LaLaf 28 Jalen Nixon fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Nick ByrneSimilar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 17
OWN 28
+4
49.5%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Al Riles for 4 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+9
49.9%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (E.J. May) to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+22
48.2%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 22 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
47.7%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 14 yds to the SAlab 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
47.1%
Elijah McGuire run for 5 yds to the SAlab 18Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 5
OPP 18
-5
47.2%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, False Start (Devin Scott) to the SAlab 23Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
47.5%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Nick Byrne for no gain to the SAlab 23Similar
Q2 11:53
3RD & 10
OPP 23
-11
48.4%
Brooks Haack sacked by Dondre Chanet and Sean Grayer for a loss of 11 yards to the SAlab 34Similar
Q2 11:20
4TH & 21
OPP 34
+61
51.3%
Stevie Artigue 51 yd FG RETURNED , Josh Magee return for 21 yds to the SAlab 21 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Block (Sean Grayer) to the SAlab 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 7FG
11 plays · 81 yds · 4:3452% → 56%
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
51.5%
Xavier Johnson run for 4 yds to the SAlab 15Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 6
OWN 15
0
51.5%
Xavier Johnson run for no gain to the SAlab 15Similar
Q2 10:02
3RD & 6
OWN 15
+7
51.0%
Cody Clements run for 7 yds to the SAlab 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
52.3%
Terrance Timmons run for 3 yds to the SAlab 25Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+8
52.6%
Cody Clements run for 8 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
52.9%
Terrance Timmons run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 32Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+55
52.6%
Cody Clements pass complete to Braedon Bowman for 55 yds to the LaLaf 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
56.8%
Dami Ayoola run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 9Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+4
57.0%
Dami Ayoola run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 5Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 2
OPP 5
-3
56.5%
Gerald Everett run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 8Similar
Q2 6:20
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+25
56.3%
Aleem Sunanon 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:0945% → 44%
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
55.4%
Elijah McGuire run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 11
OWN 26
0
55.8%
Brooks Haack pass incomplete to Jamal RobinsonSimilar
Q2 5:17
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+21
56.8%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Al Riles for 21 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
53.8%
Elijah McGuire run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+3
54.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the SAlab 49Similar
Q2 3:42
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
54.2%
Brooks Haack pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:33
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
56.2%
Steven Coutts punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Josh Magee at the SAlab 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 9TD
17 plays · 89 yds · 2:5957% → 74%
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
56.8%
Xavier Johnson run for 2 yds to the SAlab 13Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+3
56.6%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 16Similar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 5
OWN 16
+12
56.7%
Cody Clements pass complete to Marvin Shinn for 12 yds to the SAlab 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
58.2%
Terrance Timmons run for 12 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
58.9%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Danny WoodsonSimilar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
58.1%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 43Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+12
58.1%
Cody Clements pass complete to Marvin Shinn for 12 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
60.6%
Terrance Timmons run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
60.7%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Josh MageeSimilar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+14
60.8%
Cody Clements pass complete to Marvin Shinn for 14 yds to the LaLaf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
62.4%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+2
62.3%
Xavier Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+15
60.6%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Savion Brown) to the LaLaf 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
73.5%
Gerald Everett 10 Yd pass from Cody Clements (Aleem Sunanon Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
72.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 3:5630% → 44%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+22
70.3%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 22 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
69.0%
Elijah McGuire run for 6 yds to the SAlab 48Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+11
68.2%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Al Riles for 11 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
68.7%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 6 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+3
67.5%
Jalen Nixon run for 3 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q3 11:58
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+5
69.4%
Jalen Nixon run for 5 yds to the SAlab 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
68.2%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (E.J. May) to the SAlab 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
68.3%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 6 yds to the SAlab 2Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
68.5%
Elijah McGuire run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 3Similar
Q3 10:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
55.6%
Elijah McGuire 3 Yd Run (Stevie Artigue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4062% → 60%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
61.5%
Terrance Timmons run for no gain to the SAlab 18Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+3
61.7%
Cody Clements pass complete to D.J. Vinson for 3 yds to the SAlab 21Similar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+4
60.7%
Cody Clements run for 4 yds to the SAlab 25Similar
Q3 8:44
4TH & 3
OWN 25
+4
60.2%
Aleem Sunanon punt for 35 yds , Gary Haynes returns for 4 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:3242% → 38%
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
57.9%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Gary Haynes for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 11
OWN 43
0
59.2%
Brooks Haack pass incomplete to Gabe FuselierSimilar
Q3 8:11
3RD & 11
OWN 43
0
60.6%
Brooks Haack pass incomplete to Torrey PierceSimilar
Q3 8:02
4TH & 11
OWN 43
0
62.4%
Steven Coutts punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Josh Magee at the SAlab 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 43 yds · 3:5463% → 63%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+12
62.5%
Xavier Johnson run for 12 yds to the SAlab 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
63.0%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 24Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+14
63.4%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 14 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
65.0%
Xavier Johnson run for 11 yds to the SAlab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
66.6%
Dami Ayoola run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+11
67.3%
Cody Clements pass complete to D.J. Vinson for 11 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
67.6%
Cody Clements run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 13
OPP 40
0
66.1%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Danny WoodsonSimilar
Q3 4:33
3RD & 13
OPP 40
-3
64.8%
Cody Clements sacked by Darzil Washington for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q3 4:12
4TH & 16
OPP 43
-5
63.0%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q3 3:48
4TH & 21
OPP 48
+15
63.1%
Brandon McKee punt for 39 yds , Elijah McGuire returns for 15 yds to the LaLaf 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:1038% → 34%
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-12
62.3%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, Face Mask (12 yards) (Jesse Freeman) to the LaLaf 12Similar
Q3 3:17
1ST & 22
OWN 12
0
62.7%
Brooks Haack pass incomplete to Devin ScottSimilar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 22
OWN 12
+13
63.2%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 13 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q3 2:39
3RD & 9
OWN 25
0
64.3%
Brooks Haack pass incomplete to Jamal RobinsonSimilar
Q3 2:23
4TH & 9
OWN 25
0
65.7%
Steven Coutts punt for 52 yds, downed at the SAlab 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1566% → 64%
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-4
66.1%
Xavier Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 19Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 14
OWN 19
+7
65.7%
Cody Clements pass complete to Danny Woodson for 7 yds to the SAlab 26Similar
Q3 1:11
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
64.9%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Marvin ShinnSimilar
Q3 0:57
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
63.8%
Aleem Sunanon punt for 43 yds, downed at the LaLaf 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:5037% → 35%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
62.6%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
60.8%
Torrey Pierce run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q3 0:09
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
61.3%
Brooks Haack pass incomplete to Jamal RobinsonSimilar
Q3 0:04
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
62.7%
Brooks Haack pass incomplete to Gabe FuselierSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
65.4%
Steven Coutts punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Josh Magee at the SAlab 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 18TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 1:5267% → 86%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
66.9%
Xavier Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 14Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+14
66.6%
Cody Clements pass complete to Braedon Bowman for 14 yds to the SAlab 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
67.7%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+59
68.1%
Cody Clements pass complete to Josh Magee for 59 yds to the LaLaf 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
72.7%
Terrance Timmons run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 7Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
72.9%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Marvin ShinnSimilar
Q4 12:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
86.0%
Cody Clements 7 Yd pass from Gerald Everett (Aleem Sunanon Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19TD
6 plays · 83 yds · 1:3917% → 38%
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
83.4%
Brooks Haack run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+19
84.4%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 19 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+26
81.8%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 26 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-9
81.6%
Brooks Haack sacked by Antonio Carter for a loss of 9 yards to the SAlab 45Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 19
OPP 45
+45
61.9%
Jamal Robinson 45 Yd pass from Brooks Haack (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 20INT TD
8 plays · 49 yds · 2:1575% → 55%
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
74.6%
Cody Clements pass complete to Danny Woodson for 11 yds to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+20
77.6%
Xavier Johnson run for 20 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
78.9%
Xavier Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 12
OPP 36
+8
77.7%
Cody Clements pass complete to Josh Magee for 8 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+12
77.6%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 12 yds to the LaLaf 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
79.1%
Xavier Johnson run for no gain to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+85
55.4%
Savion Brown 85 Yd Interception Return (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 1:5447% → 48%
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
47.1%
Cody Clements pass complete to Danny Woodson for 7 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+21
50.4%
Terrance Timmons run for 21 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
53.8%
Terrance Timmons run for no gain to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+3
52.9%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q4 6:24
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
51.6%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Braedon BowmanSimilar
Q4 6:16
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
47.8%
Brandon McKee punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Elijah McGuire at the LaLaf 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 22INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 1:4462% → 63%
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
38.0%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 15 yds to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
37.2%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
37.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+11
37.2%
Brooks Haack pass intercepted E.J. May return for 11 yds to the LaLaf 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 23TD
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:4156% → 93%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
55.7%
Xavier Johnson run for no gain to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
92.9%
Xavier Johnson 16 Yd Run (Cody Clements Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4216% → 13%
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
84.4%
Brooks Haack pass incomplete to Nick ByrneSimilar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
86.2%
Brooks Haack pass incomplete to Jamal RobinsonSimilar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+4
87.1%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 4 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q4 2:34
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
87.1%
Brooks Haack pass incomplete to Al RilesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 25END OF GAME
11 plays · -1 yds · 2:3194% → 97%
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
94.1%
Xavier Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+10
94.7%
Cody Clements run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 1
OPP 25
0
95.2%
Xavier Johnson run for no gain to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q4 1:41
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+2
95.1%
Gerald Everett run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
96.0%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 15
OPP 28
-2
96.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 17
OPP 30
-3
96.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 20
OPP 33
-2
96.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:32
Xavier Johnson 16 Yd Run (Cody Clements Run for Two-Point Conversion)
+37.3
TD · Q4 8:26
Savion Brown 85 Yd Interception Return (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-23.6
TD · Q4 10:57
Jamal Robinson 45 Yd pass from Brooks Haack (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-19.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com