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ULM

UL Monroe 13 at Idaho 27

IDHO
2015 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2015 · Kibbie Dome
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Win probability · IDHO
modelIDHO aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playIDHO scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:26 · Austin Rehkow punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Trey Caldwell at the LaMon 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 179Home team on offense+28.1Pregame prior−0.8Garbage-time factor+13.8Score differential+11.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+11.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+5.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:42: Garrett Smith pass complete to Marcus Green for 11 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK) — ULM win probability +3.6 pts (now 59%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:07: Matt Linehan pass complete to Buck Cowan for 36 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK) — IDHO win probability +14.2 pts (now 59%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 9:03: Craig Ford 31 yd FG GOOD — ULM win probability +5.7 pts (now 53%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:27: Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 34 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK) — IDHO win probability +17.6 pts (now 75%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:35: Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 23 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK) — IDHO win probability +11.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IDHO made the numbers' call on 4 of 7ULM made the numbers' call on 6 of 11
  1. Q1 8:56IDHO 4th & 20 at ULM 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%−0.4
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    43.0%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:17ULM 4th & 7 at IDHO 39, down 3
    Close callPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    54.2%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:23IDHO 4th & 5 at IDHO 7, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:17ULM 4th & 9 at IDHO 42, down 3
    Close callPunted · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    52.6%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:09IDHO 4th & 18 at ULM 22, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−1.5
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.0%
    72% to make
    Punt
    39.3%−3.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:07ULM 4th & 7 at IDHO 47, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:03ULM 4th & 22 at IDHO 27, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−1.7
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    50.4%−3.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:40ULM 4th & 16 at IDHO 35, up 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsPunted · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    57.4%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:45ULM 4th & 10 at ULM 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%−2.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:47IDHO 4th & 4 at IDHO 45, up 3
    Close callPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.8%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:03ULM 4th & 6 at IDHO 14, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    34.3%−9.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:59ULM 4th & 1 at ULM 35, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.6%−2.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:57IDHO 4th & 4 at ULM 23, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.2%−0.5
    70% to make
    Punt
    66.8%−8.8
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:32ULM 4th & 20 at ULM 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−6.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:13ULM 4th & 6 at IDHO 8, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.4%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    9.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−5.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:26IDHO 4th & 1 at IDHO 29, up 14
    Close callPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%−1.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:02ULM 4th & 4 at ULM 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.1%−1.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:00IDHO 4th & 3 at ULM 3, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    98.2%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−1.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IDHO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ULM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 0:42ULM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:07IDHO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:27IDHO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:35IDHO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1FG
14 plays · 56 yds · 5:3441% → 43%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
41.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 6 yds to the Idaho 28Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+6
41.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 6 yds to the Idaho 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
41.6%
Elijhaa Penny run for 13 yds to the Idaho 47 IDAHO Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the Idaho 32Similar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
41.9%
Matt Linehan run for no gain to the Idaho 32Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+12
42.0%
Elijhaa Penny run for 12 yds to the Idaho 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
42.4%
Matt Linehan run for 2 yds to the Idaho 46Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+10
42.4%
Elijhaa Penny run for 10 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
42.8%
Elijhaa Penny run for 8 yds to the LaMon 36Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+24
43.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Rueben Mwehla for 12 yds to the LaMon 24 for a 1ST down UL MONROE Penalty, Face Mask (12 yards) (12 Yards) to the LaMon 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
43.2%
Elijhaa Penny run for 4 yds to the LaMon 8Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 6
OPP 8
0
43.3%
Jake Luton run for no gain to the LaMon 8Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 6
OPP 8
-14
43.3%
Matt Linehan sacked by Caleb Tucker for a loss of 14 yards to the LaMon 22Similar
Q1 8:56
4TH & 20
OPP 22
+39
43.4%
Austin Rehkow 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 2:1056% → 55%
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
44.1%
DeVontae McNeal run for 2 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+17
44.2%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Marcus Green for 17 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
43.8%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Jared Mapps for 8 yds to the Idaho 48Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 2
OPP 48
0
43.6%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Jared MappsSimilar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+6
43.9%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Jared Mapps for 6 yds to the Idaho 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
43.8%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Marcus GreenSimilar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
43.9%
Kaylon Watson run for 3 yds to the Idaho 39Similar
Q1 6:28
3RD & 7
OPP 39
0
44.1%
Garrett Smith pass incomplete to Marcus GreenSimilar
Q1 6:17
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
44.7%
Chris Qualls punt for 37 yds, downed at the Idaho 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:3745% → 44%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
44.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for 5 yds to the Idaho 7Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 5
OWN 7
0
44.8%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:33
3RD & 5
OWN 7
0
44.4%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon WatsonSimilar
Q1 5:23
4TH & 5
OWN 7
-4
44.2%
Austin Rehkow punt for 51 yds , Junior Williams returns for a loss of 4 yards to the LaMon 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:4355% → 54%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
45.1%
Ben Luckett run for 3 yds to the LaMon 41Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+16
44.9%
Garrett Smith pass complete to De'Vonte Haggerty for 16 yds to the Idaho 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-3
44.7%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Kaylon Watson for a loss of 3 yards to the Idaho 46Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 13
OPP 46
+2
45.3%
DeVontae McNeal run for 2 yds to the Idaho 44Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 11
OPP 44
-4
45.8%
Smith, Garrett pass complete to Green, Marcus for 13 yards to the IDAHO31, PENALTY ULMONROE illegal formation 4 yards to the IDAHO48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 15
OPP 48
+6
46.2%
Garrett Smith run for 6 yds to the Idaho 42Similar
Q1 2:17
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
46.3%
Chris Qualls punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5FUMBLE
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:3846% → 46%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
46.1%
Aaron Duckworth run for no gain to the Idaho 20Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-5
46.3%
Matt Linehan sacked by Lenzy Pipkins for a loss of 5 yards to the Idaho 15 Matt Linehan fumbled, forced by Lenzy Pipkins, recovered by LaMon Sam Fenlason , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 6TD
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:3355% → 59%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
44.6%
Kaylon Watson run for 4 yds to the Idaho 11Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+11
41.0%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Marcus Green for 11 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 7FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 3:2143% → 44%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
42.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 11 yds to the Idaho 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
43.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Rueben Mwehla for 3 yds to the Idaho 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+16
44.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jante Boston for 16 yds to the LaMon 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
44.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for 7 yds to the LaMon 38Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+10
44.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for 10 yds to the LaMon 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
45.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Rueben Mwehla for 9 yds to the LaMon 19Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+5
45.5%
Elijhaa Penny run for 5 yds to the LaMon 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-8
45.6%
Matt Linehan sacked by Michael Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the LaMon 22Similar
Q2 12:18
2ND & 18
OPP 22
0
45.4%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon WatsonSimilar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 18
OPP 22
0
43.6%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Buck CowanSimilar
Q2 12:09
4TH & 18
OPP 22
+39
44.2%
Austin Rehkow 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:5356% → 56%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
44.1%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Xavier Brown for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
50
+3
42.5%
Ben Luckett run for 3 yds to the Idaho 47Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
42.5%
Garrett Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
42.9%
Garrett Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:07
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
44.4%
Chris Qualls punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 9FUMBLE
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
45.2%
Matt Linehan run for a loss of 5 yards to the Idaho 15 Matt Linehan fumbled, recovered by LaMon Michael JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 10FG
5 plays · -12 yds · 1:4758% → 57%
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
41.9%
DeVontae McNeal run for a loss of 5 yards to the Idaho 20Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 15
OPP 20
-5
42.4%
UL MONROE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Idaho 25Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 20
OPP 25
+1
42.8%
Garrett Smith run for 1 yd to the Idaho 24Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 19
OPP 24
-3
43.4%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Marcus Green for a loss of 3 yards to the Idaho 27Similar
Q2 9:03
4TH & 22
OPP 27
+44
43.5%
Craig Ford 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 11INT
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:4843% → 46%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
42.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 2 yds to the Idaho 23Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 8
OWN 23
-3
42.0%
Elijhaa Penny run for a loss of 3 yards to the Idaho 20Similar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+37
40.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Buck Cowan for 37 yds to the LaMon 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
44.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Rueben Mwehla for 7 yds to the LaMon 36Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+8
44.9%
Elijhaa Penny run for 8 yds to the LaMon 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
45.9%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+26
45.9%
Matt Linehan pass intercepted Tre' Hunter return for 26 yds to the LaMon 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 3:1058% → 58%
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
41.6%
Kaylon Watson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 27Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+15
41.7%
DeVontae McNeal run for 15 yds to the LaMon 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
39.6%
Smith, Garrett pass incomplete to Brown, Xavier, PENALTY ULMONROE pass interference (Ceaser, Rashon) 0 yards to the IDAHO47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ULMONROE.Similar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
39.6%
DeVontae McNeal run for 6 yds to the Idaho 41Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+12
39.2%
DeVontae McNeal run for 12 yds to the Idaho 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
38.6%
Garrett Smith pass complete to DeVontae McNeal for 2 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
38.5%
Garrett Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:50
3RD & 8
OPP 27
-8
39.0%
Garrett Smith run for a loss of 8 yards to the Idaho 35 Garrett Smith fumbled, recovered by LaMon Garrett SmithSimilar
Q2 2:40
4TH & 16
OPP 35
0
41.6%
Chris Qualls punt for 31 yds, downed at the Idaho 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 13TD
16 plays · 96 yds · 2:2341% → 59%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
41.4%
Elijhaa Penny run for no gain to the Idaho 4Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+8
41.1%
Matt Linehan run for 8 yds to the Idaho 12Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 2
OWN 12
+8
41.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 8 yds to the Idaho 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
42.8%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Dezmon EppsSimilar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
42.7%
Matt Linehan run for no gain to the Idaho 20Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+15
41.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 15 yds to the Idaho 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
43.5%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon WatsonSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
43.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Buck Cowan for 8 yds to the Idaho 43Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+7
45.1%
Elijhaa Penny run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
50
0
44.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 10
50
+14
43.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 14 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
44.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Dezmon EppsSimilar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+36
59.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Buck Cowan for 36 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
58.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:0547% → 44%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
53.5%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Marcus Green for 5 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
52.8%
Kaylon Watson run for no gain to the LaMon 30Similar
Q3 13:52
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-5
56.0%
UL MONROE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 25Similar
Q3 13:52
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
54.2%
Garrett Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:45
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
56.5%
Chris Qualls punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dezmon Epps at the Idaho 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5357% → 56%
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
57.0%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+6
56.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for 6 yds to the Idaho 45Similar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
57.2%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Dezmon EppsSimilar
Q3 12:47
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
55.7%
Austin Rehkow punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Junior Williams at the LaMon 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 17FG
11 plays · 68 yds · 3:3746% → 53%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
54.3%
DeVontae McNeal run for 6 yds to the LaMon 24Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+22
53.5%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Harley Scioneaux for 22 yds to the LaMon 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
51.5%
Garrett Smith run for no gain to the LaMon 46Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+15
53.9%
Smith, Garrett pass sacked for loss of 1 yards to the ULMONROE45 (Smith, Khalin), PENALTY IDAHO face mask 15 yards to the IDAHO39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ULMONROE.Similar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+21
52.6%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Jared Mapps for 21 yds to the Idaho 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-10
51.5%
McNeal, DeVontae rush for 1 yard to the IDAHO17, PENALTY ULMONROE holding 10 yards to the IDAHO28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 20
OPP 28
+14
52.3%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Marcus Green for 14 yds to the Idaho 14Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 6
OPP 14
0
51.8%
Garrett Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:07
3RD & 6
OPP 14
0
53.3%
Garrett Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:03
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+31
47.5%
Craig Ford 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 18TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 2:2153% → 75%
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
52.8%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+15
52.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for 15 yds to the Idaho 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
54.3%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the Idaho 39Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+5
55.8%
Elijhaa Penny run for 5 yds to the Idaho 44Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+3
55.9%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the Idaho 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
57.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jante Boston for 12 yds to the LaMon 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
57.8%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Dezmon EppsSimilar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+7
57.8%
Matt Linehan run for 7 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+34
75.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 34 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1131% → 30%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
68.7%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Xavier Brown for 5 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q3 5:48
2ND & 5
OWN 31
0
67.8%
Garrett Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+4
69.3%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Jared Mapps for 4 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
Q3 4:59
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
70.5%
Chris Qualls punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Dezmon Epps at the Idaho 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 20MISSED FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 2:5174% → 78%
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
74.4%
Elijhaa Penny run for 7 yds to the Idaho 42Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+5
76.5%
Elijhaa Penny run for 5 yds to the Idaho 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
77.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jante Boston for 5 yds to the LaMon 48Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 5
OPP 48
0
77.6%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+19
76.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 19 yds to the LaMon 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
79.1%
Elijhaa Penny run for 6 yds to the LaMon 23Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 4
OPP 23
0
80.4%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jante BostonSimilar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 4
OPP 23
0
79.3%
Elijhaa Penny run for no gain to the LaMon 23Similar
Q3 1:57
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+40
78.1%
Austin Rehkow 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:5927% → 23%
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
73.0%
Kaylon Watson run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 20Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 13
OWN 20
-7
74.5%
Garrett Smith sacked by Tueni Lupeamanu for a loss of 7 yards to the LaMon 13Similar
Q3 0:43
3RD & 20
OWN 13
0
75.8%
Garrett Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:32
4TH & 20
OWN 13
+46
76.7%
Chris Qualls punt for 46 yds , Dezmon Epps returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 22TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 2:4581% → 96%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
80.6%
Elijhaa Penny run for 6 yds to the Idaho 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+3
82.0%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the Idaho 49Similar
Q4 14:30
3RD & 1
OWN 49
-2
81.4%
Penny, Elijhaa rush for 9 yards to the ULMONROE42, PENALTY IDAHO holding 2 yards to the IDAHO40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+17
80.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 17 yds to the LaMon 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
83.5%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
83.5%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+15
82.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 15 yds to the LaMon 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
84.1%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the LaMon 23Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+23
95.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 23 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 23DOWNS
12 plays · 64 yds · 3:1110% → 7%
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
90.4%
Garrett Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+18
91.3%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Marcus Green for 18 yds to the LaMon 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
91.4%
Garrett Smith run for 3 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+4
91.7%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Markis McCray for 4 yds to the Idaho 47Similar
Q4 10:40
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+8
92.0%
Garrett Smith pass complete to DeVontae McNeal for 8 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
92.3%
Smith, Garrett pass incomplete, PENALTY IDAHO personal foul 15 yards to the IDAHO24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ULMONROE.Similar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
91.4%
Garrett Smith run for 12 yds to the Idaho 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
91.2%
Garrett Smith run for 4 yds to the Idaho 8Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 6
OPP 8
0
91.8%
Garrett Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 6
OPP 8
0
92.4%
Garrett Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:13
4TH & 6
OPP 8
0
92.7%
Garrett Smith pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:3497% → 98%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
96.6%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the Idaho 10Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+6
96.8%
Penny, Elijhaa rush for 3 yards to the IDAHO13, PENALTY ULMONROE offside 6 yards to the IDAHO16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+4
97.0%
Matt Linehan run for 4 yds to the Idaho 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
97.1%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the Idaho 22Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
97.2%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the Idaho 25Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+4
97.6%
Elijhaa Penny run for 4 yds to the Idaho 29Similar
Q4 5:26
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
97.5%
Austin Rehkow punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Trey Caldwell at the LaMon 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 25DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:134% → 4%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
95.7%
Garrett Smith pass complete to Kaylon Watson for 6 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q4 5:09
2ND & 4
OWN 29
0
95.4%
Garrett Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 4
OWN 29
0
95.5%
Garrett Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:02
4TH & 4
OWN 29
0
95.8%
Garrett Smith pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 26DOWNS
11 plays · 24 yds · 4:5098% → 99%
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
98.3%
Elijhaa Penny run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 30Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+10
98.5%
Elijhaa Penny run for 10 yds to the LaMon 20Similar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+1
98.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd to the LaMon 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
98.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the LaMon 17Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+3
98.8%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the LaMon 14Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+8
99.0%
Elijhaa Penny run for 8 yds to the LaMon 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
99.1%
Aaron Duckworth run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 8Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
99.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for 6 yds to the LaMon 2Similar
Q4 0:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 3Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
99.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:27
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 34 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)
+17.6
TD · Q2 0:07
Matt Linehan pass complete to Buck Cowan for 36 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)
+14.2
TD · Q4 12:35
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 23 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)
+11.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com