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USA

South Alabama 24 at Troy 18

TROY
2015 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2015 · Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
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Win probability · TROY
modelTROY aheadUSA aheadconfidence bandkey playTROY scoreUSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:41 · Tyreis Thomas run for 4 yds to the Troy 31 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 181Home team on offense−34.8Pregame prior+0.1Garbage-time factor−13.5Score differential−4.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−12.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:02: Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 6 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK) — USA win probability +6.8 pts (now 54%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:39: Andre Flakes run for 20 yds for a TD, (Jed Solomon KICK) — TROY win probability +7.1 pts (now 56%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 3:11: Cody Clements pass complete to Josh Magee for 44 yds to the Troy 27 for a 1ST down — USA win probability +13.7 pts (now 62%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 0:46: Aleem Sunanon 35 yd FG GOOD — USA win probability +6.4 pts (now 72%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 10:34: Jed Solomon 33 yd FG GOOD — TROY win probability +9.2 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TROY made the numbers' call on 6 of 7USA made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 13:48USA 4th & 4 at USA 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:46TROY 4th & 6 at USA 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    59.5%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:47TROY 4th & 10 at TROY 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:35USA 4th & 13 at USA 14, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.9%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    43.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:07TROY 4th & 6 at TROY 31, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00USA 4th & 13 at USA 44, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−0.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:39USA 4th & 6 at USA 25, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:17TROY 4th & 1 at USA 47, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    48.3%−2.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00USA 4th & 3 at TROY 38, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    54.6%−2.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%−1.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:36TROY 4th & 20 at TROY 32, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−4.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:21USA 4th & 7 at TROY 11, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    50.6%−10.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:46USA 4th & 1 at TROY 18, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.4%−4.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    51.6%−16.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:18TROY 4th & 5 at TROY 32, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−0.9
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:20USA 4th & 15 at USA 36, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%−5.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:48TROY 4th & 1 at TROY 43, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.0%−9.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:41USA 4th & 2 at TROY 35, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    89.5%−0.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    88.1%−1.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TROY made the numbers' call on 1 of 2USA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:38USA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:51TROY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    59.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    59.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:07USA Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:02USA Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:39TROY Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TROYDrive 1INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
62.5%
Brandon Burks run for 3 yds to the Troy 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+9
62.5%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to John Johnson for 9 yds to the Troy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
62.5%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Teddy RubenSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
62.5%
Brandon Silvers pass intercepted Roman Buchanan return for no gain to the SAlab 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
62.4%
Cody Clements pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
62.4%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Danny WoodsonSimilar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+6
62.5%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 6 yds to the SAlab 35Similar
Q1 13:48
4TH & 4
OWN 35
+33
62.5%
Brandon McKee punt for 47 yds , Teddy Ruben returns for 33 yds to the SAlab 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
62.7%
TROY Penalty, delay of game (Brandon Silvers) to the Troy 46Similar
Q1 12:46
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+9
62.5%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Teddy Ruben for 9 yds to the SAlab 45Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
62.7%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
62.7%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Jarvis Bentley, broken up by Devon EarlSimilar
Q1 12:46
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
62.5%
Ryan Kay punt for 25 yds, downed at the SAlab 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 4TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:2738% → 41%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
62.4%
Xavier Johnson run for 8 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+2
62.2%
Xavier Johnson run for 2 yds to the SAlab 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+26
62.3%
Cody Clements pass complete to Josh Magee for 26 yds to the Troy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
62.1%
Tyreis Thomas run for 11 yds to the Troy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
62.0%
Tyreis Thomas run for 2 yds to the Troy 31Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+10
62.0%
Tyreis Thomas run for 10 yds to the Troy 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
62.0%
Tyreis Thomas run for 9 yds to the Troy 12Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+11
62.0%
Xavier Johnson run for 11 yds to the Troy 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
59.0%
Xavier Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 37 yds · 1:5160% → 58%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+15
59.7%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Troy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
59.8%
Brandon Burks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 21Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+13
59.7%
Brandon Burks run for 13 yds to the Troy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
59.9%
Brandon Burks run for 11 yds to the Troy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
60.2%
Brandon Burks run for no gain to the Troy 45Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
60.1%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Jarvis BentleySimilar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
59.8%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Brandon BurksSimilar
Q1 6:47
4TH & 10
OWN 45
+3
58.3%
Ryan Kay punt for 41 yds , Chris Lewis returns for 3 yds to the SAlab 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 6FUMBLE
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0042% → 41%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
58.5%
Terrance Timmons run for 1 yd to the SAlab 18Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 9
OWN 18
0
58.6%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Danny WoodsonSimilar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 9
OWN 18
-4
58.9%
Cody Clements sacked by Garrett Peek for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 14Similar
Q1 6:35
4TH & 13
OWN 14
-9
59.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards to the SAlab 11 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Troy Nick McLaughlinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 7TD
3 plays · 11 yds · 1:2160% → 64%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
59.5%
Brandon Burks run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 12Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+6
59.5%
Brandon Silvers run for 6 yds to the SAlab 6Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+6
63.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 6 yds for a TD, (B. Burks Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 8TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 2:4438% → 44%
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-10
62.2%
Tyreis Thomas rush right for loss of 1 yard to the USA33 (Cain, Demetrius), PENALTY USA holding (Joseph Scelfo) 10 yards to the USA24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 20
OWN 24
+15
62.6%
Cody Clements deep pass incomplete to Josh Magee, PENALTY TROY pass interference (Farmer, L.) 15 yards to the USA39, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
61.8%
Terrance Timmons run for 8 yds to the SAlab 47Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+8
61.3%
Terrance Timmons run for 8 yds to the Troy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+25
61.3%
Cody Clements pass complete to Tyreis Thomas for 10 yds to the Troy 35 for a 1ST down TROY Penalty, personal foul (Seth Calloway) to the Troy 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
60.7%
Xavier Johnson run for 5 yds to the Troy 17 Xavier Johnson fumbled, forced by Terris Lewis, recovered by SAlabSimilar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
60.7%
Tyreis Thomas run for no gain to the Troy 17Similar
Q1 1:07
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+17
55.7%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 17 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
57.3%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+4
57.0%
Brandon Burks run for 4 yds to the Troy 31Similar
Q1 1:07
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
56.9%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:07
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
56.4%
Ryan Kay punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0745% → 43%
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
55.5%
Xavier Johnson run for 1 yd to the SAlab 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
55.5%
Cody Clements pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 48
-4
55.8%
Cody Clements sacked by Sam Lebbie and William Lloyd for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 44Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 44
0
57.4%
Brandon McKee punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Teddy Ruben at the Troy 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 11INT
2 plays · -9 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-9
56.1%
Brandon Burks run for a loss of 9 yards to the Troy 14Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 19
OWN 14
+10
55.8%
Brandon Silvers pass intercepted Kalen Jackson return for 10 yds to the Troy 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 12TD
3 plays · 9 yds · 1:1047% → 54%
Q2 13:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
53.0%
Tyreis Thomas run for 2 yds to the Troy 7Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
53.0%
Xavier Johnson run for 1 yd to the Troy 6Similar
Q2 12:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
46.2%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 6 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 13TD
10 plays · 58 yds · 3:2349% → 56%
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
49.0%
Brandon Silvers run for 9 yds to the SAlab 49Similar
Q2 12:02
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+1
49.6%
Brandon Silvers run for 1 yd to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
49.6%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Brandon BurksSimilar
Q2 12:02
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+6
49.4%
Brandon Burks run for 6 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+9
47.6%
Brandon Burks run for 9 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
48.7%
Brandon Burks run for 3 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+10
48.7%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Clark Quisenberry for 10 yds to the SAlab 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
55.9%
Andre Flakes run for 20 yds for a TD, (Jed Solomon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0048% → 47%
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
52.4%
Terrance Timmons run for 1 yd to the SAlab 12Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+9
52.7%
Cody Clements pass complete to Chris Lewis for 9 yds to the SAlab 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
52.2%
Tyreis Thomas run for 4 yds to the SAlab 25Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
51.5%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Chris LewisSimilar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
52.3%
Cody Clements pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:39
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
53.5%
Brandon McKee punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Teddy Ruben at the Troy 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 15DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2152% → 50%
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
52.2%
Brandon Burks run for 5 yds to the Troy 49Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+3
52.8%
Brandon Burks run for 3 yds to the SAlab 48Similar
Q2 6:38
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+1
52.7%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 1 yd to the SAlab 47Similar
Q2 5:17
4TH & 1
OPP 47
-2
49.8%
Brandon Burks run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 16INT
9 plays · 41 yds · 4:2354% → 59%
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
46.5%
Xavier Johnson run for 10 yds to the Troy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
45.9%
Xavier Johnson run for 5 yds to the Troy 36Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+3
45.7%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the Troy 33Similar
Q2 5:12
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+3
45.9%
Cody Clements run for 3 yds to the Troy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
45.6%
Xavier Johnson run for 4 yds to the Troy 26Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+19
45.4%
Xavier Johnson run for 19 yds to the Troy 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
45.4%
Tyreis Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the Troy 10Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
41.2%
Cody Clements pass intercepted Justin Lucas return for 3 yds to the Troy 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
46.0%
Brandon Burks run for 5 yds to the Troy 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 37 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
46.2%
Xavier Johnson run for 4 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
45.5%
TROY Penalty, offside defense (Lonnie Gosha) to the SAlab 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
45.0%
Xavier Johnson run for 2 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
45.1%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 9 yds to the SAlab 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+10
43.9%
Tyreis Thomas run for 10 yds to the Troy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
43.6%
Cody Clements run for no gain to the Troy 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
43.7%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 7 yds to the Troy 38Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 38
0
43.9%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Tyreis ThomasSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 38
0
45.6%
Brandon McKee punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0047% → 45%
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
46.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Brandon Burks for no gain to the Troy 20Similar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+22
46.8%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Teddy Ruben for 22 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
49.6%
Pruitt, D. rush up middle for 3 yards to the TROY45 (Blake Dees), PENALTY TROY holding 10 yards to the TROY32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 20
OWN 32
0
46.9%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Jarvis BentleySimilar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 20
OWN 32
0
46.8%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to K.D. Edenfield, broken up by Jeremy ReavesSimilar
Q3 11:36
3RD & 20
OWN 32
0
45.4%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Bryan HolmesSimilar
Q3 11:36
4TH & 20
OWN 32
0
44.8%
Ryan Kay punt for 45 yds , Chris Lewis returns for no gain to the SAlab 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 20MISSED FG
10 plays · 66 yds · 4:3456% → 61%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-6
43.8%
Cody Clements sacked by Rashad Dillard for a loss of 6 yards to the SAlab 17Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 16
OWN 17
+23
44.6%
Cody Clements pass complete to Braedon Bowman for 23 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
41.2%
Xavier Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 38Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 12
OWN 38
0
42.6%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Marvin ShinnSimilar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+48
43.8%
Cody Clements pass complete to Josh Magee for 48 yds to the Troy 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
39.9%
Terrance Timmons run for no gain to the Troy 14Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-1
39.9%
Cody Clements sacked by Seth Calloway and Justin Lucas for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 15Similar
Q3 6:09
3RD & 11
OPP 15
+4
37.9%
Xavier Johnson run for 4 yds to the Troy 11Similar
Q3 5:21
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+28
39.5%
Aleem Sunanon 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 21INT
5 plays · 46 yds · 0:0045% → 52%
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
44.7%
Brandon Burks run for 7 yds to the Troy 27Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 3
OWN 27
-2
45.5%
Brandon Burks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 25Similar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+15
43.9%
Burks, Brandon rush up middle for loss of 3 yards to the TROY22 (Kalen Jackson), PENALTY USA personal foul (DeMarion Harper) 15 yards to the TROY40, 1ST DOWN TROY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+26
47.6%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Bryan Holmes for 26 yds to the SAlab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
51.6%
Brandon Silvers pass intercepted Kalen Jackson return for no gain to the SAlab 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 22FG
5 plays · 53 yds · 2:2562% → 72%
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+44
37.9%
Cody Clements pass complete to Josh Magee for 44 yds to the Troy 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
34.0%
Tyreis Thomas run for 1 yd to the Troy 26Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+6
34.1%
Tyreis Thomas run for 6 yds to the Troy 20Similar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+2
34.9%
Cody Clements run for 2 yds to the Troy 18Similar
Q3 0:46
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+35
28.5%
Aleem Sunanon 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 23FG
15 plays · 43 yds · 5:1232% → 40%
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
32.3%
Brandon Burks run for 14 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
34.6%
Brandon Burks run for 2 yds to the SAlab 43Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+4
34.5%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Brandon Burks for 4 yds to the SAlab 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+6
33.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to John Johnson for 6 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
36.5%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to John JohnsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
36.3%
Brandon Burks run for 3 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+9
34.0%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Brandon Burks for 9 yds to the SAlab 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
36.5%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Teddy Ruben for 9 yds to the SAlab 12 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+7
36.5%
Brandon Silvers run for 7 yds to the SAlab 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-6
34.7%
Silvers, B. middle pass complete to Bentley, Jarvis for 5 yards to the USA0, clock 12:29, PENALTY TROY ineligible downfield on pass 6 yards to the USA11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
-7
34.7%
Brandon Silvers run for a loss of 7 yards to the SAlab 18Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
-4
33.3%
Brandon Burks run for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 22Similar
Q4 12:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 22
+6
30.4%
Brandon Burks run for 6 yds to the SAlab 16Similar
Q4 10:34
4TH & 0
OPP 16
+33
39.6%
Jed Solomon 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0072% → 74%
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
28.0%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 37Similar
Q4 10:34
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
26.9%
Brandon McKee punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Teddy Ruben at the Troy 14Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+8
27.1%
Xavier Johnson run for 8 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
26.1%
Xavier Johnson run for 1 yd to the SAlab 46Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
26.1%
Cody Clements run for no gain to the SAlab 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
34.7%
Brandon Burks run for 6 yds to the Troy 20Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 4
OWN 20
0
35.7%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Bryan Holmes, broken up by Jalen ThompsonSimilar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+7
33.2%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Brandon Burks for 7 yds to the Troy 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
35.8%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+5
34.8%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Teddy Ruben for 5 yds to the Troy 32Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
34.6%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Brandon Burks, broken up by E.J. MaySimilar
Q4 8:18
4TH & 5
OWN 32
+2
33.8%
Ryan Kay punt for 40 yds , Chris Lewis returns for 2 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0079% → 76%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
21.2%
Tyreis Thomas run for 6 yds to the SAlab 36Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+5
20.4%
Tyreis Thomas run for 5 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
19.3%
Cody Clements run for 3 yds to the SAlab 44Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 7
OWN 44
-8
19.1%
Cody Clements sacked by Jamal Stadom for a loss of 8 yards to the SAlab 36Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 15
OWN 36
0
22.5%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Danny WoodsonSimilar
Q4 6:20
4TH & 15
OWN 36
+6
23.6%
Brandon McKee punt for 53 yds , Teddy Ruben returns for 6 yds to the Troy 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 27DOWNS
8 plays · 26 yds · 1:4126% → 19%
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
26.3%
Brandon Silvers run for no gain to the Troy 17Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
25.3%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Bryan HolmesSimilar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+17
24.3%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Clark Quisenberry for 17 yds to the Troy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
27.3%
Brandon Burks run for 1 yd to the Troy 35Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+6
27.0%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Teddy Ruben for 6 yds to the Troy 41Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+2
29.1%
Brandon Burks run for 2 yds to the Troy 43Similar
Q4 1:48
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
18.8%
Brandon Burks run for no gain to the Troy 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 28END OF GAME
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:0393% → 95%
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
6.8%
Xavier Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 44Similar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+2
4.9%
Tyreis Thomas run for 2 yds to the Troy 42Similar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+7
5.1%
Xavier Johnson run for 7 yds to the Troy 35Similar
Q4 0:41
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+4
5.5%
Tyreis Thomas run for 4 yds to the Troy 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q3 3:11
Cody Clements pass complete to Josh Magee for 44 yds to the Troy 27 for a 1ST down
-13.7
FG · Q4 10:34
Jed Solomon 33 yd FG GOOD
+9.2
TD · Q2 8:39
Andre Flakes run for 20 yds for a TD, (Jed Solomon KICK)
+7.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com