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GASO

Georgia Southern 44 at Idaho 20

IDHO
2015 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2015 · Kibbie Dome
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Win probability · IDHO
modelIDHO aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playIDHO scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:35 · LA Ramsby run for 10 yds to the Idaho 2 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.5+27.30−27.3−54.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 114Pregame prior−21.2Home team on offense−12.8Score differential−5.9Garbage-time factor−3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:52: Dezmon Epps 60 Yd pass from Matt Linehan (Austin Rehkow Kick) — IDHO win probability +6.5 pts (now 22%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 13:28: Matt Breida 66 Yd Run (Alex Hanks Kick) — GASO win probability +6.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:14: Wesley Fields run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK) — GASO win probability +8.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:19: Dezmon Epps 44 Yd pass from Matt Linehan (Austin Rehkow Kick) — IDHO win probability +7.5 pts (now 18%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:25: Kevin Ellison 5 Yd Run (Alex Hanks Kick) — GASO win probability +9.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IDHO made the numbers' call on 7 of 8GASO made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00IDHO 4th & 6 at IDHO 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:38GASO 4th & 11 at IDHO 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.7%
    81% to make
    Punt
    83.2%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:31IDHO 4th & 6 at IDHO 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:03IDHO 4th & 1 at GASO 1, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.2%−0.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    18.2%−2.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00IDHO 4th & 6 at IDHO 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:45GASO 4th & 7 at IDHO 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    77.7%−2.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:13GASO 4th & 7 at IDHO 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.6%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.0%
    79% to make
    Punt
    71.1%−3.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:27IDHO 4th & 8 at GASO 23, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    19.7%−4.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:22IDHO 4th & 1 at IDHO 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.0%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:22IDHO 4th & 17 at IDHO 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−1.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:35GASO 4th & 3 at IDHO 12, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.6%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    81.2%−0.4
    86% to make
    Punt
    76.4%−5.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:12GASO 4th & 18 at GASO 23, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%−4.0
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:59IDHO 4th & 2 at IDHO 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.8%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IDHO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2GASO made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 0:47GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:52IDHO Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:28GASO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:14GASO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:19IDHO Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:25GASO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:51GASO Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
11.6%
Matt Linehan sacked by Bernard Dawson for a loss of 5 yards to the Idaho 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+3
11.6%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the Idaho 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+6
11.6%
Matt Linehan run for 6 yds to the Idaho 29 IDAHO Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
11.6%
Austin Rehkow punt blocked by Ironhead Gallon blocked by Ironhead GallonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2FG
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:3588% → 87%
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
12.2%
Kevin Ellison run for 4 yds to the Idaho 11Similar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 6
OPP 11
-4
12.2%
Matt Breida run for a loss of 4 yards to the Idaho 15Similar
Q1 13:13
3RD & 10
OPP 15
-1
12.3%
Kevin Ellison run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 16Similar
Q1 11:38
4TH & 11
OPP 16
+32
12.9%
Alex Hanks 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
13.0%
Matt Linehan run for 4 yds to the Idaho 25Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
13.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Elijhaa Penny, broken up by Darrius WhiteSimilar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
12.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Dezmon EppsSimilar
Q1 11:31
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
12.9%
Austin Rehkow punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Derek Keaton at the GeoSo 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4INT
8 plays · 46 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+18
13.2%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Bj Johnson for 18 yds to the GeoSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
13.1%
LA Ramsby run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+5
13.1%
K. Ellison rush for no gain to the GS43 (Edwards, Chris), PENALTY IDAHO offside defense (Bradley, Q) 5 yards to the GS48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+5
13.1%
Matt Breida run for 5 yds to the Idaho 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
13.0%
Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Bj JohnsonSimilar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
13.1%
Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Derek KeatonSimilar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+17
13.2%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Bj Johnson for 17 yds to the Idaho 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
13.0%
Kevin Ellison pass intercepted Dorian Clark return for no gain to the Idaho 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5FG
19 plays · 93 yds · 7:1414% → 19%
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
14.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Rueben Mwehla for 6 yds to the Idaho 12Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 4
OWN 12
+5
14.3%
Elijhaa Penny run for 5 yds to the Idaho 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
14.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Rueben Mwehla for 6 yds to the Idaho 23Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 4
OWN 23
-10
14.3%
Penny, Elijhaa rush for 2 yards to the IDAHO25 (A. Williams;A. Glover), PENALTY IDAHO holding (Matlock, Steve) 10 yards to the IDAHO13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 14
OWN 13
+16
14.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 16 yds to the Idaho 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
14.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 9 yds to the Idaho 38Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+2
14.6%
Matt Linehan run for 2 yds to the Idaho 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
14.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 9 yds to the Idaho 49Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+5
14.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
14.7%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Dezmon EppsSimilar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+7
14.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+10
17.3%
Linehan, Matt pass incomplete to Watson, Deon (C. Williams), PENALTY GS holding (C. Williams) 10 yards to the GS29, 1ST DOWN IDAHO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+24
17.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 24 yds to the GeoSo 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
17.5%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 2Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
17.5%
Elijhaa Penny run for no gain to the GeoSo 2Similar
Q1 2:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
17.2%
Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 1Similar
Q1 1:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+18
19.1%
Austin Rehkow 18 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6TD
2 plays · 83 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+83
15.3%
Matt Breida run for 83 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:4215% → 15%
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
15.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Aaron Duckworth for 12 yds to the Idaho 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
15.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
15.5%
Linehan, Matt pass incomplete to Epps, Dezmon (D. Jones), PENALTY GS pass interference (D. Jones) 15 yards to the IDAHO42, 1ST DOWN IDAHO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
16.0%
Elijhaa Penny run for 4 yds to the Idaho 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
16.2%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Callen Hightower, broken up by Caleb WilliamsSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
15.8%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
15.3%
Austin Rehkow punt for 34 yds, downed at the GeoSo 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8FG
10 plays · 67 yds · 4:1184% → 84%
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
15.8%
LA Ramsby run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+3
15.4%
LA Ramsby run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+22
15.5%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Bj Johnson for 22 yds to the Idaho 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
15.0%
Matt Breida run for 13 yds to the Idaho 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
14.9%
Matt Breida run for 4 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+14
14.8%
LA Ramsby run for 14 yds to the Idaho 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
14.8%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the Idaho 13Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 7
OPP 13
0
14.8%
Wesley Fields run for no gain to the Idaho 13Similar
Q2 13:56
3RD & 7
OPP 13
0
15.0%
Favian Upshaw pass incomplete to Derek KeatonSimilar
Q2 9:45
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+30
15.9%
Alex Hanks 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 9TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5315% → 22%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
15.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Elijhaa Penny for 5 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
15.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for 10 yds to the Idaho 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
21.7%
Dezmon Epps 60 Yd pass from Matt Linehan (Austin Rehkow Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10FG
11 plays · 62 yds · 3:3480% → 82%
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
20.5%
Matt Breida run for 16 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
19.9%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-6
19.6%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (LA Ramsby) to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+9
20.7%
LA Ramsby run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q2 8:47
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+19
19.8%
Kevin Ellison run for 19 yds to the Idaho 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+19
19.2%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Wesley Fields for 19 yds to the Idaho 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
18.6%
Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Derek KeatonSimilar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+3
18.8%
Kevin Ellison run for 3 yds to the Idaho 18Similar
Q2 8:47
3RD & 7
OPP 18
0
19.2%
Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Bj JohnsonSimilar
Q2 5:13
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+35
17.6%
Alex Hanks 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 11FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 3:4619% → 24%
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
18.6%
Elijhaa Penny run for 5 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
18.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Callen HightowerSimilar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+24
18.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Elijhaa Penny for 24 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
20.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 9 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+2
20.5%
Matt Linehan run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
21.2%
Elijhaa Penny run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+4
21.2%
Elijhaa Penny run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
21.2%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Callen Hightower, broken up by Darrius WhiteSimilar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
21.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
20.3%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Dezmon EppsSimilar
Q2 1:27
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+40
24.4%
Austin Rehkow 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12END OF HALF
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:1877% → 78%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
22.8%
Matt Breida run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+18
23.1%
LA Ramsby run for 18 yds to the GeoSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
21.3%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Ryan Longoria for 11 yds to the Idaho 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
20.6%
Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Derek KeatonSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
21.3%
Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Bj JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
22.0%
Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Ryan Longoria, broken up by Dorian ClarkSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13TD
4 plays · 78 yds · 1:3276% → 84%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
23.6%
Kevin Ellison run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
23.1%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+66
16.2%
Matt Breida 66 Yd Run (Alex Hanks Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
15.8%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Callen HightowerSimilar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+8
15.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for 8 yds to the Idaho 25Similar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+1
15.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd to the Idaho 26 IDAHO Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 13:22
4TH & 1
OWN 26
+9
15.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jake Manley for 9 yds to the Idaho 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
16.2%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the Idaho 38Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-10
16.7%
Matt Linehan sacked by Ryan George for a loss of 10 yards to the Idaho 28Similar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 17
OWN 28
0
15.1%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Buck Cowan, broken up by Matt DobsonSimilar
Q3 13:22
4TH & 17
OWN 28
0
14.8%
Austin Rehkow punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Derek Keaton at the GeoSo 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 4:2183% → 93%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
16.7%
Kevin Ellison run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+53
16.3%
Kevin Ellison run for 53 yds to the Idaho 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
15.2%
Kevin Ellison run for 4 yds to the Idaho 15Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+3
15.2%
Kevin Ellison run for 3 yds to the Idaho 12Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 3
OPP 12
0
15.8%
LA Ramsby run for no gain to the Idaho 12Similar
Q3 10:35
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+10
16.6%
LA Ramsby run for 10 yds to the Idaho 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
15.5%
LA Ramsby run for no gain to the Idaho 2Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
7.3%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 16TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:559% → 18%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
9.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 9 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
9.8%
Elijhaa Penny run for 5 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
9.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Elijhaa Penny for 8 yds to the Idaho 47Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+2
10.5%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the Idaho 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
10.3%
Linehan, Matt pass incomplete to Hightower, C, PENALTY GS pass interference (C. Williams) 7 yards to the GS44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
17.8%
Dezmon Epps 44 Yd pass from Matt Linehan (Austin Rehkow Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0085% → 83%
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
15.4%
Favian Upshaw run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 8
OWN 33
-7
15.5%
Matt Breida run for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q3 4:12
3RD & 15
OWN 26
-3
16.6%
Bj Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q3 4:12
4TH & 18
OWN 23
0
17.1%
Matt Flynn punt for 43 yds, downed at the Idaho 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 18DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
15.9%
Elijhaa Penny run for 5 yds to the Idaho 39Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+3
16.9%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the Idaho 42Similar
Q3 1:59
3RD & 2
OWN 42
0
16.5%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Dezmon EppsSimilar
Q3 1:59
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
15.5%
Austin Rehkow pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19TD
3 plays · 42 yds · 1:1686% → 95%
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
14.3%
LA Ramsby run for 1 yd to the Idaho 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+36
14.4%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Bj Johnson for 36 yds to the Idaho 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
4.8%
Kevin Ellison 5 Yd Run (Alex Hanks Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 20INT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:357% → 7%
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
7.4%
Marc Millan run for 7 yds to the Idaho 32Similar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
8.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Dezmon EppsSimilar
Q4 13:46
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
6.6%
Matt Linehan pass intercepted Jay Ellison return for 3 yds to the Idaho 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21FUMBLE
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
3.8%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Derek Keaton for a loss of 1 yard Derek Keaton fumbled, forced by Chris Edwards, recovered by Idaho Broc WestlakeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 22TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 6:1994% → 99%
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
6.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Rueben Mwehla for no gain to the Idaho 37Similar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
3.5%
Matt Breida run for no gain to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+10
3.6%
Kevin Ellison run for 10 yds to the Idaho 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
3.5%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the Idaho 45Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+7
3.5%
Wesley Fields run for 7 yds to the Idaho 38Similar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+21
3.5%
Wesley Fields run for 21 yds to the Idaho 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
3.4%
Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the Idaho 13Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 6
OPP 13
0
3.4%
LA Ramsby run for no gain to the Idaho 13Similar
Q4 6:51
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+13
0.7%
Kevin Ellison 13 Yd Run (Alex Hanks Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 23INT
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
1.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Buck Cowan for 11 yds to the Idaho 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
1.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 1 yd to the Idaho 37Similar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
1.1%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon Watson, broken up by Darrius WhiteSimilar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
1.1%
Elijhaa Penny run for 5 yds to the Idaho 42Similar
Q4 6:51
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+9
1.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 9 yds to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
1.2%
Elijhaa Penny run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+17
1.3%
Matt Linehan pass intercepted Caleb Williams return for 17 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 24END OF GAME
9 plays · 33 yds · 1:32100% → 100%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
0.5%
Kevin Ellison run for 7 yds to the Idaho 44Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+8
0.4%
Wesley Fields run for 8 yds to the Idaho 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
0.5%
Chaz Thornton run for no gain to the Idaho 36Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+1
0.4%
Chaz Thornton run for 1 yd to the Idaho 35Similar
Q4 2:38
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+14
0.4%
Vegas Harley run for 14 yds to the Idaho 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
0.3%
Thomas Banks run for no gain to the Idaho 21Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-3
0.4%
Noah Hickey run for a loss of 3 yards to the Idaho 24Similar
Q4 2:38
3RD & 13
OPP 24
+6
0.4%
Chaz Thornton run for 6 yds to the Idaho 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:25
Kevin Ellison 5 Yd Run (Alex Hanks Kick)
-9.5
TD · Q3 6:14
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)
-8.3
TD · Q3 4:19
Dezmon Epps 44 Yd pass from Matt Linehan (Austin Rehkow Kick)
+7.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com