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2015 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2015 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadCIT aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreCIT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:11 · Ryan Nowicki punt for 44 yds , DeAndre Schoultz returns for no gain to the Citad 33 THE CITADEL Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Citad 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 148Pregame prior+5.2Home team on offense+35.8Score differential+27.3Blowout margin+12.2Garbage-time factor+15.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+12.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:35: Matt Breida run for 25 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK) — GASO win probability +1.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:43: Matt Breida run for 87 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK) — GASO win probability +1.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:50: Kevin Ellison run for 9 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK) — GASO win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:47: Evan McField run for 60 yds for a TD, (Eric Goins KICK) — CIT win probability +1.7 pts (now 2%) (top driver: CIT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:17: LA Ramsby run for 7 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK) — GASO win probability +1.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 4 of 7CIT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:46GASO 4th & 4 at CIT 5, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.6%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    94.2%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:41CIT 4th & 2 at GASO 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    5.2%−0.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:25GASO 4th & 1 at CIT 11, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    93.9%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    93.4%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00CIT 4th & 6 at CIT 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:51CIT 4th & 7 at CIT 39, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:21GASO 4th & 5 at GASO 36, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:46GASO 4th & 22 at GASO 23, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:17GASO 4th & 1 at CIT 7, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    97.8%−0.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    96.5%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:54GASO 4th & 7 at CIT 23, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    70% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:48CIT 4th & 5 at CIT 30, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:43CIT 4th & 3 at GASO 35, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:11GASO 4th & 2 at GASO 33, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 6 of 6CIT made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 1:25GASO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:35GASO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:43GASO Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:50GASO Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:47CIT Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:17GASO Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:50GASO Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:11CIT Touchdown, down 35 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CITDrive 1INT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.3%
Evan McField run for 3 yds to the Citad 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
96.3%
THE CITADEL Penalty, Offensive offside (-5 Yards) to the Citad 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+4
96.3%
Evan McField run for 4 yds to the Citad 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+11
96.3%
Dominique Allen pass intercepted Ross Alexander return for 11 yds to the Citad 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4496% → 96%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
96.0%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the Citad 9Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+4
96.0%
Matt Breida run for 4 yds to the Citad 5Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 4
OPP 5
0
96.0%
Kevin Ellison run for no gain to the Citad 5Similar
Q1 11:46
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+22
95.8%
Alex Hanks 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 3DOWNS
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
95.7%
Dominique Allen run for 6 yds to the Citad 25Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+5
95.7%
Evan McField run for 5 yds to the Citad 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
95.7%
Vinny Miller run for 17 yds to the Citad 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
95.7%
Evan McField run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+5
95.7%
Evan McField run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 1
OPP 44
-1
95.7%
Dominique Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 45 Dominique Allen fumbled, recovered by Citad Dominique AllenSimilar
Q1 11:41
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
95.7%
Dominique Allen pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4TD
16 plays · 55 yds · 7:0095% → 95%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
95.2%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Ryan Longoria for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 5
50
+1
95.2%
Matt Breida run for 1 yd to the Citad 49Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+5
95.2%
Matt Breida run for 5 yds to the Citad 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
95.2%
Kevin Ellison sacked by Mark Thomas for a loss of 5 yards to the Citad 49Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 15
OPP 49
0
95.2%
Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Ryan LongoriaSimilar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 15
OPP 49
+17
95.1%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Ryan Longoria for 17 yds to the Citad 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
95.3%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Ryan Longoria for 7 yds to the Citad 25Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+2
95.3%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the Citad 23Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+3
95.2%
Matt Breida run for 3 yds to the Citad 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
95.3%
Kevin Ellison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+7
95.3%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Ryan Longoria for 7 yds to the Citad 13Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+2
95.2%
LA Ramsby run for 2 yds to the Citad 11Similar
Q1 8:25
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+2
95.2%
LA Ramsby run for 2 yds to the Citad 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
95.3%
Matt Breida run for 6 yds to the Citad 3Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
95.3%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the Citad 1Similar
Q1 1:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.6%
Kevin Ellison run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:206% → 6%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
94.5%
Evan McField run for 4 yds to the Citad 27Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+2
94.4%
Dominique Allen run for 2 yds to the Citad 29Similar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 4
OWN 29
-2
94.5%
Vinny Miller run for a loss of 2 yards to the Citad 27Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 27
+13
94.5%
Will Vanvick punt for 52 yds , Derek Keaton returns for 13 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 2:1394% → 96%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
94.3%
Favian Upshaw run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+25
94.4%
Wesley Fields run for 25 yds to the Citad 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
94.5%
Favian Upshaw run for 3 yds to the Citad 35Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+10
94.5%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Bj Johnson for 10 yds to the Citad 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
96.4%
Matt Breida run for 25 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 1:394% → 4%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
95.9%
Evan McField run for 8 yds to the Citad 29Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+7
95.8%
Evan McField run for 7 yds to the Citad 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
95.8%
Dominique Allen run for 3 yds to the Citad 39Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
95.8%
Evan McField run for 3 yds to the Citad 42Similar
Q2 10:51
3RD & 4
OWN 42
-5
95.8%
THE CITADEL Penalty, delay of game (Dominique Allen) to the Citad 37Similar
Q2 10:51
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+2
95.9%
Evan McField run for 2 yds to the Citad 39Similar
Q2 10:51
4TH & 7
OWN 39
+1
96.0%
Will Vanvick punt for 49 yds , Derek Keaton returns for 1 yd to the GeoSo 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8TD
1 play · 87 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+87
97.8%
Matt Breida run for 87 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 9INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
97.3%
Evan McField run for 1 yd to the Citad 32Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 9
OWN 32
-1
97.4%
Vinny Miller run for a loss of 1 yard to the Citad 31Similar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+19
97.5%
Dominique Allen pass intercepted Darrius White return for 19 yds to the Citad 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10TD
7 plays · 35 yds · 3:2498% → 99%
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
97.9%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Myles Campbell for 16 yds to the Citad 19 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Citad 29Similar
Q2 7:14
1ST & 5
OPP 29
+8
97.9%
LA Ramsby run for 8 yds to the Citad 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
97.9%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the Citad 18Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 7
OPP 18
-4
97.9%
Wesley Fields run for a loss of 4 yards to the Citad 22Similar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 11
OPP 22
+13
97.9%
Kevin Ellison run for 13 yds to the Citad 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
97.9%
Kevin Ellison run for no gain to the Citad 9Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.4%
Kevin Ellison run for 9 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 11FUMBLE
6 plays · 57 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.3%
Evan McField run for 14 yds to the Citad 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
99.2%
Evan McField run for 8 yds to the Citad 47Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+6
99.1%
Dominique Allen run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
99.2%
Dominique Allen run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+13
99.1%
Evan McField run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 31 Evan McField fumbled, forced by Logan Hunt, recovered by GeoSo Riyahd Jones , return for 13 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
99.4%
Matt Breida run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+2
99.4%
Favian Upshaw run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
99.4%
Matt Breida run for no gain to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q2 2:21
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
99.4%
Ryan Nowicki punt for 41 yds , DeAndre Schoultz returns for no gain to the Citad 23 DeAndre Schoultz fumbled, recovered by Citad DeAndre SchoultzSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-12
99.5%
Cam Jackson rush L for loss of 1 yard to the CIT22 (D. Gallon), PENALTY CIT clipping (Kyle Weaver) 12 yards to the CIT11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 22
OWN 11
+8
99.5%
Dominique Allen run for 8 yds to the Citad 19Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 14
OWN 19
+9
99.5%
Evan McField run for 9 yds to the Citad 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 0:00100% → 99%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.5%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q3 14:46
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-14
99.5%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Derek Keaton for a loss of 14 yards to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q3 14:46
3RD & 22
OWN 23
0
99.5%
Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Bj JohnsonSimilar
Q3 14:46
4TH & 22
OWN 23
0
99.4%
Ryan Nowicki punt for 44 yds, fair catch by DeAndre Schoultz at the Citad 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 15TD
3 plays · 67 yds · 1:170% → 2%
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
99.6%
Evan McField run for 4 yds to the Citad 37Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+3
99.6%
Dominique Allen run for 3 yds to the Citad 40Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+60
97.9%
Evan McField run for 60 yds for a TD, (Eric Goins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:3098% → 100%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.2%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
98.1%
Antwione Williams run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.2%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to LA Ramsby for 5 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+21
98.2%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Myles Campbell for 21 yds to the Citad 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
98.3%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Ryan Longoria for 7 yds to the Citad 42Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+14
98.3%
LA Ramsby run for 14 yds to the Citad 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
98.3%
LA Ramsby run for 3 yds to the Citad 25Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
98.3%
Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Derek Keaton, broken up by DeVonta DelaneySimilar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+9
98.3%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Wesley Fields for 9 yds to the Citad 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-10
98.3%
M. Breida rush R for 5 yards to the CIT11 (Nick Willis), PENALTY GS holding (T. Boynton) 10 yards to the CIT26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 20
OPP 26
0
98.3%
Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Bj Johnson, broken up by Malik DiggsSimilar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 20
OPP 26
+19
98.3%
Matt Breida run for 19 yds to the Citad 7 Matt Breida fumbled, forced by Dondray Copeland, recovered by GeoSoSimilar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 1
OPP 7
0
98.3%
LA Ramsby run for no gain to the Citad 7Similar
Q3 6:17
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+7
99.8%
LA Ramsby run for 7 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 17FUMBLE
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
99.6%
Evan McField run for 2 yds to the Citad 29Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 8
OWN 29
-4
99.6%
Dominique Allen run for a loss of 4 yards to the Citad 26 Dominique Allen fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Antonio GloverSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:43100% → 100%
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.8%
Kevin Ellison pass incomplete to Bj Johnson, broken up by DeVonta DelaneySimilar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+3
99.8%
LA Ramsby run for 3 yds to the Citad 23Similar
Q3 5:37
3RD & 7
OPP 23
0
99.8%
Kevin Ellison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:54
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+40
99.8%
Alex Hanks 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Dominique Allen run for 3 yds to the Citad 28Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
99.8%
Dominique Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Citad 27Similar
Q3 4:48
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+3
99.8%
Dominique Allen run for 3 yds to the Citad 30Similar
Q3 4:48
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Will Vanvick punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:48100% → 100%
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.8%
Wesley Fields run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-3
99.8%
Favian Upshaw run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+11
99.8%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Bj Johnson for 11 yds to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+20
99.8%
LA Ramsby run for 20 yds to the Citad 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
99.8%
LA Ramsby run for 1 yd to the Citad 30 LA Ramsby fumbled, forced by Kailik Williams, recovered by GeoSoSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+15
99.9%
Wesley Fields run for 15 yds to the Citad 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
99.9%
Wesley Fields run for 8 yds to the Citad 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+1
99.9%
Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the Citad 6Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+4
99.9%
Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the Citad 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.9%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) to the Citad 48Similar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
99.9%
Dominique Allen run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+3
99.9%
Dominique Allen run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Tyler Renew run for no gain to the GeoSo 42 Tyler Renew fumbled, recovered by Citad Tyler RenewSimilar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+2
99.9%
Tyler Renew run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q4 12:43
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+5
99.9%
Dominique Allen run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q4 12:43
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+2
99.9%
Dominique Allen run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 22FUMBLE
1 play · 67 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+66
99.9%
Chaz Thornton run for 66 yds Chaz Thornton fumbled, forced by Tyus Carter, recovered by Citad Malik DiggsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 23TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:570% → 0%
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.9%
Tyler Renew run for 6 yds to the Citad 26Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+15
99.9%
Cam Jackson run for 15 yds to the Citad 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
99.9%
Tyler Renew run for 8 yds to the Citad 49Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 2
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Dominique Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+6
99.9%
Dominique Allen run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
99.9%
Dominique Allen run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+2
99.9%
Tyler Renew run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+2
99.9%
Tyler Renew run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+20
99.9%
Cam Jackson run for 20 yds to the GeoSo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
99.9%
Dominique Allen run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 12Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+6
99.9%
Cam Jackson run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 6Similar
Q4 4:11
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Cam Jackson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Noah Hickey run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
99.9%
Thomas Banks run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q4 4:11
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
99.9%
Thomas Banks run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q4 4:11
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Ryan Nowicki punt for 44 yds , DeAndre Schoultz returns for no gain to the Citad 33 THE CITADEL Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Citad 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 25FUMBLE
10 plays · 46 yds · 1:240% → 0%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+29
100.0%
Dominique Allen pass complete to Vinny Miller for 29 yds to the Citad 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Dominique Allen pass incomplete to Alex GloverSimilar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+13
100.0%
Dominique Allen pass complete to Jorian Jordan for 13 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
100.0%
Dominique Allen pass incomplete to Vinny MillerSimilar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
100.0%
Reggie Williams run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q4 0:43
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+4
100.0%
Tyler Renew run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-7
100.0%
Dominique Allen sacked by Ian Bush and Ken Butler Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 17
OPP 41
0
100.0%
Dominique Allen run for no gain to the GeoSo 41 Dominique Allen fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Patrick FloweSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
100.0%
TEAM takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:35
Matt Breida run for 25 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)
+1.9
TD · Q2 8:43
Matt Breida run for 87 yds for a TD, (Alex Hanks KICK)
+1.8
TD · Q3 11:47
Evan McField run for 60 yds for a TD, (Eric Goins KICK)
-1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com