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WOF

Wofford 38 at Idaho 41

IDHO
2015 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2015 · Kibbie Dome
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Win probability · IDHO
modelIDHO aheadWOF aheadconfidence bandkey playIDHO scoreWOF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FUMBLEFGTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:00 · Evan Jacks pass incomplete to Will Irwin
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+22.5+11.30−11.3−22.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 160Pregame prior+0.4Home team on offense+9.5Garbage-time factor+3.6Score differential+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Blowout margin+1.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 11:34: Austin Rehkow 20 Yd Field Goal — IDHO win probability +5.9 pts (now 77%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:18: Lorenzo Long 4 Yd Run (David Marvin Kick) — WOF win probability +7.1 pts (now 32%) (top driver: WOF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:50: Aaron Duckworth 8 Yd Run (Austin Rehkow Kick) — IDHO win probability +22.0 pts (now 71%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:51: Chase Nelson 27 Yd Run (David Marvin Kick) — WOF win probability +33.4 pts (now 69%) (top driver: WOF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:19: Aaron Duckworth 10 Yd Run (Austin Rehkow Kick) — IDHO win probability +37.6 pts (now 75%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IDHO made the numbers' call on 4 of 7WOF made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:28WOF 4th & 13 at IDHO 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    34.0%−1.0
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:54IDHO 4th & 1 at WOF 24, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    67.2%−1.2
    68% to make
    Punt
    63.6%−4.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:34IDHO 4th & 2 at WOF 2, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.9%−1.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    64.7%−6.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:15IDHO 4th & 1 at WOF 1, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.7%−2.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    65.4%−7.3
    average punt
  5. Q3 11:52IDHO 4th & 4 at IDHO 46, up 3
    Close callPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:29WOF 4th & 12 at WOF 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−3.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:16IDHO 4th & 4 at WOF 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    43.5%−4.0
    25% to make
    Punt
    46.0%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:51IDHO 4th & 7 at WOF 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    42.2%−2.5
    27% to make
    Punt
    44.6%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:01WOF 4th & 18 at WOF 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−5.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:15IDHO 4th & 15 at IDHO 7, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−9.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:00WOF 4th & 12 at IDHO 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.9%
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.9%−2.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IDHO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WOF made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 0:44IDHO Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:18WOF Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:50IDHO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:51WOF Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:19IDHO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.9%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1INT
8 plays · 51 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
63.8%
Elijhaa Penny run for 4 yds to the Idaho 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
63.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 15 yds to the Idaho 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
63.8%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the Idaho 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+32
63.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 32 yds to the Woffd 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
63.8%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Dezmon EppsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-3
63.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for a loss of 3 yards to the Woffd 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 24
0
63.8%
Matt Linehan pass intercepted Chris Armfield return for no gain to the Woffd 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 2FUMBLE TD
3 plays · 7 yds · 1:1236% → 35%
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
63.7%
Will Gay run for no gain to the Woffd 3Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+18
63.7%
Nick Colvin run for 18 yds to the Woffd 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
64.8%
Brad Butler run for a loss of 1 yard Brad Butler fumbled, recovered by Idaho Russell Siavii , return for 10 yds, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 3FG
12 plays · 47 yds · 4:4735% → 34%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
64.8%
Ray Smith run for 1 yd to the Woffd 26Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+26
64.8%
Ray Smith run for 26 yds to the Idaho 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
64.4%
Lorenzo Long run for 2 yds to the Idaho 46Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
65.0%
Brad Butler run for no gain to the Idaho 46Similar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+6
65.1%
Brad Butler run for 6 yds to the Idaho 40Similar
Q1 9:21
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+15
65.2%
Brad Butler pass incomplete to Nick Colvin, PENALTY IDAHO pass interference (Hampton, D.J.) 15 yards to the IDAHO25, 1ST DOWN WOF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
64.7%
Lorenzo Long run for 3 yds to the Idaho 22Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 7
OPP 22
-6
64.7%
Ray Smith run for a loss of 6 yards to the Idaho 28Similar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 13
OPP 28
0
65.3%
Brad Butler pass incomplete, broken up by Quinton BradleySimilar
Q1 6:28
4TH & 13
OPP 28
+45
66.5%
David Marvin 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 4TD
15 plays · 81 yds · 5:3965% → 70%
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
64.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 5 yds to the Idaho 24Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+5
64.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for 5 yds to the Idaho 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-10
64.8%
Duckworth, A rush for 3 yards to the IDAHO32 (Dylan Young), PENALTY IDAHO holding (Woods, Mason) 10 yards to the IDAHO19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 20
OWN 19
+2
64.6%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the Idaho 21Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 18
OWN 21
+46
64.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 46 yds to the Woffd 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-10
65.8%
Penny, Elijhaa rush for 9 yards to the WOF24 (Jaleel Green), PENALTY IDAHO holding (Rose, Jordan) 10 yards to the WOF43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 20
OPP 43
+12
65.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 12 yds to the Woffd 31Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+6
65.8%
Elijhaa Penny run for 6 yds to the Woffd 25Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+5
65.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Buck Cowan for 5 yds to the Woffd 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
65.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 9 yds to the Woffd 11Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+2
65.8%
Matt Linehan run for 2 yds to the Woffd 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
65.8%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the Woffd 7Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
65.8%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
70.4%
Buck Cowan 7 Yd pass from Matt Linehan (Austin Rehkow Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 5FUMBLE
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:4430% → 30%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
69.9%
Will Gay run for 4 yds to the Woffd 29Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
69.6%
Ray Smith run for 5 yds to the Woffd 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
69.8%
Brad Butler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Woffd 33 Brad Butler fumbled, recovered by Idaho Dorian ClarkSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 6FG
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:2071% → 77%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
71.3%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Aaron DuckworthSimilar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+6
71.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 6 yds to the Woffd 27Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+3
71.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Elijhaa Penny for 3 yds to the Woffd 24Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+17
70.5%
Elijhaa Penny run for 17 yds to the Woffd 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
71.3%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the Woffd 4Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
71.3%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the Woffd 1Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
71.0%
Elijhaa Penny run for a loss of 1 yard to the Woffd 2Similar
Q2 11:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
76.9%
Austin Rehkow 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 8TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 3:1477% → 79%
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
77.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 8 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+9
77.3%
Aaron Duckworth run for 9 yds to the Idaho 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
77.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the Idaho 46Similar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+7
77.8%
Matt Linehan run for 7 yds to the Woffd 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+26
77.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 26 yds to the Woffd 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
78.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Dezmon EppsSimilar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+9
78.0%
Matt Linehan run for 9 yds to the Woffd 12Similar
Q2 11:14
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+2
77.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the Woffd 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
78.9%
Aaron Duckworth 10 Yd Run (Austin Rehkow Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 9TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:4223% → 32%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
77.3%
Nick Colvin run for 24 yds to the Woffd 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
76.5%
Nick Colvin rush for 3 yards to the IDAHO48 (Millan, Marc;Hampton, D.J.), PENALTY WOF holding (Anton Wahrby) 10 yards to the WOF39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 20
OWN 39
+5
77.4%
Lorenzo Long run for 5 yds to the Woffd 44Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 15
OWN 44
-5
77.5%
WOFFORD Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Woffd 39Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 20
OWN 39
+15
77.5%
Will Gay run for 15 yds to the Idaho 46Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+26
76.3%
Ray Smith run for 26 yds to the Idaho 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+16
75.3%
Will Gay run for 16 yds to the Idaho 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
68.2%
Lorenzo Long 4 Yd Run (David Marvin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 10FG
17 plays · 74 yds · 4:0372% → 74%
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
72.4%
Matt Linehan sacked by Dylan Young for a loss of 8 yards to the Idaho 17Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+9
72.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Buck Cowan for 9 yds to the Idaho 26Similar
Q2 4:18
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+22
71.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 22 yds to the Idaho 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
74.0%
Aaron Duckworth run for 1 yd to the Idaho 49Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+7
73.8%
Matt Linehan run for 7 yds to the Woffd 44Similar
Q2 4:18
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+3
73.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the Woffd 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
74.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 5 yds to the Woffd 36Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+27
74.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Buck Cowan for 27 yds to the Woffd 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-4
74.7%
Matt Linehan sacked by Boston Bryant for a loss of 4 yards to the Woffd 13Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
0
74.0%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+12
72.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Elijhaa Penny for 12 yds to the Woffd 1Similar
Q2 0:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+18
74.3%
Austin Rehkow 18 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
76.6%
Evan Jacks run for 7 yds to the Woffd 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 12TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0825% → 26%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
74.9%
Ray Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Woffd 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+52
75.1%
Evan Jacks pass complete to Nick Colvin for 37 yds to the IDAHO 39 for a 1ST down IDAHO Penalty, personal foul (Ryan Edwards) to the Idaho 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
71.3%
Will Gay run for 3 yds to the Idaho 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+5
71.3%
Lorenzo Long run for 5 yds to the Idaho 16Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+5
72.5%
Lorenzo Long run for 5 yds to the Idaho 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
71.3%
Ray Smith run for 2 yds to the Idaho 9Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
73.8%
Lorenzo Long 9 Yd Run (David Marvin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
65.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for 9 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
67.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 6 yds to the Idaho 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
67.4%
Elijhaa Penny run for 4 yds to the Idaho 44Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+5
67.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for 5 yds to the Idaho 49Similar
Q3 11:52
3RD & 1
OWN 49
-3
67.4%
Aaron Duckworth run for a loss of 3 yards to the Idaho 46Similar
Q3 11:52
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
65.8%
Austin Rehkow punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Will Gay at the Woffd 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0035% → 33%
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
64.9%
Will Gay run for 6 yds to the Woffd 20Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 4
OWN 20
-5
64.4%
Evan Jacks run for a loss of 5 yards to the Woffd 15Similar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 9
OWN 15
-3
66.4%
Evan Jacks run for a loss of 3 yards to the Woffd 12Similar
Q3 9:29
4TH & 12
OWN 12
0
67.4%
David Marvin punt for 20 yds, fair catch by Callen Hightower at the Woffd 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 15INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
70.8%
Matt Linehan pass intercepted, touchback. Brion Anderson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 16TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:1335% → 39%
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
64.7%
Evan Jacks run for 1 yd to the Woffd 21Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+28
64.9%
Evan Jacks pass complete to Nick Colvin for 28 yds to the Woffd 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
60.8%
Lorenzo Long 51 Yd Run (David Marvin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 17TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:0449% → 71%
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
48.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 5 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
49.2%
Elijhaa Penny run for 7 yds to the Idaho 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
49.4%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Rueben MwehlaSimilar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+12
49.2%
Elijhaa Penny run for 12 yds to the Idaho 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-12
52.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Elijhaa Penny for 3 yds to the IDAHO 48 IDAHO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jordan Rose) to the Idaho 37Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 22
OWN 37
+12
48.4%
Matt Linehan run for 12 yds to the Idaho 49Similar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+6
49.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Buck Cowan for 6 yds to the Woffd 45Similar
Q3 3:16
4TH & 4
OPP 45
+7
45.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 7 yds to the Woffd 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+30
49.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Buck Cowan for 30 yds to the Woffd 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
71.0%
Aaron Duckworth 8 Yd Run (Austin Rehkow Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 18TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:5935% → 69%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
65.3%
Will Gay run for 6 yds to the Woffd 31Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
63.3%
Ray Smith run for 1 yd to the Woffd 32Similar
Q3 1:50
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+41
64.9%
Evan Jacks run for 41 yds to the Idaho 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
31.5%
Chase Nelson 27 Yd Run (David Marvin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 19TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:3242% → 75%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
42.1%
Elijhaa Penny run for 5 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
42.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Dezmon EppsSimilar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+23
41.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Buck Cowan for 23 yds to the Woffd 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
47.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the Woffd 44Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+5
47.5%
Aaron Duckworth run for 5 yds to the Woffd 39Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 2
OPP 39
-10
46.9%
Penny, Elijhaa rush for 20 yards to the WOF19 (Brion Anderson), PENALTY IDAHO holding (Rose, Jordan) 10 yards to the WOF49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 12
OPP 49
+5
43.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dezmon Epps for 5 yds to the Woffd 44Similar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 7
OPP 44
+34
43.4%
Matt Linehan run for 34 yds to the Woffd 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
75.3%
Aaron Duckworth 10 Yd Run (Austin Rehkow Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 1:1333% → 29%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+13
66.8%
Will Gay run for 13 yds to the Woffd 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
65.2%
Lorenzo Long run for 3 yds to the Woffd 35Similar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+7
66.6%
Evan Jacks pass complete to Will Irwin for 7 yds to the Woffd 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-6
65.1%
Evan Jacks run for a loss of 6 yards to the Woffd 36Similar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 16
OWN 36
-1
68.6%
Lorenzo Long run for a loss of 1 yard to the Woffd 35Similar
Q4 10:01
3RD & 17
OWN 35
-1
70.6%
Hunter Windham run for a loss of 1 yard to the Woffd 34Similar
Q4 10:01
4TH & 18
OWN 34
0
71.2%
Brian Sanders punt for 54 yds, downed at the Idaho 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0071% → 68%
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
71.3%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Idaho 14Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 8
OWN 14
-4
71.0%
Matt Linehan sacked by Miles Brown for a loss of 4 yards to the Idaho 10Similar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 12
OWN 10
-3
69.3%
Matt Linehan sacked by John Patterson for a loss of 3 yards to the Idaho 7Similar
Q4 7:15
4TH & 15
OWN 7
+2
67.7%
Austin Rehkow punt for 59 yds , Nick Colvin returns for 2 yds to the Woffd 34 Nick Colvin fumbled, forced by Ed Hall,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 22DOWNS
8 plays · 17 yds · 3:1733% → 21%
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
67.0%
Ray Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Woffd 32Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 12
OWN 32
+21
69.4%
Nick Colvin run for 21 yds to the Idaho 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
61.8%
Ray Smith run for 5 yds to the Idaho 42Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+2
60.9%
Ray Smith run for 2 yds to the Idaho 40Similar
Q4 5:17
3RD & 3
OPP 40
-9
61.2%
Nick Colvin rush for no gain to the IDAHO40 (Hawkins, Armond), PENALTY WOF illegal block (Will Irwin) 9 yards to the IDAHO49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:17
3RD & 12
OPP 49
0
66.7%
Evan Jacks pass complete to Ray Smith for no gain to the Idaho 49Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 12
OPP 49
0
79.5%
Evan Jacks pass incomplete to Will IrwinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 23END OF GAME
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:5090% → 92%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
89.6%
Elijhaa Penny run for 10 yds to the Woffd 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
90.2%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the Woffd 39Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 8
OPP 39
-1
92.7%
Matt Linehan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Woffd 40Similar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 9
OPP 40
-1
92.2%
Matt Linehan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Woffd 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:19
Aaron Duckworth 10 Yd Run (Austin Rehkow Kick)
+37.6
TD · Q4 14:51
Chase Nelson 27 Yd Run (David Marvin Kick)
-33.4
TD · Q3 1:50
Aaron Duckworth 8 Yd Run (Austin Rehkow Kick)
+22
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com