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IDHO

Idaho 19 at Troy 16

TROY
2015 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2015 · Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
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Win probability · TROY
modelTROY aheadIDHO aheadconfidence bandkey playTROY scoreIDHO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDFGFGTDFGFGEnd of GameFG-30.5TROY 23.6%Austin Rehkow 19 yd FG GOODAWAY 19 - HOME 16 · Q4 3:01
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:01 · Austin Rehkow 19 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 177Pregame prior+1.9Home team on offense−18.1Garbage-time factor−6.1Score differential−5.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 5:49: Austin Rehkow 31 yd FG GOOD — IDHO win probability +7.4 pts (now 35%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:53: Jake Luton run for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK) — IDHO win probability +19.4 pts (now 66%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 1:33: Austin Rehkow 40 yd FG GOOD — IDHO win probability +11.9 pts (now 78%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:18: Dallas Tidwell pass complete to Teddy Ruben for 43 yds for a TD, (Jed Solomon KICK) — TROY win probability +24.2 pts (now 59%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. FG · Q4 3:01: Austin Rehkow 19 yd FG GOOD — IDHO win probability +30.5 pts (now 76%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TROY made the numbers' call on 9 of 10IDHO made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00IDHO 4th & 10 at TROY 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:44TROY 4th & 10 at IDHO 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    79.3%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:04IDHO 4th & 13 at TROY 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    23.1%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00TROY 4th & 5 at IDHO 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:11IDHO 4th & 9 at TROY 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    24.0%−2.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:11TROY 4th & 6 at TROY 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:49IDHO 4th & 7 at TROY 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    26.8%−5.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:42IDHO 4th & 2 at TROY 49, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:57TROY 4th & 11 at TROY 8, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−3.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:12IDHO 4th & 10 at TROY 35, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−1.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.1%
    45% to make
    Punt
    41.7%−2.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:16IDHO 4th & 11 at IDHO 1, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−4.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:49TROY 4th & 3 at IDHO 24, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.3%−1.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    47.1%−10.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:49IDHO 4th & 1 at IDHO 39, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.9 ptsPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%−2.9
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:33IDHO 4th & 6 at TROY 23, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    54.6%−11.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:49TROY 4th & 8 at IDHO 22, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    19.8%−6.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:18IDHO 4th & 3 at IDHO 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−1.0
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:27TROY 4th & 3 at IDHO 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    51.0%−3.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    50.0%−4.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:07TROY 4th & 14 at IDHO 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%−8.3
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    30.7%−17.0
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:01IDHO 4th & 1 at TROY 2, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 13.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%
    60% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.8%−13.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−42.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:37TROY 4th & 2 at TROY 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.8%−10.8
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:32TROY 4th & 5 at IDHO 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−18.6
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    11.6%−32.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TROY made the numbers' call on 1 of 1IDHO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 4:53IDHO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 14:18TROY Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.2%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
82.9%
Elijhaa Penny run for 9 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
82.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 4 yds to the Idaho 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
82.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Rueben Mwehla for 7 yds to the Idaho 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+6
82.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Dezmon Epps for a 1ST down TROY Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Demetrius Cain) to the Troy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
82.9%
Jake Luton pass complete to Buck Cowan for no gain to the Troy 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
82.9%
Jake Luton run for no gain to the Troy 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
82.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Dezmon EppsSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
82.9%
Austin Rehkow punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Troy 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
82.1%
Dontreal Pruitt pass complete to Teddy Ruben for 15 yds to the Troy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-8
82.2%
Brandon Burks run for a loss of 8 yards to the Troy 37Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 18
OWN 37
+12
82.0%
Dontreal Pruitt pass complete to Brandon Burks for 12 yds to the Troy 49Similar
Q1 11:44
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+6
82.1%
Dontreal Pruitt pass complete to K.D. Edenfield for 6 yds to the Idaho 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
82.3%
Andre Flakes run for 6 yds to the Idaho 39Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 4
OPP 39
0
82.3%
Dontreal Pruitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:44
3RD & 4
OPP 39
-6
82.3%
Brandon Burks run for a loss of 6 yards to the Idaho 45Similar
Q1 11:44
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
82.0%
Ryan Kay punt for 44 yds, downed at the Idaho 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 3PUNT
14 plays · 59 yds · 5:2819% → 21%
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+7
81.0%
Elijhaa Penny run for 7 yds to the Idaho 8Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 3
OWN 8
+7
81.0%
Elijhaa Penny run for 7 yds to the Idaho 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
80.9%
Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd to the Idaho 16Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+3
81.0%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the Idaho 19Similar
Q1 8:32
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+21
81.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 6 yds to the Idaho 25 for a 1ST down TROY Penalty, personal foul (Jalen Harris) to the Idaho 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
80.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jante Boston for 11 yds to the Troy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
80.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 4 yds to the Troy 45Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+2
80.5%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Troy 43Similar
Q1 8:32
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+6
80.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 6 yds to the Troy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
80.5%
Aaron Duckworth run for a loss of 3 yards to the Troy 40Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 13
OPP 40
0
80.6%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:04
3RD & 13
OPP 40
0
79.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete IDAHO Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 3:04
4TH & 13
OPP 40
0
79.5%
Austin Rehkow punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 2:4880% → 79%
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
79.5%
Brandon Burks run for 6 yds to the Troy 26Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+3
79.6%
Dontreal Pruitt run for 3 yds to the Troy 29Similar
Q1 2:48
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+5
79.4%
Burks, Brandon rush up middle for 1 yard to the TROY30 (Bradley, Q), PENALTY IDAHO offside defense (Lupeamanu, T) 5 yards to the TROY34, 1ST DOWN TROY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
79.6%
Dontreal Pruitt pass complete to Teddy Ruben for 12 yds to the Troy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
80.3%
Brandon Burks run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 6
50
-5
80.4%
TROY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Troy 45Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+2
79.9%
Dontreal Pruitt run for 2 yds to the Troy 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+4
79.1%
Dontreal Pruitt run for 4 yds to the Idaho 49Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 49
+6
79.1%
Ryan Kay punt for 37 yds , Dezmon Epps returns for 6 yds to the Idaho 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5FG
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:5922% → 26%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
77.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the Idaho 21Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+6
77.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 6 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+2
77.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Idaho 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
77.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 11 yds to the Idaho 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
76.8%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon WatsonSimilar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+14
77.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 14 yds to the Troy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+28
76.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 28 yds to the Troy 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
76.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Buck Cowan, broken up by LaMarcus FarmerSimilar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+1
76.1%
Aaron Duckworth run for 1 yd to the Troy 17Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 9
OPP 17
0
76.5%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:11
4TH & 9
OPP 17
+34
74.1%
Austin Rehkow 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0075% → 74%
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
74.9%
Brandon Burks run for 2 yds to the Troy 27Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
75.1%
Brandon Burks run for 2 yds to the Troy 29Similar
Q2 10:11
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
74.6%
Dontreal Pruitt pass incomplete to Teddy RubenSimilar
Q2 10:11
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
74.0%
Ryan Kay punt for 28 yds, downed at the Idaho 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 7FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 3:0028% → 35%
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
72.1%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-1
72.4%
Aaron Duckworth run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 42Similar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 11
OWN 42
+41
73.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 41 yds to the Troy 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
71.3%
Aaron Duckworth run for no gain to the Troy 17Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
71.3%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Buck CowanSimilar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 10
OPP 17
-10
72.0%
Linehan, Matt rush up middle for 7 yards to the TROY10 (Smiley, A.J.), PENALTY IDAHO holding (Woods, Mason) 10 yards to the TROY27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 20
OPP 27
-5
72.7%
Linehan, Matt deep pass incomplete to Penny, Elijhaa, PENALTY IDAHO ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the TROY32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 25
OPP 32
+18
72.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 18 yds to the Troy 14Similar
Q2 5:49
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+31
65.4%
Austin Rehkow 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 8INT
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:0068% → 71%
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
68.3%
Dontreal Pruitt run for 12 yds to the Troy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
69.9%
Dontreal Pruitt pass complete to John Johnson for 13 yds to the Idaho 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
70.3%
Dontreal Pruitt run for 5 yds to the Idaho 35Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 5
OPP 35
-5
71.4%
TROY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Idaho 40Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
70.2%
Dontreal Pruitt pass complete to Teddy Ruben for 3 yds to the Idaho 37Similar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+11
70.1%
Dontreal Pruitt run for 11 yds to the Idaho 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
71.4%
Dontreal Pruitt pass incomplete to Andre Flakes, broken up by Quinton BradleySimilar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+19
71.3%
Dontreal Pruitt pass intercepted Marc Millan return for 19 yds to the Idaho 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2738% → 40%
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
61.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for 4 yds to the Idaho 47Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+3
61.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:09
3RD & 3
50
+1
61.5%
Matt Linehan run for 1 yd to the Troy 49Similar
Q2 1:42
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
60.0%
Austin Rehkow punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Teddy Ruben at the Troy 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 0:3762% → 61%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-5
61.5%
TROY Penalty, delay of game (Dontreal Pruitt) to the Troy 4Similar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 15
OWN 4
+10
61.5%
Dontreal Pruitt pass complete to Jarvis Bentley for 10 yds to the Troy 14Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 5
OWN 14
-4
61.8%
Dontreal Pruitt sacked by Quinton Bradley for a loss of 4 yards to the Troy 10Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 9
OWN 10
-2
61.5%
Dontreal Pruitt sacked by Chris Edwards for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 8Similar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 11
OWN 8
0
60.7%
Ryan Kay punt for 38 yds, downed at the Troy 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 11MISSED FG
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:3543% → 42%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
56.7%
Matt Linehan run for 11 yds to the Troy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
55.8%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon Watson, broken up by LaMarcus FarmerSimilar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
55.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Dezmon EppsSimilar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
56.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Dezmon EppsSimilar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 10
OPP 35
+52
58.3%
Austin Rehkow 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
61.6%
Dontreal Pruitt run for no gain to the Troy 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 13FUMBLE
6 plays · 73 yds · 0:0062% → 65%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+51
62.2%
Brandon Burks run for 51 yds to the Idaho 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+13
66.5%
Dontreal Pruitt run for 13 yds to the Idaho 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
66.5%
Brandon Burks run for 7 yds to the Idaho 4Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+1
66.5%
Brandon Burks run for 1 yd to the Idaho 3Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+1
65.1%
Brandon Burks run for 1 yd to the Idaho 2 Brandon Burks fumbled, forced by Kaylyn Ayers, recovered by Idaho Armond HawkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0041% → 39%
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
58.8%
Elijhaa Penny run for no gain to the Idaho 2 Elijhaa Penny fumbled, recovered by Idaho Elijhaa PennySimilar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 10
OWN 2
-1
59.1%
Elijhaa Penny run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 1Similar
Q3 13:16
3RD & 11
OWN 1
0
60.0%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:16
4TH & 11
OWN 1
+23
60.9%
Austin Rehkow punt for 53 yds , Teddy Ruben returns for 23 yds to the Idaho 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 15FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3964% → 64%
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
63.8%
Dontreal Pruitt pass complete to Bryan Holmes for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 32Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+3
63.6%
Brandon Burks run for 3 yds to the Idaho 29Similar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+5
62.1%
Brandon Burks run for 5 yds to the Idaho 24Similar
Q3 9:49
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+41
64.4%
Jed Solomon 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
60.3%
Aaron Duckworth run for no gain to the Idaho 30Similar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-4
60.8%
Matt Linehan sacked by Tyler Roberts for a loss of 4 yards to the Idaho 26Similar
Q3 9:49
3RD & 14
OWN 26
+13
62.4%
Jake Luton pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 13 yds to the Idaho 39Similar
Q3 9:49
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
60.6%
Austin Rehkow punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 17FUMBLE
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:0061% → 59%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
61.1%
Brandon Burks run for 1 yd to the Troy 21Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
60.9%
Dontreal Pruitt pass incomplete to Teddy RubenSimilar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
59.4%
Dontreal Pruitt run for no gain to the Troy 21 Dontreal Pruitt fumbled, forced by Kaylyn Ayers, recovered by Idaho Tueni LupeamanuSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 18TD
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:5547% → 66%
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
53.5%
Aaron Duckworth run for 7 yds to the Troy 14Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 3
OPP 14
-2
53.5%
Aaron Duckworth run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 16Similar
Q3 6:48
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+10
55.1%
Jake Luton pass complete to Jante Boston for 10 yds to the Troy 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
53.5%
Jake Luton run for 2 yds to the Troy 4Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
34.1%
Jake Luton run for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 19INT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0038% → 36%
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
38.1%
Dontreal Pruitt sacked by Armond Hawkins for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 24Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-2
37.9%
Dontreal Pruitt run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 22Similar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
36.2%
Dontreal Pruitt pass intercepted Russell Siavii return for no gain to the Troy 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 20FG
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:4467% → 78%
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
33.1%
Aaron Duckworth run for 13 yds to the Troy 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
32.1%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the Troy 24Similar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 7
OPP 24
-10
32.1%
Luton, Jake sideline pass incomplete to Epps, Dezmon, PENALTY IDAHO holding (Rose, Jordan) 10 yards to the TROY34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 17
OPP 34
0
32.8%
Jake Luton pass incomplete to Jante BostonSimilar
Q3 3:17
3RD & 17
OPP 34
+11
34.1%
Aaron Duckworth run for 11 yds to the Troy 23Similar
Q3 1:33
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+40
22.2%
Austin Rehkow 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 21FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 1:4429% → 32%
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
28.5%
Dallas Tidwell pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 24 yds to the Troy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+14
30.6%
Dallas Tidwell pass complete to Brandon Burks for 14 yds to the Idaho 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
31.7%
Andre Flakes run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 39Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+15
30.6%
Tidwell, Dallas deep pass incomplete to Bentley, Jarvis, PENALTY IDAHO pass interference (Clark, Dorian) 15 yards to the IDAHO24, 1ST DOWN TROY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
33.5%
Dallas Tidwell pass incomplete to Teddy Ruben, broken up by Russell SiaviiSimilar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+2
32.8%
Brandon Burks run for 2 yds to the Idaho 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 22
0
29.3%
Dallas Tidwell pass incomplete to Bryan HolmesSimilar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 8
OPP 22
+39
31.8%
Jed Solomon 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 22TD
4 plays · 54 yds · 0:3134% → 59%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
33.5%
Dallas Tidwell pass complete to Jarvis Bentley for 11 yds to the Idaho 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
35.1%
Dallas Tidwell pass incomplete to Teddy RubenSimilar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+43
59.3%
Dallas Tidwell pass complete to Teddy Ruben for 43 yds for a TD, (Jed Solomon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0049% → 47%
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
51.3%
Jake Luton pass complete to Dezmon Epps for no gain to the Idaho 25Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
51.5%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the Idaho 28Similar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
52.6%
Jake Luton pass complete to Elijhaa Penny for 4 yds to the Idaho 32Similar
Q4 14:18
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
53.4%
Austin Rehkow punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Teddy Ruben at the Troy 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 24FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 4:2051% → 60%
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
51.4%
Dallas Tidwell pass complete to Teddy Ruben for 9 yds to the Troy 35Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+8
54.5%
Dallas Tidwell run for 8 yds to the Troy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
54.8%
Dallas Tidwell pass incomplete to Jarvis BentleySimilar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
52.8%
Dallas Tidwell pass incomplete to Bryan HolmesSimilar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+13
50.9%
Dallas Tidwell pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 13 yds to the Idaho 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
56.7%
Dallas Tidwell pass incomplete to Deondre DouglasSimilar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+7
56.4%
Dallas Tidwell pass complete to Teddy Ruben for 7 yds to the Idaho 37Similar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 3
OPP 37
0
56.2%
Dallas Tidwell pass incomplete to Emanuel ThompsonSimilar
Q4 12:27
4TH & 3
OPP 37
+24
53.5%
Dallas Tidwell pass complete to Jarvis Bentley for 10 yds to the Idaho 27 for a 1ST down IDAHO Penalty, personal foul (Dorian Clark) to the Idaho 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
59.2%
Brandon Burks run for 2 yds to the Idaho 11Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 8
OPP 11
0
59.2%
Dallas Tidwell pass incomplete to Jarvis BentleySimilar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 8
OPP 11
-6
56.4%
Dallas Tidwell sacked by Quinton Bradley for a loss of 6 yards to the Idaho 17Similar
Q4 8:07
4TH & 14
OPP 17
+34
59.9%
Jed Solomon 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 25FG
16 plays · 73 yds · 5:0643% → 76%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
56.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 11 yds to the Idaho 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
55.2%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
56.1%
Matt Linehan run for 9 yds to the Idaho 45Similar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+6
52.8%
Elijhaa Penny run for 6 yds to the Troy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
51.4%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon WatsonSimilar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+12
51.9%
Matt Linehan run for 12 yds to the Troy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
51.4%
Matt Linehan sacked by Tyler Roberts for a loss of 10 yards to the Troy 47Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 20
OPP 47
+13
54.1%
Elijhaa Penny run for 13 yds to the Troy 34Similar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+7
52.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 7 yds to the Troy 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+16
49.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 6 yds to the Troy 21 for a 1ST down TROY Penalty, roughing passer (Tyler Roberts) to the Troy 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
49.2%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+9
49.2%
Elijhaa Penny run for 9 yds to the Troy 2Similar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 1
OPP 2
-1
51.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 3Similar
Q4 8:07
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+1
54.1%
TROY Penalty, delay of game (1 Yards) to the Troy 2Similar
Q4 3:01
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+19
23.6%
Austin Rehkow 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 26MISSED FG
18 plays · 60 yds · 2:2938% → 27%
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
37.7%
Brandon Burks run for 3 yds to the Troy 28Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
38.1%
Dallas Tidwell pass incomplete to Brandon BurksSimilar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+9
35.4%
Dallas Tidwell run for 9 yds to the Troy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
39.1%
Brandon Burks run for 4 yds to the Troy 41Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
42.4%
Dallas Tidwell pass incomplete to Teddy RubenSimilar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+4
40.3%
Andre Flakes run for 4 yds to the Troy 45Similar
Q4 1:37
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+7
31.0%
Dallas Tidwell pass complete to Teddy Ruben for 7 yds to the Idaho 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
36.9%
Dallas Tidwell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+13
36.2%
Dallas Tidwell pass complete to Teddy Ruben for 13 yds to the Idaho 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
40.4%
Dallas Tidwell pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 15 yds to the Idaho 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
38.9%
Brandon Burks run for 3 yds to the Idaho 17Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+2
38.9%
Dallas Tidwell pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 2 yds to the Idaho 15Similar
Q4 0:42
3RD & 5
OPP 15
0
34.8%
Dallas Tidwell pass incomplete to Deondre DouglasSimilar
Q4 0:32
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+32
27.4%
Jed Solomon 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
7.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 3:01
Austin Rehkow 19 yd FG GOOD
-30.5
TD · Q4 14:18
Dallas Tidwell pass complete to Teddy Ruben for 43 yds for a TD, (Jed Solomon KICK)
+24.2
TD · Q3 4:53
Jake Luton run for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)
-19.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com