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IDHO

Idaho 45 at South Alabama 52

USA
2015 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2015 · Ladd Peebles Stadium
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Win probability · USA
modelUSA aheadIDHO aheadconfidence bandkey playUSA scoreIDHO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFUMBLETDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:20 · Brandon McKee punt for 53 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 41Home team on offense−3.0Pregame prior+12.8Score differential−1.6Garbage-time factor−1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Time remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 14:47: Austin Rehkow kickoff for 65 yds , Xavier Johnson return for 100 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK) — USA win probability +13.3 pts (now 43%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  2. FUMBLE · Q3 4:19: Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd Elijhaa Penny fumbled, forced by Blake Dees, recovered by SAlab Devon Earl , return for 57 yds, (Aleem Sunanon KICK) — USA win probability +14.8 pts (now 44%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:08: Cody Clements run for 6 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK) — USA win probability +24.7 pts (now 76%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:44: Elijhaa Penny run for 19 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK) — IDHO win probability +23.0 pts (now 59%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:14: Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 16 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK) — USA win probability +19.7 pts (now 77%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6IDHO made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 10:49IDHO 4th & 7 at USA 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    34.2%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:49USA 4th & 18 at USA 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−0.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:20USA 4th & 16 at USA 47, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:22USA 4th & 8 at USA 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:49IDHO 4th & 8 at IDHO 35, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%−1.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:51USA 4th & 1 at IDHO 1, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    29.8%−3.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    20.3%−13.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:08IDHO 4th & 4 at IDHO 7, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:47IDHO 4th & 3 at IDHO 44, up 10
    Close callPunted · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:56USA 4th & 7 at USA 5, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−1.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:54IDHO 4th & 16 at USA 49, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−2.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:45USA 4th & 9 at USA 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−1.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:00IDHO 4th & 18 at IDHO 17, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−4.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:19IDHO 4th & 4 at IDHO 30, up 3
    Close callPunted · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6IDHO made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 2:20IDHO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:22IDHO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:51IDHO Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:20USA Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:47USA Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:08USA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:44IDHO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:14USA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:42USA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:43IDHO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 5:19USA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 1:23IDHO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1FG
11 plays · 68 yds · 4:1134% → 35%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
66.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 6 yds to the Idaho 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
66.2%
Elijhaa Penny run for 10 yds to the Idaho 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+25
66.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Buck Cowan for 25 yds to the SAlab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
66.2%
Elijhaa Penny run for 15 yds to the SAlab 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
66.2%
Matt Linehan run for 11 yds to the SAlab 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
66.2%
Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd to the SAlab 7Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
66.2%
Elijhaa Penny run for no gain to the SAlab 7Similar
Q1 11:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
65.6%
Matt Linehan run for no gain to the SAlab 7Similar
Q1 10:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
65.5%
Austin Rehkow 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
65.5%
Terrance Timmons run for 4 yds to the SAlab 7Similar
Q1 10:49
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+5
65.5%
Terrance Timmons run for 5 yds to the SAlab 12Similar
Q1 10:49
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+8
65.4%
Tyreis Thomas run for 8 yds to the SAlab 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
65.6%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 3 yds to the SAlab 23Similar
Q1 10:49
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+18
65.6%
Tyreis Thomas run for 18 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
65.9%
Xavier Johnson run for 2 yds to the SAlab 43Similar
Q1 10:49
2ND & 8
OWN 43
-10
65.9%
Cody Clements sacked by Kaden Elliss for a loss of 10 yards to the SAlab 33Similar
Q1 10:49
3RD & 18
OWN 33
0
65.4%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to D.J. VinsonSimilar
Q1 10:49
4TH & 18
OWN 33
-3
65.3%
Aleem Sunanon punt for 49 yds , Rueben Mwehla returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Idaho 30 IDAHO Penalty, illegal block (6 Yards) to the Idaho 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 3TD
12 plays · 91 yds · 5:1835% → 42%
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+27
65.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 27 yds to the Idaho 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
64.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd to the Idaho 37Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+4
64.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 4 yds to the Idaho 41Similar
Q1 7:38
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+10
64.5%
Linehan, Matt pass incomplete to Hightower, C, PENALTY USA holding (E.J. May) 10 yards to the USA49, 1ST DOWN IDAHO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+27
64.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Rueben Mwehla for 27 yds to the SAlab 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
63.6%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+1
63.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd to the SAlab 21Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+9
63.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 9 yds to the SAlab 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
63.6%
Elijhaa Penny run for no gain to the SAlab 12Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+2
63.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Steven Matlock for 2 yds to the SAlab 10Similar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+10
58.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 10 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
59.0%
Xavier Johnson run for 9 yds to the SAlab 44Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+9
59.6%
Cody Clements pass complete to Chris Lewis for 9 yds to the Idaho 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
59.8%
Cody Clements rush for 25 yards to the IDAHO22, PENALTY USA holding (Chris May) 10 yards to the USA43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 20
OWN 43
+4
59.0%
Cody Clements run for 4 yds to the SAlab 47Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 16
OWN 47
0
59.1%
Cody Clements pass incomplete, broken up by Khalin SmithSimilar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 16
OWN 47
0
58.7%
Cody Clements pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:20
4TH & 16
OWN 47
0
58.5%
Brandon McKee punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:5642% → 45%
Q1 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
58.0%
Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd to the Idaho 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+41
57.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 41 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
56.6%
Elijhaa Penny run for 7 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+6
56.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 6 yds to the SAlab 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
56.5%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the SAlab 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+2
56.5%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the SAlab 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+11
56.7%
Linehan, Matt pass incomplete to Watson, Deon (Jalen Thompson), PENALTY USA pass interference (Jalen Thompson) 11 yards to the USA9, 1ST DOWN IDAHO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
56.5%
Elijhaa Penny run for 6 yds to the SAlab 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
56.5%
Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd to the SAlab 2Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
54.8%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
49.2%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Marvin ShinnSimilar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
49.1%
Cody Clements sacked for loss of 4 yards to the USA21 (Elliss, Kaden), PENALTY IDAHO substitution infraction 5 yards to the USA30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
49.8%
Terrance Timmons run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 29Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-2
49.2%
Cody Clements sacked by Khalin Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 27Similar
Q2 11:22
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
48.9%
Aleem Sunanon punt for 40 yds , Rueben Mwehla returns for no gain to the Idaho 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0045% → 44%
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
55.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for 1 yd to the Idaho 34Similar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+2
55.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Idaho 36Similar
Q2 9:49
3RD & 7
OWN 36
-1
55.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 35Similar
Q2 9:49
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
55.9%
Austin Rehkow punt for 44 yds , Josh Magee returns for no gain to the SAlab 22 Josh Magee fumbled, recovered by Idaho Kendrick TrotterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 8TD
2 plays · 22 yds · 0:4250% → 62%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
50.5%
Elijhaa Penny run for 5 yds to the SAlab 17Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+17
38.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 17 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 9DOWNS
13 plays · 58 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
41.6%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 15 yds to the Idaho 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
42.4%
Tyreis Thomas run for 5 yds to the Idaho 39Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+7
42.7%
Tyreis Thomas run for 7 yds to the Idaho 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
43.1%
Tyreis Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 34Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 12
OPP 34
+10
42.8%
Cody Clements run for 10 yds to the Idaho 24Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+5
42.6%
Tyreis Thomas run for 5 yds to the Idaho 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
43.5%
Xavier Johnson run for 8 yds to the Idaho 11Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+6
43.5%
Xavier Johnson run for 6 yds to the Idaho 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
43.5%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the Idaho 2Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
43.5%
Gerald Everett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 3Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
42.8%
D.J. Vinson run for 2 yds to the Idaho 1Similar
Q2 6:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
42.3%
D.J. Vinson run for no gain to the Idaho 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:2260% → 64%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
39.6%
Elijhaa Penny run for no gain to the Idaho 1Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+1
39.0%
Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd to the Idaho 2Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 9
OWN 2
+5
39.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 5 yds to the Idaho 7Similar
Q2 2:08
4TH & 4
OWN 7
-2
36.5%
Austin Rehkow punt for 49 yds , Josh Magee returns for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 11TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 0:3830% → 38%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
29.5%
Cody Clements pass complete to Chris Lewis for 9 yds to the Idaho 49Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+4
30.7%
Terrance Timmons run for 4 yds to the Idaho 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+20
30.4%
Cody Clements pass complete to Marvin Shinn for 20 yds to the Idaho 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+19
31.5%
Cody Clements pass complete to Danny Woodson for 19 yds to the Idaho 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
38.4%
Cody Clements pass complete to Marvin Shinn for 6 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
29.5%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
29.5%
Elijhaa Penny run for 5 yds to the Idaho 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
42.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 12 yds to the Idaho 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
41.9%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the Idaho 39Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
41.4%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Callen HightowerSimilar
Q3 14:47
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+5
42.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Buck Cowan for 5 yds to the Idaho 44Similar
Q3 14:47
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
42.9%
Austin Rehkow punt for 54 yds, downed at the SAlab 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0039% → 37%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
39.2%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Josh MageeSimilar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+3
39.2%
Tyreis Thomas run for 3 yds to the SAlab 5Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 7
OWN 5
0
38.0%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Marvin ShinnSimilar
Q3 12:56
4TH & 7
OWN 5
0
37.4%
Aleem Sunanon punt for 38 yds, downed at the SAlab 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0062% → 59%
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
38.0%
Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd to the SAlab 42Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 9
OPP 42
-9
38.0%
Matt Linehan run for a loss of 9 yards to the Idaho 48 Matt Linehan fumbled, recovered by Idaho Matt LinehanSimilar
Q3 11:54
3RD & 19
OWN 48
+3
39.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the SAlab 49Similar
Q3 11:54
4TH & 16
OPP 49
0
40.7%
Austin Rehkow punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0037% → 35%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
36.8%
Tyreis Thomas run for 1 yd to the SAlab 20Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+13
36.8%
Cody Clements run for 13 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
37.5%
Tyreis Thomas run for 6 yds to the SAlab 39Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+2
38.8%
Tyreis Thomas run for 2 yds to the SAlab 41Similar
Q3 9:45
3RD & 2
OWN 41
-2
38.3%
Cody Clements pass complete to Claude Garrett for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 39Similar
Q3 9:45
4TH & 4
OWN 39
-5
36.3%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (Quinton Dent) to the SAlab 34Similar
Q3 9:45
4TH & 9
OWN 34
+13
35.1%
Aleem Sunanon punt for 54 yds , Rueben Mwehla returns for 13 yds to the Idaho 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0065% → 63%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
35.2%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
35.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Callen HightowerSimilar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-13
36.3%
Linehan, Matt pass complete to Cowan, Trent for 13 yards to the IDAHO40 (Jalen Thompson), QB hurry by Blake Dees, PENALTY IDAHO pass interference (Cowan, Trent) 13 yards to the IDAHO14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+3
36.8%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the Idaho 17Similar
Q3 7:00
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+22
37.5%
Austin Rehkow punt for 58 yds , Josh Magee returns for 22 yds to the Idaho 49 Josh Magee fumbled, forced by Darius Peterson, recovered by Idaho Kevin SheltonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 19FUMBLE TD
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:4371% → 56%
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
29.4%
Elijhaa Penny run for 8 yds to the SAlab 43Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+57
44.2%
Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd Elijhaa Penny fumbled, forced by Blake Dees, recovered by SAlab Devon Earl , return for 57 yds, (Aleem Sunanon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0052% → 49%
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
48.2%
Matt Linehan run for 6 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 4
OWN 30
0
46.5%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon WatsonSimilar
Q3 4:19
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
48.3%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jante BostonSimilar
Q3 4:19
4TH & 4
OWN 30
+6
50.7%
Austin Rehkow punt blocked by Jalen Thompson, punt out-of-bounds at the Idaho 6 blocked by Jalen Thompson Margo Reed return for 6 yds to the Idaho 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 21TD
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q3 3:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
75.5%
Cody Clements run for 6 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 22TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 2:2432% → 59%
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
67.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 5 yds to the Idaho 38Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
65.4%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon Watson, broken up by Jeremy ReavesSimilar
Q3 3:08
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+32
67.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 32 yds to the SAlab 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
62.7%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Elijhaa PennySimilar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+6
62.8%
Elijhaa Penny run for 6 yds to the SAlab 24Similar
Q3 3:08
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+5
63.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Buck Cowan for 5 yds to the SAlab 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
40.9%
Elijhaa Penny run for 19 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 23TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 2:3050% → 77%
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
49.9%
Xavier Johnson run for no gain to the SAlab 31Similar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+9
49.6%
Xavier Johnson run for 9 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+5
51.9%
Tyreis Thomas run for 5 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+18
52.8%
Tyreis Thomas run for 18 yds to the Idaho 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
54.5%
Terrance Timmons run for 7 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+13
56.8%
Terrance Timmons run for 13 yds to the Idaho 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
56.8%
Terrance Timmons run for 1 yd to the Idaho 16Similar
Q4 13:14
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+16
76.5%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 16 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 25FG
5 plays · -15 yds · 1:2177% → 85%
Q4 13:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
76.5%
Dami Ayoola run for a loss of 5 yards to the Idaho 14Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 29
0
75.1%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Josh Magee, broken up by Dorian ClarkSimilar
Q4 13:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
-15
75.7%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Marvin Shinn) to the Idaho 29Similar
Q4 13:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 29
+5
72.9%
Cody Clements pass complete to Braedon Bowman for 5 yds to the Idaho 24Similar
Q4 11:47
4TH & 0
OPP 24
+41
85.3%
Aleem Sunanon 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 26INT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0019% → 22%
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.2%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Callen HightowerSimilar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
81.4%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the Idaho 28Similar
Q4 11:47
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+18
82.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Elijhaa Penny for 18 yds to the Idaho 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
78.6%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the Idaho 49Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
77.8%
Matt Linehan pass intercepted Margo Reed return for no gain to the SAlab 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 27TD
7 plays · 84 yds · 2:0186% → 95%
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+50
85.8%
Xavier Johnson run for 50 yds to the Idaho 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
88.3%
Tyreis Thomas run for 4 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+9
88.2%
Tyreis Thomas run for 9 yds to the Idaho 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
88.2%
Tyreis Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 22Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 11
OPP 22
0
88.2%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Braedon BowmanSimilar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 11
OPP 22
+14
87.3%
Cody Clements pass complete to D.J. Vinson for 14 yds to the Idaho 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 8
OWN 0
+8
95.3%
Cody Clements run for 8 yds for a TD IDAHO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Idaho 0, (Aleem Sunanon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 28TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 1:598% → 21%
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
92.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Buck Cowan for 8 yds to the SAlab 49Similar
Q4 7:42
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+6
91.4%
Elijhaa Penny run for 6 yds to the SAlab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+22
91.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Buck Cowan for 22 yds to the SAlab 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
90.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 5 yds to the SAlab 16Similar
Q4 7:42
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+5
90.9%
Elijhaa Penny run for 5 yds to the SAlab 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
79.1%
Matt Linehan run for 11 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 29TD
2 plays · 61 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
96.5%
Xavier Johnson run for 61 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 30TD
18 plays · 74 yds · 3:566% → 13%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+18
94.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 18 yds to the Idaho 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
93.5%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Elijhaa PennySimilar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
93.4%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Elijhaa PennySimilar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+15
93.8%
Linehan, Matt pass incomplete to Hightower, C, PENALTY USA pass interference (Roman Buchanan) 15 yards to the USA41, 1ST DOWN IDAHO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
93.3%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Elijhaa PennySimilar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-2
93.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 43Similar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 12
OPP 43
+13
93.6%
Matt Linehan run for 13 yds to the SAlab 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
92.7%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Elijhaa PennySimilar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
92.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Buck Cowan for 5 yds to the SAlab 25Similar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+7
92.9%
Matt Linehan run for 7 yds to the SAlab 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
92.4%
Elijhaa Penny run for 7 yds to the SAlab 11Similar
Q4 2:02
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+6
96.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Elijhaa Penny for 6 yds to the SAlab 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
96.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the SAlab 2Similar
Q4 2:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
96.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd to the SAlab 1Similar
Q4 1:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.8%
Matt Linehan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 31END OF GAME
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0597% → 96%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-4
96.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Idaho 48Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 14
OPP 48
-2
96.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:18
3RD & 16
50
-2
96.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:08
Cody Clements run for 6 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK)
+24.7
TD · Q3 0:44
Elijhaa Penny run for 19 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)
-23
TD · Q4 13:14
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 16 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK)
+19.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com